Asgher Ali1, Mudassar Imran2, Sultan Sial1, Adnan Khan1. 1. Department of Mathematics, Lahore University of Management Sciences, Lahore, Pakistan. 2. Department of Mathematics and Sciences, Ajman University, Ajman, UAE.
Abstract
Mathematical models can be very useful in determining efficient and successful antibiotic dosing regimens. In this study, we consider the problem of determining optimal antibiotic dosing when bacteria resistant to antibiotics are present in addition to susceptible bacteria. We consider two different models of resistance acquisition, both involve the horizontal transfer (HGT) of resistant genes from a resistant to a susceptible strain. Modeling studies on HGT and study of optimal antibiotic dosing protocols in the literature, have been mostly focused on transfer of resistant genes via conjugation, with few studies on HGT via transformation. We propose a deterministic ODE based model of resistance acquisition via transformation, followed by a model that takes into account resistance acquisition through conjugation. Using a numerical optimization algorithm to determine the 'best' antibiotic dosing strategy. To illustrate our optimization method, we first consider optimal dosing when all the bacteria are susceptible to the antibiotic. We then consider the case where resistant strains are present. We note that constant periodic dosing may not always succeed in eradicating the bacteria while an optimal dosing protocol is successful. We determine the optimal dosing strategy in two different scenarios: one where the total bacterial population is to be minimized, and the next where we want to minimize the bacterial population at the end of the dosing period. We observe that the optimal strategy in the first case involves high initial dosing with dose tapering as time goes on, while in the second case, the optimal dosing strategy is to increase the dosing at the beginning of the dose cycles followed by a possible dose tapering. As a follow up study we intend to look at models where 'persistent' bacteria may be present in additional to resistant and susceptible strain and determine the optimal dosing protocols in this case.
Mathematical models can be very useful in determining efficient and successful antibiotic dosing regimens. In this study, we consider the problem of determining optimal antibiotic dosing when bacteria resistant to antibiotics are present in addition to susceptible bacteria. We consider two different models of resistance acquisition, both involve the horizontal transfer (HGT) of resistant genes from a resistant to a susceptible strain. Modeling studies on HGT and study of optimal antibiotic dosing protocols in the literature, have been mostly focused on transfer of resistant genes via conjugation, with few studies on HGT via transformation. We propose a deterministic ODE based model of resistance acquisition via transformation, followed by a model that takes into account resistance acquisition through conjugation. Using a numerical optimization algorithm to determine the 'best' antibiotic dosing strategy. To illustrate our optimization method, we first consider optimal dosing when all the bacteria are susceptible to the antibiotic. We then consider the case where resistant strains are present. We note that constant periodic dosing may not always succeed in eradicating the bacteria while an optimal dosing protocol is successful. We determine the optimal dosing strategy in two different scenarios: one where the total bacterial population is to be minimized, and the next where we want to minimize the bacterial population at the end of the dosing period. We observe that the optimal strategy in the first case involves high initial dosing with dose tapering as time goes on, while in the second case, the optimal dosing strategy is to increase the dosing at the beginning of the dose cycles followed by a possible dose tapering. As a follow up study we intend to look at models where 'persistent' bacteria may be present in additional to resistant and susceptible strain and determine the optimal dosing protocols in this case.
Misuse and overuse of antibiotics has led to bacteria developing resistance to antibiotics, and this has resulted in complications in treatment and even treatment failures. Antibiotic resistance is rising to very high levels throughout the world and is now a major public health challenge, with new resistance mechanisms emerging and spreading globally. According to the CDC, more than 2.8 million antibiotic-resistant infections occur every year in the US and account for more than 35,000 deaths. In the EU, antibiotic resistance causes more than 25,000 deaths every year, and there have been estimates attributing more than 700,000 deaths globally to antibiotic resistance [1-3].Antibiotic resistance occurs when bacteria stop responding to antibiotic agents at specific concentration levels and are able to proliferate in the presence of the drug at these concentrations. While antibiotic resistance was reported very soon after the large scale use of antibiotics, this was ameliorated by the discovery of newer and more effective antibiotic agents; however, the development of new antibiotics has been outpaced by the acquisition of resistance to existing drugs by bacteria [4-6].Bacteria can become resistant to antibiotics either by spontaneous mutations in their DNA (De-Novo resistance) or through the transfer of genetic material from drug-resistant bacteria, horizontal gene transfer (HGT). There are several mechanisms that give rise to resistance, and these include the production of enzymes that cause drug inactivation, alteration of the target sites of the drug, activation of efflux pumps that remove the drug from the bacterium, and the alteration of cell wall proteins preventing the uptake of the drug. The overuse and misuse of antibiotics provide selection pressure favoring the resistant strains causing these to proliferate. The well-known mechanisms for horizontal gene transfer include conjugation, transduction, and transformation. Conjugation or Bacterial conjugation involves the transfer of DNA via a plasmid during cell to cell contact. In the process of transduction, DNA is moved from one bacterium to another by a phage (virus), and in transformation, foreign genetic material is taken up and expressed by a bacterium. It has been well established in the literature [7] that HGT is the predominant mechanism for resistance acquisition; specifically, conjugation and transformation have been identified as primary pathways by which resistance may be transferred from a resistant strain to a susceptible one [8-12].Several mechanistic models have been proposed in the literature to investigate the acquisition of antimicrobial resistance through HGT. These include models of HGT via conjugation, as well as via transformation. D’agata et al. presented an ODE based single and multidrug-resistant strain model with resistance acquired through conjugation which was modeled using a mass action law [13]. They included the innate immune response in their model, the effects of which were modeled using a Monod function. They studied that the the relationship between antimicrobial therapies immune response in preventing the proliferation of the resistant strains. Stekel et