| Literature DB >> 36232126 |
Antonio de Padua Mansur1, Desidério Favarato2, Célia Maria Cassaro Strunz3, Solange Desirée Avakian4, Antonio Carlos Pereira-Barretto1, Edimar Alcides Bocchi5, Luiz Antonio Machado César6.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are Brazil's leading causes of death in women and men. This study analyzed age-adjusted death rate (DRaj) trends from all causes of death (ACD), CVD, ischemic heart disease (IHD), and stroke in women and men aged 35 to 74 years from 1996 to 2019.Entities:
Keywords: all causes of death; cardiovascular diseases; ischemic heart diseases; men; mortality; stroke; women
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 36232126 PMCID: PMC9566207 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph191912827
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 4.614
Adjusted death rates (DRaj) per 100,000 population for the age group 35 to 74 years, the number of Jp, and the mean annual percentage change (AAPC) for all causes of death (ACD), cardiovascular disease (CVD), ischemic heart disease (IHD) and stroke in men and women from 1996 to 2019.
| Cause of Death | Year | DRaj | Year | DRaj | AAPC | 99%CL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACD—0 Jp | 1996 | 1032.2 | 2019 | 721.79 | −1.6 * | −1.8 | −1.5 |
| ACD Men—3 Jp | 1996 | 1327.4 | 2004 | 1268.2 | −0.9 * | −1.6 | −0.1 |
| ACD Men—3 Jp | 2004 | 1268.2 | 2007 | 1071.8 | −5.1 | −11 | 1.1 |
| ACD Men—3 Jp | 2007 | 1071.8 | 2012 | 1077 | 0.2 | −1.7 | 2.1 |
| ACD Men—3 Jp | 2012 | 1077 | 2019 | 930.72 | −1.9 * | −2.7 | −1.2 |
| ACD Women—0 Jp | 1996 | 764.76 | 2019 | 721.79 | −1.6 * | −1.8 | −1.5 |
| CVD—0 Jp | 1996 | 342.85 | 2019 | 199.47 | −2.4 * | −2.5 | −2.2 |
| CVD Men—0 Jp | 1996 | 421.96 | 2019 | 258.03 | −2.1 * | −2.3 | −2 |
| CVD Women—0 Jp | 1996 | 270.84 | 2019 | 148.23 | −2.6 * | −2.8 | −2.4 |
| IHD—0 Jp | 1996 | 111.46 | 2019 | 75.15 | −1.7 * | −1.9 | −1.5 |
| IHD Men—0 Jp | 1996 | 150.23 | 2019 | 105.6 | −1.5 * | −1.7 | −1.3 |
| IHD Women—0 Jp | 1996 | 76.25 | 2019 | 48.29 | −1.9 * | −2.1 | −1.7 |
| Stroke—0 Jp | 1996 | 79.19 | 2019 | 28.62 | −4.3 * | −4.6 | −4.1 |
| Stroke Men—1 Jp | 1996 | 96.02 | 2001 | 71.57 | −5.9 * | −7.6 | −4.1 |
| Stroke Men—1 Jp | 2001 | 71.57 | 2019 | 37.1 | −3.8 * | −4.1 | −3.5 |
| Stroke Women—0 Jp | 1996 | 64.31 | 2019 | 21.39 | −4.6 * | −4.9 | −4.4 |
* p < 0.01. Jp: joinpoint.
Figure 1Adjusted death rates per 100,000 population, and regression data, for the age group 35 to 74 years for all causes of death (ACD), cardiovascular disease (CVD), ischemic heart disease (IHD), and stroke for the entire population from 1996 to 2019.
Figure 2Comparisons of adjusted death rates regression lines per 100,000 population and regression data for all causes of death (ACD), cardiovascular disease (CVD), ischemic heart disease (IHD), and stroke in women and men from 1996 to 2019.
