Symptomatic identification of malaria in the home and in the primary health care clinic.

In endemic areas in the absence of microscopy, the WHO case definition of malaria is the presence or a history of fever without other obvious cause. Yet there is little empirical evidence on the accuracy, predictability and reliability of clinical signs and symptoms for diagnosing malaria within different endemic settings. Studying patients in endemic communities in the Philippines, we found that fever alone did not discriminate well for malaria. In contrast, a sequential occurrence of fever, chills and/or sweating, or a combination of all three symptoms was a good general predictor of the disease. However, the place of diagnosis and observation (home or clinic), age, and season affected the positive predictive values obtained. Specificities and positive predictive values were greatest (over 80%) for those at most risk--children under 9 years of age in highly endemic communities--and were most reliable when the diagnosis was made at home. Predictive values were also greatest during the season when childhood acute lower respiratory infections in the study area increase. The good predictability of clinical signs and symptoms for high-risk groups suggests that simple protocols can be developed for the management of malaria in endemic areas of the Philippines.