| Literature DB >> 36118747 |
Zi-Le Shen1, Zhang Liu2, Peng Zhang2, Wei-Zhe Chen1, Wen-Xi Dong3, Wen-Hao Chen3, Feng Lin1, Wang-Fu Zang2, Xia-Lin Yan4, Zhen Yu1,3.
Abstract
Background: Increasing life expectancy of coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) remains to be the major concern of cardiac surgeons. However, few studies have investigated the effect of postoperative skeletal muscle index (SMI) loss on prognosis. This study aims to evaluate the prognostic role of postoperative SMI loss ≥ 5% after CABG, in order to develop a novel nomogram to predict overall survival (OS).Entities:
Keywords: coronary artery bypass grafting; nomogram; oral nutritional supplement; skeletal muscle loss; survival
Year: 2022 PMID: 36118747 PMCID: PMC9478409 DOI: 10.3389/fnut.2022.970729
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Nutr ISSN: 2296-861X
FIGURE 1Flowchart of patient selection.
Patient characteristics according to postoperative skeletal muscle mass loss.
| Total ( | T12 SMI loss |
| ||
| ≥5% ( | <5% ( | |||
| Age, years | 64.5 [59–70] | 65 [60.75–70] | 64 [58–69] | 0.228 |
| Gender, male | 384 (75.9) | 77 (78.6) | 307 (75.2) | 0.489 |
|
| ||||
| Hypertension | 403 (79.6) | 80 (81.6) | 323 (79.2) | 0.586 |
| Diabetes | 222 (43.9) | 49 (50.0) | 173 (42.4) | 0.173 |
| Previous MI | 35 (6.9) | 7 (7.1) | 28 (6.9) | 0.922 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 75 (14.8) | 15 (15.3) | 60 (14.7) | 0.881 |
| Tobacco use, yes | 201 (39.7) | 43 (43.9) | 158 (38.7) | 0.349 |
| Alcohol use, yes | 91 (18.0) | 21 (21.4) | 70 (17.2) | 0.323 |
|
| ||||
| C-reactive protein, mg/L | 3.17 [3.02–5.62] | 3.17 [3.02–6.53] | 3.17 [3.02–5.11] | 0.751 |
| White blood cells, × 109/L | 6.66 [5.39–8.06] | 7.06 [5.82–8.37] | 6.50 [5.32–7.99] | 0.020 |
| Red blood cells, × 1012/L | 4.33 [3.97–4.73] | 4.26 [3.96–4.67] | 4.36 [3.97–4.75] | 0.180 |
| Hemoglobin, g/L | 131 [119.75–143] | 129 [118–141] | 131.5 [120–144] | 0.175 |
| NLR | 2.36 [1.72–3.41] | 2.20 [1.59–3.44] | 2.38 [1.75–3.40] | 0.199 |
| Albumin, g/L | 41 [38.98–44] | 41 [38–43] | 41 [39–44] | 0.331 |
| BUN, μmol/L | 5.81 [4.78–7.08] | 6.00 [4.35–7.53] | 5.80 [4.83–6.98] | 0.929 |
| Creatinine, μmol/L | 76.00 [64.28–90.53] | 77.95 [63.95–98.03] | 75.65 [64.35–89.50] | 0.219 |
| BMI, kg/m2 | 24.69 [22.86–26.95] | 24.01 [22.48–26.05] | 24.91 [22.91–27.05] | 0.035 |
| Preoperative T12 SMI, cm2/m2 | 33.03 [28.92–37.08] | 32.82 [28.34–37.50] | 33.03 [29.18–36.95] | 0.518 |
| Postoperative T12 SMI, cm2/m2 | 32.56 [28.83–37.00] | 30.55 [25.92–34.89] | 33.31 [29.49–37.93] | <0.001 |
| PNI | 0.644 | |||
| >45 | 421 (83.2) | 80 (81.6) | 341 (83.6) | |
| ≤45 | 85 (16.8) | 18 (18.4) | 67 (16.4) | |
| GNRI | 0.073 | |||
| >98 | 447 (88.3) | 82 (83.7) | 365 (89.5) | |
| 92–98 | 38 (7.5) | 12 (12.2) | 26 (6.4) | |
| 82 to<92 | 17 (3.4) | 2 (2.0) | 15 (3.7) | |
| <82 | 4 (0.8) | 2 (2.0) | 2 (0.5) | |
| LVEF, % | 60 [55-64] | 60 [48-63.25] | 60 [56-64] | 0.045 |
| NYHA class 4 | 95 (18.8) | 21 (21.4) | 74 (18.1) | 0.454 |
| EuroSCORE II, % | 1.66 [1.30-2.28] | 1.91 [1.30-2.72] | 1.63 [1.30-2.21] | 0.023 |
|
| ||||
| Surgical type | 0.405 | |||
| Off-pump CABG | 163 (32.2) | 26 (26.5) | 137 (33.6) | |
| On-pump CABG | 294 (58.1) | 62 (63.3) | 232 (56.9) | |
| CABG + valve | 49 (9.7) | 10 (10.2) | 39 (9.6) | |
| Use of LIMA | 249 (49.2) | 43 (43.9) | 206 (50.5) | 0.240 |
| Number of bypassed vessels | 0.361 | |||
| 1 | 41 (8.1) | 12 (12.2) | 29 (7.1) | |
| 2 | 55 (10.9) | 11 (11.2) | 44 (10.8) | |
| 3 | 154 (30.4) | 26 (26.5) | 128 (31.4) | |
| 4 or more | 256 (50.6) | 49 (50.0) | 207 (50.7) | |
| Operative time, min | 220 [191–248.25] | 218.5 [191.5–247] | 220 [191–249] | 0.788 |
| CPB time, min | 65.5 [0–89] | 68.5 [0–88.75] | 64.5 [0–89] | 0.306 |
| Postoperative complications | 236 (46.6) | 51 (52.0) | 185 (45.3) | 0.233 |
| Severe complications | 189 (37.4) | 40 (40.8) | 149 (36.5) | 0.430 |
| Postoperative hospital stays, days | 10 [9–13] | 10.5 [9–15] | 10 [8–13] | 0.045 |
SMI, skeletal muscle index; MI, myocardial infarction; NLR, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; BUN, blood urea nitrogen; BMI, body mass index; PNI, prognostic nutritional index; GNRI, geriatric nutritional risk index; LVEF, left ventricular ejection; NYHA, New York Heart Association; EuroSCORE II, European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation II; CABG, coronary artery bypass grafting; LIMA, left internal mammary artery; CPB, cardiopulmonary bypass.