Adjusted death rate (DRaj) per 100,000 population for the age group 35 to 74 years of the general population, in men (M) and women (W), from all causes of death (ACD), cardiovascular diseases (CVD), ischemic heart disease (IHD), and stroke per 100,000 inhabitants in Brazil from 1996 to 2019.
| Year | ACD | ACD Men | ACD Women | M/W ACD | CVD | CVD Men | CVD Women | M/W CVD | IHD | IHD Men | IHD Women | M/W IHD | Stroke | Stroke Men | Stroke Women | M/W Stroke |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996 | 1032.24 | 1327.36 | 764.76 | 1.73 | 345.65 | 430.63 | 271.29 | 1.58 | 112.32 | 152.87 | 76.53 | 1.99 | 80.4 | 98.8 | 64.58 | 1.52 |
| 1997 | 1018.8 | 1310.72 | 754.19 | 1.73 | 332.98 | 417.15 | 259.53 | 1.6 | 108.66 | 148.25 | 73.8 | 2.00 | 75.53 | 94.43 | 59.36 | 1.59 |
| 1998 | 1038.12 | 1335.37 | 768.78 | 1.73 | 329.61 | 414.23 | 255.96 | 1.61 | 108.31 | 147.65 | 73.72 | 2.00 | 71.74 | 90.55 | 55.65 | 1.62 |
| 1999 | 1044.04 | 1341.6 | 774.38 | 1.73 | 320.31 | 402.7 | 248.95 | 1.61 | 105.67 | 144.5 | 71.62 | 2.01 | 66.97 | 84.37 | 52.23 | 1.61 |
| 2000 | 947.05 | 1230.61 | 694.99 | 1.77 | 312.32 | 393.65 | 242.08 | 1.62 | 105.11 | 144.96 | 70.37 | 2.05 | 60.62 | 75.93 | 47.66 | 1.59 |
| 2001 | 950.56 | 1238.86 | 694.44 | 1.78 | 302.6 | 383.43 | 233 | 1.64 | 102.42 | 141.02 | 68.88 | 2.04 | 57.94 | 73.45 | 44.91 | 1.63 |
| 2002 | 950.29 | 1236.21 | 696.25 | 1.77 | 293.14 | 370.97 | 226.47 | 1.63 | 100.14 | 137.56 | 67.75 | 2.03 | 56 | 71.18 | 43.28 | 1.64 |
| 2003 | 956.18 | 1247.73 | 697.18 | 1.78 | 289.91 | 368.81 | 222.43 | 1.65 | 99.28 | 136.91 | 66.83 | 2.04 | 53.43 | 68.18 | 41.09 | 1.65 |
| 2004 | 971.91 | 1268.24 | 708.56 | 1.78 | 290.18 | 369.09 | 222.82 | 1.65 | 99.32 | 137.14 | 66.73 | 2.05 | 51.44 | 65.23 | 39.96 | 1.63 |
| 2005 | 929.7 | 1214.74 | 676.4 | 1.79 | 274.89 | 350.44 | 210.59 | 1.66 | 93.69 | 129.6 | 62.85 | 2.06 | 47.22 | 59.84 | 36.74 | 1.62 |
| 2006 | 882.62 | 1080.01 | 685.65 | 1.57 | 277.62 | 354.03 | 212.69 | 1.66 | 95.37 | 132.41 | 63.65 | 2.08 | 51.01 | 64.56 | 39.75 | 1.62 |
| 2007 | 826.14 | 1071.8 | 605.89 | 1.76 | 271.32 | 347.83 | 206.5 | 1.68 | 93.82 | 130.88 | 62.14 | 2.1 | 48.42 | 61.68 | 37.44 | 1.64 |
| 2008 | 830.36 | 1073.61 | 611.06 | 1.75 | 269.73 | 345.68 | 205.51 | 1.68 | 93.93 | 131.1 | 62.24 | 2.1 | 47.28 | 60.8 | 36.09 | 1.68 |
| 2009 | 811.47 | 1035.07 | 604.95 | 1.71 | 259.86 | 335.4 | 196.15 | 1.7 | 90.51 | 127.3 | 59.22 | 2.14 | 44.57 | 57.61 | 33.87 | 1.7 |
| 2010 | 813.4 | 1066.34 | 590.27 | 1.8 | 255.18 | 331.04 | 191.35 | 1.73 | 90.94 | 127.99 | 59.5 | 2.15 | 42.61 | 55.4 | 32.1 | 1.72 |
