Modelling the impact of mass vaccination against hepatitis B. I. Model formulation and parameter estimation.

A new model of the transmission dynamics of hepatitis B virus in countries with high transmission rates is presented. The model is age and sex stratified, and includes details of host demography. Details of hepatitis B natural history, such as the existence of infectious and non-infectious carriers, are included. The biological assumptions of the model are discussed in full and related to the model's equations. Hepatitis B epidemiological data is reviewed with special emphasis on the estimation of model parameter values from field data. A full set of model parameter values are derived. Possible uses of the model in the assessment of strategies of mass vaccination are discussed.