al. present a model of resistance via conjugation in a natural environment [14]. The model is based on a system of two ODEs and with conjugation modeled via a mass action term. They show that the spread of resistance is very sensitive to the rates of gene transfer and the antibiotic inflow. Imran et al. study the effects of different dosing regimens on a population of susceptible and resistant bacteria in a chemostat setting using a series of ODE based models [15]. Resistance may be acquired via bacterial conjugation which is modelled by a mass action term, effects of the antibiotic treatment are modeled by a pharmacodynamic function. The derive conditions for treatment success based on the model parameters. Svara et al. present a model to study selection pressure which favors the plasmid carried resistant genes in the presence of an antibiotic [16]. Using a system of ODEs to model the dynamics they show that the dosage and the inter-dose time of the antibiotic are critical in determining the selection for plasmid carried resistance. Torella et al. study the synergistic effects of multiple antibiotic agents and their efficacy, considering drug interaction [17]. They consider a susceptible bacterial strain, strains resistant to one particular antibiotic and strains that are resistant to both. The dynamics are modeled by a system of ODEs with the resistance to either strain acquired de novo. They include effects of drug interaction via a function representing the effective doses of the antibiotic felt by the susceptible strain. They show that greater synergy between the antibiotic may not always be beneficial and under certain conditions drug antagonism may be more advantageous in preventing multi drug resistance. Johnson et al. look into dynamics that maintain natural competence (i.e. the ability to transform by uptake of DNA) and transformation in a bacterial population [17]. Their ODE based model incorporates compartments for bacteria that do and do not express competence and transformed bacteria, the process of transformation is modeled by a mass action law [18]. They show that selection pressure can help maintain competence in the population, this is further augmented if there is in addition selection pressure favoring transformants. Lu et al. explain the experimentally observed rates of natural transformation in the presence of motile and non-motile strains of Azotobacter vinelandii using a simple model of interaction between the competent cells and the transforming DNA based on Levin’s mass action term [11].The use of mathematical models to study antibiotic resistance and successful treatment protocols is an area of active research. The conventional treatment protocols involved periodic dosing with doses of constant strength, this, however, may not be the optimal strategy. Mathematical models have been used to identify successful strategies for antibiotic dosing. However, there does not seem to be a consensus on the issue. Several studies have recommended a hit-hard and fast strategy. This involves high early doses of the antibiotic [13, 19, 20], however other studies have shown that this may not always be optimal [21]. Some studies recommend a pulsed and tapered strategy, but other studies show that resistant strains may persist under such a regimen. Merideth et al. recommend dosing strategies be adopted in light of a pathogen-antibiotic interaction metric, based on the time a bacterial population takes to return to its initial density after a single dose of the antibiotic [21]. Bonhoeffer et al. investigated the use of single and multiple antibiotics. In the case of a single antibiotic, they find that high initial dosing is a better strategy [22]. Hoyle et al. study single and multiple fixed-dose regimens as well as tapered dosing [23]. They conclude that a single large dose is never optimal, while the optimal dosing when we also want to minimize the total antibiotic quantity follows a tapering pattern; in a follow-up work [24] they find similar results and also validate their findings using biological experiments. Penna-Miller et al. use optimal control to study dosing strategies in the case where commensal and pathogenic bacteria are present; they find that an ‘intermittent’ or pulsed dosing is optimal [25].In this study, we consider the problem of determining the optimal antibiotic dosing when both susceptible and resistant bacteria are present. The goal is to find the dosing regimen that is successful in eradicating the bacterial population while keeping the total administered antibiotic at a minimum. Resistant strains are assumed to have a higher minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC). This is included in our models in the pharmacodynamic term as described in detail in the sections below. We now briefly describe the structure of the paper.In section (2), we describe a numerical optimal control scheme, the direct gradient descent method (DGDM); we will use this to determine the optimal antibiotic dosing. We then consider a bacterial growth model in a chemostat setting proposed in [26] and use the DGDM to obtain a discrete optimal dosing schedule. We compare our results to those obtained using a quasi-optimal strategy in the literature.In the next section (3), we propose a model for resistance acquisition via transformation. This is an HGT mechanism, where DNA fragments containing the resistant genes are taken up and incorporated in the chromosome of susceptible bacteria. We incorporate the uptake of antibiotic by the bacteria in our model. We first consider discrete doses of antibiotics applied periodically, using the killing rates of the susceptible and resistant strains as bifurcation parameters. We show that the system exhibits bistability, i.e., a periodic dosing regimen may not be successful. We then formulate the dosing problem as an optimal control problem, and we want to minimize the bacterial population while keeping the total antibiotic quantity low. Using the DGDM, we determine a discrete optimal dosing regimen. We show that the optimal treatment is successful in eradicating the bacteria for a wide range of scenarios, including different antibiotic killing rates and different relative costs of the antibiotic dosing. Finally, we consider a slightly different functional in our optimal control setup; here, we are interested in minimizing the bacterial population at the end of our simulated time while keeping the total antibiotic quantity low. We note that the initial dosing schedule is somewhat different in this case, followed by tapered dosing.In section (4), we determine the optimal dosing for the case where HGT occurs via conjugation; we use a model presented in [15]. We set up the optimal control problem and use the DGDM to determine the best antibiotic dosing strategy. We again consider two different functionals, and note that we obtain the qualitatively similar result as in the case where resistance acquisition is via transformation. We also compare our results to those obtained in [26], who determined a quasi-optimal strategy for this case, and note that while our method also suggests a tapered dosing strategy, the total antibiotic needed is much lower.In the last section (5), we summarize the study and present the main findings of this work.