| 2011 | 826.19 | 1081.02 | 601.41 | 1.79 | 252 | 326.22 | 189.68 | 1.71 | 90.62 | 127.55 | 59.36 | 2.14 | 41.18 | 53.75 | 30.88 | 1.74 |
| 2012 | 823.73 | 1077.03 | 600.31 | 1.79 | 241.2 | 313.31 | 180.68 | 1.73 | 87.63 | 123.65 | 57.16 | 2.16 | 38.42 | 49.81 | 29.1 | 1.71 |
| 2013 | 795.49 | 1038.66 | 580.19 | 1.79 | 236.63 | 309.23 | 175.93 | 1.75 | 86.26 | 122.73 | 55.51 | 2.21 | 36.23 | 47.48 | 27.05 | 1.75 |
| 2014 | 774.08 | 1011.47 | 563.68 | 1.79 | 228.78 | 300.69 | 168.72 | 1.78 | 83.97 | 119.95 | 53.7 | 2.23 | 33.88 | 44.67 | 25.08 | 1.78 |
| 2015 | 769.28 | 998.84 | 565.55 | 1.76 | 225.53 | 295.14 | 167.47 | 1.76 | 83.8 | 119.39 | 53.89 | 2.21 | 33.17 | 43.45 | 24.83 | 1.74 |
| 2016 | 775.63 | 1009.32 | 568.33 | 1.77 | 227.99 | 300.67 | 167.64 | 1.79 | 84.5 | 120.76 | 54.15 | 2.23 | 32.82 | 43.31 | 24.32 | 1.78 |
| 2017 | 744.67 | 964.96 | 548.76 | 1.75 | 217.06 | 286.06 | 159.79 | 1.79 | 80.98 | 115.86 | 51.79 | 2.23 | 30.58 | 40.54 | 22.52 | 1.8 |
| 2018 | 730.66 | 946.19 | 538.78 | 1.75 | 210.38 | 278.82 | 153.66 | 1.81 | 78.88 | 113.24 | 50.18 | 2.25 | 30.23 | 40.31 | 22.09 | 1.82 |
| 2019 | 721.79 | 930.72 | 535.64 | 1.73 | 205.38 | 273.56 | 149.02 | 1.83 | 77.26 | 111.72 | 48.53 | 2.3 | 29.65 | 39.65 | 21.61 | 1.83 |
| % | −30 * | −30 * | −30 * | 0 | −41 * | −36 * | −45 * | 14 * | −31 * | −27 * | −37 * | 13 * | −63 * | −60 * | −67 * | 17 * |
* p < 0.01; % means the percentage changes in DRaj in 2019 vs. DRaj in 1996; M/W: ratio men/women.
Figure 3Regression lines of the ratio of men and women death rates per 100,000 population, and regression data, for cardiovascular disease (CVD), ischemic heart disease (IHD), and stroke in women (W) and men (M) from 1996 to 2019.
The crude death rate, the percentage change between 1996 and 2019, mean annual percentage change (AAPC), and 99% confidence limits (99%CL) for all causes of death and cardiovascular diseases per 100,000 population.
| All Causes of Death | Cardiovascular Diseases | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age Group | 1996 | 2019 | % Change | AAPC (%) | 99%CL | 1996 | 2019 | % Change | AAPC (%) | 99%CL | ||
| Total population | ||||||||||||
| 35–39 | 300.42 | 197.93 | −34 | −1.8 * | −2.1 | −1.5 | 45.03 | 25.92 | −47 | −2.4 * | −2.6 | −2.1 |
| 40–44 | 396.28 | 256.92 | −35 | −1.9 * | −2.1 | −1.7 | 84.67 | 46.59 | −47 | −2.7 * | −3.5 | −1.8 |
| 45–49 | 540.39 | 366.81 | −32 | −1.6 * | −2.0 | −1.3 | 145.27 | 82.49 | −46 | −2.4 * | −2.6 | −2.2 |
