Literature DB >> 36193749

Relationship Between Preexisting Cardiovascular Disease and Death and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Critically Ill Patients With COVID-19.

Alexi Vasbinder1, Chelsea Meloche2, Tariq U Azam2, Kim Eagle1, David E Leaf3, Salim S Hayek1, Elizabeth Anderson1, Tonimarie Catalan1, Husam Shadid2, Hanna Berlin2, Michael Pan1, Patrick O'Hayer1, Kishan Padalia1, Pennelope Blakely1, Ibrahim Khaleel1, Erinleigh Michaud1, Yiyuan Huang4, Lili Zhao4, Rodica Pop-Busui5, Shruti Gupta3.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Preexisting cardiovascular disease (CVD) is perceived as a risk factor for poor outcomes in patients with COVID-19. We sought to determine whether CVD is associated with in-hospital death and cardiovascular events in critically ill patients with COVID-19.
METHODS: This study used data from a multicenter cohort of adults with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 admitted to intensive care units at 68 centers across the United States from March 1 to July 1, 2020. The primary exposure was CVD, defined as preexisting coronary artery disease, congestive heart failure, or atrial fibrillation/flutter. Myocardial injury on intensive care unit admission defined as a troponin I or T level above the 99th percentile upper reference limit of normal was a secondary exposure. The primary outcome was 28-day in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included cardiovascular events (cardiac arrest, new-onset arrhythmias, new-onset heart failure, myocarditis, pericarditis, or stroke) within 14 days.
RESULTS: Among 5133 patients (3231 male [62.9%]; mean age 61 years [SD, 15]), 1174 (22.9%) had preexisting CVD. A total of 1178 (34.6%) died, and 920 (17.9%) had a cardiovascular event. After adjusting for age, sex, race, body mass index, history of smoking, and comorbidities, preexisting CVD was associated with a 1.15 (95% CI, 0.98-1.34) higher odds of death. No independent association was observed between preexisting CVD and cardiovascular events. Myocardial injury on intensive care unit admission was associated with higher odds of death (adjusted odds ratio, 1.93 [95% CI, 1.61-2.31]) and cardiovascular events (adjusted odds ratio, 1.82 [95% CI, 1.47-2.24]), regardless of the presence of CVD.
CONCLUSIONS: CVD risk factors, rather than CVD itself, were the major contributors to outcomes in critically ill patients with COVID-19. The occurrence of myocardial injury, regardless of CVD, and its association with outcomes suggests it is likely due to multiorgan injury related to acute inflammation rather than exacerbation of preexisting CVD. REGISTRATION: NCT04343898; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04343898.

Entities:  

Keywords:  COVID-19; cardiovascular disease; cardiovascular risk factors; inflammation; troponin

Mesh:

Substances:

Year:  2022        PMID: 36193749      PMCID: PMC9575399          DOI: 10.1161/CIRCOUTCOMES.122.008942

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes        ISSN: 1941-7713


COVID-19 is a hyperinflammatory syndrome resulting in multiorgan dysfunction, including the heart. Patients with preexisting cardiovascular disease are perceived to be at higher risk of poor outcomes in COVID-19 based on small, single-center studies. This study includes data from one the largest and most comprehensive multicenter cohort studies of critically ill patients hospitalized for COVID-19. Cardiovascular risk factors, rather than preexisting cardiovascular disease, were the main contributors to in-hospital in patients with severe COVID-19. Myocardial injury was strongly associated with death and cardiovascular events regardless of a history of cardiovascular disease and likely reflected the severity of the acute illness rather than exacerbation of preexisting disease. COVID-19 was declared a global pandemic as of March 2020 by the World Health Organization. Since March 2020, there have been nearly 90 million cases and over 1 million deaths attributed to COVID-19 in the United States alone.[1] The overall case fatality rate of COVID-19 is 1.8% in the United States, with estimates much higher for patients admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) and those with preexisting conditions, such as cardiovascular disease (CVD).[2,3] COVID-19 is recognized as a hyperinflammatory syndrome with aberrant immune activation and fulminant cytokine release resulting in multiorgan dysfunction, including adverse effects on the heart.[4] The relationship between COVID-19 and CVD is complex. Preexisting CVD is common in patients hospitalized for COVID-19.[5] Additionally, COVID-19 has also been linked to cardiovascular complications, such as myocardial injury or infarction, myocarditis, heart failure, arrhythmias, and stroke, even in patients without a history of CVD.[6] Accordingly, patients with preexisting CVD may be at a higher risk of poor in-hospital outcomes related to COVID-19, including death and cardiovascular complications.[7-9] Prior studies examining the relationship between CVD and adverse outcomes in patients with COVID-19 were limited by being single center, having small sample sizes, or relying on billing codes and administrative databases lacking in data granularity, and thus were unable to comprehensively account for potential confounders.[10-15] Furthermore, many studies were focused on patient populations outside the United States with highly differing risk factor profiles or defined patients based on SARS-CoV-2 positivity rather than a clinical diagnosis of COVID-19, which could result in selection bias.[12,16-18] We performed a comprehensive analysis of the relationship between CVD and outcomes in severe COVID-19 through leveraging the STOP-COVID (Study of the Treatment and Outcomes in Critically Ill Patients with COVID-19), a large multicenter cohort study of critically ill adults hospitalized for COVID-19 across the United States.