aMedian [p25- p75], all such values.
bNumber (percentage), all such values.
*Statistically significant (P < 0.05).
FIGURE 2The effects of ONS on T12 SMI loss.
FIGURE 3Kaplan-Meier curve for overall survival stratified by postoperative skeletal muscle mass loss.
Univariate and multivariate analyses for predictors of overall survival.
| Factors | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||
| HR (95% CI) |
| HR (95% CI) |
| |
| Age, years | 1.055 (1.018–1.095) | 0.004 | 1.051 (1.012–1.092) | 0.010 |
| Gender, male | 1.714 (0.763–3.853) | 0.192 | ||
| Hypertension | 0.991 (0.475–2.068) | 0.981 | ||
| Diabetes | 1.274 (0.700–2.319) | 0.429 | ||
| Previous MI | 1.031 (0.318–3.338) | 0.959 | ||
| Cerebrovascular disease | 1.796 (0.885–3.646) | 0.105 | ||
| Tobacco use | 1.318 (0.723–2.400) | 0.367 | ||
| Alcohol use | 1.282 (0.614–2.675) | 0.508 | ||
| BMI, kg/m2 | 0.958 (0.868–1.057) | 0.390 | ||
| Preoperative low SMI | 4.379 (2.389–8.024) | <0.001 | 2.638 (1.399–4.976) | 0.003 |
| T12 SMI per cent change,% | 0.790 (0.730–0.854) | <0.001 | 0.809 (0.749–0.874) | <0.001 |
| LVEF ≤ 50% | 2.374 (1.230–4.584) | 0.010 | 2.111 (1.063–4.190) | 0.033 |
| NYHA class 4 | 1.718 (0.857–3.443) | 0.127 | ||
| EuroSCORE II ≥ 4% | 2.906 (1.219–6.929) | 0.016 | ||
|
| ||||
| Off-pump CABG | 1 (Reference) | 0.378 | ||
| On-pump CABG | 1.453 (0.712–2.964) | 0.304 | ||
| CABG + valve | 1.962 (0.724–5.313) | 0.185 | ||
| Use of LIMA | 0.507 (0.268–0.960) | 0.037 | ||
|
| ||||
| 1 | 1 (Reference) | 0.174 | ||
| 2 | 0.872 (0.195–3.897) | 0.857 | ||
| 3 | 1.648 (0.487–5.572) | 0.422 | ||
| 4 or more | 0.802 (0.235–2.741) | 0.725 | ||
| Operative time, min | 1.002 (0.996–1.007) | 0.541 | ||
| CPB time, min | 1.004 (0.999–1.010) | 0.147 | ||
| C-reactive protein > 10 mg/L | 1.175 (0.495–2.790) | 0.715 | ||
| WBC > 10 × 109/L | 1.851 (0.726–4.719) | 0.197 | ||
| NLR ≥ 3 | 1.270 (0.684–2.359) | 0.449 | ||
| Hemoglobin, g/L | 0.978 (0.962–0.994) | 0.008 | ||
| Albumin | 0.970 (0.903–1.041) | 0.396 | ||
| Postoperative ONS | 0.818 (0.418–1.601) | 0.557 | ||
MI, myocardial infarction; BMI, body mass index; SMI, skeletal muscle index; LVEF, left ventricular ejection; NYHA, New York Heart Association; EuroSCORE II, European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation II; CABG, coronary artery bypass grafting; LIMA, left internal mammary artery; CPB, cardiopulmonary bypass; WBC, white blood cells; NLR, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; ONS, oral nutritional supplements.
*Statistically significant (P < 0.05).
FIGURE 4The nomogram developed to predict the overall survival. SMI, skeletal muscle index; %T12 SMI-change, T12 SMI percent change; LVEF, left ventricular ejection.
FIGURE 5Area under the ROC curves (AUC) for survival prediction in the overall population (A) and validation cohort (B). ROC, receiver operator characteristic.
FIGURE 6The calibration curve for survival prediction at (A) 1 year and (B) 2 years in the overall population and at (C) 1 year and (D) 2 years in the validation cohort. The nomogram-predicted probability of overall survival is plotted on the x-axis; the actual overall survival is plotted on the y-axis. OS, overall survival.
FIGURE 7Time-dependent AUCs over time for EuroSCORE II and the nomogram for predicting the overall survival. EuroSCORE II, European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation II; AUC, area under the receiver operator characteristic curves.