| 50–54 | 770.39 | 549.14 | −29 | −1.5 * | −1.8 | −1.1 | 238.53 | 140.98 | −43 | −2.2 * | −2.8 | −1.5 |
| 55–59 | 1104.86 | 789.71 | −29 | −1.5 * | −1.8 | −1.2 | 376.47 | 216.72 | −44 | −2.4 * | −2.7 | −2.2 |
| 60–64 | 1708.75 | 1247.23 | −27 | −1.3 * | −1.5 | −1.1 | 623.51 | 371.07 | −41 | −2.1 * | −2.2 | −2.0 |
| 65–69 | 2564.01 | 1885.53 | −26 | −1.4 * | −1.6 | −1.3 | 961.78 | 584.24 | −39 | −2.2 * | −2.6 | −1.8 |
| 70–74 | 3990.69 | 2948.01 | −26 | −1.3 * | −1.7 | −0.9 | 1548.07 | 942.15 | −40 | −2.0 * | −2.4 | −1.7 |
| Men | ||||||||||||
| 35–39 | 436.05 | 274.91 | −37 | −1.9 * | −2.3 | −1.5 | 53.95 | 31.93 | −41 | −2.3 * | −2.7 | −1.9 |
| 40–44 | 551.57 | 345.64 | −37 | −2.0 * | −2.2 | −1.8 | 104.83 | 58.50 | −44 | −2.6 * | −3.4 | −1.7 |
| 45–49 | 719.94 | 489.43 | −32 | −1.6 * | −2.0 | −1.3 | 179.69 | 104.09 | −42 | −2.4 * | −2.7 | −2.1 |
| 50–54 | 1002.23 | 736.42 | −27 | −1.3 * | −1.7 | −0.9 | 298.70 | 189.84 | −36 | −1.9 * | −2.5 | −1.4 |
| 55–59 | 1411.88 | 1052.21 | −25 | −1.3 * | −1.6 | −1.0 | 475.70 | 295.14 | −38 | −2.1 * | −2.4 | −1.8 |
| 60–64 | 2173.83 | 1651.83 | −24 | −1.1 * | −1.3 | −0.9 | 788.36 | 506.34 | −36 | −1.8 * | −1.9 | −1.6 |
| 65–69 | 3240.26 | 2470.58 | −24 | −1.3 * | −1.4 | −1.1 | 1195.81 | 779.52 | −35 | −1.8 * | −1.9 | −1.7 |
| 70–74 | 5060.29 | 3858.00 | −24 | −1.2 * | −1.6 | −0.7 | 1907.36 | 1249.21 | −35 | −1.7 * | −1.9 | −1.5 |
| Women | ||||||||||||
| 35–39 | 171.13 | 122.89 | −28 | −1.4 * | −1.6 | −1.2 | 36.53 | 20.06 | −45 | −2.5 * | −2.9 | −2.2 |
| 40–44 | 248.24 | 173.18 | −30 | −1.7 * | −2.3 | −1.1 | 65.45 | 35.35 | −46 | −2.6 * | −3.7 | −1.5 |
| 45–49 | 369.21 | 254.79 | −31 | −1.5 * | −1.7 | −1.3 | 112.45 | 62.76 | −44 | −2.5 * | −2.6 | −2.4 |
| 50–54 | 551.42 | 381.76 | −31 | −1.6 * | −2.0 | −1.2 | 181.71 | 97.33 | −46 | −2.5 * | −3.4 | −1.5 |
| 55–59 | 821.84 | 561.60 | −32 | −1.7 * | −2.0 | −1.4 | 285.00 | 148.58 | −48 | −2.8 * | −3.1 | −2.5 |
| 60–64 | 1295.04 | 907.28 | −30 | −1.4 * | −1.6 | −1.3 | 476.87 | 257.42 | −46 | −2.5 * | −2.6 | −2.4 |
| 65–69 | 1990.76 | 1415.45 | −29 | −1.6 * | −1.7 | −1.4 | 763.39 | 427.35 | −44 | −2.5 * | −2.8 | −2.3 |
| 70–74 | 3141.90 | 2266.47 | −28 | −1.3 * | −1.9 | −0.8 | 1262.95 | 712.18 | −44 | −2.3 * | −2.7 | −1.9 |
* p < 0.01; % change means the percentage changes in DRaj in 2019 vs. DRaj in 1996.
The crude death rate, the percentage change between 1996 and 2019, mean annual percentage change (AAPC), and 99% confidence limits (99%CL) due to ischemic heart diseases and cerebrovascular diseases per 100,000 population.
