Correlates of vascular access occlusion in hemodialysis.

Vascular access occlusion results in significant morbidity in hemodialysis patients. Age, diabetes, and synthetic grafts (polytetrafluoroethylene [PTFE]) have been associated with vascular access occlusion in univariate analysis. However, the independent risk associated with each of these factors has not been assessed adjusting for confounding among the factors or by other variables, such as blood pressure (BP) or hematocrit. The influence of serum lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] and fibronectin on vascular access occlusion has not been widely studied despite their theoretical or demonstrated importance in vascular bypass occlusion. In a cohort study of 124 hemodialysis patients monitored for up to 14 months, we reported that Lp(a) values in the upper tertile (> or = 57 mg/dL) were associated with vascular access occlusion risk in white and Hispanic patients, but not in black patients. We now report an expanded analysis of this data set to determine the independent correlates of vascular access occlusion. Variables tested included age, race, gender, diabetes, access type (PTFE v endogenous), treatment time, systolic BP, hematocrit, heparin and erythropoietin dosage, and serum levels of Lp(a) and fibronectin. In univariate analysis, access occlusion was associated with age, diabetes, PTFE, Lp(a) > or = 57 mg/dL, serum fibronectin, and reduced BP. The independent correlates of first access occlusion were determined with the Cox proportional hazards model. Since the overall model included a significant race x Lp(a) interaction term, we stratified by race. In black patients, risk correlated directly with PTFE (P < 0.01) and inversely with systolic BP (P < 0.001), whereas for white and Hispanic patients, age (P = 0.04) and Lp(a) > or = 57 mg/dL (P = 0.05) were associated with increased risk. In summary, vascular access occlusion was found to be associated with a number of factors. Important independent correlates were PTFE and lower BP in black patients, and age and serum Lp(a) > or = 57 mg/dL in white and Hispanic patients. Diabetes mellitus and increased serum fibronectin may contribute additional risk.