| Literature DB >> 36091686 |
Donghyuk Kang1, Tae Hyun Ban2, Ho Jun Chin3, Hajeong Lee4, Se Won Oh5, Cheol Whee Park6, Chul Woo Yang6, Bum Soon Choi2.
Abstract
Many studies have shown that chronic changes are strong predictors of renal outcomes in various kidney diseases, including IgA nephropathy. The Mayo Clinic/Renal Pathology Society suggested a glomerulonephritis reporting system with a proposal for standardized grading of chronic changes. The purpose of this study was to predict renal outcomes in patients with IgA nephropathy using chronicity grading in comparison to the Oxford classification which did not include global sclerosis. A total of 4,151 patients with IgA nephropathy were enrolled from the Korean GlomeruloNephritis Study Group registry. Chronicity grading was categorized into minimal, mild, moderate, and severe according to the extent of chronic changes. The Oxford T and S scores were considered as chronic lesions. Three prediction models were constructed: the Oxford classification model (Oxford S plus T), chronicity grading model A (chronicity grading), and chronicity grading model B (chronicity grading plus Oxford S). Using these three prediction models, the primary renal outcome (end-stage renal disease) was evaluated using Cox regression analysis and prediction performance. During the median follow-up of 6.1 (2.7-9.9) years, 304 (7.3%) patients progressed to end-stage renal disease with a cumulative incidence rate of 1.02 events per 100 person-years. In a fully adjusted multivariable model, chronicity grading was independently associated with the primary renal outcome in both models A and B. Compared to the Oxford model, both models A and B showed improvements in model fit, but not in discrimination (ΔC 0.001; 95% CI, -0.010 to 0.013 and ΔC 0.002; 95% CI, -0.005 to 0.008, respectively). Model B demonstrated improvements in integrated discrimination improvement (0.01; 95% CI, 0-0.03) and continuous net reclassification improvement (0.49; 95% CI, 0.02-0.72). The severity of chronicity grading is closely related to adverse renal outcomes in patients with IgA nephropathy, and chronicity grading could provide additional information in clinical practice alongside the Oxford classification.Entities:
Keywords: IgA nephropathy; end-stage renal disease; glomerulosclerosis; interstitial fibrosis; pathology; renal biopsy
Year: 2022 PMID: 36091686 PMCID: PMC9449317 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2022.952050
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Med (Lausanne) ISSN: 2296-858X
Baseline characteristics of 4,151 patients with IgA nephropathy, categorized by chronicity grading.
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| Age - yr | 33 (22–45) | 41 (33–51) | 43 (34–52) | 42 (33–53) | 37 (26–47) | <0.001 |
| Male | 1,303 (52.9) | 587 (48.9) | 139 (48.8) | 108 (54.0) | 2,137 (51.5) | 0.09 |
| BMI ( | 23.2 (21.0–25.9) | 23.7 (21.4–26.3) | 23.1 (21.4–25.7) | 23.5 (21.8–25.5) | 23.3 (21.1–26.0) | 0.018 |
| Former/current smoker ( | 404 (19.2) | 219 (22.7) | 50 (24.2) | 44 (41.9) | 717 (21.2) | <0.001 |
| DM ( | 126 (5.2) | 70 (5.9) | 26 (9.2) | 27 (13.6) | 249 (6.1) | <0.001 |
| Hypertension ( | 666 (27.3) | 611 (51.2) | 175 (61.6) | 134 (67.0) | 1,586 (38.5) | <0.001 |