Methods

Data Availability

Due to restrictions on patient privacy and data sharing, data from STOP-COVID is not available for purposes of reproducing the results or replicating the procedure. Syntax and output files of statistical analyses can be made available upon reasonable request by contacting the corresponding author.

Study Population and Design

STOP-COVID is a multicenter observational cohort study that enrolled 5133 adult patients (≥18 years of age) with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 admitted to ICUs at 68 hospitals across the United States.[9,19-27] Patients were admitted to ICUs between March 1 and July 1, 2020, and were followed until the first of hospital discharge, death, or September 1, 2020. The study was approved by the institutional review boards at each participating site under a waiver of informed consent. Additional details regarding STOP-COVID are reported elsewhere.[9,19-27] A list and map of participating sites are shown in Table S1 and Figure S1.

Data Collection and Procedures

Medical records were reviewed by study personnel at each participating site and data were entered into REDCap, a secure, HIPAA-compliant web-based application. A standardized electronic case report form was used to ensure consistent data collection across sites. A variety of relevant patient data were collected from medical records, including demographics, coexisting conditions, home medications, physiological data, and daily data on laboratory values and outcomes during the first 14 days after ICU admission. All data were validated using a series of automated verifications and were manually reviewed to assess for potential errors or incongruent values.[9]

Exposure and Outcome Definitions

Exposures

The primary exposure was preexisting CVD defined as a history of coronary artery disease (CAD), congestive heart failure (CHF), atrial fibrillation, or atrial flutter based on diagnoses documented in the medical record before or at the time of admission. CHF included patients with or without reduced left ventricular ejection fraction. We explored myocardial injury as a secondary exposure. Myocardial injury at ICU admission was defined as a troponin I or T level above the 99th percentile upper reference limit of normal (URL) reported at each site (Table S2) and measured within 24 hours of ICU admission. If >1 troponin value was measured in this 24-hour period, the first value was recorded. We also assessed myocardial injury by grouping troponin levels according to multiples of the 99th percentile of the URL as follows: 1 to 2x, 2 to 3x, 3 to 4x, and >4x the URL. Lastly, we examined the change in troponin defined as the absolute fold change between the maximum and minimum troponin concentrations during hospitalization. All troponin measurements were recorded up to 14 days after ICU admission.

Outcomes

The primary outcome was in-hospital death within 28 days of ICU admission. Patients discharged alive before 28 days were considered alive at 28 days, an assumption that we validated in the original STOP-COVID report by contacting a subset of patients by phone after they were discharged.[9] The secondary outcome was a composite end point of cardiovascular events (cardiac arrest, new-onset arrhythmias, new-onset heart failure, myocarditis, pericarditis, or stroke) occurring within 14 days following ICU admission. New-onset arrhythmias were further stratified as ventricular fibrillation or sustained ventricular tachycardia, nonsustained ventricular tachycardia, and atrial fibrillation or flutter. Patients with preexisting atrial fibrillation or flutter (n=187) were excluded from analyses of incident atrial fibrillation or flutter.