2 Optimal antibiotic dosing using the direct gradient descent method
We give a brief overview of our numerical optimization scheme, the direct gradient descent method (DGDM). We then apply it to a simple antibiotic dosing problem to benchmark the method. Using the method, we determine a discrete optimal strategy and compare the results with those obtained using a quasi-optimal strategy proposed in the literature [26]. In subsequent sections, we will use the DGDM to find the best dosing strategy when resistant bacteria are also present.
2.1 Direct gradient descent algorithm
We consider the problem of minimizing a cost functional, subject to differential equation constraints. Mathematically, the functional to be minimized is of the form
subject to differential equation conditions
with initial conditions
We now give a description of our numerical optimization scheme, the DGDM. The gradient (functional derivative) ∇F(u) of a functional F can be found from the Taylor series
where h is a permissible variation about u and <, > is the inner product in the space being used. Different inner products for the same set of vectors will result in different gradients with different numerical properties. The gradient ∇F(u) points in the direction of greatest increase of F in the inner product space in which ∇F(u) was calculated.Zizza [27] and Gigena [28] discussed the minimization of a functional subject to constraints by taking the exterior derivative of the functional and of the constraints. The wedge product of the exterior derivative gives a gradient in the independent variable that is set equal to zero and then solved. In our case, we use automatic differentiation to find the gradient with respect to the control variable and construct all other state variables from the control, as described below. This avoids the Lagrange multiplier as well as the explicit construction of the gradient in the space of only the control.We consider the state variables as functions of the control variable u. That allows us to consider the system of the control and state variables as defining a manifold with local coordinates u. The numerical problem is then done on a grid with equally space nodes on the interval [a, b]. The algorithm is given below.For each optimization step;values of the state variables s are found numerically at each nodethese values are used in the numerical analogue of the functional Fthe gradient ∇F(u) is calculated the value of the functional is reduced by replacing u by u−λ∇F(u).process continues until a convergence criterion is met.
2.2 A discrete optimal dosing strategy for susceptible bacteria
We consider a chemostat-based model of bacterial growth, introducing antibiotic dosing through a pharmacodynamic term; this was proposed by [15]. The model consists of three different compartments, representing the nutrient, antibiotic, and bacteria concentrations.Let S denote the nutrient concentration, A the antibiotic concentration, u the susceptible bacterial population with no drug resistance. The model equations are
Here the first equation shows the change in nutrient concentration. The first term d
S0 represents the flux of nutrients into the chemostat, −d
S and G(S)u are the washout and removal of nutrients by the bacteria, respectively. Similarly, the only way for antibiotics to deplete is through consumption by susceptible bacteria and via washout. The time-dependent function A0(t) shows the antibiotic dosing strategy that is being employed. The susceptible bacterial population is changing due to the nutrient-dependent growth term , constant dilution with rate d and killing of the susceptible bacteria due to the antibiotic, represented by the term which is assumed to be dependent on nutrient as well as and antibiotic concentration.The problem we consider is designing a dosing strategy that minimizes the bacterial population while keeping the total cost of antibiotic dosing low at the same time. Mathematically, the optimization problem is to minimize the objective functional
subject to ODE system constraints (1).We use Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle from the theory of optimal control to determine continuous and quasi-continuous optimal dosing strategies. In the case of quasi-continuous optimal control problem, we consider the A0(t) = A
δ(t) where A is the maximum concentration of the antibiotic and δ(t) is a function which determines the antibiotic influx. For a detailed description of the numerical algorithm, we would refer to [26]. Next, we look at determining a discrete optimal dosing protocol using the DGDM. The underlying optimization problem is to minimize (2) subject to constraints (1). The dosing applied in this case is consists of discrete periodic doses given by A0(t) = ∑
A
δ(t−iP). This means that the antibiotic concentration A is applied periodically with a period P. For simulation purposes, we considered the case when P = 5 hours and the total number of cycles are 6. We compare the results obtained by continuous, quasi-continuous and discrete techniques in Fig 1.
Fig 1
Optimal dosing strategies and bacterial population.
The total antibiotic used at the optimal dosing is given in the Table 1.
Table 1
Total antibiotic consumption.
Numerical Scheme
∫t0tfA0(t)dt
Optimal Continuous Dosing
10.5044
Optimal Quasi Continuous Dosing
7.3541
Optimal Discrete Dosing
1.8520
We note that while all these methods lead to bacterial eradication, the discrete strategy does so at a much lower total antibiotic usage.
