| Literature DB >> 36094706 |
Aamir Azeem1,2, Muhammad Akram Naseem1, Naveed Ul Hassan2, Ijaz Butt2, Muhammad Toseef Aslam2, Shahid Ali3, Atif Khan Jadoon4.
Abstract
This research article examines the impact of stock market capitalization on carbon emissions using forty high carbon-emitting countries from 1996 to 2018. This study adopts the Driscoll-Kraay method that simultaneously tackles heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation, and contemporaneous correlation issues. We find an inverted U relationship between stock market capitalization (SMC) and environmental degradation. We propose an extended environmental Kuznets curve based on SMC while energy intensity, industrialization, and urbanization increase emissions in sample countries. The quadratic method, SLM test, and derivative graphing detect the consensus of the inverted U relationship. The weak-negative SMC2 coefficient reveals that the dangerous impact of capitalization declines gradually and finally curbs the environmental degradation challenges. The relationship is strong in highly polluted countries with overvalued stock markets. The study catches no policy synergies between the growing stock market and increased carbon emissions. Stock market capitalization should be integrated into climate change adaptation strategies at national and regional levels, primarily to address the dark effect of environmental degradation.Entities:
Keywords: Efficiency; Environmental degradation; Stock market capitalization; Inverted U; Threshold
Year: 2022 PMID: 36094706 PMCID: PMC9465146 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-022-22885-1
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ISSN: 0944-1344 Impact factor: 5.190
Fig. 12nd order derivative of SMC with CO2 Panel A
Variable description
| Variable | Description | Obs | Mean | Std. Dev | Min | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CO2 | CO2 emissions (metric tons per capita) | 920 | 7.41 | 4.96 | 0.67 | 25.67 |
| SMC | Stock market capitalization % of GDP | 920 | 74.87 | 56.55 | 0.12 | 352.16 |
| LGDPPC | Log of GDP per capita (constant 2015 US$) | 920 | 9.55 | 1.16 | 6.48 | 11.56 |
| URB | Urban population (% of the total population) | 920 | 72.15 | 17.13 | 26.82 | 100 |
| EI | Energy intensity level of primary energy (MJ/$2011 PPP GDP) | 820 | 5.05 | 2.03 | 1.81 | 14.39 |
| IVA | Industry (including construction), value added (% of GDP) | 920 | 29.29 | 9.94 | 10.52 | 71.51 |
| DF | Dummy variable coded 1 if SMC > threshold otherwise, 0 | 920 | 0 | 1 |
Data source: W.D.I., (1996–2018) sample: China: USA, India, Japan, Saudi Arabia, Chile, Russia, Switzerland, South Africa, Luxembourg, Singapore, Canada, Thailand, Korea, Rep, Australia. Philippines, Netherlands, Spain, France, Italy, Israel, Colombia, Belgium, Peru, Malaysia, Mauritius, Germany, Indonesia, Brazil, Ireland, Norway, Mexico, Turkey, Malta, Greece, Italy, UK, Iran, Poland, Pakistan.
