Long term survival and the prognostic factors of advanced breast cancer patients treated with adreno-oophorectomy.

Longer survival data are necessary to elucidate the prognostic factors for survival in advanced breast cancer patients. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed in 159 patients treated with adreno-oophorectomy alone as the first-line treatment for advanced or recurrent breast cancer, between 1972 and 1983. Nine clinical factors included age, menopausal status, estrogen (ER)- and progesterone receptors (PgR) in recurrent tumors, disease-free interval (DFI), number of metastatic organs, performance status, and adjuvant therapy performed. Response was evaluated according to the UICC criteria. A 31% (50/159) response with 16 CR, 34 PR, 48 NC, and 61 PD was obtained. The logistic regression model of the factors showed that ER was the single affecting factor for the response. According to the Cox proportional hazard model, ER and the dominant site of metastasis were indicated to be significant for survival. According to the landmark method, the response significantly correlated to survival. Using the backward elimination procedure of the Cox proportional hazard model in the patient group defined by the landmark time of 3 months after therapy, the survival of the patients with advanced breast cancer was shown to be primarily influenced by the tumor response which was solely affected by ER status, and the dominant site, particularly the presence of liver metastasis, independently modified the survival length. These results may be useful in future studies of total estrogen blockade trials for breast cancer.