3 Modeling antibiotic resistance via transformation
Transformation is a horizontal gene transfer mechanism, where foreign DNA is taken up and incorporated by bacteria from the environment [12]. Within the body, cell-free DNA (cf-DNA) can be introduced into the blood due to cell death, active secretions, phagocytosis, autophagocytosis, etc. cf-DNA is distributed throughout the organism, and all cells release cf-DNA during cell division.In this section, we propose a model of bacterial growth in a chemostat setting, where both resistant and susceptible bacteria are present; we also include the introduction of antibiotics in the system. The mechanism of resistance acquisition is horizontal gene transfer through transformation. Cell-free DNA can persist after disinfection and promote gene transfer in the absence of physical and temporal contact between a donor and recipient bacteria. Natural transformation is the process of physiological uptake of foreign DNA by ‘competent bacteria,’ and its genomic integration [29]. Competence is the ability of bacteria to take up extracellular DNA from the environment. Approximately 80 bacterial species, including human and animal pathogens, and soil bacteria, in their lifetime, are able to acquire the competence in a natural environment [30] and it has been posited that around 10 to 20% of a bacterial population may be competent [31].We now define the state variables in the model. S represents the nutrient concentration present in the chemostat, A is the antibiotic concentration, x the amount of cf-DNA present in the chemostat, and u, v are the susceptible and resistant bacterial populations, respectively.We hypothesize that the natural transformation happens through the uptake of cf-DNA from resistant strains by the competent bacterial population. In previous work on HGT via transformation, Johnson et al. [30] used the mass action dynamics to illustrate the transformation mechanism where the competent bacteria takes up the DNA interacting with the transformant bacterial population. Lu [11] proposed a mathematical model to explain the natural transformation dynamics in azotobacter vinelandii. The transformation mechanism used is based on Levin’s mass action dynamics [18] and transformation rates for the tetracycline-resistant gene were estimated by taking into account the motile/non-motile nature of the bacterial population. Our work extends these models by including more of the process pathways in the model, in particular we incorporate a compartment for the cell free DNA density along with the resistant and susceptible bacterial populations which we hope better captures the dynamics, moreover we have set our model in a chemostat setting, as a proxy for a more complex organism, a detailed description of the model is given below
where , , , , and .Here, G1(S) and G2(S) are the nutrient-dependent growth rates of the susceptible and resistant bacteria, and K1(S, A) and K2(S, A) are the antibiotic killing rates, which we have assumed to depend on the limiting nutrient and antibiotic levels, as has been done in the literature [32, 33].The primary mechanism for nutrient concentration change includes a constant nutrient flux into the reservoir with a constant dilution of the nutrient and nutrient-dependent bacterial population growth.The antibiotic concentration changes with the input of time dependent dosing given by A0(t) = ∑
A
δ(t−iP) with a period P over the time interval [t0, t]. The antibiotic is consumed by the susceptible and resistant bacteria and its removal is represented by the term −f(A)(u+ v).The third additional state variable x changes with the influx of cf-DNA from dead resistant bacteria. This depends on the killing rate K2(S, A) which results in the release of free circulating DNA. The term −d
x shows the constant dilution of the cf-DNA from the chemostat with dilution rate d. The term αxu represents the phenomena of transformation where the cell-free DNA is taken up and incorporated by the susceptible bacteria resulting in resistance acquisition.The fourth equation shows the change in susceptible bacterial population density. This includes the nutrient-dependent influx, constant dilution with rate d, and nutrient and antibiotic-dependent killing of the susceptible bacterial population. The last term −k3
xu represents the removal of susceptible bacteria due to interaction with and incorporation of the cf-DNA leading to resistance.The last equation represents the change in resistant bacterial density where G2(S)v is the growth of resistant bacteria at a nutrient-dependent rate. The terms −d+
v, −K2(S, A)v show the removal of resistant bacteria due to washout and the effect of the antibiotic, respectively.
3.1 Periodic dosing treatment
We now consider antibiotic being given at fixed dosage periodically. We analyze the system and determine the steady states. We show that both sterile i.e. bacteria free steady state and infection states, those with the bacterial population surviving exist. We then find conditions for stability and the long term behavior of the system.The parameters for the models are attached in Table 2.
Table 2
Description of the parameters used for models.
Parameters
Description
Values
S0
Substrate feed concentration
0.45
[15, 26]
Am
Maximum antibiotic dosage concentration
3
[15, 26]
dS
Substrate dilution rate
0.23
[15, 26]
dA
Antibiotic dilution rate
0.23
[15, 26]
du
Bacterial dilution rate
0.23
[15, 26]
d+
cf-DNA dilution rate
0.23
[15, 26]
γ
Yield constant
0.8
[15, 26]
q
Probability of Mis-segregation
0.01
[15, 26]
μ
Rate of plasmid transfer during Conjugation
0.0000001
[15, 26]
α
Re-Combination rate for Transformation
0.0000001
[11]
m
Maximum growth rate for susceptible bacteria
0.417
[15, 26]
m1
Maximum growth rate for resistant bacteria
0.416
[15, 26]
ν
Maximum antibiotic uptake
0.345
[15, 26]
k
Maximum kill rate for susceptible bacteria
0.96
[15, 26]
k1
Maximum kill rate for resistant bacteria
0.87
[15, 26]
k3
Susceptible bacterial removal rate via Transformation
0.30
Assumed
k4
Resistant strain formation rate
0.15
Assumed
a
Half saturation constant for bacterial growth
0.1
[15, 26]
L
Half saturation constant for bacteria kill
0.1
[15, 26]
L1
Half saturation constant for antibiotic uptake
0.1
[15, 26]
Wa
Antibiotic cost sensitivity
0.001
[26]
tf
Final time (in hours)
30.0
[15, 26]
P
Period of dosing regimens (in hours)
5
[26]
Theorem 3.1.
The non-negative cone
is positively invariant for the model (3) and all solution for the model equations are ultimately uniformly bounded in forward time.proof. The proof is attached in the appendix A.1 in S1 Appendix.The periodic solution to (3) includes the sterile steady state
where A* is the solution of A′(t) = d(A0−A(t)). There are also other infection states where bacterial populations are not identically zero. The local stability of the sterile state can be found by the computing the Floquet exponents associated with the u and v states.Theorem 3.2.