| SBP - mmHg ( | 120 (110–132) | 124 (113–138) | 130 (120–140) | 126 (117–141) | 122 (112–135) | <0.001 |
| DBP - mmHg ( | 77 (70–82) | 80 (70–85) | 80 (72–90) | 80 (70–89) | 79 (70–83) | <0.001 |
| MAP - mmHg ( | 92 (83–100) | 93 (85–102) | 97 (88–104) | 93 (86–105) | 93 (83–100) | <0.001 |
| Serum uric acid - mg/dL ( | 5.6 (4.5–6.7) | 6.3 (5.1–7.5) | 6.9 (5.7–8.3) | 7.3 (6.0–8.4) | 5.9 (4.7–7.0) | <0.001 |
| Serum total cholesterol - mg/dL ( | 178 (154–209) | 188 (162–218) | 189 (164.5–223) | 194 (162–227) | 183 (157–213) | <0.001 |
| Serum IgA - mg/dL ( | 305 (241–383) | 320 (261–407.5) | 307 (247–406) | 330 (242–424) | 311 (247–395) | <0.001 |
| Serum C3 - mg/dL ( | 106 (92–121) | 106 (93–121) | 104 (91–119) | 101 (86–117) | 106 (92–121) | 0.033 |
| Serum C4 - mg/dL ( | 25 (21–32) | 28 (23–34) | 28 (24–35) | 30 (24–37) | 27 (21–33) | <0.001 |
| CKD stage | <0.001 | |||||
| Stage 1 | 1,683 (68.3) | 370 (30.8) | 27 (9.5) | 14 (7.0) | 2,094 (50.4) | |
| Stage 2 | 569 (23.1) | 451 (37.6) | 83 (29.1) | 38 (19.0) | 1,141 (27.5) | |
| Stage 3 | 159 (6.5) | 318 (26.5) | 124 (43.5) | 67 (33.5) | 668 (16.1) | |
| Stage 4 | 35 (1.4) | 52 (4.3) | 40 (14.0) | 52 (26.0) | 179 (4.3) | |
| Stage 5 | 19 (0.8) | 10 (0.8) | 11 (3.9) | 29 (14.5) | 69 (1.7) | |
| Serum creatinine - mg/dL | 0.9 (0.7–1.0) | 1.1 (0.8–1.4) | 1.4 (1.1–1.9) | 1.9 (1.3–2.8) | 0.9 (0.8–1.2) | <0.001 |
| eGFR - ml/min per 1.73 m2 | 104 (84–120) | 74 (53–96) | 52 (34–72) | 37 (23–61) | 90 (64–112) | <0.001 |
| Spot uPCR - g/g ( | 0.7 (0.3–1.4) | 1.2 (0.7–2.3) | 1.9 (1.0–3.2) | 2.1 (0.9~3.9) | 1.1 (0.5~2.3) | <0.001 |
| uPCR <0.5 | 799 (40.3) | 175 (16.5) | 29 (11.6) | 19 (10.7) | 1,022 (29.5) | <0.001 |
| 0.5 ≤ uPCR <1.0 | 460 (23.2) | 262 (24.7) | 37 (14.9) | 30 (16.9) | 789 (22.8) | |
| 1.0 ≤ uPCR <3.5 | 576 (29.1) | 487 (45.9) | 126 (50.6) | 75 (42.4) | 1264 (36.4) | |
| 3.5 ≤ uPCR | 147 (7.4) | 136 (12.8) | 57 (22.9) | 53 (29.9) | 393 (11.3) | |
| Polyclonal IgA | 1,723 (69.9) | 886 (73.8) | 206 (72.3) | 127 (63.5) | 2,942 (70.9) | 0.009 |
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| Oxford classification M1 score | 1,493 (60.6) | 956 (79.6) | 238 (83.5) | 149 (74.5) | 2,836 (68.3) | <0.001 |
| Oxford classification S1 score | 352 (14.3) | 569 (47.4) | 152 (53.3) | 91 (45.5) | 1,164 (28.0) | <0.001 |
| Oxford classification T score | <0.001 | |||||
| T0 | 2,465 (100) | 1,184 (98.6) | 127 (44.6) | 0 (0) | 3,776 (91.0) | |
| T1 | 0 (0) | 5 (0.4) | 53 (18.6) | 2 (1.0) | 60 (1.4) | |
| T2 | 0 (0) | 12 (1.0) | 105 (36.8) | 198 (99.0) | 315 (7.6) | |
| Oxford classification C score | <0.001 | |||||
| C0 | 2,024 (82.1) | 907 (75.5) | 208 (73.0) | 155 (77.5) | 3,553 (79.2) | |
| C1 | 416 (16.9) | 260 (21.6) | 67 (23.5) | 40 (20.0) | 849 (18.9) | |
| C2 | 25 (1.0) | 34 (2.8) | 10 (3.5) | 5 (2.5) | 81 (1.8) | |
Values for continuous variables are presented as median (interquartile range); values for categorical variables are presented as numbers (%). Missing results were excluded and the characteristics of the remaining patients are listed.
Chronicity grading was derived from the new standardized chronicity grading system of GN based on the chronicity score: minimal (0–1), mild (2–4), moderate (5–7), and severe (8–10).