Statistical Analysis

Clinical characteristics are reported as means and SD for normally distributed continuous variables, medians and interquartile range for non-normally distributed continuous variables, and frequencies and proportions for categorical variables. Group comparisons were made using t tests, Wilcoxon rank-sum test, or χ2 tests for normal continuous, non-normal continuous, and categorical variables, respectively. To determine whether preexisting CVD was independently associated with higher levels of thrombo-inflammation markers, we used linear regression models with C-reactive protein and D-dimer levels as the dependent variables, and CVD, age, race and ethnicity, smoking status, diabetes, hypertension, and chronic kidney disease as independent variables.

Preexisting CVD, Myocardial Injury, and Outcomes

We used multivariable logistic regression models to investigate the relationship between exposures and outcomes (death and cardiovascular events at 28 and 14 days, respectively). The following exposures were examined in separate models: (1) CVD versus no CVD; (2) myocardial injury versus no myocardial injury; (3) myocardial injury categorized as troponin level on ICU admission 1 to 2x, 2 to 3x, 3 to 4x, and >4x the URL versus no myocardial injury; and (4) absolute fold change in troponin levels >URL categorized as <1.29-fold change, 1.3- to 9.3-fold change%, and >9.3-fold change (tertiles), with troponin levels in the normal range as the reference. We created stepwise models with each outcome as the dependent variable. Model 0 was unadjusted; model 1 included the following demographic covariates: age group (18–39, 40–49, 50–59, 60–69, 70–79, ≥80 years), race and ethnicity (non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, other), and sex; model 2 included model 1 covariates in addition to the following cardiac risk factors: body mass index (BMI; <25, 25–29.9, 30–34.9, 35–39.9, ≥40 kg/m2), smoking status (current, former, never), diabetes, hypertension, and chronic kidney disease; model 3 included model 2 covariates in addition to the modified Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, a measure of illness severity calculated on ICU admission.[22,28] Models 2 and 3 included adjustment for preexisting CVD when myocardial injury is the exposure. We repeated the modeling separately for patients with CAD versus CHF to investigate their independent association with outcomes. In sensitivity analyses, we assessed whether treatment with remdesivir or corticosteroids impacted the association between preexisting CVD and outcomes. To explore the possibility of competing events, we examined associations between preexisting CVD, myocardial injury, and the composite outcome of in-hospital death and cardiovascular events within 14 days. We further accounted for hospital-level differences by conducting a generalized linear mixed-effects model with a random effect for institution. Given that troponin is often only measured in high-risk patients or those with presenting symptoms, we conducted an analysis in which patients with missing troponin levels were assumed to have normal troponin. Lastly, we examined the interaction term myocardial injury×CVD to assess whether the association between myocardial injury and outcomes differed according to CVD status. We computed the relative importance of clinical characteristics in their association with the outcomes based on the Gini index using a random forest approach.[29] To assess the contribution of CVD to outcomes, we computed the area under the curves (AUC) for models with clinical characteristics (model 2) with and without CVD and compared them using the Delong test. For multivariable models, we used complete case analysis. A 2-sided P<0.05 was used to determine statistical significance. All analyses were performed using R Version 4.1.0 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria).

Results

Characteristics of the Study Cohort

Of the 5133 patients included in STOP-COVID, 1174 (22.9%) had preexisting CVD with a mean (SD) age of 61 (15) years. Of those with CVD, 492 (41.9%) had CAD without CHF, and 521 (44.4%) had CHF. Compared with those without CVD, patients with CVD were older (mean age 69 versus 58) and more likely to have a smoking history (54.4% versus 39.9%) and co-morbid conditions (hypertension [85% versus 55%], diabetes [56% versus 38%], chronic kidney disease [20% versus 9%]; Table 1). Patients with CVD were also more likely to have higher serum creatinine on arrival to the ICU compared with those without CVD. Preexisting CVD was not independently associated with higher C-reactive protein or D-dimer levels on ICU admission after adjusting for clinical characteristics (Table S3). Among those with CVD, patients with CHF were more likely to be women, non-Hispanic Black, have a history of atrial fibrillation or flutter and chronic kidney disease, and be prescribed a mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist compared to those with CAD alone (Table 1).
Table 1.

