| Literature DB >> 36248006 |
Lu Wang1, Hongyun Li1, Jiheng Hao2, Chao Liu2, Jiyue Wang2, Jingjun Feng2, Zheng Guo3, Yulu Zheng3, Yanbo Zhang4, Hongxiang Li4, Liyong Zhang2, Haifeng Hou1,3.
Abstract
Background: Stroke patients have to face a high risk of recurrence, especially for those with comorbid T2DM, which usually lead to much more serious neurologic damage and an increased likelihood of death. This study aimed to explore determinants of stroke relapse among patients with comorbid T2DM. Materials and methods: We conducted this case-control study nested a prospective cohort of ischemic stroke (IS) with comorbid T2DM. During 36-month follow-up, the second stroke occurred in 84 diabetic IS patients who were allocated into the case group, while 613 patients without recurrence were the controls. We collected the demographic data, behaviors and habits, therapies, and family history at baseline, and measured the variables during follow-up. LASSO and Logistic regression analyses were carried out to develop a prediction model of stroke recurrence. The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was employed to evaluate the performance of the prediction model.Entities:
Keywords: diabetes mellitus; ischemic stroke; nested case-control study; recurrence; risk factors
Year: 2022 PMID: 36248006 PMCID: PMC9562049 DOI: 10.3389/fnagi.2022.999568
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Aging Neurosci ISSN: 1663-4365 Impact factor: 5.702
FIGURE 1Flow chart for study participant selection.
Baseline data of participants.
| Variables | Cases of recurrence | Cases of non-recurrence | t/χ2 |
|
|
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| < 60 | 23 (27.4) | 197 (32.1) | 1.493 | 0.474 |
| 60− | 25 (29.8) | 194 (31.6) | ||
| ≥ 70 | 36 (42.9) | 222 (36.2) | ||
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| Male | 52 (61.9) | 376 (61.3) | 0.010 | 0.920 |
| Female | 32 (38.1) | 237 (38.7) | ||
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| Normal (18.5–23.9) | 34 (40.5) | 232 (37.8) | 0.370 | 0.831 |
| Overweight (24–27.9) | 38 (45.2) | 299 (48.8) | ||
| Obese (≥ 28) | 12 (14.3) | 82 (13.4) | ||
|
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| Yes | 69 (82.1) | 463 (75.5) | 1.788 | 0.181 |
| No | 15 (17.9) | 150 (24.5) | ||
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| Yes | 62 (73.8) | 430 (70.1) | 0.477 | 0.490 |
| No | 22 (26.2) | 183 (29.9) | ||
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| Yes | 61 (72.6) | 375 (61.2) | 4.131 | 0.042 |
| No | 23 (27.4) | 238 (38.8) | ||
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| Yes | 20 (23.8) | 205 (33.4) | 3.136 | 0.077 |
| No | 64 (76.2) | 408 (66.6) | ||
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| Yes | 3 (3.6) | 59 (9.6) | 3.340 | 0.068 |
| No | 81 (96.4) | 554 (90.4) | ||
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| Yes | 1 (1.2) | 29 (4.7) | 1.471 | 0.225 |
| No | 83 (98.8) | 584 (95.3) | ||
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| Yes | 5 (6.0) | 45 (7.3) | 0.214 | 0.644 |
| No | 79 (94.0) | 568 (92.7) | ||
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| Low (0–2) | 497 (81.1) | 72 (85.7) | 1.060 | 0.303 |
| High (3–5) | 116 (18.9) | 12 (14.3) | ||
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| Normal (0) | 20 (23.8) | 128 (20.9) | 3.932 | 0.415 |
| Minor stroke (1–4) | 26 (31.0) | 186 (30.3) | ||
| Moderate stroke (5–15) | 22 (26.2) | 132 (21.5) | ||
| Moderate to severe stroke (16–20) | 16 (19.0) | 13 (2.1) | ||
| Severe stroke (21–42) | 0 (0.0) | 154 (25.1) | ||
|
| 78.29 ± 12.79 | 74.88 ± 10.93 | 2.619 | 0.009 |
BMI, body mass index; CHD, coronary heart disease; NIHSS, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale; mRS, Modified Rankin Scale.
FIGURE 2Biochemical tests. (A) The level of Homocysteine; (B) the level of HDL-C; (C) the level of LDL-Cs; (D) the level of Cholesterol; (E) the level of Triglyceride; (F) the level of FBG; the data shown in the graphs represent the mean ± SD. FBG, fasting blood-glucose; LDL-C, low density lipoprotein cholesterol; HDL-C, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; SD, standard deviations.
Parameters during follow-up.
| Characteristics | Cases of recurrence | Cases of non-recurrence | χ2 |
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| Yes | 74 (88.1) | 513 (83.7) | 1.08 | 0.299 |
| No | 10 (11.9) | 100 (16.3) | ||
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| Often | 65 (77.4) | 554 (90.4) | 12.551 | < 0.001 |
| Lacking | 19 (22.6) | 59 (9.6) | ||
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| Low (0–2) | 76 (90.5) | 568 (92.7) | 0.501 | 0.479 |
| High (3–5) | 8 (9.5) | 45 (7.3) | ||
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| <7.0 mmol/L | 75 (89.3) | 572 (93.3) | 1.798 | 0.180 |
| ≥7.1 mmol/L | 9 (10.7) | 41 (6.7) | ||
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| Yes | 65 (77.4) | 487 (79.4) | 0.191 | 0.662 |
| No | 19 (22.6) | 126 (20.6) | ||
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| Yes | 46 (54.8) | 312 (50.9) | 0.442 | 0.506 |
| No | 38 (45.2) | 301 (49.1) | ||
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| Yes | 31 (36.9) | 143 (23.3) | 7.270 | 0.007 |
| No | 53 (63.1) | 470 (76.7) | ||
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| Yes | 58 (69.0) | 444 (72.4) | 0.420 | 0.517 |
| No | 26 (31.0) | 169 (27.6) | ||
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| Yes | 45 (53.6) | 317 (48.3) | 0.102 | 0.749 |
| No | 39 (46.4) | 296 (51.7) | ||
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| Yes | 48 (57.1) | 298 (48.6) | 2.150 | 0.143 |
| No | 36 (42.9) | 315 (51.4) |
mRS, Modified Rankin Scale; FBG, fasting blood glucose.
* ≥ 3 sessions per week and ≥ 30 min per session, or moderate-intensity exercise.
FIGURE 3LASSO regression analysis for variable selection. (A) LASSO coefficient of 38 variables; (B) optimal penalty coefficient (λ = 0.000584) in LASSO regression identified with the minimum criterion; LASSO, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator; SE, standard error.
FIGURE 4Forest plots of logistic regression. CI, confidence interval.
FIGURE 5Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve.
FIGURE 6Nomogram to predict 36-month risk of stroke recurrence. Draw a line perpendicular from the corresponding axis of each factor until it reaches the top line labeled “Points”. Sum up the number of points for all factors, then draw a line descending from the axis labeled “Total Points” until it intercepts each of the axes to predict 36-month risk of stroke recurrence.