Result of cross-section independence and multi-collinearity
| Error process | V.I.F | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| SMC | 3.78*** | 0.00 | 1.29 |
| LGDPPC | 4.97*** | 0.00 | 1.69 |
| URB | 4.79** | 0.00 | 1.33 |
| EI | 5.47*** | 0.00 | 1.13 |
| IVA | 3.6*** | 0.00 | 1.19 |
***Rejection of the H0 < 1% significance level, **for H0 <5%, revealing that countries are not independent but correlated across the panel group. We converted the GDPPC variable into log transformation to avoid the issue of a unit root. SMC has no unit root as per the Levin-Lin-Chu test
Fig. 2Semiparametric regression output of Panel A
Result of XTPCSE and XtSCC
| Log of CO2 per capita emission | Panel A OLS | Panel A XTPCSE | Panel A XTSCC | Panel B XTPCSE | Panel B XSCC | Panel C XTPCSE | Panel C XTSCC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMC | 0.0556 (5.73 ***) | 0.0031 (7.37***) | 0.0028 (2.33 ***) | 0.0024 (2.23 ***) | 0.0042 (3.56 ***) | 0.0063 (4.3 ***) | 0.0062 (4.4 ***) |
| SMC2 | − 0.0002 (− 4.42***) | − 0.0001 (− 5.38***) | − 0.0002 (− 3.36***) | − 0.00001 (− 0.78***) | − 0.00001 (− 1.25) | − 0.00001 (− 4.85) | − 0.00001 (− 4.66) |
| LGDPPC | 0.001 (2.95***) | 0.0023 (0.14) | 0.00031 (19.9***) | 0.000022 (19.9***) | 0.0362 (2.21***) | 0.0063 (13.22***) | 0.0362 (9.49***) |
| URB | 0.138 (23.2***) | 0.02312 (10.29***) | 0.0215 (18.4***) | 0.0002 (15.3***) | 0.000023 (15.3***) | 0.0333 (29.4***) | 0.0331 (33.7***) |
| EI | 1.06 (22.2***) | 0.03036 (3.9***) | 0.1764574 (19.3***) | 0.1429 (13.5***) | 0.0229 (1.5) | 0.1938 (20.95***) | 0.0229 (1.5) |
| IVA | 0.649 (6.38***) | 00,089 (4.99***) | 0.0152 (8.57***) | 0.0178 (13.97***) | 0.0178 (2.93***) | 0.0149 (7.02***) | 0.0151 (13.61***) |
| DF | − 0.0648 (1.05) | − 0. 0648 (2.4**) | − 0.0485 (2.37**) | − 0.1881 (− 3.61***) | − 0.1881 (− 2.24**) | − 0.1133 (− 1.79*) | − 0.1113 (− 2.14*) |
| Obs | 920 | 920 | 920 | 276 | 276 | 276 | 276 |
| R2 | 0.72 | 0.59 | 0.66 | 0.64 | 0.67 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| Model Sig | 4179.2*** | 1311.1*** | 2687.9*** | 9452.2*** | 948.9*** | 2005.6*** | 3679.1*** |
| SLM Sig | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| S.L.M. Fieller | [121–160] | [120–166] | [120–166] | [156–260] | [156–260] | [136–179] | [136–179] |
| Threshold | 97% | 110% | - | 172% | - | 150% | - |
| Hetro test | 7330.5*** | 5121.2*** | 433.4*** | ||||
| Auto. test | 112.6*** | 107.2*** | 97.3*** |
O.L.S. robust: Panel A consists of the top 40 CO2 emitters globally, per the 2018 ranking. Weighted least squares (column 2). XTPCSE FE (column 3); fixed effect, XTSCC (column 4). Tackle issue of heteroscedasticity and contemporaneous correlation and autocorrelation at a time): Panel B consists of the top 10 CO2 emitter globally as per the 2018 ranking. Panel C consists of the top 10 ranked high stock market to capitalization to GDP percentage as of 2018. SLM test is inverted U relationship testing; threshold means the second-order derivatives where the relationship is inverse. Fieller’s confidence shows absolute term. S.L.M. Sig. The p-value of the hypothesis of inverted U. T state is given in (). We also tested the quadratic term of LGDPPC for testing and found EKC presence as the relationship has inverted U (result not provided)
Result of SML test on aggregate data
| Variables | World | OECD | High income | European union | Panel A | Panel B | Panel C |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMC Slop Min | + *** | + *** | + *** | + ** | + ** | + ** | + ** |
| SMC Slop Max | -*** | -*** | -*** | -** | -** | -** | -** |
| SLM Test Stat | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| CI Fieller 90% | [90–320] | [95–103] | [91–163] | [50–57] | [39–57] | [136.64–179.2] |
