| Literature DB >> 6474552 |
Abstract
This report describes and applies a procedure for estimating the increase in contraceptive prevalence that would have to occur to achieve specified future reductions in a population's fertility. This target-setting methodology is based on a previously developed analytic model for the relationship between fertility and its proximate determinants. The basic aggregate version of the estimation procedure, which is described in detail, requires relatively few input data, but it allows changes in the mix of contraceptive methods in future years. In extended versions of the model, age specificity and adjustments for given trends in the proximate determinants other than contraceptive use are introduced.Keywords: Abortion, Induced; Abortion, Spontaneous; Age Specific Fertility Rate; Birth Rate; Coitus; Contraception; Contraceptive Prevalence; Contraceptive Prevalence Index; Contraceptive Usage; Demographic Factors; Estimation Technics; Family Planning; Fecundity; Fertility Determinants; Fertility--changes; Infertility; Intermediate Variables; Marriage Patterns; Mathematical Model; Measurement; Models, Theoretical; Organization And Administration; Population; Population Dynamics; Population Growth Estimation; Prevalence; Program Design; Programs; Puerperium; Research Methodology; Research Report; Target Population; Total Fertility Rate; Use-effectiveness
Mesh:
Year: 1984 PMID: 6474552
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Stud Fam Plann ISSN: 0039-3665