Elaine Ku1,2,3, Sandra Amaral4, Charles E McCulloch2, Deborah B Adey5, Libo Li5, Kirsten L Johansen6,7. 1. Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, California elaine.ku@ucsf.edu. 2. Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, California. 3. Division of Nephrology, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Francisco, California. 4. Division of Pediatric Nephrology, Departments of Pediatrics and Epidemiology, Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. 5. Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, California. 6. Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Hennepin County Medical Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota. 7. Department of Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Wait time for kidney transplantation can accrue when GFR is ≤20 ml/min. We examined whether using the race-free 2021 Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equations to guide preemptive waitlisting could attenuate racial differences in accruable preemptive wait time. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: Our retrospective cohort study included Black or White Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) participants who were theoretically eligible for waitlist registration. We used Weibull accelerated failure time models to determine the association between race (Black or White) and time to kidney failure from the qualifying visit when the eGFR by creatinine or creatinine-cystatin C 2021 CKD-EPI equations fell to ≤20 ml/min per 1.73 m2. We then tested for differences in the time ratios from models using the 2021 creatinine- or creatinine-cystatin C-based CKD-EPI equation through a bootstrapping approach. RESULTS: By the creatinine equation, 472 CRIC participants were theoretically eligible for waitlist registration, and potential preemptive wait time was similar for Black versus White participants (time ratio, 1.05; 95% confidence interval, 0.81 to 1.35). The median wait time by the creatinine equation that could be accrued for Black participants was 23 versus 22 months in White participants. By the creatinine-cystatin C equation, 441 CRIC participants were eligible, and potential wait time was 20% shorter (95% confidence interval, 0.62 to 1.02) for Black than White participants. The median wait time that could be accrued for Black participants was 21 versus 26 months for White participants when using the creatinine-cystatin C equation. Using bootstrapping, the ratio of the time ratio of the models using the creatinine versus creatinine-cystatin C equation was statistically significantly different (ratio of the time ratios = 1.31 with 95% confidence interval, 1.06 to 1.62). CONCLUSIONS: Use of the 2021 creatinine-based CKD-EPI equation to determine preemptive waitlist eligibility reduced racial differences in preemptive wait time accrual more than use of the creatinine-cystatin C2021 CKD-EPI equation within a theoretical context.
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Wait time for kidney transplantation can accrue when GFR is ≤20 ml/min. We examined whether using the race-free 2021 Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equations to guide preemptive waitlisting could attenuate racial differences in accruable preemptive wait time. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: Our retrospective cohort study included Black or White Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) participants who were theoretically eligible for waitlist registration. We used Weibull accelerated failure time models to determine the association between race (Black or White) and time to kidney failure from the qualifying visit when the eGFR by creatinine or creatinine-cystatin C 2021 CKD-EPI equations fell to ≤20 ml/min per 1.73 m2. We then tested for differences in the time ratios from models using the 2021 creatinine- or creatinine-cystatin C-based CKD-EPI equation through a bootstrapping approach. RESULTS: By the creatinine equation, 472 CRIC participants were theoretically eligible for waitlist registration, and potential preemptive wait time was similar for Black versus White participants (time ratio, 1.05; 95% confidence interval, 0.81 to 1.35). The median wait time by the creatinine equation that could be accrued for Black participants was 23 versus 22 months in White participants. By the creatinine-cystatin C equation, 441 CRIC participants were eligible, and potential wait time was 20% shorter (95% confidence interval, 0.62 to 1.02) for Black than White participants. The median wait time that could be accrued for Black participants was 21 versus 26 months for White participants when using the creatinine-cystatin C equation. Using bootstrapping, the ratio of the time ratio of the models using the creatinine versus creatinine-cystatin C equation was statistically significantly different (ratio of the time ratios = 1.31 with 95% confidence interval, 1.06 to 1.62). CONCLUSIONS: Use of the 2021 creatinine-based CKD-EPI equation to determine preemptive waitlist eligibility reduced racial differences in preemptive wait time accrual more than use of the creatinine-cystatin C2021 CKD-EPI equation within a theoretical context.
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