Demographics and Clinical Characteristics of STOP-COVID Cohort

Demographics and Clinical Characteristics of STOP-COVID Cohort

Incidence of Primary and Secondary Outcomes Stratified by Preexisting CVD

A total of 1778 (34.6%) patients died within 28 days of ICU admission, and 920 (17.9%) experienced a cardiovascular event within 14 days following ICU admission. Compared with patients without CVD, those with CVD had a higher incidence of 28-day mortality (45.4% versus 31.4%; P<0.001) and cardiovascular events (21.0% versus 17.0%; P=0.002; Table 1). Among patients with CVD, the incidence of death was similar in patients with CAD compared to those with CHF (47.2% and 43.6%).

Associations Between CVD and Death and Cardiovascular Events

Preexisting CVD was associated with higher odds of 28-day mortality in both unadjusted models (model 0) and models adjusted for age, sex, and race (model 1; adjusted odds ratio, 1.28 [95% CI, 1.11–1.48]). The association was attenuated after adjusting for comorbidities (model 2) and modified Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score (model 3; adjusted odds ratio, 1.15 [95% CI, 0.98–1.34]; Figure 1). Similarly, whereas preexisting CVD had been associated with higher odds of cardiovascular events in unadjusted analyses, it was no longer significant in multivariable models (adjusted odds ratio, 0.95 [95% CI, 0.79–1.14]; Figure 1 and Table S4). Trends were similar when examining the association between CAD and CHF individually with outcomes (Figure 1 and Table S4). These associations did not differ according to treatment with corticosteroids or remdesivir (Table S5). Findings were consistent when examining the association between preexisting CVD and a composite of in-hospital death and cardiovascular events within 14 days (Figure S2).
Figure 1.

Associations between cardiovascular disease, coronary artery disease, and congestive heart failure with 28-day mortality and cardiovascular events. Bar graphs depicting the odds ratio and 95% CIs for 28-day mortality (A) and cardiovascular events (B) using 4 different models. Model 0 was unadjusted. Model 1 was adjusted for age, race and ethnicity, and sex. Model 2 incorporated model 1 in addition to body mass index, smoking status, and history of preexisting diabetes, hypertension, and chronic kidney disease. Model 3 included the modified Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score. Based on model 3, neither cardiovascular disease, coronary artery disease nor congestive heart failure was associated with 28-day mortality.

Associations between cardiovascular disease, coronary artery disease, and congestive heart failure with 28-day mortality and cardiovascular events. Bar graphs depicting the odds ratio and 95% CIs for 28-day mortality (A) and cardiovascular events (B) using 4 different models. Model 0 was unadjusted. Model 1 was adjusted for age, race and ethnicity, and sex. Model 2 incorporated model 1 in addition to body mass index, smoking status, and history of preexisting diabetes, hypertension, and chronic kidney disease. Model 3 included the modified Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score. Based on model 3, neither cardiovascular disease, coronary artery disease nor congestive heart failure was associated with 28-day mortality. Based on a random forest approach, we identified the most important variables associated with 28-day mortality as age, BMI, race and ethnicity, history of smoking, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, male sex, and preexisting chronic kidney disease, CHF, atrial fibrillation or flutter, and CAD in descending order of importance. Age, BMI, race, and history of smoking also had the highest importance scores for cardiovascular events (Figure S3). The AUC for clinical characteristics in their association with 28-day mortality and cardiovascular events was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.67–0.70) and 0.63 (95% CI, 0.62–0.65) respectively. The addition of CVD to the model had minimal impact on the AUC of mortality (ΔAUC=0.001, P=0.27) and cardiovascular events (ΔAUC=0.000, P=0.76).

Prevalence of Myocardial Injury at ICU Admission and Measures of Illness Severity

