Cost-effectiveness analysis in early detection of prostate cancer: an evaluation of six screening strategies in a randomly selected population of 2,400 men.

Based on the findings in an early detection study for prostate cancer [Gustafsson et al.: J Urol 148:1827-1831, 1992] using digital rectal examination (DRE), transrectal ultrasound (TRUS), and prostate-specific antigen (PSA), a cost-effectiveness analysis was performed based on 6 screening strategies, namely: 1) DRE of all individuals; 2) TRUS of all individuals; 3) DRE, TRUS, and PSA analysis followed by reexamination of individuals with PSAs > or = 7 ng/ml; 4) DRE of individuals with PSAs of > or = 4 ng/ml; 5) TRUS of individuals with PSAs of > or = 4 ng/ml; 6) DRE and PSA analysis followed by TRUS on individuals with PSAs > or = 4 ng/ml. The detection rates of prostate cancer using these 6 strategies were 2.4%, 3.3%, 3.6%, 2.0%, 2.6%, and 3.2%, respectively. Except for costs per detected cancer, costs were also calculated per detected small cancer (< or = 1.5 cm) and per detected cancer treated for cure. The cost calculations were based on total costs, i.e., direct plus indirect costs. When the 6 strategies were compared, taking into account the detection rate of cancers treated for cure and cost-effectiveness with respect to cancers treated for cure, strategies 1), 2), 3), and 4) were ruled out as less favorable than the remaining 2 strategies. TRUS of individuals with PSAs > or = 4 ng/ml (strategy 5) was the most cost-effective strategy and detected 80% of the cancers actually treated for cure. Screening with DRE and PSA analysis followed by TRUS of individuals with PSAs > or = 4 ng/ml (strategy 6) had a somewhat lower cost-effectiveness, but detected 90% of the cancers treated for cure.