| Ischemic Heart Disease | Stroke | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age Group | 1996 | 2019 | % Change | AAPC | CI 99% | 1996 | 2019 | % Change | AAPC | CI 99% | ||
| (%) | (%) | |||||||||||
| Total Population | ||||||||||||
| 35–39 | 12.58 | 8.08 | −36 | −1.7 * | −2.4 | −1.1 | 6.29 | 1.96 | −69 | −5.0 * | −5.6 | −4.4 |
| 40–44 | 25.4 | 16.42 | −35 | −2.1 * | −2.9 | −1.3 | 13.83 | 3.58 | −74 | −5.5 * | −5.9 | −5 |
| 45–49 | 47 | 30.49 | −35 | −1.9 * | −2.4 | −1.4 | 27.92 | 8.11 | −71 | −5.4 * | −5.8 | −5.1 |
| 50–54 | 79.16 | 56.13 | −29 | −1.6 * | −1.7 | −1.4 | 49.95 | 15.14 | −70 | −5.3 * | −5.7 | −5 |
| 55–59 | 128.75 | 88.71 | −31 | −1.7 * | −1.9 | −1.4 | 83.49 | 25.45 | −70 | −5.0 * | −5.3 | −4.8 |
| 60–64 | 214.58 | 149.71 | −30 | −1.4 * | −1.5 | −1.2 | 142.88 | 50.89 | −64 | −4.3 * | −4.6 | −4.1 |
| 65–69 | 316.39 | 219.49 | −31 | −1.5 * | −1.6 | −1.4 | 237.74 | 95.28 | −60 | −3.9 * | −4.1 | −3.6 |
| 70–74 | 474.08 | 325.67 | −31 | −1.6 * | −1.8 | −1.3 | 413.86 | 176.15 | −57 | −3.4 * | −3.6 | −3.1 |
| Men | ||||||||||||
| 35–39 | 17.88 | 11.9 | −33 | −1.8 * | −2.4 | −1.1 | 6.72 | 1.97 | −71 | −5.1 * | −6.2 | −4 |
| 40–44 | 37.26 | 23.8 | −36 | −2.1 * | −2.9 | −1.4 | 15.84 | 3.93 | −75 | −5.7 * | −6.4 | −4.9 |
| 45–49 | 66.99 | 44.11 | −34 | −1.7 * | −2.1 | −1.3 | 31.64 | 9.39 | −70 | −5.1 * | −5.7 | −4.6 |
| 50–54 | 114.01 | 84.76 | −26 | −1.4 * | −1.6 | −1.2 | 58.44 | 18.8 | −68 | −4.9 * | −5.9 | −3.8 |
| 55–59 | 178.91 | 130.63 | −27 | −1.5 * | −1.8 | −1.2 | 103.29 | 34.39 | −67 | −5.0 * | −6 | −4 |
| 60–64 | 292.15 | 220.01 | −25 | −1.0 * | −1.2 | −0.9 | 178.53 | 69.16 | −61 | −4.0 * | −5 | −3 |
| 65–69 | 419.01 | 311.17 | −26 | −1.2 * | −1.3 | −1.1 | 297.89 | 130.9 | −56 | −3.6 * | −4.6 | −2.7 |
| 70–74 | 619 | 458.82 | −26 | −1.2 * | −1.5 | −0.9 | 515.64 | 240.4 | −53 | −3.4 * | −3.9 | −3 |
| Women | ||||||||||||
| 35–39 | 7.53 | 4.35 | −42 | −1.4 * | −1.8 | −1 | 5.88 | 1.95 | −67 | −5.6 * | −6.5 | −4.7 |
| 40–44 | 14.09 | 9.46 | −33 | −2.0 * | −3.1 | −0.9 | 11.91 | 3.25 | −73 | −5.3 * | −7.1 | −3.5 |
| 45–49 | 27.94 | 18.05 | −35 | −1.6 * | −1.9 | −1.4 | 24.38 | 6.94 | −72 | −5.8 * | −6.7 | −5 |
| 50–54 | 46.25 | 30.54 | −34 | −1.8 * | −2.2 | −1.3 | 41.93 | 11.88 | −72 | −5.3 * | −6.4 | −4.2 |
| 55–59 | 82.52 | 52.28 | −37 | −1.8 * | −2 | −1.6 | 65.23 | 17.68 | −73 | −5.5 * | −6.4 | −4.7 |
| 60–64 | 145.58 | 90.64 | −38 | −1.9 * | −2 | −1.7 | 111.17 | 35.54 | −68 | −4.7 * | −5.7 | −3.7 |
| 65–69 | 229.4 | 145.83 | −36 | −1.9 * | −2 | −1.8 | 186.74 | 66.66 | −64 | −4.6 * | −5.7 | −3.5 |
| 70–74 | 359.08 | 225.95 | −37 | −1.9 * | −2 | −1.8 | 333.09 | 128.04 | −62 | −4.1 * | −4.7 | −3.5 |
* p < 0.01; % change means the percentage changes in DRaj in 2019 vs. DRaj in 1996.