Endocapillary lesion was not evaluated in this study.
BMI, body mass index; DM, diabetes mellitus; SBP, systolic blood pressure; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; MAP, mean arterial pressure; CKD, chronic kidney disease; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; uPCR, urine protein-to-creatinine ratio; ESRD, end-stage renal disease; GN, glomerulonephritis.
Adverse outcome event rates among groups categorized by chronicity grading.
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| No. of patients | 4,151 | 2,465 | 1,201 | 285 | 200 |
| Person-year | 29,925.3 | 18,336.7 | 8,063.1 | 2,064.7 | 1,460.8 |
| Events (%) | 304 (7.3) | 50 (2.0) | 112 (9.3) | 67 (23.5) | 75 (37.5) |
| Events per 100 person-yr | 1.02 | 0.27 | 1.39 | 3.25 | 5.13 |
| Median period for events (IQR) | 5.1 (1.9–8.8) | 7.1 (3.0–11.0) | 6.0 (2.5–9.0) | 4.0 (1.5–6.7) | 3.0 (1.0–6.7) |
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| No. of patients | 3,612 | 2,098 | 1,088 | 259 | 167 |
| Person-year | 21,965.0 | 13,769.5 | 6,044.3 | 1,416.9 | 734.3 |
| Events (%) | 427 (11.8) | 118 (5.6) | 163 (15.0) | 83 (32.0) | 63 (37.7) |
| Events per 100 person-yr | 1.94 | 0.86 | 2.70 | 5.86 | 8.58 |
| Median period for events (IQR) | 3.8 (2.0–6.5) | 5.4 (2.7–7.7) | 3.8 (2.0–6.3) | 3.4 (1.7–5.8) | 2.5 (1.3–3.8) |
ESRD, end-stage renal disease; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; IQR, interquartile range.
Comparison of interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy lesions and glomerulosclerosis lesions.
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| <10% | 10–25% | 26–50% | >50% | |||
| Interstitial fibrosis | <10% | T0/CS0 | T0/CS1 | T1/CS2 | T2/CS3 | |
| 3,006 (96.7) | 124 (17.6) | 4 (7.3) | 27 (9.6) | |||
| 10–25% | T0/CS1 | T0/CS2 | T1/CS3 | T2/CS4 | ||
| 90 (2.9) | 556 (78.8) | 6 (10.9) | 30 (7.1) | |||
| 26–50% | T1/CS2 | T1/CS3 | T1/CS4 | T2/CS5 | ||
| 1 (0.03) | 8 (1.1) | 41 (74.5) | 2 (0.7) | |||
| >50% | T2/CS3 | T2/CS4 | T2/CS5 | T2/CS6 | ||
| 13 (0.4) | 18 (2.5) | 4 (7.3) | 231 (82.5) | |||
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| 0% | 1–9% | 10–25% | 26–50% | >50% | ||
| Segmental sclerosis | 0% | S0/CS0 | S0/CS0 | S0/CS1 | S0/CS2 | S0/CS3 |
| 911 (74.5) | 450 (54.6) | 529 (49.0) | 263 (35.4) | 109 (38.5) | ||
| 1–9% | S1/CS0 | S1/CS0 | S1/CS1 | S1/CS2 | S1/CS3 | |
| 139 (11.4) | 184 (22.3) | 191 (17.7) | 150 (20.2) | 61 (21.6) | ||
| 10–25% | S1/CS1 | S1/CS1 | S1/CS1 | S1/CS2 | S1/CS3 | |
| 133 (10.9) | 150 (18.2) | 271 (25.1) | 233 (31.4) | 88 (31.1) | ||
| 26–50% | S1/CS2 | S1/CS2 | S1/CS2 | S1/CS2 | S1/CS3 | |
| 33 (2.7) | 30 (3.6) | 80 (7.4) | 80 (10.8) | 23 (8.1) | ||
| >50% | S1/CS3 | S1/CS3 | S1/CS3 | S1/CS3 | S1/CS3 | |
| 6 (0.5) | 10 (1.2) | 9 (0.8) | 16 (2.2) | 2 (0.7) | ||
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| <10% | 10–25% | 26–50% | >50% | |||
| Interstitial fibrosis | <10% | 1912 (93.5) | 809 (74.7) | 359 (48.6) | 81 (28.6) | |
| 10–25% | 108 (5.3) | 224 (20.7) | 257 (34.8) | 83 (29.3) | ||
| 26–50% | 3 (0.1) | 9 (0.8) | 23 (3.1) | 17 (6.0) | ||
| >50% | 23 (1.1) | 41 (3.8) | 100 (13.5) | 102 (36.0) | ||
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| IF | 0.86 | 0.47 | 0.49 | 0.20 | ||
| TA | 0.48 | 0.49 | 0.22 | |||
| GS | 0.90 | 0.49 | ||||
| Global sclerosis | 0.21 | |||||
| Segmental sclerosis | ||||||
Correlation coefficients (R) between each chronicity lesion are shown (P < 0.001 for all).