A total of 2741 patients had at least one troponin measured within 24 hours of ICU admission. Compared with patients without troponin measured at ICU admission, patients who had troponin measured were older, had higher BMIs, and were more likely to have a history of smoking, hypertension, and chronic kidney disease as well as a higher cumulative incidence of 28-day mortality (35.8% versus 33.4%) and cardiovascular events (20.4% versus 15.1%; Table S6). Of those with troponin levels, 1263 (46.1%) had troponin values >URL, consistent with myocardial injury. Among patients with myocardial injury, 334 (26.4%), 211 (16.7%), 114 (9.0%), and 604 (47.8%) had troponin values 1 to 2x, 2 to 3x, 3 to 4x, and >4x the URL, respectively. A total of 2,533 patients had at least 2 troponin measurements during hospitalization, with n=901 having levels below the URL, and n=1632 with at least 1 measure >URL. Patients with myocardial injury were more likely to be mechanically ventilated and had higher Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scores, C-reactive protein, and creatinine levels on ICU admission compared to those without myocardial injury (Figure 2). Patients with CVD had a significantly higher prevalence of myocardial injury on ICU admission (66.6% versus 39.2%; P<0.001). After adjusting for demographics and clinical characteristics, patients with preexisting CVD had 1.67-fold higher odds [95% CI, 1.33–2.11]) of experiencing myocardial injury compared to patients without CVD (Table S7).
Figure 2.

Bar graphs comparing measures of COVID-19 illness severity by myocardial injury on admission for mechanical ventilation, modified Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (mSOFA) score, creatinine, and CRP (C-reactive protein). A, Proportion of patients on mechanical ventilation at intensive care unit (ICU) admission. B, C, and D, Compare the means of modified SOFA scores, creatinine, and CRP between patients with and without myocardial injury at ICU admission. Creatinine and CRP are log2 transformed.

Bar graphs comparing measures of COVID-19 illness severity by myocardial injury on admission for mechanical ventilation, modified Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (mSOFA) score, creatinine, and CRP (C-reactive protein). A, Proportion of patients on mechanical ventilation at intensive care unit (ICU) admission. B, C, and D, Compare the means of modified SOFA scores, creatinine, and CRP between patients with and without myocardial injury at ICU admission. Creatinine and CRP are log2 transformed.

Myocardial Injury and Death and Cardiovascular Events

Patients with myocardial injury at ICU admission compared with those without had a higher incidence of 28-day mortality (47.2% versus 26.0%; P<0.001) and cardiovascular events (26.8% versus 14.9%; P<0.001; Table S8). New-onset atrial fibrillation or flutter, new-onset CHF, and myocarditis or pericarditis were each more common in patients with myocardial injury (Table S8). The presence of myocardial injury on admission was associated with higher odds of both 28-day mortality and cardiovascular events. In fully adjusted models, the odds of 28-day mortality and cardiovascular events were 1.93-fold (95% CI, 1.61–2.31) and 1.88-fold (95% CI, 1.53–2.32) higher, respectively, compared with those without myocardial injury on admission (Figure S4). Troponin elevation and a greater absolute change in troponin during hospitalization were monotonically associated with higher odds of 28-day mortality and cardiovascular events (Figure 3). In fully adjusted models, patients in the highest troponin elevation category (>4x URL) had a 2.77-fold (95% CI, 2.22–3.45) and 3.00-fold (95% CI, 2.35–3.81) higher odds of death and cardiovascular events compared with those without myocardial injury (Figure 3, Table S9). Likewise, patients with an absolute fold change in troponin of >9.3 had a 3.02-fold (95% CI, 2.31–3.92) and 2.94-fold (95% CI, 2.19–3.94) higher odds of death and cardiovascular events compared with patients who did not have elevated troponin during hospitalization (Figure 3). These associations were unchanged after accounting for institution or assuming normal troponin levels in patients with missing troponin (Tables S10 and S11). Patients with myocardial injury were also at a higher odds of new-onset atrial fibrillation or flutter, new-onset heart failure, and myocarditis or pericarditis (Table S4). Consistent findings were observed when examining a composite outcome of death and cardiovascular events within 14 days (Figure S2). In sensitivity analyses, the associations between myocardial injury and death were similar in those with versus without preexisting CVD (P interaction=0.31), CAD (P interaction=0.67), or CHF (P interaction=0.10). The association between myocardial injury and cardiovascular events was also similar in those with versus without preexisting CVD (P interaction=0.11), CAD (P interaction=0.43), or CHF (P interaction=0.06; Table S12).
Figure 3.

