Finaba Berete1,2, Stefaan Demarest3, Rana Charafeddine3, Karin De Ridder3, Johan Vanoverloop4, Herman Van Oyen3,5, Olivier Bruyère6, Johan Van der Heyden3. 1. Department of Epidemiology and public health, Sciensano, Juliette Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium. finaba.berete@sciensano.be. 2. Department of Public Health, Epidemiology and Health Economics, University of Liège, Liège, Belgium. finaba.berete@sciensano.be. 3. Department of Epidemiology and public health, Sciensano, Juliette Wytsmanstraat 14, 1050, Brussels, Belgium. 4. Intermutualistic Agency (IMA-AIM), Brussels, Belgium. 5. Department of Public Health and Primary Care, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium. 6. WHO Collaborating Centre for Public Health aspects of musculoskeletal health and ageing, Division of Public Health, Epidemiology and Health Economics, University of Liège, Liège, Belgium.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: This study examines predictors of nursing home admission (NHA) in Belgium in order to contribute to a better planning of the future demand for nursing home (NH) services and health care resources. METHODS: Data derived from the Belgian 2013 health interview survey were linked at individual level with health insurance data (2012 tot 2018). Only community dwelling participants, aged ≥65 years at the time of the survey were included in this study (n = 1930). Participants were followed until NHA, death or end of study period, i.e., December 31, 2018. The risk of NHA was calculated using a competing risk analysis. RESULTS: Over the follow-up period (median 5.29 years), 226 individuals were admitted to a NH and 268 died without admission to a NH. The overall cumulative risk of NHA was 1.4, 5.7 and 13.1% at respectively 1 year, 3 years and end of follow-up period. After multivariable adjustment, higher age, low educational attainment, living alone and use of home care services were significantly associated with a higher risk of NHA. A number of need factors (e.g., history of falls, suffering from urinary incontinence, depression or Alzheimer's disease) were also significantly associated with a higher risk of NHA. On the contrary, being female, having multimorbidity and increased contacts with health care providers were significantly associated with a decreased risk of NHA. Perceived health and limitations were both significant determinants of NHA, but perceived health was an effect modifier on limitations and vice versa. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings pinpoint important predictors of NHA in older adults, and offer possibilities of prevention to avoid or delay NHA for this population. Practical implications include prevention of falls, management of urinary incontinence at home and appropriate and timely management of limitations, depression and Alzheimer's disease. Focus should also be on people living alone to provide more timely contacts with health care providers. Further investigation of predictors of NHA should include contextual factors such as the availability of nursing-home beds, hospital beds, physicians and waiting lists for NHA.
BACKGROUND: This study examines predictors of nursing home admission (NHA) in Belgium in order to contribute to a better planning of the future demand for nursing home (NH) services and health care resources. METHODS: Data derived from the Belgian 2013 health interview survey were linked at individual level with health insurance data (2012 tot 2018). Only community dwelling participants, aged ≥65 years at the time of the survey were included in this study (n = 1930). Participants were followed until NHA, death or end of study period, i.e., December 31, 2018. The risk of NHA was calculated using a competing risk analysis. RESULTS: Over the follow-up period (median 5.29 years), 226 individuals were admitted to a NH and 268 died without admission to a NH. The overall cumulative risk of NHA was 1.4, 5.7 and 13.1% at respectively 1 year, 3 years and end of follow-up period. After multivariable adjustment, higher age, low educational attainment, living alone and use of home care services were significantly associated with a higher risk of NHA. A number of need factors (e.g., history of falls, suffering from urinary incontinence, depression or Alzheimer's disease) were also significantly associated with a higher risk of NHA. On the contrary, being female, having multimorbidity and increased contacts with health care providers were significantly associated with a decreased risk of NHA. Perceived health and limitations were both significant determinants of NHA, but perceived health was an effect modifier on limitations and vice versa. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings pinpoint important predictors of NHA in older adults, and offer possibilities of prevention to avoid or delay NHA for this population. Practical implications include prevention of falls, management of urinary incontinence at home and appropriate and timely management of limitations, depression and Alzheimer's disease. Focus should also be on people living alone to provide more timely contacts with health care providers. Further investigation of predictors of NHA should include contextual factors such as the availability of nursing-home beds, hospital beds, physicians and waiting lists for NHA.
Authors: Jennifer L Wolff; John Mulcahy; David L Roth; Irena S Cenzer; Judith D Kasper; Jin Huang; Kenneth E Covinsky Journal: J Am Geriatr Soc Date: 2018-08-09 Impact factor: 5.562