CS, chronicity score; IF, interstitial fibrosis; TA, tubular atrophy; GS, glomerulosclerosis.
We used gray shade to differentiate T lesions (T0, T1, T2) in Table 3A, and S lesions (S0, S1) in Table 3B.
Relationship between Oxford classification T score and glomerulosclerosis.
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| Oxford T score | ≤ 25% (T0) | 1,662 (98.7) | 1,214 (95.1) | 721 (83.3) | 179 (55.2) |
| 26–50% (T1) | 1 (0.1) | 12 (0.9) | 29 (3.3) | 18 (5.6) | |
| >50% (T2) | 21 (1.2) | 51 (4.0) | 116 (13.4) | 127 (39.2) | |
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| Oxford T score | ≤ 25% (T0) | 2,792 (93.5) | 984 (84.5) | ||
| 26–50% (T1) | 22 (0.7) | 38 (3.3) | |||
| >50% (T2) | 173 (5.8) | 142 (12.2) | |||
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| Oxford T score | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.14 | ||
(A) Diverse distribution of glomerulosclerosis was observed in Oxford T0 score, in which the majority of advanced glomerulosclerosis was included. (B) The majority of segmental sclerosis was observed in Oxford T0 score. (C) Correlation coefficients (R) between Oxford T score and glomerulosclerosis are shown (P < 0.001 for all).
Figure 1Renal outcomes with the chronicity grading. (A) Chronicity grading with ESRD progression. (B) Chronicity grading with 50% reduction in eGFR.
Univariate Cox regression analysis with ESRD progression.
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| 0.96 (0.96–0.97) | <0.001 |
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| 1.02 (1.02–1.03) | <0.001 |
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| 1.15 (1.12–1.19) | <0.001 |
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| Minimal | 1 (reference) | |
| Mild | 5.08 (3.64–7.10) | <0.001 |
| Moderate | 12.04 (8.34–17.39) | <0.001 |
| Severe | 19.16 (13.38–27.44) | <0.001 |
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| S1 | 2.77 (2.21–3.47) | <0.001 |
| T1 | 4.06 (2.46–6.71) | <0.001 |
| T2 | 6.07 (4.75–7.76) | <0.001 |
| M1 | 1.61 (1.24–2.08) | <0.001 |
| C1 | 1.49 (1.15–1.94) | <0.001 |
| C2 | 5.04 (3.15–8.06) | <0.001 |
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| 1.03 (1.02–1.04) | <0.001 |
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| 1.30 (1.04–1.64) | 0.023 |
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| 3.22 (2.31–4.51) | <0.001 |
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| GS1 | 3.47 (2.25–5.34) | <0.001 |
| GS2 | 9.16 (6.08–13.81) | <0.001 |
| GS3 | 21.07 (13.90–31.92) | <0.001 |
| IF1 | 4.46 (3.38–5.87) | <0.001 |
| IF2 | 7.81 (4.67–13.08) | <0.001 |
| IF3 | 8.82 (6.61–11.76) | <0.001 |
| TA1 | 5.39 (4.07–7.14) | <0.001 |
| TA2 | 7.55 (4.53–12.58) | <0.001 |
| TA3 | 10.50 (7.84–14.08) | <0.001 |
| AS1 | 1.98 (1.51–2.60) | <0.001 |
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| 1.87 (1.42–2.48) | <0.001 |
ESRD, end-stage renal disease; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; MAP, mean arterial pressure; uPCR, urine protein-to-creatinine ratio; DM, diabetes mellitus; GS, glomerulosclerosis; IF, interstitial fibrosis; TA, tubular atrophy; AS, arteriosclerosis.
