Ying-Mei Zheng1, Jing Chen2, Min Zhang3, Zeng-Jie Wu4, Guo-Zhang Tang5, Yue Zhang4, Cheng Dong6. 1. Health Management Center, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China. 2. Deapartment of Neurology, Jinan Central Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, China. 3. Department of Pathology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China. 4. Department of Radiology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China. 5. Department of Cardiac Ultrasound, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China. 6. Department of Radiology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China. chengdong@qdu.edu.cn.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: To construct and validate a contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT)-based radiomics nomogram to predict Ki-67 expression level in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). METHODS: A total of 217 patients with HNSCC who underwent CECT scans and immunohistochemical examination of their Ki-67 index were enrolled in this study. The patients were divided into a training set (n = 140; Ki-67: ≥ 50% [n = 72] and < 50% [n = 68]) and an external test set (n = 77; Ki-67: ≥ 50% [n = 38] and < 50% [n = 39]). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method was used to select key features for a CECT-image-based radiomics signature and a radiomics score (Rad-score) was calculated. A clinical model was established using clinical data and CT findings. The independent clinical factors and Rad-score were then combined to construct a radiomics nomogram. The performance characteristics of the Rad-score, clinical model, and nomogram were assessed using ROCs and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: Twenty features were finally selected to construct the Rad-score. The radiomics nomogram incorporating the Rad-score, low histological grade, and lymphatic spread showed higher predictive value for the Ki-67 index (≥ 50% vs. < 50%) than the clinical model on both the training (AUC, 0.919 vs. 0.648, p < 0.001) and test (AUC, 0.832 vs. 0.685, p = 0.030) sets. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the radiomics nomogram was more clinically useful than the clinical model. CONCLUSIONS: A CECT-based radiomics nomogram was constructed to predict the expression of Ki-67 in HNSCC. This model showed favorable predictive efficacy and might be useful for prognostic evaluation and clinical decision-making in patients with HNSCC. KEY POINTS: • Accurate pre-treatment prediction of Ki-67 index in HNSCC is crucial. • A CECT-based radiomics nomogram showed favorable predictive efficacy in estimation of Ki-67 expression status in HNSCC patients.
OBJECTIVES: To construct and validate a contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT)-based radiomics nomogram to predict Ki-67 expression level in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). METHODS: A total of 217 patients with HNSCC who underwent CECT scans and immunohistochemical examination of their Ki-67 index were enrolled in this study. The patients were divided into a training set (n = 140; Ki-67: ≥ 50% [n = 72] and < 50% [n = 68]) and an external test set (n = 77; Ki-67: ≥ 50% [n = 38] and < 50% [n = 39]). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method was used to select key features for a CECT-image-based radiomics signature and a radiomics score (Rad-score) was calculated. A clinical model was established using clinical data and CT findings. The independent clinical factors and Rad-score were then combined to construct a radiomics nomogram. The performance characteristics of the Rad-score, clinical model, and nomogram were assessed using ROCs and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: Twenty features were finally selected to construct the Rad-score. The radiomics nomogram incorporating the Rad-score, low histological grade, and lymphatic spread showed higher predictive value for the Ki-67 index (≥ 50% vs. < 50%) than the clinical model on both the training (AUC, 0.919 vs. 0.648, p < 0.001) and test (AUC, 0.832 vs. 0.685, p = 0.030) sets. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the radiomics nomogram was more clinically useful than the clinical model. CONCLUSIONS: A CECT-based radiomics nomogram was constructed to predict the expression of Ki-67 in HNSCC. This model showed favorable predictive efficacy and might be useful for prognostic evaluation and clinical decision-making in patients with HNSCC. KEY POINTS: • Accurate pre-treatment prediction of Ki-67 index in HNSCC is crucial. • A CECT-based radiomics nomogram showed favorable predictive efficacy in estimation of Ki-67 expression status in HNSCC patients.
Authors: A Ch Lazaris; A Rigopoulou; S Tseleni-Balafouta; N Kavantzas; I Thimara; H S Zorzos; C A Eutychiadis; K Petraki; D Kandiloros; P Davaris Journal: Histol Histopathol Date: 2002-01 Impact factor: 2.303