Estimating the cost of compensating victims of medical negligence.

The current system in Britain for compensating victims of medical injury depends on an assessment of negligence. Despite the sporadic pressure on the government to adopt a "no fault" approach, such as exists in Sweden, the negligence system will probably remain for the immediate future. The cost of this system was estimated to be 52.3m pounds for England 1990-1. The problem for the future, however, is one of forecasting accuracy at provider level: too high a guess and current patient care will suffer; too low a guess and future patient care will suffer. The introduction of a mutual insurance scheme may not resolve these difficulties, as someone will have to set the rates. Moreover, the figures indicate that if a no fault scheme was introduced the cost might be four times that of the current system, depending on the type of scheme adopted.