Association of chronicity grading and oxford classification with ESRD progression.
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| 229/3,027 | 223/2,995 | 229/3,027 | 223/2,995 | 229/3,027 | 223/2,995 | ||||||
| eGFR | 0.97 (0.96–0.97) | <0.001 | 0.97 (0.96–0.97) | <0.001 | 0.97 (0.97–0.98) | <0.001 | 0.97 (0.97–0.98) | <0.001 | 0.97 (0.97–0.98) | <0.001 | 0.97 (0.97–0.98) | <0.001 |
| MAP | 1.00 (0.99–1.01) | 0.658 | 1.00 (0.99–1.01) | 0.875 | 1.00 (0.99–1.00) | 0.328 | 1.00 (0.99–1.00) | 0.389 | 1.00 (0.99–1.01) | 0.494 | 1.00 (0.99–1.01) | 0.654 |
| uPCR | 1.06 (1.00–1.12) | 0.063 | 1.04 (0.98–1.11) | 0.164 | 1.06 (1.02–1.11) | 0.005 | 1.05 (1.01–1.10) | 0.030 | 1.05 (0.98–1.11) | 0.148 | 1.03 (0.96–1.10) | 0.434 |
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| Minimal | 1 (reference) | <0.001 | 1 (reference) | <0.001 | 1 (reference) | <0.001 | 1 (reference) | <0.001 | ||||
| Mild | 2.85 (1.90–4.27) | 2.81 (1.83–4.31) | 2.55 (1.69–3.87) | 2.51 (1.62–3.91) | ||||||||
| Moderate | 4.07 (2.59–6.40) | 4.22 (2.61–6.81) | 3.42 (2.13–5.49) | 3.56 (2.16–5.86) | ||||||||
| Severe | 4.18 (2.61–6.68) | 4.39 (2.68–7.19) | 3.65 (2.26–5.91) | 3.85 (2.33–6.39) | ||||||||
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| S1 | 1.62 (1.13–2.32) | 0.009 | 1.64 (1.13–2.39) | 0.009 | 1.28 (0.88–1.86) | 0.193 | 1.27 (0.86–1.88) | 0.222 | ||||
| T1 | 1.08 (0.61–1.91) | 0.024 | 1.07 (0.60–1.91) | 0.022 | ||||||||
| T2 | 1.46 (1.05–2.01) | 1.47 (1.06–2.04) | ||||||||||
| M1 | 1.18 (0.85–1.64) | 0.33 | 1.08 (0.77–1.51) | 0.667 | 0.99 (0.71–1.39) | 0.965 | ||||||
| C1 | 1.02 (0.75–1.40) | 0.180 | 1.13 (0.83–1.54) | 0.031 | 1.07 (0.79–1.47) | 0.060 | ||||||
| C2 | 2.03 (1.09–3.77) | 2.00 (1.08–3.73) | 2.13 (1.14–3.98) | |||||||||
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| 1.00 (0.99–1.01) | 0.501 | 0.99 (0.98–1.00) | 0.264 | 1.00 (0.99–1.01) | 0.447 | ||||||
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| 1.30 (0.99–1.70) | 0.063 | 1.23 (0.94–1.62) | 0.128 | 1.30 (0.99–1.71) | 0.061 | ||||||
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| 1.66 (1.05–2.62) | 0.031 | 1.63 (1.04–2.58) | 0.035 | 1.69 (1.07–2.66) | 0.025 | ||||||
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| 0.314 | 0.261 | 0.322 | 0.195 | ||||||||
Multivariate Cox regression analysis of (A) Oxford S and T scores, (B) chronicity grading, and (C) chronicity grading and Oxford S score with ESRD progression. Model 1 was adjusted for eGFR, MAP, uPCR, and interaction terms. Fully adjusted Model 2 contained predictors of Model 1 plus Oxford M, Oxford C score, and additional predictors (age, sex, DM, and interaction term). Additional predictors of model 2 were selected using backward elimination chosen among age, sex, smoking, DM, BMI, and interaction between age and eGFR and between uPCR and each of MAP, sex, Oxford M/S/T/C score, and chronicity grading, and between chronicity grading and Oxford M/S/T/C score.
