Literature DB >> 8094567

Chaos and biological complexity in measles dynamics.

B M Bolker1, B T Grenfell.   

Abstract

Measles epidemiology offers a unique perspective on the construction of models to describe the dynamics of ecological systems. Simple models of measles transmission can generate deterministic chaos by various mechanisms. However, incorporating more biological realism into the model, in the form of age structure and realism in the seasonal forcing function, can suppress complex dynamics. Adding stochastic terms to the models restores complex dynamics, but raises new questions about demographic scale and population structure in these models.

Mesh:

Year:  1993        PMID: 8094567     DOI: 10.1098/rspb.1993.0011

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Proc Biol Sci        ISSN: 0962-8452            Impact factor:   5.349


  60 in total

1.  Impact on immunization of seasonal cycle of chickenpox.

Authors:  S Deguen; A Flahault
Journal:  Eur J Epidemiol       Date:  2000       Impact factor: 8.082

2.  Transients and attractors in epidemics.

Authors:  Chris T Bauch; David J D Earn
Journal:  Proc Biol Sci       Date:  2003-08-07       Impact factor: 5.349

3.  A demographic model of measles epidemics.

Authors:  S R Duncan; S Scott; C J Duncan
Journal:  Eur J Popul       Date:  1999-06

4.  Modelling seasonal variations in the age and incidence of Kawasaki disease to explore possible infectious aetiologies.

Authors:  Virginia E Pitzer; David Burgner; Cécile Viboud; Lone Simonsen; Viggo Andreasen; Claudia A Steiner; Marc Lipsitch
Journal:  Proc Biol Sci       Date:  2012-03-07       Impact factor: 5.349

5.  Rural-urban gradient in seasonal forcing of measles transmission in Niger.

Authors:  Matthew J Ferrari; Ali Djibo; Rebecca F Grais; Nita Bharti; Bryan T Grenfell; Ottar N Bjornstad
Journal:  Proc Biol Sci       Date:  2010-04-28       Impact factor: 5.349

6.  Enhanced vaccine control of epidemics in adaptive networks.

Authors:  Leah B Shaw; Ira B Schwartz
Journal:  Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys       Date:  2010-04-29

7.  Strong seasonality produces spatial asynchrony in the outbreak of infectious diseases.

Authors:  Scott M Duke-Sylvester; Luca Bolzoni; Leslie A Real
Journal:  J R Soc Interface       Date:  2010-10-20       Impact factor: 4.118

8.  Pertussis toxin inhibits neutrophil recruitment to delay antibody-mediated clearance of Bordetella pertussis.

Authors:  Girish S Kirimanjeswara; Luis M Agosto; Mary J Kennett; Ottar N Bjornstad; Eric T Harvill
Journal:  J Clin Invest       Date:  2005-11-17       Impact factor: 14.808

9.  Predicting the epidemiological impact of antiretroviral allocation strategies in KwaZulu-Natal: the effect of the urban-rural divide.

Authors:  David P Wilson; James Kahn; Sally M Blower
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2006-09-12       Impact factor: 11.205

10.  Quantifying the consequences of measles-induced immune modulation for whooping cough epidemiology.

Authors:  Navideh Noori; Pejman Rohani
Journal:  Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci       Date:  2019-06-24       Impact factor: 6.237

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