| Literature DB >> 36111000 |
Jian-Gong Zhang1, Hui-Fang Xu1, Qiong Chen1, Lu-Yao Zhang1, Xiao-Yang Wang1, Hong Wang1, Yin Liu1, Shu-Zheng Liu1, Lan-Wei Guo1, Li-Yang Zheng1, Yi-Xian Wang1, Yi-Ping Jing1, Chun-Ya Liu1, You-Lin Qiao1, Shao-Kai Zhang1, Bin-Bin Han1.
Abstract
Background: It is great of significance to figure the time-trend of esophageal cancer (EC) and its current status for effective prevention and control, especially in EC high risk areas. As one of world-renowned high-risk areas, the epidemiology of EC in Henan has not been recently updated. Therefore, we aimed to depict the status quo of EC and analyze its time-trend in Henan.Entities:
Keywords: Esophageal cancer (EC); Henan; incidence; mortality; trend
Year: 2022 PMID: 36111000 PMCID: PMC9469116 DOI: 10.21037/atm-22-4027
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ann Transl Med ISSN: 2305-5839
Figure 1Distribution of local cancer registries in Henan, 2018.
Quality control of EC in Henan, 2018
| Areas | Gender | M/I | MV (%) | DCO (%) | UB (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | Male | 0.77 | 80.03 | 1.19 | 0 |
| Female | 0.74 | 79.99 | 1.23 | 0 | |
| Both | 0.76 | 80.02 | 1.21 | 0 | |
| Urban | Male | 0.74 | 77.98 | 2.27 | 0 |
| Female | 0.71 | 80.09 | 2.08 | 0 | |
| Both | 0.73 | 78.72 | 2.2 | 0 | |
| Rural | Male | 0.78 | 80.55 | 0.92 | 0 |
| Female | 0.75 | 79.97 | 1.03 | 0 | |
| Both | 0.77 | 80.33 | 0.97 | 0 |
EC, esophageal cancer; M/I, mortality to incidence ratio; MV, morphological verification; DCO, death certification only; UB, unknown basis of diagnosis.
Incidence of esophageal cancer in Henan Province, 2018
| Areas | Gender | Cases | Incidence (1/105) | ASIRW (1/105) | ASIRC (1/105) | Cumulative rate (0–74 years, %) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | Both | 29,913 | 27.43 | 19.96 | 19.75 | 2.55 |
| Male | 18,715 | 33.07 | 26.00 | 25.63 | 3.30 | |
| Female | 11,198 | 21.34 | 14.17 | 14.10 | 1.79 | |
| Urban | Both | 7,104 | 20.92 | 14.84 | 14.58 | 1.85 |
| Male | 4,601 | 26.43 | 20.21 | 19.84 | 2.51 | |
| Female | 2,503 | 15.13 | 9.75 | 9.60 | 1.20 | |
| Rural | Both | 22,809 | 30.37 | 22.35 | 22.16 | 2.88 |
| Male | 14,114 | 36.02 | 28.66 | 28.29 | 3.67 | |
| Female | 8,695 | 24.2 | 16.26 | 16.23 | 2.07 |
ASIRW, age-standardized incidence rate by world standard population; ASIRC, age-standardized incidence rate by Chinese standard population.
Mortality of esophageal cancer in Henan, 2018
| Areas | Gender | Cases | Mortality (1/105) | ASMRW (1/105) | ASMRC (1/105) | Cumulative rate 0–74 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | Both | 22,688 | 20.80 | 14.47 | 14.36 | 1.71 |
| Male | 14,353 | 25.36 | 19.64 | 19.42 | 2.36 | |
| Female | 8,335 | 15.89 | 9.61 | 9.59 | 1.07 | |
| Urban | Both | 5,226 | 15.39 | 10.44 | 10.22 | 1.16 |
| Male | 3,427 | 19.68 | 14.79 | 14.44 | 1.69 | |
| Female | 1,799 | 10.88 | 6.38 | 6.29 | 0.64 | |
| Rural | Both | 17,462 | 23.25 | 16.36 | 16.32 | 1.97 |
| Male | 10,926 | 27.89 | 21.89 | 21.73 | 2.66 | |
| Female | 6,536 | 18.19 | 11.14 | 11.17 | 1.27 |
ASMRW, age-standardized mortality rate by world standard population; ASMRC, age-standardized mortality rate by Chinese standard population.
Figure 2Age-specific incidence and mortality of EC in Henan, 2018. EC, esophageal cancer.
Joinpoint linear regression analysis on age-specific incidence for esophageal cancer in Henan, 2018
| Areas | Gender | Segment 1 (slope) | Segment 2 (slope) | Segment 3 (slope) | Segment 4 (slope) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | Both | 0–44 (0.01) | 45–59 (2.54) | 60–74 (10.54*) | 75–85+ (2.38*) |
| Male | 0–54 (0.28*) | 55–74 (11.62*) | 75–85+ (4.05*) | ||
| Female | 0–44 (0.03) | 45–59 (1.39) | 60–74 (8.10*) | 75–85+ (3.23*) | |
| Urban | Both | 0–44 (−0.04) | 45–59 (2.37) | 60–85+ (6.34*) | |
| Male | 0–39 (0.05) | 40–54 (1.37) | 55–85+ (7.83*) | ||
| Female | 0–44 (0.00) | 45–59 (0.87) | 60–85+ (5.38*) | ||
| Rural | Both | 0–54 (0.17) | 55–74 (10.58*) | 75–85+ (1.44) | |
| Male | 0–54 (0.28*) | 55–74 (13.11*) | 75–85+ (2.51*) | ||
| Female | 0–59 (0.37*) | 60–74 (10.25*) | 75–85+ (1.97) |
*, P<0.05.