ESRD, end-stage renal disease; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; MAP, mean arterial pressure; uPCR, urine protein-to-creatinine ratio; DM, diabetes mellitus; BMI, body mass index.
Prediction performance of the chronicity grading models compared with the oxford classification model.
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| Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 goodness-of-fit test | 0.591 | 0.135 | 0.449 |
| AIC | 2,824 | 2,798 | 2,793 |
| C statistic | 0.90 (0.87–0.93) | 0.90 (0.87–0.93) | 0.90 (0.87–0.93) |
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| ΔC statistic | 0.001 (−0.010–0.013) | 0.002 (−0.005–0.008) | |
| Continuous NRI | 0.03 (−0.43–0.56) | 0.49 (0.02–0.72) | |
| NRI (events) | 0.02 (−0.20–0.26) | 0.23 (−0.04–0.40) | |
| NRI (non-events) | 0.01 (−0.33–0.35) | 0.26 (0.03–0.37) | |
| IDI | 0.01 (−0.02–0.03) | 0.01 (0–0.03) | |
Data are reported as measure (95% CI). Calibration was assessed using the Hosmer–Lemeshow χ2goodness-of-fit test, and P value of <0.05 suggesting a poor model fit. Discrimination was assessed using the C statistic; and reclassification using the IDI and overall continuous NRI. For the change(Δ) in the C statistic, continuous NRI, and IDI, a statistically significant improvement was indicated by a 95% CI that did not include 0.
The Oxford classification model was fully adjusted for eGFR, MAP, uPCR, Oxford M/S/T/C score, age, sex, DM, and the interaction between uPCR and Oxford S score.
Chronicity grading model A is similar to the Oxford classification model except for chronicity grading instead of Oxford S/T score; chronicity grading model B contains model A plus Oxford S score.
AIC, Akaike information criterion; NRI, net reclassification improvement; IDI, integrated discrimination improvement.
Figure 2Calibration plot for predicted vs. observed 5-year risks of the primary renal outcome. (A) Calibration plots by deciles of predicted risk for Oxford classification model, (B) Chronicity grading model A, and (C) Chronicity grading model B.
Impact of global sclerosis in addition to Oxford classification on ESRD progression.
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| 2,824 | 2,785 | 2,825 | |||
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| 0.90 (0.87–0.93) | 0.90 (0.87–0.92) | 0.90 (0.87–0.93) | |||
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| 223/2,995 | 223/2,995 | 223/2,995 | |||
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| 0.97 (0.96–0.97) | <0.001 | 0.97 (0.97–0.98) | <0.001 | 0.97 (0.96–0.97) | <0.001 |
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| 1.00 (0.99–1.01) | 0.875 | 1.00 (0.99–1.01) | 0.543 | 1.00 (0.99–1.01) | 0.867 |
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| 1.04 (0.98–1.11) | 0.164 | 1.03 (0.96–1.10) | 0.453 | 1.04 (0.98–1.11) | 0.158 |
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| Global sclerosis 1 | 1.80 (1.02–3.19) | <0.001 | ||||
| Global sclerosis 2 | 3.54 (2.03–6.17) | |||||
| Global sclerosis 3 | 5.29 (2.91–9.60) | |||||
| Arteriosclerosis 1 | 1.06 (0.76–1.47) | 0.735 | ||||
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| S1 | 1.64 (1.13–2.39) | 0.009 | 1.21 (0.81–1.80) | 0.346 | 1.65 (1.13–2.39) | 0.009 |
| T1 | 1.07 (0.60–1.91) | 0.022 | 0.82 (0.45–1.48) | 0.922 | 1.06 (0.59–1.90) | 0.024 |
| T2 | 1.47 (1.06–2.04) | 1.01 (0.71–1.44) | 1.46 (1.05–2.04) | |||
| M1 | 1.18 (0.85–1.64) | 0.330 | 1.06 (0.75–1.48) | 0.751 | 1.18 (0.85–1.64) | 0.333 |
| C1 | 1.02 (0.75–1.40) | 0.180 | 1.14 (0.84–1.57) | 0.030 | 1.02 (0.75–1.40) | 0.180 |
| C2 | 2.03 (1.09–3.77) | 2.50 (1.34–4.67) | 2.02 (1.09–3.77) | |||
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| 1.00 (0.99–1.01) | 0.501 | 1.00 (0.99–1.01) | 0.494 | 1.00 (0.99–1.01) | 0.472 |
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| 1.30 (0.99–1.70) | 0.063 | 1.32 (1.01–1.74) | 0.045 | 1.29 (0.98–1.70) | 0.074 |
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| 1.66 (1.05–2.62) | 0.031 | 1.81 (1.14–2.86) | 0.011 | 1.64 (1.03–2.60) | 0.036 |
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| 0.261 | 0.179 | 0.286 | |||
Additional model adjustment for the previous Oxford classification model 2 was as follows: Model 3A was adjusted for model 2 plus the chronicity grading of global sclerosis. Model 3B was adjusted for model 2 plus the chronicity grading of arteriosclerosis.
