| Literature DB >> 36118035 |
Qi Yu1, Jisong Yan2, Shan Tian3, Wujin Weng4, Hong Luo2, Gang Wei5, Gangyu Long2, Jun Ma6, Fengyun Gong1, Xiaorong Wang7.
Abstract
Purpose: This study aimed to develop and validate a scoring system based on a nomogram of common clinical metrics to discriminate between active pulmonary tuberculosis (APTB) and inactive pulmonary tuberculosis (IPTB). Patients and methods: A total of 1096 patients with pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) admitted to Wuhan Jinyintan Hospital between January 2017 and December 2019 were included in this study. Of these patients with PTB, 744 were included in the training cohort (70%; 458 patients with APTB, and 286 patients with IPTB), and 352 were included in the validation cohort (30%; 220 patients with APTB, and 132 patients with IPTB). Data from 744 patients from the training cohort were used to establish the diagnostic model. Routine blood examination indices and biochemical indicators were collected to construct a diagnostic model using the nomogram, which was then transformed into a scoring system. Furthermore, data from 352 patients from the validation cohort were used to validate the scoring system.Entities:
Keywords: Active pulmonary tuberculosis; differential diagnosis; inactive pulmonary tuberculosis; nomogram; scoring system
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2022 PMID: 36118035 PMCID: PMC9478038 DOI: 10.3389/fcimb.2022.947954
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Cell Infect Microbiol ISSN: 2235-2988 Impact factor: 6.073
Figure 1Flowchart of participant selection and the performance of the steps (A); Flowchart of the diagnostic criteria for APTB and IPTB (B). APTB, active pulmonary tuberculosis; IPTB, inactive pulmonary tuberculosis; NTM, non-tuberculous mycobacteria; DCA, decision curve analysis; ROC, receiver operating characteristic. AUC, area under the curve; DR, drug resistance.
Demographic, clinical, and laboratory characteristics of the training set and validation set.
| Variables | training set (744) | validation set (352) | P | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APTB (458) | IPTB (286) | P | APTB (220) | IPTB (132) | P | ||
|
| 44.84 ± 18.092 | 46.56 ± 17.65 | 0.179 | 45.88 ± 17.21 | 47.77 ± 16.78 | 0.258 | 0.316 |
|
| 310 (67.7) | 177 (61.9) | 0.106 | 140 (63.6) | 86 (65.2) | 0.774 | 0.685 |
|
| 423 (92.4) | 129 (45.1) | <0.001 | 201 (91.4) | 71 (53.8) | <0.001 | 0.318 |
|
| 275 (60.0) | NA | NA | 127 (57.7) | NA | NA | 0.765 |
|
| |||||||
| Diabetes mellitus (%) | 50 (10.9) | 18 (6.3) | 0.033 | 28 (12.7) | 11 (8.3) | 0.204 | 0.312 |
| Positive for HbsAg (%) | 38 (8.3) | 18 (6.3) | 0.314 | 20 (9.1) | 8 (6.1) | 0.309 | 0.804 |
| Other infections (%) | 76 (16.6) | 46 (16.1) | 0.855 | 47 (21.4) | 22 (16.7) | 0.283 | 0.192 |
| Others (%) | 155 (33.8) | 114 (39.8) | 0.097 | 77 (35.0) | 54 (40.9) | 0.267 | 0.734 |
| NA (%) | 139 (30.4) | 90 (31.5) | 0.748 | 48 (21.8) | 37 (28.0) | 0.187 | 0.023 |
Typical symptoms: cough> 2 weeks, expectoration, fever, hemoptysis, chest pain, weight loss, anhelation and night sweat. Microbiological tests: smear microscopy, M. tuberculosis cultures, and nucleic acid amplification (NAA) assays (such as PCR and Xpert MTB/RIF). Other infections: bacterial, mycotic (diagnosed by microbiological evidence), and mycoplasma infections (positive for mycoplasma IgM). Others: bronchiectasis, hypertension, coronary heart disease, gallbladder polyps, and thyroid nodules.
Figure 2The performance of parameters in the training cohort. (A) The comparison between APTB and IPTB in the training cohort. The values represented the median after normalization to range between 0 and 1. *P < 0.05 and **P < 0.001; (B) The ROC analysis for significant parameters in univariate logistic regression analyses. Curves in the upper indicated that the levels of these indicators are higher in APTB than in IPTB. Curves in the bottom indicated that the levels of these indicators are lower in APTB than in IPTB.
