A 7-year analysis of anti-Gag (p17 and p24) antibodies in HIV-1-seropositive patients with haemophilia: immunoglobulin G titre and avidity are early predictors of clinical course.

OBJECTIVE: To study the humoral immune response to HIV-1 p17 and p24 Gag proteins longitudinally and assess any prognostic value. DESIGN AND METHODS: Fifteen HIV-1 infected patients with haemophilia were asymptomatic at entry to the study in 1986. Each patient was monitored at 6- to 12-month intervals for up to 7 years for p17 and p24 immunoglobulin (Ig)G titres, p17 IgG avidity, total IgG, p24 antigenaemia and CD4 cell counts. Results were correlated with the clinical course.
RESULTS: Between 1986 and 1993, six of the patients developed CD4 cell counts below 200 x 10(6)/l (AIDS patients) while nine retained counts above this level (asymptomatic patients). All AIDS patients were characterized by declining IgG titres to p17 and p24 from 1986-1987 onwards. A reduction in specific p17 and p24 IgG preceded, by at least 3-4 years, the onset of CD4 cell depletion (< 200 x 10(6)/l). These six patients also had significantly lower p17 IgG avidity than the asymptomatic patients throughout the study.
CONCLUSION: Titres of p17 and p24 IgG appeared to alter in the same manner. A progressive reduction in IgG titres and a low p17 IgG avidity were earlier predictors of disease progression than CD4 cell counts or p24 antigenaemia.