Associations between troponin elevation on intensive care unit (ICU) admission and troponin fold change during hospitalization with 28-day mortality and cardiovascular events. Bar graphs depicting the odds ratios and 95% CIs for 28-day mortality (A) and cardiovascular events (B) based on acute cardiac injury on ICU admission categorized as troponin elevation 1–2x, 2–3x, 3–4x, and >4x the upper reference limit of normal vs no acute cardiac injury (reference) based on model 3. C and D, Odds ratios and 95% CIs based on the absolute fold change in troponin during hospitalization categorized as an absolute fold change of <1.29, 1.3%–9.3%, and >9.3% compared with patients with no elevated troponin measurements during hospitalization (reference) for 28-day mortality (C) and cardiovascular events (D) based on model 3.

Associations between troponin elevation on intensive care unit (ICU) admission and troponin fold change during hospitalization with 28-day mortality and cardiovascular events. Bar graphs depicting the odds ratios and 95% CIs for 28-day mortality (A) and cardiovascular events (B) based on acute cardiac injury on ICU admission categorized as troponin elevation 1–2x, 2–3x, 3–4x, and >4x the upper reference limit of normal vs no acute cardiac injury (reference) based on model 3. C and D, Odds ratios and 95% CIs based on the absolute fold change in troponin during hospitalization categorized as an absolute fold change of <1.29, 1.3%–9.3%, and >9.3% compared with patients with no elevated troponin measurements during hospitalization (reference) for 28-day mortality (C) and cardiovascular events (D) based on model 3.

Discussion

In this multicenter cohort study of over 5000 critically ill adult patients hospitalized for COVID-19 in the United States, nearly one-fourth of patients had preexisting CVD. Patients with CVD had a close to 30% higher age and sex-adjusted 28-day mortality compared to those without CVD. The association was heavily attenuated when accounting for comorbidities, suggesting that cardiovascular risk factors rather than CVD (defined here by the presence of CAD, HF, or atrial fibrillation) are the main contributors to in-hospital outcomes in patients with severe COVID-19. Indeed, age, BMI, smoking, hypertension, and diabetes were the most important contributors to mortality. Myocardial injury at ICU admission was common, occurring in nearly half of the patients with available troponin levels, and associated with measures of illness severity. We found a monotonic association between myocardial injury with odds of death and cardiovascular events, which was not dependent on the presence of CVD. Overall, our findings support the characterization of severe COVID-19 as a pulmonary disease with multiorgan injury related to systemic inflammation. The occurrence of myocardial injury independently of the presence of CVD and its association with outcomes suggests it is a marker of the severity of the acute illness from COVID-19 rather than exacerbation of preexisting disease. CVD is an unsurprisingly common comorbidity among critically ill patients with COVID-19 given its relation to age and chronic inflammation. The reported prevalence of CVD in patients with COVID-19 varied widely (2.5%–40%).[5,10-12,14,15,30-33] The large variability in estimates could reflect differences in sample sizes across studies (with many having fewer than 200 patients), geographic location, definitions of CVD, and COVID-19 severity. One large cohort study of 5700 critically and noncritically ill patients hospitalized with COVID-19 in New York City reported that 11% of patients had a history of CAD and 6.9% had CHF.[5] These estimates were similar to those in our study despite the difference in severity of illness between cohorts and suggest that CVD itself may not be a direct contributor to the severity of COVID-19 disease. Studies reporting on the link between preexisting CVD and COVID-19–related outcomes are conflicting.[34-39] Critical illness related to COVID-19 is thought to exacerbate preexisting CVD by altering hemodynamics and the hypercoagulable milieu.[40] However, we did not find preexisting CVD to be a major contributor to in-hospital mortality or cardiovascular events in patients with COVID-19, such as myopericarditis and arrhythmias independently of risk factors. Findings were similar when stratified between patients with CAD versus CHF, in whom we would have expected outcomes would be worse. Circulating markers of acute inflammation were also not independently associated with preexisting CVD. Conversely, hypertension and diabetes mellitus were much stronger predictors of mortality in COVID-19. However, findings should not be construed as implying patients with CVD are not at high risk as most have a high burden of risk factors for COVID-19 such as diabetes, hypertension, obesity, and smoking.[9] Myocardial injury on ICU admission was common in this cohort, with estimates higher than those reported in prior studies of hospitalized patients with COVID-19, likely due to the current study being comprised of ICU patients only.[17,30,41,42] The magnitude of myocardial injury correlates with COVID-19 disease severity and has been consistently associated with adverse outcomes across studies.[7,12,18,22,41-44] In addition, a recent study found that hospitalized patients with COVID-19 who develop an ST-segment–elevation myocardial infarction had higher rates of in-hospital mortality.[45] We found that a greater change in troponin values during hospitalization was associated with worse outcomes. The association between myocardial injury and death and cardiovascular events did not differ between patients with and without preexisting CVD, supporting the notion that myocardial injury and cardiovascular events in COVID-19 are related to injury from mechanisms pertaining to the acute illness, such as endothelial dysfunction and a hypercoagulable state, rather than an exacerbation of preexisting CVD.[18]