The sterile state
E0(t) corresponding to (3) is locally asymptotically stable if λ4 = G1(S0)−d−[K1(S0, A*)] < 0 and λ5 = G2(S0)−d+−[K2(S0, A*)] < 0 and unstable if either λ4 > 0 or λ5 > 0. Moreover in the constant case when
A0(t) = A0 and both λ4 < 0, λ5 < 0 then
E0
is globally asymptotically stable.Proof. The proof is attached in the appendix A.2 in S1 Appendix.To determine the stability of the sterile and infection states we use Floquet theory [34]. We calculate Floquet exponents and consider those related to the state variables u and v, and if both of them are negative then the sterile state is stable and the system converges to the sterile state (Fig 2). If either one of these is positive the sterile state is unstable and the bacterial population grows (Fig 3). Our simulation results verify the theoretical findings.
Fig 2
The left figure shows the antibiotic usage throughout the time when λ4 = −0.1057, λ5 = −0.0861.
The right figure shows the success of the treatment for 0 < t < 30h when λ4 = −0.1057 < 0 and λ5 = −0.0861 < 0.
Fig 3
The left figure shows the failure of the antibiotic treatment for 0 < t < 30h when λ4 = −0.0017 < 0 and λ5 = 0.0821 > 0.
The right figure shows the failure of the antibiotic treatment for 0 < t < 30h when λ4 = 0.3868, λ5 = 0.4224 > 0.
The left figure shows the antibiotic usage throughout the time when λ4 = −0.1057, λ5 = −0.0861.
The right figure shows the success of the treatment for 0 < t < 30h when λ4 = −0.1057 < 0 and λ5 = −0.0861 < 0.
The left figure shows the failure of the antibiotic treatment for 0 < t < 30h when λ4 = −0.0017 < 0 and λ5 = 0.0821 > 0.
The right figure shows the failure of the antibiotic treatment for 0 < t < 30h when λ4 = 0.3868, λ5 = 0.4224 > 0.Biologically this means that a periodic dose may or may not be successful in eradicating the bacteria, depending on the effect (killing rates) of the antibiotic on the susceptible and resistant bacteria and the amount of nutrient and antibiotic influx.
3.2 Optimal dosing strategy
3.2.1 Minimizing the total bacterial population
In this section, we look at the problem of determining the optimal dosing strategy, where the bacterial population in minimized while keeping the total antibiotic does low using the Direct Gradient Descent Method (DGDM). The functional we consider involves minimizing the total bacterial population along with the total antibiotic dosage. In the following section, we will look at the case where we consider minimizing the bacterial population at the end of the dosing period.The mathematical problem is to find out the optimal antibiotic dosing strategy by minimizing the objective functional
subject to constraints (3).The dosing applied in this case is consists of discrete doses given by A0(t) = ∑
A
δ(t−iP). This means that the antibiotic A is applied periodically with a period P. For simulation purposes, we considered the case when P = 5 hours and total number of cycles are 6.Using the DGDM, we determine the optimal dosing scheme and note that in this case a high initial dose with subsequent tapering is optimal (Fig 4). This is in line with several studies in the literature.
Fig 4
Optimal dosing strategy and states.
We now consider several scenarios and determine optimal dosing in each case. First, we vary the values of k+, biologically as the value of k+ becomes smaller the resistant strain is less ‘susceptible’ to the antibiotic. Using the DGDM, we obtain the dosing schemes under a range of values of k+, the results are shown in the Fig 5.
Fig 5
Optimal bacterial populations and dosing strategies by varying the k+.
Fig 5 shows that as the value of k+ is reduced, a higher total dose of antibiotic is needed. This is consistent over a wide range of values of k+, moreover, a tapered dosing regimen is still optimal in each case.Next, we look at how optimal dosing changes as the relative cost of the treatment is varied. In our model, this is captured by the parameter W (Cost sensitivity parameter associated with the implementation of the dosing protocol). As expected, we observe that the total antibiotic in the optimal dosing is reduced as it becomes more costly. However, this also means that the bacterial population decreases at a lower rate as seen in the Fig 6. The dosing strategy remains qualitatively the same in this case, with higher initial doses that are tapered with time.
Fig 6
Optimal dosing strategies and bacterial population corresponding to various cost sensitivity parameter W.
3.2.2 Minimizing the bacterial population at the end of dosing period
We now consider the problem of determining a dosing strategy where we want to minimize the bacterial population at the end of the dosing period, keeping the total antibiotic at a minimum. The mathematical problem is formulated by now evaluating u and v at the final time t in the optimization functional as given below
subject to ODE system constraints (3).We use the DGDM to determine the optimal dosing strategy in this case, which is given in the Fig 7.
Fig 7
Optimal dosing strategy and bacterial population.
We now look into how the dosing schedule varies across different values of the antibiotic killing rate for resistant bacteria k+, and for different relative antibiotic costs. Our results show that the optimal strategy remains qualitatively similar and involves an initial dose build up followed by tapering. This is observed across a wide range of values of k+ and d and demonstrated in Fig 8.
Fig 8
The left figure shows the optimal dosing strategies for various k+.
The right figure shows the dosing strategies for various values of washout parameter d.
The left figure shows the optimal dosing strategies for various k+.
The right figure shows the dosing strategies for various values of washout parameter d.
4 Modeling antibiotic resistance via conjugation
We consider a model for resistance acquisition through conjugation proposed by Imran et al. [15]. In follow-up work, Khan et al. used optimal control theory to determine a quasi-optimal dosing strategy for the problem [26]. Using the DGDM, we will find the optimal strategy and compare our results to those in [26]. We now give a brief description of the model.Let S denote the nutrient concentration, A the antibiotic concentration, u the susceptible bacterial population with no drug resistance, and v is the resistant bacterial population. The model equations are
The model represents bacterial growth in a chemostat setting. The first and second equations represent the change in the nutrient and antibiotic concentrations. The change in the susceptible bacterial population density is represented by the third equation. Susceptible bacteria increase at a nutrient dependent growth rate G1(S), moreover it was posited that mis-segregation of resistant strains also give rise to susceptible bacteria. The last equation shows population density change in the resistant bacteria. The term G2(S)(1−q)v represents the increase the population, where the loss due to mis-segregation is accounted for, the process of conjugation is modelled by the mass action term μuv. For a more detailed discussion on the model we would refer to Imran et al. [15].
