| Literature DB >> 36101621 |
Jorge Castro-Bedriñana1, Doris Chirinos-Peinado1, Gina De La Cruz-Calderón2.
Abstract
Objectives: A limitation in the design and monitoring of public health policies is the lack of conceptual models to explain their results. The objective of this study was to develop a predictive model of stunting in children under 5 years of age in the central Andean region of Peru, using socioeconomic and agro-productive predictors. Study design: Cross-sectional data of 380 families in 15 districts of the central region of Peru. WHO criteria were used to define stunting prediction model.Entities:
Keywords: Agri-food determinants; Guinea pig Raising; Peruvian high andes; Socioeconomic disparities; Stunting prediction
Year: 2021 PMID: 36101621 PMCID: PMC9461592 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhip.2021.100112
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Public Health Pract (Oxf) ISSN: 2666-5352
Descriptive statistics variables of the peasant families of the Central Andes of Peru.
| Variables | Min | Max | Average | S.D. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mother’s age | 16.00 | 45.00 | 29.74 | 7.15 |
| Number of family members | 2.00 | 12.00 | 5.28 | 1.81 |
| Number of sleeping rooms | 1.00 | 6.00 | 2.04 | 1.09 |
| Number of times of eating protein food per day | 0.00 | 7.00 | 2.14 | 1.30 |
| Number of times of eating protective foods a day | 0.00 | 8.00 | 1.37 | 1.32 |
| Birth weight of evaluated children (grams) | 2000.00 | 4800.00 | 3029.79 | 449.82 |
| Average number of cows per family | 0.00 | 9.00 | 1.14 | 1.60 |
| Average number of sheep per family | 0.00 | 80.00 | 3.54 | 9.06 |
| Average number of pigs per family | 0.00 | 15.00 | 0.65 | 1.43 |
| Average number of guinea pigs per family | 0.00 | 100.00 | 6.47 | 10.16 |
| Average number of birds per family | 0.00 | 21.00 | 2.02 | 3.45 |
| Weight of the evaluated child, kg | 2.60 | 21.50 | 10.93 | 3.07 |
| Height of the evaluated child, cm | 47.00 | 113.20 | 80.52 | 12.48 |
| Child’s Hb level, adjusted for altitude, mg/dl | 5.20 | 16.10 | 10.41 | 1.70 |
| Height Z-score for age (WHO 2006) | −5.66 | 2.48 | −1.69 | 1.28 |
| Stunting prevalence. % | – | – | 40.3 | |
| Anemia prevalence, % | – | – | 62.9 |
Stunting and its association with the variables evaluated.
| Variable | Stunting, % | r | P-value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | No | |||
| Timely consumption of colostrum | 28.0 | 72.0 | −0.333∗∗ | 0.000 |
| Non-timely consumption of colostrum | 62.0 | 38.0 | ||
| Sex of child tested (male) | 44.3 | 55.7 | 0.079 | 0.126 |
| Sex of child tested (female) | 36.5 | 83.5 | ||
| Birth weight (less than 3000 g) | 52.1 | 47.9 | 0.210∗∗ | 0.000 |
| Birth weight (greater than 3000 g) | 31.3 | 68.7 | ||
| Child have anemia | 42.7 | 57.3 | 0.064 | 0.212 |
| Child does not have anemia | 36.2 | 63.8 | ||
| Maternal education (secondary & higher) | 30.2 | 69.8 | 0.196∗∗ | 0.000 |
| Maternal education (No education & primary school) | 49.5 | 50.5 | ||
| Mother’s age (less than 30 years old | 41.6 | 58.4 | 0.313 | 0.576 |
| Mother’s age (over 30 years) | 38.8 | 61.3 | ||
| Marital status (Married) | 37.0 | 63.0 | −0.040 | 0.440 |
| Marital status (Single or cohabiting) | 41,4 | 58.6 | ||
| Ownership of farmland | 39.0 | 61.0 | −0.042 | 0.416 |
| Ownership of farmland | 43.5 | 56,5 | ||
| Ownership of vegetable garden | 37.2 | 62.8 | −0.041 | 0,247 |
| Do not have a vegetable garden | 41.6 | 58.4 | ||
| Raise guinea pigs | 30.2 | 69.8 | −0.273∗∗ | 0.000 |
| Do not raise guinea pigs | 58.0 | 42.0 | ||
| Do not raise guinea pigs | 40.8 | 59.2 | 0.009 | 0.865 |
| Do not raise chickens/hens | 39.9 | 60.1 | ||
| Raise pigs | 39.6 | 60.4 | −0.008 | 0.874 |
| Do not raise pig | 40.5 | 59.5 | ||
| Raise cows | 37.6 | 62.5 | −0.48 | 0.351 |
| Do not raise cows | 42.4 | 67.6 | ||
| Raise sheep | 41.7 | 58.3 | 0.021 | 0.685 |
| Do not raise sheep | 39.5 | 60.5 | ||
r = Spearman correlation.
