Natural history of coronary heart disease: a study of 586 men surviving an initial acute attack.

A total of 586 men who survived an initial attack of unstable angina or myocardial infarction have been followed for up to 15 years. A policy of early mobilization and sustained risk factor advice was employed. A conservative approach to treatment was adopted during the acute and follow-up stages. Drugs were employed only for symptomatic reasons, and only two patients proceeded to coronary artery bypass surgery. Survival at 5, 10, and 15 years was 80%, 61%, and 43%. Older patients and those with more severe initial attacks had a higher mortality, but these factors did not relate to combined fatal and nonfatal recurrence of myocardial infarction. Of 22 studies reviewed, 18 report a higher mortality than does our study. Four studies, none strictly comparable, report a similar 5-year mortality. A conservative approach to management does not appear to be harmful and may be beneficial.