4.1 Optimal discrete dosing
4.1.1 Minimizing the total bacterial population
We would like to determine the best dosing strategy which minimizes the overall cost of antibiotic and the susceptible and resistant bacterial population density.The optimization problem takes the following mathematical form where we want to minimize the objective functional
subject to ODE system constraints (7). We want to determine the optimal discrete dosing given by A0(t) = ∑
A
δ(t−iP). The antibiotic concentration A applied periodically with a period P will be determined using the DGDM. For simulation purposes, we considered the case when P = 5 hours and total number of cycles are 6. The optimal dosing schedule, antibiotic concentration and the bacterial population are given in the Fig 9.
Fig 9
Optimal dosing strategies, bacterial population, and antibiotic concentration.
We note that the optimal strategy is to give a high initial dose which is then tapered off with each subsequent dose. We also compare the discrete optimal dose to the quasi optimal regimen obtained by the method used in [26]. We observe that the discrete optimal strategy is successful in eradicating the bacteria at a lower total antibiotic dose. As antibiotic is mostly administered in discrete doses (or doses given over short intervals) the discrete regimen may also help quantitatively determine the optimal strategy.
4.1.2 Minimizing the bacterial population at the end of dosing period
We also look at the problem which is to minimize the susceptible and resistant bacterial at the end of the antibiotic dosing along with cost associated with administering the antibiotic. The optimization problem takes the following mathematical form
subject to ODE system constraints (7). The optimal dosing strategies, antibiotic concentration and bacterial population are shown in Fig 10.
Fig 10
Optimal dosing strategies, bacterial population, and antibiotic concentration.
The optimal strategy in this case is an initial increase in the dose which is then tapered off. This is in contrast to the case where we want to minimize the total bacterial population. In that case, a higher initial antibiotic concentration is used but each subsequent does is smaller than the previous one. Qualitatively, both the results are similar for both HGT mechanisms we have studied.
5 Conclusion
In this work, we consider the problem of determining the optimal antibiotic dosing regimen when both susceptible and resistant bacterial strains are present. We consider mechanistic models for resistance acquisition and set up an optimal control problem, the goal being to minimize the bacterial population while keeping the total antibiotic dose low. We use a numerical optimal control method, the direct gradient descent (DGDM) algorithm, to determine these dosing regimens. Resistance acquisition is assumed to be via horizontal gene transfer. In particular, we propose a model of acquired resistance via transformation and determine the optimal dosing regimen for a variety of scenarios. We also consider a model from the literature for resistance acquisition via conjugation and find the best dosing strategies in this case.We first describe our numerical optimal control algorithm, the DGDM, and then use it for the simple case of determining optimal dosing for susceptible bacteria. Using a chemostat-based model from the literature [15], we determine the dosing regimen and compare our results to some quasi-optimal ones in the literature [26].We then propose and analyze a model of resistance acquisition via transformation (3), where resistant genes are acquired by susceptible bacteria from the surrounding environment. We incorporate antibiotic dosing in the model and show that discrete antibiotic doses administered periodically may lead to treatment failure, i.e., the system exhibits bi-stability. This means that the success or failure of treatment under such dosing protocols would depend on the sensitivity of the resistant strain to the antibiotic.We then set up the optimal control problem (3.2), where the dynamics of bacterial growth and antibiotic administration are governed by a mechanistic model. We want to determine a successful strategy to eliminate the bacteria while keeping treatment costs low by cutting down on antibiotic usage. We want to minimize the total bacterial population along with the administered antibiotic quantity. We look at different scenarios, varying the killing rates of the antibiotic for the resistant strain and varying the relative cost of administering the antibiotic. Our findings show that the optimal strategy in all cases is high initial loading followed by dose tapering.We also look at the problem where we would like to minimize the bacterial population at the end of our treatment, rather than the total bacterial population over the dosing cycles. In this case, the optimal strategy is to build up the initial doses and then taper off. We again study the dosing under a variety of scenarios, varying the sensitivity of the resistant strains and the relative cost of antibiotic dosing. We note that qualitatively similar dosing is recommended in the different scenarios. A higher quantity of antibiotics is needed when the resistant strains are less sensitive. We also observe that as the relative cost of dosing becomes higher, the optimal dose is quantitatively smaller, the cost being that the bacterial population is reduced at a slower rate.Finally, we consider treatment strategies when resistance is acquired through conjugation. We consider a model from the literature and set up the optimal control problem. Using the DGDM, we determine the optimal dosing once again for different scenarios. We find that the results are qualitatively similar to those in the transformation acquired resistance case.We have determined discrete optimal antibiotic dosing when both resistant and susceptible bacteria are present. Our results can help determine both qualitative and quantitative dosing regimens for antibiotic treatment.As a follow-up study, we would like to model horizontal gene transfer via transduction as a resistance acquisition mechanism. In this case, we would further determine efficient dosing protocols by setting up the optimal control problem and optimizing using our numerical optimization scheme. Another direction for future work is to extend our basic model and include a persister cell population, and this has been identified in the literature to be important in susceptible cell survival; the natural setting for this study would be a bio-film. We would again like to study efficient and effective antibiotic dosing based on the model.(PDF)Click here for additional data file.9 Aug 2022
PONE-D-22-16732
Effective Antibiotic Dosing in the presence of Resistant Strains
PLOS ONE
Dear Dr. Ali,Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.