Predictive model components of stunting with dichotomous variables.
| Variables | β | Standard Error | Wald | DF | Exp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COC | −1.417 | 0.235 | 36.326 | 1 | <0.01 | 0.242 (4.132 |
| RGP | −1.137 | 0.235 | 23.381 | 1 | <0.01 | 0.321 (3.115 |
| Constant | 3.928 | 0.494 | 63.199 | 1 | <0.01 | 50.875 |
Nagelkerke R square = 0.216.
Hosmer and Lemeshow test = 0.917.
Overall percentage correctly classified = 68.4.
Colostrum Consumption within the first 6 h after birth (Yes = 1, No = 2).
Raising Guinea Pigs for family consumption (Yes = 1, No = 2).
1/Exp(β).
Predictive model components of stunting with polytomous and dichotomous variables.
| Variables | β | Standard Error | Wald | DF | Exp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ME | 0.680 | 0.242 | 7.930 | 1 | <0.01 | 1.974 |
| FS | 0.373 | 0.241 | 2.396 | 1 | 0.122 | 1.452 |
| COC | −1.359 | 0.246 | 30.642 | 1 | <0.01 | 0.257 (3.891 |
| BW | 0.817 | 0.246 | 11.005 | 1 | <0.01 | 2.264 |
| DC | −1.215 | 0.552 | 4.835 | 1 | 0.028 | 0.297 (3.367 |
| DC | −0.305 | 0.265 | 1.329 | 1 | 0.249 | 0.737 (1.357 |
| RGP | −1.147 | 0.246 | 21.766 | 1 | <0.01 | 0.318 (3.145 |
| Constant | 2.836 | 1.029 | 7.592 | 1 | <0.01 | 17.047 |
Nagelkerke R square = 0.293.
Prueba de Hosmer y Lemeshow = 0.483.
Overall percentage correctly classified = 72.9.
Maternal Education: Secondary or higher (Yes = 1, No = 2).
Female Sex (Yes = 1, No = 2).
Colostrum Consumption within the first 6 h after birth (Yes = 1, No = 2).
Birth Weight, <3 kg (Yes = 1, No = 2).
Daily Consumption (Yes = 1, No = 2).
They raise guinea pigs for family consumption (Yes = 1, No = 2).
1/Exp(β).
Predictive model components of stunting with polytomous, dichotomous and numerical variables.
| Variables | β | Standard Error | Wald | DF | Exp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ME | −0.658 | 0.246 | 7.156 | 1 | <0.01 | 0.518 (1.931 |
| COC | −1.321 | 0.251 | 27.635 | 1 | <0.01 | 0.267 (3.745 |
| BW | −0.002 | 0.000 | 29.495 | 1 | <0.01 | 0.998 (1.022 |
| RGP | −1.070 | 0.252 | 18.083 | 1 | <0.01 | 0.343 (2.915 |
| Constant | 7.194 | 1.043 | 47.561 | 1 | <0.01 | 1331.516 |
Nagelkerke R square = 0.345.
Prueba de Hosmer y Lemeshow = 0.967.
Overall percentage correctly classified = 74.5.
Maternal Education: Secondary or higher (Yes = 1, No = 0).
Colostrum Consumption within the first 6 h after birth (Yes = 1, No = 0).
Birth Weight (grams).
Raising Guinea Pigs for family consumption (Yes = 1, No = 2).
1/Exp(β).