Strengths and Limitations

STOP-COVID is the one of the largest and most comprehensive multicenter cohort studies of critically ill patients with COVID-19, which provided considerable statistical power and the ability to perform detailed multivariable adjustments in our analyses. Through its focus on critically ill patients, STOP-COVID allows us to identify the clinical relevance of preexisting CVD and myocardial injury in the COVID-19 population at highest risk of death and cardiovascular events. There are several limitations to this analysis. The focus on ICU patients limits generalizability to the non-ICU COVID-19 population. Our definition of CVD was limited to the presence of CAD, CHF, or atrial fibrillation or flutter and does not capture the full breadth of CVD. Preexisting CVD and cardiovascular events were also determined based on documentation in the medical records rather than objective measures such as cardiac imaging or cardiac markers. Due to its observational nature, troponin levels were not measured systematically, lending a risk of selection bias. Although we adjusted for demographics and clinical characteristics associated with whether a patient had troponin measured and severe outcomes, we acknowledge this will not fully account for the risk of bias. Due to different troponin assays across sites, we modeled the change in troponin during hospitalization as a relative fold change. However, given patients with at least two troponin measurements were included in this analysis, survival bias is possible. We additionally adjusted for hospital-level characteristics, including institution, which did not change our findings. Findings regarding the association between troponin and outcomes are consistent with previous reports. Data on left ventricular ejection fraction were not available, precluding performing subgroup analyses differentiated CHF with and without left ventricular dysfunction. Additionally, because cardiovascular events were collected for only the first 14 days following ICU admission, their incidence is likely an underestimate. Based on prior data,[9] we assumed patients discharged alive before 28 days were alive at 28 days; however, it is possible that a subset of patients may have died after discharge and were unaccounted for in this analysis. Lastly, these data were collected before the implementation of the COVID-19 vaccine, thus it is unknown how the current trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic would influence these findings.

Conclusions

In summary, critically ill patients with COVID-19 and preexisting CVD had higher mortality than those without CVD. However, CVD risk factors rather than CVD itself appear to be the most important contributors to outcomes. Myocardial injury was common and strongly associated with death and cardiovascular events regardless of underlying CVD status, reflecting the severity of the hyperinflammatory phase of COVID-19. Patients with CVD should be construed as a high-risk patient group due to their burden of shared risk factors with severe COVID-19 outcomes such as hypertension, diabetes mellitus, obesity, and smoking. Studies on subpopulations with more severe underlying CVD, such as those with advanced heart failure or high-risk CAD, are warranted to further refine risk profiles in patients with COVID-19.

Article Information

Sources of Funding

Dr Vasbinder is supported by a National Heart, Lung, Blood Institute–funded postdoctoral fellowship (T32HL007853). Dr Leaf is supported by R01HL144566. Dr Hayek is supported by 1R01HL153384 and the Frankel Cardiovascular Center COVID-19: Impact Research Ignitor (U-M G024231).

Disclosures

None.

Supplemental Material

Tables S1–S12 Figures S1–S4
  44 in total

1.  d-dimer and Death in Critically Ill Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019.

Authors:  Samuel A P Short; Shruti Gupta; Samantha K Brenner; Salim S Hayek; Anand Srivastava; Shahzad Shaefi; Harkarandeep Singh; Benjamin Wu; Aranya Bagchi; Hanny Al-Samkari; Rajany Dy; Katherine Wilkinson; Neil A Zakai; David E Leaf
Journal:  Crit Care Med       Date:  2021-05-01       Impact factor: 7.598

2.  Cardiac injury associated with severe disease or ICU admission and death in hospitalized patients with COVID-19: a meta-analysis and systematic review.