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The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: YesReviewer #2: Yes********** 4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: YesReviewer #2: Yes********** 5. Review Comments to the AuthorPlease use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: it is well written and well explained. The authors have clear aim and objectiveIf possible can the authors provide some pilot study data using the model DGDM. Please justify how this model will be better than already available systems.Reviewer #2: Following recommendations are suggested to further enhance the manuscriptKindly read the journal guidelines for articles submission and correct the formatting of your manuscript:1) Kindly, rewrite the abstract, including its all contents, that introduction to literature review, study gaps, methodology, results, discussion, conclusion and future prospects, briefly in one paragraph.2) Kindly arrange in-text references as per journal format.3) Kindly give the line numbers as per journal format.4) Kindly provide with lab-work pictures.5) Arrange the references as per journal format.6) Kindly include conclusion section.7) add future prospects of this study.8) Kindly mention the methodology and result section separately.9) Kindly elaborate the literature review along with references.10) Are the study gaps really come up with the need of this investigation. Kindly elaborate this point.11) kindly include the models in literature used to carry out this study or those which are just mentioned in discussion section. It is recommended to briefly discuss each model from literature with your study models.12) it is suggested to make a table in manuscript regarding the parameters of this study, instead of using them in appendix text.********** 6. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: NoReviewer #2: No**********[NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.]While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step.23 Aug 2022We would like to thank the reviewers for the speedy turnaround and valuable comments. Their feedback has allowed us to improve the manuscript. We have updated the manuscript in light of the comments and a point by point response is given below.Editorial Comments:1. Please ensure that your manuscript meets PLOS ONE's style requirements, including those for file naming.Response: The manuscript has been converted to the PLOS ONE format meeting the style requirements.2. Please update your submission to use the PLOS LaTeX template. The template and more information on our requirements for LaTeX submissions can be found at http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/latex.Response: We have updated the submission accordingly.3. In your Data Availability statement, you have not specified where the minimal data set underlying the results described in your manuscript can be found.Response: All data used in our simulation is available in the manuscript.Reviewer #1:If possible can the authors provide some pilot study data using the model DGDM. Please justify how this model will be better than already available systems.Response: In section 2 we provide a benchmark for the method by applying it to a simple well studied model. The two main contributions of the study are proposing a model for HGT via transformation and determining a discrete optimal dosing schedule. While there are many models in the literature that study HGT via conjugation, there are only a few models that look into HGT via transformation, further we have not seen any work on optimizing antibiotic dosing in this case. We also would like to note that in the case of our benchmarking model, the DGDM allows us to easily determine a discrete control (dosing regimen) for a continuous system, standard methods such as the Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle need significant modification to be applicable in such cases.Reviewer #2:1) Kindly, rewrite the abstract, including its all contents, that introduction to literature review, study gaps, methodology, results, discussion, conclusion and future prospects, briefly in one paragraph.Response: The abstract has been updated in light of the comment.2) Kindly arrange in-text references as per journal format.Response: The manuscript has been updated in light of the comment.3) Kindly give the line numbers as per journal format.Response: The manuscript has been updated in light of the comment.4) Kindly provide with lab-work pictures.Response: Since this is a modeling and simulation study, the pictures are those obtained from simulation. We are planning a follow up work with a biologist to verify our model with in vitro experiments.5) Arrange the references as per journal format.Response: The manuscript has been updated in light of the comment.6) Kindly include conclusion section.Response: The discussion section (5) was envisaged to be a conclusion section, the section title has been changed and it has also been updated.7) Add future prospects of this study.Response: The conclusion section (6) has been updated with a discussion of future directions.8) Kindly mention the methodology and result section separately.Response: Each of the sections where models are presented and discussed, are already organized in this manner. Since we present three different models, one of which has been formulated and studied in this work while we use the other two are used to present the optimal dosing strategy, it would be difficult to provide the methodology and results in two sections. As mentioned each of sections 3, 4 and 5 are already informally organized in this manner, where we present the methodology and then discuss the results.9) Kindly elaborate the literature review along with references.Response: The introduction section has been updated, with more discussion of the models in the literature, in light of the comment.10) Are the study gaps really come up with the need of this investigation. Kindly elaborate this point.Response: This point has been addressed in the introduction, there are few modeling studies of antibiotic resistance acquired via transformation, and moreover to our knowledge no study has been done to look into optimal dosing treatments in this case. Our study is an effort in this direction.11) Kindly include the models in literature used to carry out this study or those which are just mentioned in discussion section. It is recommended to briefly discuss each model from literature with your study models.Response: The introduction and conclusions sections have been updated, reference to the models mentioned in the conclusion have been added and more discussion of the models in the literature mentioned in the introduction has been added, in light of the comment.12) it is suggested to make a table in manuscript regarding the parameters of this study, instead of using them in appendix text.Response: The manuscript has been updated in light of the comment.Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers Comments.docxClick here for additional data file.2 Sep 2022
PONE-D-22-16732R1
Effective Antibiotic Dosing in the presence of Resistant Strains
PLOS ONE
Dear Dr. Ali,Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.
