Predictors of late hospital death in acute myocardial infarction.

Although death from ischemic heart disease occurs in the majority of cases within 24 hr of a new clinical event, study of patients selected by admission to hospital shows a mortality pattern in which most deaths from myocardial infarction happen after the first day. In one hospital, over the last 2 yr, 46% of deaths from infarction have happened from the fourth day onwards. Introduction of a coronary-care unit in this hospital has reduced hospital mortality in patients under 70 yr of age from approximately 21% in 1966-1967 to 13% in 1977-1979, mainly because of improved treatment of arrhythmias. With the decline of cardiac arrhythmias as a mode of dying in hospitals, mechanical complications of shock and cardiac failure now account for up to two-thirds of hospital deaths, with cardiac rupture probably next in importance, accounting for 15%-20% of deaths. Of these 3 mechanisms, death from cardiac failure is most likely to be "late" (from the fourth day onwards). Shock and cardiac failure are directly related to massive destruction of left ventricular myocardium. Therefore, major efforts aimed at reduction of late hospital mortality should be directed towards therapeutic measures, initiated very early after the onset of infarction, which might protect the threatened myocardial tissue and restrict infarct size.