Significant indexes in the multivariable logistic regression analyses.
| Variables | HR (95%CI) | P Value |
|---|---|---|
| MCV | 0.27 [0.16, 0.43] | <0.05 |
| ESR | 2.19 [1.39, 3.44] | <0.05 |
| ALB | 0.22 [0.14, 0.34] | <0.05 |
| ADA | 2.93 [1.82, 4.76] | <0.05 |
| MHR | 2.79 [1.79, 4.38] | <0.05 |
| HSCLR | 8.01 [5.07, 12.85] | <0.05 |
MCV, mean corpuscular volume; ESR, erythrocyte sedimentation rate; ALB, albumin; ADA, adenylate dehydrogenase; MHR, monocyte-to-high-density lipoprotein ratio; HSCLR, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein-to-lymphocyte ratio.
Figure 3Calibration and clinical use of a diagnostic nomogram for the identification of APTB and IPTB. (A) Diagnostic nomogram for discriminating APTB from IPTB. (B) The ROC analyses for the Diagnostic model. (C) Calibration curve of the diagnostic nomogram. (D) DCA of the diagnostic nomogram.
A scoring system developed from a nomogram of the training set.
| Parameters | Score generated from nomogram/10 (points) | Score modified from nomogram/10 (points) |
|---|---|---|
| MCV (<91) | 6.36 | 6 |
| ESR (≥27.2) | 3.75 | 4 |
| ALB (≤40) | 7.35 | 7 |
| ADA (≥12) | 5.17 | 5 |
| MHR (≥0.352) | 4.93 | 5 |
| HSCLR (>5.75) | 10 | 10 |
MCV, mean corpuscular volume; ESR, erythrocyte sedimentation rate; ALB, albumin; ADA, adenylate dehydrogenase; MHR, monocyte-to-high-density lipoprotein ratio; HSCLR, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein-to-lymphocyte ratio.
ROC analysis of the scoring system for identifying APTB in the training set.
| Cutoff score | Youden index | Sensitivity% (95%CI) | Specificity% (95%CI) | Likelihood ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 13.5 | 0.684 | 87.99 (84.66% to 90.82%) | 80.42 (75.34% to 84.86%) | 4.494 |
| > 14.5 | 0.689 | 86.03 (82.51% to 89.07%) | 82.87 (77.99% to 87.05%) | 5.021 |
| > 15.5 | 0.705 | 84.06 (80.38% to 87.29%) | 86.36 (81.83% to 90.12%) | 6.164 |
| > 16.5 | 0.702 | 81.66 (77.81% to 85.1%) | 88.46 (84.18% to 91.92%) | 7.077 |
| > 17.5 | 0.664 | 75.76 (71.57% to 79.62%) | 90.56 (86.56% to 93.69%) | 8.025 |
Figure 4Discrimination and calibration of the scoring system for discrimination of APTB and IPTB. ROC curves of the scoring system in the training cohort (A) and validation cohort (B). Calibration curves of the scoring system in the training cohort (C) and validation cohort (D).
| WBC | white blood cell |
| UA | uric acid |
| TP | total protein |
| SAA | serum amyloid A |
| RDW-CV | red blood cell volume distribution width |
| RDW-SD | standard deviation in red cell distribution width |
| RBC | red blood cell |
| PLT | platelet |
| PLR | platelet to lymphocyte ratio |
| PDW | platelet distribution width |
| PCT | platelet hematocrit |
| PA | prealbumin |
| NLR | neutrophils to lymphocyte ratio |
| NEUT | neutrophil count |
| Na+ | natrium |
| MPV | mean platelet volume |
| MONO | monocyte count |
| MLR | monocyte to lymphocyte ratio |
| MHR | monocyte to high density lipoprotein Ratio |
| MCV | mean red blood cell volume |
| MCHC | mean corpuscular hemoglobin contentration |
| MCH | mean corpuscular hemoglobin |
| LYMPH | lymphocyte count |
| LDL | low density lipoprotein |
| LDH | lactate dehydrogenase |
| LAR | Lactate dehydrogenase to Adenylate dehydrogenase Ratio |
| K+ | kalium |
| HSCRP | high sensitivity C-reactive protein |
| HSCPR | high sensitivity C-reactive protein to prealbumin ratio |
| HSCLR | high sensitivity C-reactive protein to lymphocyte ratio |
| HSCAR | high sensitivity C-reactive protein to albumin ratio |
| HDL | high density lipoprotein |
| HCT | hematocrit |
| Hb | hemoglobin |
| GLOB | globulin |
| GGT | gama-glutamyl transpeptidase |
| ESR | erythrocyte sedimentation rate |
| CYSC | cystatin C |
| CK | creatine kinase |
| CK-MB | CK isoenzyme MB |
| CL- | chlorine |
| CHOL | serum total cholesterol |
| Ca2+ | calcium |
| ALP | alkaline phosphatase |
| ALB | albumin |
| αHBDH | α-hydroxybutyrate dehydrogenase |
| AGR | albumin to globulin ratio |
| ADA | adenylate dehydrogenase |
| 5-NT | 5'-nucleoticlase. |