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Comments to the Author1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation. Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressedReviewer #2: All comments have been addressed********** 2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: PartlyReviewer #2: Yes********** 3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: N/AReviewer #2: Yes********** 4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: NoReviewer #2: Yes********** 5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: YesReviewer #2: Yes********** 6. Review Comments to the AuthorPlease use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: Authors have responded to the comment but have not given any satisfactory answer to the comment. Since there is almost no work on optimizing antibiotic dosing, wet lab experiments must be generated to veryfy the model. The validity of the model must be associated with realtime data. it seems to be a hypothetical model.Reviewer #2: there are not further corrections required in manuscript. as all the recommended suggestions have been addressed.********** 7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: NoReviewer #2: No**********[NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.]While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step.9 Sep 2022We would like to thank the reviewers for the speedy turnaround and valuable comments. It seems like we may not have fully comprehended reviewer#1’s concern in our earlier response. A more detailed and hopefully pertinent response is given below.Reviewer #1: Authors have responded to the comment but have not given any satisfactory answer to the comment. Since there is almost no work on optimizing antibiotic dosing, wet lab experiments must be generated to verify the model. The validity of the model must be associated with realtime data. it seems to be a hypothetical model.Response: Our model is built upon and extends previous work. Although there is not a great deal of literature on HGT via transformation, however, there are studies where models are presented. For example, [1] and [2] have proposed models for HGT via transformation. Our work extends the existing work by incorporating a compartment for cell-free DNA in the model, which we hope better captures the dynamics of the process. Moreover, we have set our model in a chemostat setting, as we want as a proxy for a more complex organism.Further, we have presented some rigorous mathematical analyses of our model using Floquet theory. We show that the system is bi-stable under a constant periodic dosing regimen. This means that the same periodic dose may or may not be successful for different initial bacterial populations. This provides the rationale to look for optimal dosing regimens.We also would like to summarize some prior studies on optimal antibiotic dosing. Most of these are based on proposing a model for bacterial growth, including mechanisms for resistance acquisition and then searching (using different algorithms) for the optimal dosing, which results in bacterial eradication with low total antibiotic dosages. In [3], the authors propose an ODE-based model and its stochastic analog for Horizontal Gene Transfer (without specifying the exact mechanism) and then use genetic algorithms to search for the optimal dosing regimen. In [4], the authors study optimal antibiotic dosing strategies using an ODE-based model for bacterial growth in a chemostat setting and optimal control theory. In [5], a hybrid DE and Agent-based model is considered for TB, and the authors also use genetic algorithms to determine the optimal antibiotic dosing schedule. All these works are essentially modeling and simulation efforts (of course, the dynamics of bacterial growth and resistance acquisition (if considered) must be grounded in biology.Moreover, the effects of the antibiotic need to be modeled by a proper pharmacodynamic function, which has been the case in all these studies as well as our work which is under consideration). They can provide a framework for wet lab experiments, as has been suggested by the reviewer. For example, in [6], the authors have actually used the framework presented in [3] for their wet lab experiments.We have also updated the section where we present our model in light of the comment. Further, the table of parameters has been updated as well. We hope that our response will be able to address the reviewer's concern.References:[1] Lu N, Massoudieh A, Liang X, Kamai T, Zilles JL, Nguyen TH, et al. A kinetic model of gene transfer via natural transformation of Azotobacter vinelandii. Environmental Science: Water Research & Technology. 2015;1(3):363–374.[2] Johnsen PJ, Dubnau D, Levin BR. Episodic selection and the maintenance of competence and natural transformation in Bacillus subtilis. Genetics. 2009;181(4):1521–1533[3] Paterson IK, Hoyle A, Ochoa G, Baker-Austin C, Taylor NGH. Optimising Antibiotic Usage to Treat Bacterial Infections. Scientific Reports. 2016;6(1):37853[4] Peña-Miller R, Lähnemann D, Schulenburg H, Ackermann M, Beardmore R. Selecting Against Antibiotic-Resistant Pathogens: Optimal Treatments in the Presence of Commensal Bacteria. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology. 2012;74(4):908–934[5] Cicchese, J.M., Pienaar, E., Kirschner, D.E. et al. Applying Optimization Algorithms to Tuberculosis Antibiotic Treatment Regimens. Cel. Mol. Bioeng. 10, 523–535 (2017)[6] Hoyle A, Cairns D, Paterson I, McMillan S, Ochoa G, Desbois AP. Optimising efficacy of antibiotics against systemic infection by varying dosage quantities and times. PLOS Computational Biology. 2020;16(8):1–20Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers Comments.docxClick here for additional data file.22 Sep 2022Effective Antibiotic Dosing in the presence of Resistant StrainsPONE-D-22-16732R2Dear Dr. Ali,We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication.An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. 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Comments to the Author1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation. Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressedReviewer #2: All comments have been addressed********** 2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: YesReviewer #2: Yes********** 3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: YesReviewer #2: Yes********** 4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: YesReviewer #2: Yes********** 5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: YesReviewer #2: Yes********** 6. Review Comments to the AuthorPlease use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: The authors have clearly addressed the comments. it may be accepted for publication. congratulations to all the authors.Reviewer #2: no further corrections needed. all queries were responded well. i would recommend to accept this manuscript.********** 7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: NoReviewer #2: No**********28 Sep 2022PONE-D-22-16732R2Effective Antibiotic Dosing in the presence of Resistant StrainsDear Dr. Ali:I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department.If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org.If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org.Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access.Kind regards,PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staffon behalf ofDr. Ashwani KumarAcademic EditorPLOS ONE
Authors: Rafael Peña-Miller; David Lähnemann; Hinrich Schulenburg; Martin Ackermann; Robert Beardmore Journal: Bull Math Biol Date: 2011-11-05 Impact factor: 1.758