Authors:  Xinye Li; Xiandu Pan; Yanda Li; Na An; Yanfen Xing; Fan Yang; Li Tian; Jiahao Sun; Yonghong Gao; Hongcai Shang; Yanwei Xing
Journal:  Crit Care       Date:  2020-07-28       Impact factor: 9.097

3.  Risk and predictors of in-hospital mortality from COVID-19 in patients with diabetes and cardiovascular disease.

Authors:  Hadith Rastad; Hossein Karim; Hanieh-Sadat Ejtahed; Ramin Tajbakhsh; Mohammad Noorisepehr; Mehrdad Babaei; Mehdi Azimzadeh; Alireza Soleimani; Seyed Hasan Inanloo; Neda Shafiabadi Hassani; Fariba Rasanezhad; Ehsan Shahrestanaki; Zeinab Khodaparast; Hossein Golami; Mostafa Qorbani
Journal:  Diabetol Metab Syndr       Date:  2020-07-06       Impact factor: 3.320

Review 4.  Cardiovascular complications in COVID-19.

Authors:  Brit Long; William J Brady; Alex Koyfman; Michael Gottlieb
Journal:  Am J Emerg Med       Date:  2020-04-18       Impact factor: 2.469

5.  Cardiovascular Disease, Drug Therapy, and Mortality in Covid-19.

Authors:  Mandeep R Mehra; Sapan S Desai; SreyRam Kuy; Timothy D Henry; Amit N Patel
Journal:  N Engl J Med       Date:  2020-05-01       Impact factor: 91.245

6.  Thrombosis, Bleeding, and the Observational Effect of Early Therapeutic Anticoagulation on Survival in Critically Ill Patients With COVID-19.

Authors:  Hanny Al-Samkari; Shruti Gupta; Rebecca Karp Leaf; Wei Wang; Rachel P Rosovsky; Samantha K Brenner; Salim S Hayek; Hanna Berlin; Rajat Kapoor; Shahzad Shaefi; Michal L Melamed; Anne Sutherland; Jared Radbel; Adam Green; Brian T Garibaldi; Anand Srivastava; Amanda Leonberg-Yoo; Alexandre M Shehata; Jennifer E Flythe; Arash Rashidi; Nitender Goyal; Lili Chan; Kusum S Mathews; S Susan Hedayati; Rajany Dy; Stephanie M Toth-Manikowski; Jingjing Zhang; Mary Mallappallil; Roberta E Redfern; Amar D Bansal; Samuel A P Short; Mark G Vangel; Andrew J Admon; Matthew W Semler; Kenneth A Bauer; Miguel A Hernán; David E Leaf
Journal:  Ann Intern Med       Date:  2021-01-26       Impact factor: 51.598

7.  Clinical characteristics of novel coronavirus cases in tertiary hospitals in Hubei Province.

Authors:  Kui Liu; Yuan-Yuan Fang; Yan Deng; Wei Liu; Mei-Fang Wang; Jing-Ping Ma; Wei Xiao; Ying-Nan Wang; Min-Hua Zhong; Cheng-Hong Li; Guang-Cai Li; Hui-Guo Liu
Journal:  Chin Med J (Engl)       Date:  2020-05-05       Impact factor: 2.628

8.  Characteristics and clinical significance of myocardial injury in patients with severe coronavirus disease 2019.

Authors:  Shaobo Shi; Mu Qin; Yuli Cai; Tao Liu; Bo Shen; Fan Yang; Sheng Cao; Xu Liu; Yaozu Xiang; Qinyan Zhao; He Huang; Bo Yang; Congxin Huang
Journal:  Eur Heart J       Date:  2020-06-07       Impact factor: 29.983

9.  Impact of cerebrovascular and cardiovascular diseases on mortality and severity of COVID-19-systematic review, meta-analysis, and meta-regression.

Authors:  Raymond Pranata; Ian Huang; Michael Anthonius Lim; Eka Julianta Wahjoepramono; Julius July
Journal:  J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis       Date:  2020-05-14       Impact factor: 2.136

10.  Characteristics of and Important Lessons From the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Outbreak in China: Summary of a Report of 72 314 Cases From the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention.

Authors:  Zunyou Wu; Jennifer M McGoogan
Journal:  JAMA       Date:  2020-04-07       Impact factor: 56.272

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