Literature DB >> 36264906

Natural spatial pattern-When mutual socio-geo distances between cities follow Benford's law.

Katarzyna Kopczewska1, Tomasz Kopczewski1.   

Abstract

Benford's law states that the first digits of numbers in any natural dataset appear with defined frequencies. Pioneering, we use Benford distribution to analyse the geo-location of cities and their population in the majority of countries. We use distances in three dimensions: 1D between the population values, 2D between the cities, based on geo-coordinates of location, 3D between cities' location and population, which jointly reflects separation and mass of urban locations. We get four main findings. Firstly, we empirically show that mutual 3D socio-geo distances between cities and populations in most countries conform with Benford's law, and thus the urban geo-locations have natural spatial distribution. Secondly, we show empirically that the population of cities within countries follows the composition of gamma (1,1) distributions and that 1D distance between populations also conforms to Benford's law. Thirdly, we pioneer in replicating spatial natural distribution-we discover in simulation that a mixture of three pure point-patterns: clustered, ordered and random in proportions 15:3:2 makes the 2D spatial distribution Benford-like. Complex 3D Benford-like patterns can be built upon 2D (spatial) Benford distribution and gamma (1,1) distribution of cities' sizes. This finding enables generating 2D and 3D Benford distributions, which may replicate well the urban settlement. Fourth, we use historical settlement analysis to claim that the geo-location of cities and inhabitants worldwide followed the evolutionary process, resulting in natural Benford-like spatial distribution and to justify our statistical findings. Those results are very novel. This study develops new spatial distribution to simulate natural locations. It shows that evolutionary settlement patterns resulted in the natural location of cities, and historical distortions in urbanisation, even if persistent till now, are being evolutionary corrected.

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Year:  2022        PMID: 36264906      PMCID: PMC9584388          DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0276450

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  PLoS One        ISSN: 1932-6203            Impact factor:   3.752


  7 in total

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Authors:  Miguel Petrere
Journal:  Oecologia       Date:  1985-12       Impact factor: 3.225

2.  The Newcomb-Benford law in its relation to some common distributions.

Authors:  Anton K Formann
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2010-05-07       Impact factor: 3.240

3.  Population distribution, settlement patterns and accessibility across Africa in 2010.

Authors:  Catherine Linard; Marius Gilbert; Robert W Snow; Abdisalan M Noor; Andrew J Tatem
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2012-02-21       Impact factor: 3.240

4.  Benford's Distribution in Complex Networks.

Authors:  Mikołaj Morzy; Tomasz Kajdanowicz; Bolesław K Szymański
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2016-10-17       Impact factor: 4.379

5.  Assessing Conformance with Benford's Law: Goodness-Of-Fit Tests and Simultaneous Confidence Intervals.

Authors:  M Lesperance; W J Reed; M A Stephens; C Tsao; B Wilton
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2016-03-28       Impact factor: 3.240

6.  MetaZipf. A dynamic meta-analysis of city size distributions.

Authors:  Clémentine Cottineau
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2017-08-29       Impact factor: 3.240

7.  Global patterns of city size distributions and their fundamental drivers.

Authors:  Ethan H Decker; Andrew J Kerkhoff; Melanie E Moses
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2007-09-26       Impact factor: 3.240

  7 in total

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