Literature DB >> 36090606

Survival Patterns and Predictors of Mortality among COVID-19 Patients Admitted to Treatment Centers in Oromia Region, Ethiopia.

Ephrem Mannekulih Habtewold1, Godana Arero Dassie1, Shileshi Garoma Abaya1, Endashaw Abebe Debela2, Bekana Lemessa Bayissa3, Worku Dugassa Girsha1, Alem Deksisa Abebe1, Hunde Lemi Sori1, Meyrema Abdo Komicha1, Birhanu Kenate Sori4, Gemechu Shumi Bajiga4, Melese Lemi Heyi4, Dabesa Gobena Iticha4, Tesfaye Kebebew Jiru4, Mengistu Bekele Hurissa4, Dereje Abdena Bayisa4, Lemesa Tadese Amante4, Yadeta Ayana Sima4, Dejene Gemachu Dhaba4.   

Abstract

Purpose: To assess survival patterns and predictors of mortality among patients admitted with COVID-19 to treatment centers in the Oromia region of Ethiopia from April 1 to August 31, 2021.
Methods: A prospective cohort study design was employed, taking a sample of 854 patients selected from eight treatment centers in the region. The follow-up duration was the time interval from admission to the treatment center until the final disposition of patients at discharge (death, recovery, or failed to recover). Data were collected by computer tablet with an interviewer-administered questionnaire and checklist designed using CSPro 7.5 and exported to Stata 13 for analysis. Descriptive analysis was used to explore the characteristics of patients. The mortality rate was estimated by number of deaths per 1,000 person-days of observation. The survival duration was estimated by medians with IQR. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to compare the survival experiences of patients. To identify the predictors of time to death after hospitalization, a Cox proportional-hazard model was used. The magnitude of association was estimated using HRs with 95% CIs, and statistical significance was set at P<0.05.
Results: The mortality rate among hospitalized patients was 9.9 per 1,000 person-days of observation and the median survival time after admission was 9 (IQR 9-10) days. Higher hazard of death was observed among patients who drank alcohol (AHR 2.0, 95% CI 1.2-3.3), required anticoagulants (AHR 10, 95% CI 1.2-91.5), glucocorticoids (AHR 1.7, 95% CI 1.1-2.8), and oxygen (AHR 4.7, 95% CI 1.1-22.0), those with acute respiratory distress syndrome (AHR 2.9, 95% CI 1.7-5.1), and critical patients admitted to intensive care units (AHR 3.4, 95% CI 2.0-5.9).
Conclusion: The hazard of death is significantly predicted by alcohol use, requiring anticoagulants, glucocorticoids, or oxygen medication, acute respiratory distress syndrome complication, and being critical when admitted to intensive care units.
© 2022 Habtewold et al.

Entities:  

Keywords:  COVID-19; Ethiopia; Oromia; mortality; survival

Year:  2022        PMID: 36090606      PMCID: PMC9462951          DOI: 10.2147/IDR.S355060

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Infect Drug Resist        ISSN: 1178-6973            Impact factor:   4.177


  16 in total

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Journal:  Crit Care       Date:  2020-01-02       Impact factor: 9.097

9.  COVID-19 risk and outcomes in patients with substance use disorders: analyses from electronic health records in the United States.

Authors:  Quan Qiu Wang; David C Kaelber; Rong Xu; Nora D Volkow
Journal:  Mol Psychiatry       Date:  2020-09-14       Impact factor: 15.992

10.  COVID-19 and alcohol in Mexico: A serious health crisis, strong actions on alcohol in response-Commentary on Stockwell et al.

Authors:  María E Medina-Mora; Martha Cordero-Oropeza; Claudia Rafful; Tania Real; Jorge A Villatoro-Velazquez
Journal:  Drug Alcohol Rev       Date:  2020-10-07
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