Table 2 shows the SLM test that measures an inverted U-shape relationship between the log of CO2PC and SMC. The second column shows results based on world aggregate data; column 3 OECD aggregate data; column 4 high-income aggregate data; column 5 European union aggregate data; column 6 Panel A countries; column 7 Panel B countries; column 8 Panel C countries; row 1 + sign represents a positive coefficient between SMC and log of CO2PC; row 2 represents the negative coefficient between SMC and Log of CO2PC. Row 3 provides the p-value of the test, and the last row represents values where the relationship becomes insignificant. ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1
Result of quadratic relationship on aggregate data
| World | OECD | High income | European Union | Panel A countries | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMC | 0.004 (1.7*) | 0.002 (9.6*) | 0.002 (12.3*) | 0.011 (13.6*) | 0.0023 (2.43***) |
| SMC2 | − 0.001 (1.86**) | − 0.001 (− 8.7*) | − 0.001 (− 10.1*) | − 0.00 (− 11.1*) | − 0.001 (− 3.3***) |
| Control | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| F-Stats | (69.64***) | (106***) | (121***) | (113***) | (113***) |
The level and quadratic relationship of the SMC T state are given in (). F-stats are model fitness, while control variables are included in the models but not presented. Negative and significant coefficients are signs of a potential nonlinear relationship between SMC and Log of CO2PC
Result of quadratic relationship of SMC and correlation at country level
| Country | SMC | SMC2 |
| SMC CO2 Corel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia | 0.393 | − 0.0022428 | 597.280 | 0.19 |
| South Africa | 0.065 | − 0.0001287 | 1693.350 | 0.52 |
| Switzerland | 0.052 | − 0.0001185 | 639.660 | 0.04 |
| Malaysia | 0.077 | − 0.0002106 | 370.830 | − 0.3189 |
| Luxembourg | 0.219 | − 0.000485 | 444.830 | 0.4375 |
| Chile | 0.072 | − 0.0003169 | 444.900 | 0.1388 |
| USA | 0.318 | − 0.0013434 | 982.890 | − 0.1505 |
| Canada | 0.233 | − 0.0007937 | 1205.220 | − 0.0913 |
| Thailand | 0.088 | − 0.0005147 | 375.820 | 0.8484 |
| Korea, Rep | 0.313 | − 0.0020604 | 289.710 | 0.7663 |
| Australia | 0.304 | − 0.0012708 | 1792.550 | 0.4686 |
| Philippines | 0.034 | − 0.0002538 | 329.940 | 0.4537 |
| Netherlands | 0.193 | − 0.0008679 | 777.960 | 0.0963 |
| Spain | 0.140 | − 0.0006744 | 520.630 | 0.5053 |
| Colombia | 0.086 | − 0.0009938 | 138.260 | 0.0286 |
| India | 0.029 | − 0.0001408 | 348.160 | 0.5484 |
| France | 0.156 | − 0.0010299 | 181.600 | − 0.2550 |
| Israel | 0.232 | − 0.001368 | 362.200 | 0.1241 |
| Mauritius | 0.080 | − 0.0005279 | 470.740 | 0.7377 |
| Belgium | 0.308 | − 0.0022499 | 423.260 | − 0.0743 |
| Japan | 0.236 | − 0.0013922 | 2078.530 | − 0.0821 |
| Peru | 0.064 | − 0.0006428 | 532.700 | 0.5544 |
| Brazil | 0.077 | − 0.0006479 | 365.120 | 0.0300 |
| Ireland | 0.335 | − 0.0026706 | 279.610 | 0.4216 |
| Norway | 0.288 | − 0.0024454 | 754.330 | − 0.1429 |
| Indonesia | 0.091 | − 0.001129 | 423.290 | 0.6725 |
| Mexico | 0.279 | − 0.0045492 | 858.630 | 0.2867 |
| China | 0.170 | − 0.0010175 | 183.490 | 0.5642 |
| Germany | 0.422 | − 0.0043665 | 1032.160 | − 0.1269 |
| Oman | 0.580 | − 0.0056543 | 251.210 | 0.4870 |
| Malta | 0.241 | − 0.0022789 | 101.230 | 0.1083 |
| Russian Federation | 0.440 | − 0.0036461 | 157.050 | 0.4725 |
| Turkey | 0.294 | − 0.0050571 | 371.390 | 0.0150 |
| Poland | 0.611 | − 0.0101962 | 154.760 | − 0.2384 |
| Greece | 0.367 | − 0.0033419 | 282.000 | 0.7176 |
| Singapore | 0.108 | − 0.0002946 | 580.000 | − 0.6750 |
| Iran, Islamic Rep | 0.444 | − 0.0047731 | 111.200 | 0.3921 |
| UK | 0.123 | − 0.0004324 | 324.120 | 0.2286 |
| Italy | 0.356 | − 0.0038075 | 413.290 | 0.4570 |
| Pakistan | 0.062 | − 0.0009979 | 556.700 | 0.6739 |