ESRD, end-stage renal disease; AIC, Akaike information criterion; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; MAP, mean arterial pressure; uPCR, urine protein-to-creatinine ratio; DM, diabetes mellitus.
Association of chronicity grading and Oxford classification with ESRD progression in patients with both Oxford S0 and T0.
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| 72/1,915 | 69/1,894 | 72/1,915 | 69/1,894 | 69/1,894 | |||||
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| 0.97 (0.96–0.97) | <0.001 | 0.97 (0.96–0.97) | <0.001 | 0.97 (0.96–0.98) | <0.001 | 0.97 (0.96–0.98) | <0.001 | 0.97 (0.96–0.98) | <0.001 |
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| 1.00 (0.98–1.02) | 0.972 | 1.00 (0.98–1.02) | 0.874 | 1.00 (0.98–1.02) | 0.938 | 1.00 (0.99–1.02) | 0.662 | 1.00 (0.99–1.02) | 0.645 |
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| 1.07 (1.00–1.14) | 0.043 | 1.05 (0.98–1.13) | 0.164 | 1.07 (0.99–1.15) | 0.083 | 1.05 (0.97–1.14) | 0.267 | 1.04 (0.96–1.13) | 0.308 |
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| Minimal | 1 (reference) | <0.001 | 1 (reference) | <0.001 | 1 (reference) | <0.001 | ||||
| Mild | 2.69 (1.59–4.56) | 2.73 (1.55–4.82) | 2.59 (1.51–4.46) | |||||||
| Moderate | 9.76 (4.81–19.79) | 11.59 (5.48–24.49) | 11.00 (5.32–22.72) | |||||||
| Severe | N/A | N/A | N/A | |||||||
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| M1 | 1.30 (0.76–2.22) | 0.338 | 0.95 (0.55–1.66) | 0.860 | ||||||
| C1 | 1.11 (0.62–1.99) | 0.602 | 1.14 (0.64–2.05) | 0.402 | 1.12 (0.63–2.01) | 0.463 | ||||
| C2 | 1.31 (0.42–4.12) | 1.75 (0.55–5.62) | 1.67 (0.52–5.37) | |||||||
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| 1.00 (0.98–1.02) | 0.865 | 0.99 (0.97–1.01) | 0.450 | ||||||
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| 1.01 (0.62–1.65) | 0.976 | 1.08 (0.66–1.75) | 0.759 | ||||||
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| 2.47 (1.21–5.06) | 0.013 | 3.16 (1.57–6.37) | 0.001 | 3.00 (1.52–5.92) | 0.002 | ||||
Multivariate Cox regression analysis of patients with S0 and T0. Model 1 was adjusted for eGFR, MAP, and uPCR. Fully adjusted Model 2 contained predictors of Model 1 plus Oxford M, Oxford C score, and additional predictors (age, sex, and DM). Additional predictors of model 2 were selected using backward elimination chosen among age, sex, smoking, DM, BMI, and interaction between age and eGFR and between uPCR and each of MAP, sex, Oxford M/C score, and chronicity grading, and between chronicity grading and Oxford M/C score.
No patients were observed in the severe chronicity grading; because the chronicity grading score of 6 was the highest score among participants.
Model 3 was modified with six variables from Model 2, excluding Oxford M score, age, and sex which were least significant, owing to violation of the rule of thumb.
ESRD, end-stage renal disease; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; MAP, mean arterial pressure; uPCR, urine protein-to-creatinine ratio; DM, diabetes mellitus; BMI, body mass index.
Figure 3Subgroup analysis of renal outcome (progression to ESRD) between minimal (reference) and severe chronicity grading from fully adjusted chronicity grading model B.