| Literature DB >> 36175991 |
Mehran Karami Niaz1, Nazanin Fard Moghadam1, Abbas Aghaei2,3, Saeed Mardokhi1, Somayeh Sobhani4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Various tools have previously been introduced to predict the recuperation and mortality of patients in intensive care units and to classify them, which have particular advantages and disadvantages compared to each other. The present study compared the prediction power of mortality of trauma and non-trauma patients admitted to the ICU by SOFA and APACHE IV tools.Entities:
Keywords: APACHE IV; ICU; Mortality; Prediction; SOFA
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 36175991 PMCID: PMC9522439 DOI: 10.1186/s40001-022-00822-9
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Eur J Med Res ISSN: 0949-2321 Impact factor: 4.981
Comparison of the demographic variables and scores of the two indicators of APACHE IV and SOFA in terms of death and discharge in the ICU by trauma
| Variable | Trauma | Non-trauma | Total | a | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discharge | Death | Discharge | Death | Discharge | Death | |||||
| Sex number (%) | Male | 128 (81.0) | (19.0) 30 | 0.053 | (76.5) 88 | 27 (23.5) | 0.204 | (79.1) 216 | 57 (20.9 | 0.772 |
| Female | (68.0) 34 | (32.0) 16 | (84.0) 68 | 13 (16.0) | 102 (77.9) | 29 (22.1) | ||||
| Age (year) mean (IQR) | 40.5 (28.8–65) | 64.0 (44.5–72.5) | > 0.001 | 61.0 (44.0–73.0) | 71.0 (61–82.5) | > 0.001 | 52.5 (34.0–69.0) | 67.5 (54.5–76.2) | > 0.001 | |
| Length of stay in the ICU (day), mean (IQR) | 7.5 (5.0–13.0) | 9.5 (5.0–17.0) | 0.180 | 6.0 (4.0–10.0) | 9.5 (4.2–18.0) | 0.032 | 7.0 (5.0–11.0) | 9.5 (5.0–17.2) | 0.012 | |
| Glasgow index, mean (IQR) | 13 (11.0–14.0) | 6.0 (3.8–9.0) | > 0.001 | 14.0 (12.2–14.4) | 8.0 (4.0–10.0) | > 0.001 | 13.0 (11.0–14.0) | 7.0 (4.0–10.0) | > 0.001 | |
| APACHE IV score, mean (IQR) | 43.0 (30.0–56.0) | 80.5 (66–95.8) | > 0.001 | 46.0 (34.2–60.0) | 85.5 (74.2–103.) | > 0.001 | 44.0 (31.75–58.0) | 81.0 (62–98.2) | > 0.001 | |
| APACHE IV mortality prediction, mean (IQR) | 6.7 (3.6–14.1) | 44.2 (31.8–62.3) | > 0.001 | 7.7 (3.7–13.9) | 50.0 (29.5–66.7) | > 0.001 | 6.95 (3.68–14/03) | 45.5 (30.8–64-9) | > 0.001 | |
| SOFA score, mean (IQR) | 3.0 (2.0–4.0) | 9.0 (7.0–11.0) | > 0.001 | 3.0 (2.0–4.0) | 7.0 (5.0–10) | > 0.001 | 3.0 (2.0–4.0) | 8.5 (6.7–11.0) | > 0.001 | |
| SOFA mortality prediction percentage, mean (IQR) | 5.0 (5.0–10-0) | 20.0 (20.0–50.0) | > 0.001 | 5.0 (5.0–10-0) | 20.0 (10.0–50.0) | > 0.001 | 5.0 (5.0–10-0) | 20.0 (17.5–50.0) | > 0.001 | |
aQualitative variables were compared based on the chi-square test and quantitative variables based on the Mann–Whitney test
Fig. 1Areas under the APACHE IV and SOFA rock curves based on mortality observed in the ICU
Area under the rock curve, sensitivity and specificity of APACHE IV and SOFA tools in predicting the outcome of mortality in the ICU patients by differentiating traumatic and non-traumatic patients
| Tool | AUC | Lower bound of AUC | Upper bound of AUC | Cutoff point | Accuracy (%) | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APACHE IV | 0.902 | 0.858 | 0.946 | 74 | 90.35 | 69.77 | 95.91 |
| SOFA | 0.895 | 0.846 | 0.944 | 7 | 91.34 | 75.58 | 95.60 |
| APACHE IV | |||||||
| Trauma | 0.893 | 0.832 | 0.954 | 75 | 89.90 | 63.4 | 97.53 |
| Non-trauma | 0.918 | 0.857 | 0.978 | 78 | 91.84 | 72.5 | 96.79 |
| SOFA | |||||||
| Trauma | 0.940 | 0.890 | 0.989 | 7 | 94.23 | 84.78 | 96.91 |
| Non-trauma | 0.845 | 0.759 | 0.931 | 7 | 88.27 | 65.0 | 94.23 |
Fig. 2Areas under the APACHE IV and SOFA rock curves based on mortality observed in non-trauma patients in the ICU
Fig. 3Areas under the APACHE IV and SOFA rock curves based on mortality observed in trauma patients in the ICU
Estimation of the death risk ratio based on different models of scores of APACHE IV and SOFA tools in patients admitted to the ICU using the Cox regression
| Variables | Trauma | Non-trauma | Total | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95%CI) | HR (95%CI) | HRa (95%CI) | ||||||
| APACHE IV | Model 1 | Quantitative score | 1.042 (1.029–1.055) | > 0.001 | 1.058 (1.043–1.073) | > 0.001 | 1.047 (1.038–1.057) | > 0.001 |
| Model 2 mean | > 49 | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| ≥ 49 | 4.821 (2.022–11.492) | > 0.001 | 10.54 (92.548–44.046) | > 0.001 | 6.214 (2.989–12.918) | > 0.001 | ||
| Model 3 one third | > 40 | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| 40–61 | 1.443 (0.360–5.784) | 0.605 | 0.638 (0.090–4.540) | 0.654 | 1.068 (0.349–3.269) | 0.908 | ||
| ≥ 61 | 9.100 (2.792–29.663) | > 0.001 | 9.500 (2.278–39.61) | > 0.002 | 9.281 (3.742–23.016) | > 0.001 | ||
| SOFA | Model 1 | Quantitative score | 1.476 (1.343–1.623) | > 0.001 | 1.252 (1.157–1.355) | > 0.001 | 1.342 (1.266–1.422) | > 0.001 |
| Model 2 mean | > 3 | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| ≥ 3 | 9.055 (2.192–37.410) | > 0.002 | 3.071 (1.085–8.691) | 0.035 | 5.151 (2.245–11.822) | > 0.001 | ||
| Model 3 one third | > 2 | # | Reference | Reference | ||||
| 2–4 | Reference | 0.471 (0.112–1.982) | 0.305 | 0.555 (0.150–2.054) | 0.378 | |||
| > 4 | 15.022 (5.382–41.928) | > 0.001 | 3.689 (1.124–12.10) | 0.031 | 6.191 (1.948–19.674) | > 0.002 | ||
aHazard ratio