Prediction of readmission in a cohort of alcoholics: a 2-year follow-up.

A cohort of 1,192 first admissions to metropolitan public alcohol treatment programs was examined after 2 years. With the sample sub-divided by number of readmissions, discriminant analysis based on demographic data, social history, and current drinking behavior provided only modest prediction of group membership (k = .46), but may be sufficient to provide an alerting function for recidivism.