Joinpoint linear regression analysis on age-specific mortality for esophageal cancer in Henan, 2018
| Areas | Gender | Segment 1 (slope) | Segment 2 (slope) | Segment 3 (slope) | Segment 4 (slope) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | Both | 0–44 (0.01) | 45–59 (1.05*) | 60–79 (8.55*) | 80–85+ (12.33*) |
| Male | 0–44 (-0.01) | 45–59 (1.84*) | 60–79 (10.75*) | 80–85+ (15.98*) | |
| Female | 0–49 (0.00) | 50–64 (1.62*) | 65–79 (7.61*) | 80–85+ (12.06*) | |
| Urban | Both | 0–54 (0.02) | 55–79 (4.55*) | 79–85+ (16.07*) | |
| Male | 0–54 (0.10) | 55–79 (6.21*) | 79–85+ (19.42*) | ||
| Female | 0–59 (0.05) | 59–79 (3.81*) | 79–85+ (14.87*) | ||
| Rural | Both | 0–44 (0.02) | 45–59 (0.96) | 60–85+ (10.31*) | |
| Male | 0–44(0.02) | 45–59 (1.52) | 60–85+ (13.17*) | ||
| Female | 0–49 (0.00) | 46–64 (1.72) | 65–85+ (9.70*) |
*, P<0.05
The trend of incidence of esophageal cancer in Henan, 2010–2018
| Areas | Gender | Period | APC (95% CI) | P value | AAPC (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | Both | 2010–2014 | −1.1 (−7.1, 5.3) | 0.7 | −5.1 (−8, −2.1) |
| 2014–2018 | −8.9 (−14.5, −3) | <0.001 | |||
| Male | 2010–2016 | −2.7 (−6.2, 1) | 0.1 | −5.4 (−9.4, −1.2) | |
| 2016–2018 | −13.1 (−30.2, 8.1) | 0.1 | |||
| Female | 2010–2014 | −1.4 (−6.8, 4.4) | 0.5 | −5.8 (−8.5, −3.1) | |
| 2014–2018 | −10.1 (−15, −4.8) | <0.001 | |||
| Urban | Both | 2010–2014 | 13.4 (−3.5, 33.2) | 0.1 | −0.3 (−8, 8.1) |
| 2014–2018 | −12.2 (−25.3, 3.1) | 0.1 | |||
| Male | 2010–2014 | 14.5 (−1.7, 33.4) | 0.1 | 0.7 (−6.6, 8.7) | |
| 2014–2018 | −11.4 (−23.9, 3.3) | 0.1 | |||
| Female | 2010–2013 | 19.3 (−11.6, 60.9) | 0.2 | −0.5 (−9.9, 9.8) | |
| 2013–2018 | −10.8 (−22, 2) | 0.1 | |||
| Rural | Both | 2010–2018 | −5.2 (−6.9, −3.4) | <0.001 | −5.2 (−6.9, −3.4) |
| Male | 2010–2018 | −4.9 (−6.7, −3) | <0.001 | −4.9 (−6.7, −3) | |
| Female | 2010–2018 | −5.8 (−7.6, −3.9) | <0.001 | −5.8 (−7.6, −3.9) |
APC, average percentage change; AAPC, annual average percentage change; CI, confidence interval.
Figure 3Trends of the incidence and mortality of EC by area and gender in Henan, 2010–2018. EC, esophageal cancer.
The trend of mortality of esophageal cancer in Henan, 2010–2018
| Areas | Gender | Period | APC (95% CI) | P value | AAPC (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | Both | 2010–2014 | −0.3 (−6.1, 5.9) | 0.9 | −4.0 (−6.9, −1.1) |
| 2014–2018 | −7.6 (−13, −2) | <0.001 | |||
| Male | 2010–2018 | −3.5 (−5.5, −1.5) | <0.001 | −3.5 (−5.5, −1.5) | |
| Female | 2010–2013 | 1.2 (−7.6, 10.8) | 0.7 | −4.7 (−7.5, −1.8) | |
| 2013–2018 | −8.1 (−11.8, −4.3) | <0.001 | |||
| Urban | Both | 2010–2014 | 12 (−6.4, 34) | 0.2 | −0.6 (−9.2, 8.7) |
| 2014–2018 | −11.9 (−26.4, 5.5) | 0.1 | |||
| Male | 2010–2014 | 13.5 (−7.2, 38.9) | 0.2 | 0.8 (−8.9, 11.4) | |
| 2014–2018 | −10.6 (−26.9, 9.4) | 0.2 | |||
| Female | 2010–2012 | 35.3 (−15.3, 116) | 0.1 | −0.6 (−9.4, 9) | |
| 2012–2018 | −10.3 (−17.1, −2.9) | <0.001 | |||
| Rural | Both | 2010–2018 | −3.9 (−5.6, −2.1) | <0.001 | −3.9 (−5.6, −2.1) |
| Male | 2010–2018 | −3.5 (−5.3, −1.7) | <0.001 | −3.5 (−5.3, −1.7) | |
| Female | 2010–2018 | −4.7 (−6.4, −2.9) | <0.001 | −4.7 (−6.4, −2.9) |
APC, average percentage change; AAPC, annual average percentage; CI, confidence interval.