| Literature DB >> 36172365 |
Xun Li1,2, Haipeng Yan2,3, Zhenghui Xiao2,3, Ting Luo1,2, Longlong Xie1,2, Yufan Yang1,2, Ling Gong2,3, Zhexuan Tang2,3, Jiaotian Huang2,3, Xinping Zhang2,3, Mincui Zheng4, Zhenya Yao2,3, Ping Zang2,3, Desheng Zhu2,3, Xiulan Lu2,3.
Abstract
Background and aims: Deciding when to suspect hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH) and perform diagnostic tests in patients with acute infection of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) is challenging, given the high prevalence of EBV infection, the life-threatening risk of EBV-HLH, the relatively low incidence of EBV-HLH, and the wide spectrum of disease presentations. The aim of this study was to develop an EBV-HLH screening model for pediatric patients diagnosed with acute infection of EBV.Entities:
Keywords: Epstein-Barr virus; children; diagnose; hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis; score; screening
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2022 PMID: 36172365 PMCID: PMC9510983 DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2022.981251
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Immunol ISSN: 1664-3224 Impact factor: 8.786
Summary statistics of the study population.
| Total | Training set | Validation set |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | 3183 | 2229 | 954 | |
| Age, mean (SD) | 4.27 (3.06) | 4.26 (3.04) | 4.27 (3.08) | 0.8739 |
| Sex, n (%) | ||||
| Female | 1289 (40.5) | 904 (40.6) | 385 (40.4) | 0.9161 |
| Male | 1894 (59.5) | 1325 (59.4) | 569 (59.6) | |
| EBV-HLH, n (%) | ||||
| Yes | 147 (4.62) | 99 (4.4) | 48 (5.0) | 0.4675 |
| No | 3036 (95.38) | 2130 (95.6) | 906 (95.0) | |
Figure 1PCA and PLS-DA on 37 laboratory parameters from pediatric patients with acute EBV infection with and without HLH.
Figure 2Distribution of scoring parameters and the screening score in EBV patients with and without HLH. (A) hemoglobin. (B) platelet. (C) neutrophil. (D) albumin. (E) LDH, lactate dehydrogenase. (F) screening score.
Figure 3ROC curves of the EBV-HLH screening score in the training and validation set. (A) training set; (B) validation set.
Performance of five models for the screening of EBV-HLH among pediatric patients positive for EBV test.
| Model | Data set | AUC(%) | Accuracy (%) | Sensitivity(%) | Specificity(%) | FNR(%) | FPR(%) | PPV(%) | NPV(%) | Youden |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1a: 5 continuous parameters | Training | 95.2 | 89.1 | 90.8 | 89.0 | 9.2 | 11 | 31.2 | 99.4 | 0.80 |
| Validation | 95.3 | 88.4 | 94.6 | 88.1 | 5.4 | 11.9 | 25.5 | 99.7 | 0.83 | |
| Model 2b: 5 categorical parameters | Training | 95.2 | 90.1 | 91.7 | 90.0 | 8.3 | 10 | 33.4 | 99.5 | 0.82 |
| Validation | 94.9 | 89.5 | 89.2 | 89.5 | 10.8 | 10.5 | 26.8 | 99.5 | 0.79 | |
| Model 3c: scoring model based on 5 categorical parameters | Training | 95.3 | 90.1 | 91.7 | 90.0 | 8.3 | 10 | 33.4 | 99.5 | 0.82 |
| Validation | 95.3 | 89.5 | 89.2 | 89.5 | 10.8 | 10.5 | 26.8 | 99.5 | 0.79 | |
| Model 4d: Cytopenias of ≥2 lineages | Training | – | 95.5 | 57.8 | 97.6 | 42.2 | 2.4 | 56.8 | 97.7 | – |
| Validation | – | 95.8 | 59.5 | 97.3 | 40.5 | 2.7 | 48.9 | 98.2 | – | |
| Model 5e: Cytopenias of 3 lineages | Training | – | 95.6 | 25.7 | 99.4 | 74.3 | 0.6 | 71.8 | 96.1 | – |
| Validation | – | 96.3 | 27.0 | 99.3 | 73 | 0.7 | 62.5 | 96.9 | – |
AUC, area under the curve; DI, diagnostic index; EBV, Epstein-Barr virus; HLH, hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis; FNR, false negative rate; FPR, false positive rate; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value; Youden, Youden’s index.
aModel 1: logit P = 9.32 - 0.04 × hemoglobin - 0.008 × platelet- 0.31 × neutrophil - 0.195 × albumin +0.002 × lactate dehydrogenase; The optimal cut-off probability = 0.0447, which means that if the predicted probability ≥ 0.0447, that patients is identified as high risk for EBV-HLH.
bModel 2: logit P = -6.159 + 0.910 × (hemoglobin < 90 g/L) + 1.705 × (platelet < 100×109/L)+ 2.108 × (neutrophil < 1.0×109/L) + 2.22 × (albumin < 38.5 g/L) + 2.043 × (lactate dehydrogenase > 637 IU/L); If the parameter value meet the criteria in the brackets then assign the value of 1, else 0. The optimal cut-off probability = 0.0461.
cModel 3: logit P = -6.16 + 0.1× score; The scoring criteria was presented in . The optimal cut-off probability = 0.042.
dModel 4: if cytopenias of ≥ 2 lineage, then the individual was identified as high risk for EBV-HLH.
eModel 5: if cytopenias of 3 lineage, then the individual was identified as high risk for EBV-HLH.
EBV-HLH screening score.
| Parameter | Criteria | Score assigned |
|---|---|---|
| Hemoglobin, g/L | ≥ 90 | 0 |
| < 90 | 7 | |
| Platelet, ×109/L | ≥ 100 | 0 |
| < 100 | 20 | |
| Neutrophil, ×109/L | ≥ 1.0 | 0 |
| < 1.0 | 16 | |
| Albumin, g/L | ≥ 38.5 | 0 |
| < 38.5 | 22 | |
| Lactate dehydrogenase, IU/L | ≤ 637 | 0 |
| > 637 | 19 |
The identified best cut-off value for screening score was 29, corresponding to a sensitivity of 91.7%, a specificity of 90.0% in the training set, and a sensitivity of 89.2%, and a specificity of 89.5% in the validation set.