| Literature DB >> 36211665 |
Xia Luo1, Zhen Zhou2, Xiaohui Zeng3, Liubao Peng1, Qiao Liu1.
Abstract
Objective: Six anaplastic lymphoma kinase-tyrosine kinase inhibitors (ALK-TKIs), including one domestic (ensartinib) and five imported ALK-TKIs (crizotinib, ceritinib, alectinib, brigatinib, and lorlatinib), have been recommended as first-line treatments for advanced ALK-positive NSCLC in China. This study sought to examine the cost-effectiveness of these six novel therapies in Chinese patients. Material and methods: We constructed a Markov model to compare the cost-effectiveness of the six ALK-TKIs as a first-line treatment for patients with advanced ALK-positive NSCLC from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system. Transition probabilities were estimated by synthesizing data from the PROFILE 1,029 trial and a network meta-analysis. Health state utilities and costs were sourced from published literature, publicly available national databases, and local general hospitals. The robustness of model was assessed via deterministic sensitivity analyses and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.Entities:
Keywords: ALK-TKI; China; Non-small cell lung cancer; cost-effectiveness; domestic anticancer drug; ensartinib
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2022 PMID: 36211665 PMCID: PMC9533130 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.985834
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Public Health ISSN: 2296-2565
Figure 1Diagram of markov model.
Model inputs.
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| OS for crizotinib | Weibull: λ = 0.02092; γ = 1.25579 | Fixed in DSA | Fixed in PSA | Estimated |
| PFS for crizotinib | Weibull: λ = 0.08242; γ = 1.21862 | Fixed in DSA | Fixed in PSA | Estimated |
| HROS for ensartinib vs. crizotinib | 0.88 | 0.45–1.73 | Normal | Ma HC, et al. |
| HRPFS for ensartinib vs. crizotinib | 0.48 | 0.20–1.21 | Normal | Ma HC, et al. |
| HROS for ceritinib vs. crizotinib | 0.90 | 0.44–1.82 | Normal | Ma HC, et al. |
| HRPFS for ceritinib vs. crizotinib | 1.28 | 0.44–3.84 | Normal | Ma HC, et al. |
| HROS for alectinib vs. crizotinib | 0.67 | 0.38–1.18 | Normal | Ma HC, et al. |
| HRPFS for alectinib vs. crizotinib | 0.41 | 0.21–0.77 | Normal | Ma HC, et al. |
| HROS for brigatinib vs. crizotinib | 0.92 | 0.49–1.74 | Normal | Ma HC, et al. |
| HRPFS for brigatinib vs. crizotinib | 0.49 | 0.20–1.23 | Normal | Ma HC, et al. |
| HROS for lorlatinib vs. crizotinib | 0.72 | 0.36–1.43 | Normal | Ma HC, et al. |
| HRPFS for lorlatinib vs. crizotinib | 0.28 | 0.11–0.69 | Normal | Ma HC, et al. |
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| Ensartinib cost per day | 59.29 | 17.79–71.15 | Gamma | Local charge |
| Crizotinib cost per day | 70.93 | 21.28–85.12 | Gamma | Local charge |
| Ceritinib cost per day | 105.40 | 31.62–126.48 | Gamma | Local charge |
| Alectinib cost per day | 84.32 | 25.30–101.19 | Gamma | Local charge |
| Brigatinib cost per day | 305.30 | 91.59–366.36 | Gamma | Local charge |
| Lorlatinib cost per day | 209.25 | 62.78–251.10 | Gamma | Local charge |
| Routine follow-up cost per cycle | 383.63 | 306.91–460.36 | Gamma | Local charge |
| Subsequent anticancer therapy cost per cycle | 2,277.47 | 1,821.98–2,732.96 | Gamma | Liu Q, et al. |
| BSC cost per cycle | 900.00 | 720.00–1,080.00 | Gamma | Liu Q, et al. |
| Palliative care per cycle | 7,007.47 | 5,605.98–8,408.96 | Gamma | Liu Q, et al. |
| AEs cost for ensartinib | 798.62 | 638.90–958.35 | Gamma | Estimated |
| AEs cost for crizotinib | 566.40 | 453.12–679.68 | Gamma | Estimated |
| AEs cost for ceritinib | 2,639.42 | 2,111.53–3.167.30 | Gamma | Estimated |
| AEs cost for alectinib | 345.50 | 276.40–414.60 | Gamma | Estimated |
| AEs cost for brigatinib | 724.99 | 579.99–869.99 | Gamma | Estimated |
| AEs cost for lorlatinib | 1,200.77 | 960.61–1,440.92 | Gamma | Estimated |
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| PFS health state | 0.856 | 0.718–0.994 | Beta | Shen Y, et al. |
| PD health state | 0.768 | 0.595–0.941 | Beta | Shen Y, et al. |
| Disutility for ensartinib | 0.046 | 0.037–0.055 | Beta | Estimated |
| Disutility for crizotinib | 0.033 | 0.026–0.039 | Beta | Estimated |
| Disutility for ceritinib | 0.152 | 0.122–0.182 | Beta | Estimated |
| Disutility for alectinib | 0.020 | 0.016–0.024 | Beta | Estimated |
| Disutility for brigatinib | 0.042 | 0.033–0.050 | Beta | Estimated |
| Disutility for lorlatinib | 0.069 | 0.055–0.083 | Beta | Estimated |
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| Discount rate (%) | 5 | 0–8 | Fixed in PSA | Guidelines |
DSA, deterministic sensitivity analyses; PSA, probabilistic sensitivity analyses; OS, overall survival; PFS, progression-free survival; HRs, hazard ratios;BSC, best supportive care; AEs, adverse events; PD, progressive disease.
6The Weibull distribution parameters, scale (λ) and shape (γ) were estimated based on survival data reported in the PROFILE 1029 trial.
Estimated in the Supplementary Appendix 3.
Summary of simulation results.
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| Ensartinib | 81,283 | 1.03 | ||||
| Crizotinib | 78,033 | 0.91 | Ensartinib vs. Crizotinib | 3,249 | 0.12 | 27,553 (cost-effective) |
| Ceritinib | 95,049 | 0.97 | Ensartinib vs. Ceritinib | −13,766 | 0.06 | Dominance |
| Brigatinib | 252,984 | 0.99 | Ensartinib vs. Brigatinib | −171,701 | 0.03 | Dominance |
| Lorlatinib | 259,939 | 1.22 | Lorlatinib vs. Ensartinib | 178,656 | 0.19 | 934,101 (not cost-effective) |
| Alectinib | 118,900 | 1.25 | Alectinib vs. Ensartinib | 37,617 | 0.23 | 164,888 (not cost-effective) |
QALY, quality-adjusted life-year; ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. The symbol “$” stands for US dollars.
Figure 2Deterministic sensitivity analysis results. The top 10 parameters by magnitude of effect on the ICER were presented. ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratios; QALY, quality-adjusted life-years; WTP, willingness-to-pay; OS, overall survival; PFS, progression-free survival; PD, progressive disease; HR, hazard ratios; BSC, best supportive care.