Model testing in radioligand/receptor interaction by Monte Carlo simulation.

Monte Carlo simulations have been applied for evaluating the reliability of parameter estimates as well as for testing models in radioligand saturation binding experiments. Scatchard analysis was compared to the nonlinear least-square curve fitting method for one-site saturation binding curves. It was found that linear regression analysis from the transformed data in the Scatchard plot yielded generally less accurate parameter estimates than nonlinear regression analysis of untransformed data. The advantage of the nonlinear least-squares curve fitting method was especially pronounced in cases where the scatter and number of data points, as well as the radioligand concentration range, were chosen similar to less optimal experimental conditions. Under such circumstances, several KD and Bmax values derived by Scatchard analysis led to physically impossible negative values whereas the same data analyzed by nonlinear regression yielded reasonable parameter estimates. Furthermore, it was found that for both means of analysis, KD and Bmax correlated positively. In another set of Monte Carlo experiments, saturation binding curves involving two receptor sites were generated and subsequently analyzed according to both a one-site and a two-site model. The confidence with which one is able to distinguish the two-site model from nonlinear least-squares curve fitting was then estimated for optimal, as well as for, less ideal experimental conditions.