Literature DB >> 36074771

Effects of intravesical BCG maintenance therapy duration on recurrence rate in high-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC): Systematic review and network meta-analysis according to EAU COVID-19 recommendations.

Young Joon Moon1, Kang Su Cho2, Jae Yong Jeong1, Doo Yong Chung3, Dong Hyuk Kang3, Hae Do Jung4, Joo Yong Lee1,5.   

Abstract

PURPOSE: During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, the European Association of Urology (EAU) recommended that courses of intravesical bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) therapy lasting more than 1 year could be safely terminated for patients with high-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). Thus, we conducted a systematic review and network meta-analysis according to EAU's COVID-19 recommendations.
MATERIALS AND METHODS: A systematic review was performed following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis guidelines. We conducted a network meta-analysis of recurrence rate in patients with NMIBC receiving induction therapy (M0) and those receiving maintenance therapy lasting 1 year (M1) and more than 1 year (M2).
RESULTS: Nineteen studies of 3,957 patients were included for the network meta-analysis. In a node-split forest plot using Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) modeling, there were no differences between the M1 and M2 groups in recurrence rate [odds ratio (OR) 0.95 (0.73-1.2)]. However, recurrence rate in the M0 group was higher than that in the M1 [OR 1.9 (1.5-2.5)] and M2 [OR 2.0 (1.7-2.4)] groups. P-score tests using frequentist inference to rank the treatments in the network demonstrated that the therapy used in the M2 group (P-score 0.8701) was superior to that used in the M1 (P-score 0.6299) and M0 groups (P-score 0). In rank-probability tests using MCMC modeling, the M2 group showed the highest rank, followed by the M1 and M0 groups.
CONCLUSION: In the network meta-analysis, there were no differences between those receiving BCG maintenance therapies in terms of recurrence rate. In the rank tests, therapy lasting more than 1-year appears to be most effective. During the COVID-19 pandemic, 1-year maintenance therapy can be used, but after the COVID-19 pandemic, therapy lasting more than 1-year could be beneficial.

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Year:  2022        PMID: 36074771      PMCID: PMC9455878          DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0273733

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  PLoS One        ISSN: 1932-6203            Impact factor:   3.752


Introduction

Bladder cancer is the 10th most common cancer in the world. The incidence of bladder cancer is increasing globally [1]. Approximately 75–85% of patients have the non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) type [2]. The treatment of choice for NMIBC is transurethral resection of the bladder tumor (TURBT) [3]. Features of NMIBC include a high recurrence rate after TURBT and the potential risk of progression to muscle-invasive disease [4]. Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) immunotherapy is considered the most effective adjuvant treatment to prevent recurrence and progression of high-risk NMIBC after TURBT [5]. BCG is a vaccine against tuberculosis that has been used as an immunotherapy for bladder cancer for more than 40 years [6]. In particular, three-quarters of early diagnosed bladder cancers are NMIBC, which is characterized by a high recurrence rate. Reduction of disease recurrence and prevention of progression to muscle-invasive disease are important considerations in NMIBC management [4]. In this aspect, intravesical BCG immunotherapy has been used as the backbone of adjuvant therapy after TURBT in patients with NMIBC [7]. Although the European Association of Urology (EAU)’s guidelines recommend 3-week instillations at 3, 6, 12, 18, 24, 30, and 36 months based on European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer data, the optimal duration of maintenance BCG is still unknown [8]. The coronavirus disease 2019, also known as COVID-19, has spread around the world, and the World Health Organization officially declared it a pandemic on March 11, 2020. Healthcare has been severely impacted, and urology practices have also been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic [9]. According to EAU’s COVID-19 recommendations, EAU’s NMIBC panel recommends 1-year intravesical BCG maintenance immunotherapy in patients with high-risk NMIBC [10]. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to determine the appropriate duration of BCG maintenance therapy during the COVID-19 pandemic since 2020.

Materials and methods

Inclusion criteria

We defined study eligibility following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines (S1 Table) [11]. The patient population was histologically confirmed to be NMIBC positive in tissue collected after TURBT. The intervention was intravesical BCG immunotherapy. The comparator was duration. The outcome was recurrence rate. The study design was a systematic review and meta-analysis. Patients were categorized into three groups: induction BCG therapy only (M0), 1-year BCG maintenance therapy (M1), and BCG maintenance therapy lasting more than 1 year (M2). Patients in the BCG maintenance therapy groups (M1 and M2) received induction BCG therapy followed by regular BCG maintenance therapy for at least 1 year, while patients in the M0 group received induction BCG therapy only. Any strain or dose of BCG was considered appropriate. We conducted this study based on the standard PRISMA guidelines [12].

Search strategy

Literature searches for all publications prior to September 31, 2021 were carried out using PubMed and EMBASE. The following medical subject headings terms and keywords were used for the search: “urinary bladder neoplasms,” “urothelial carcinoma of bladder,” “transitional cell carcinoma of bladder,”“bladder carcinoma,” “bladder cancer,” “BCG,” “Bacillus Calmette-Guérin,” and “maintenance.”

Data extraction

Two researchers (YJM and JYJ) screened the titles and abstracts of articles that were independently identified by the search strategy to exclude irrelevant studies. They also evaluated the full text of the articles to find potentially related articles. They extracted the most relevant articles in each study. Disagreements were solved by debate among the researchers until a consensus was reached.

Quality assessment for studies

In the case of randomized controlled trials (RCTs), the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool was used, and in the case of nonrandomized studies, the methodological index for nonrandomized studies (MINORS) was used. Quality of evidence grading was performed using the Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network (SIGN) checklist, consisting of various types of research. The quality assessment was conducted independently by our researchers.

Heterogeneity tests

The Q statistic and Higgins’ I2 statistic were used for evaluations of study heterogeneity. Higgins’ I2 was calculated as follows: where “Q” is Cochran’s heterogeneity statistic and “df” is the degrees of freedom. When the P value was less than 0.10, heterogeneity was considered significant. If evidence of heterogeneity existed, the data were analyzed using a random-effects model. Studies in which positive results had been confirmed were assessed with a pooled specificity using 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Statistical analysis

The primary outcome was tumor recurrence, which was measured using the odds ratio (OR) with 95% CIs. All statistical analyses were performed with R software (version 4.1.2, R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria; http://www.r-project.org) and with the associated meta, netmeta, pcnetmeta, and gemtc packages for pairwise and network meta-analyses. This systematic review is registered in PROSPERO, CRD 42021291265.

Results

Eligible studies

A total of 1,602 articles were verified by the initial database search. Of these, 1,409 articles were excluded: 502 were duplicate publications and 907 were excluded after reviewing the abstracts. A total of 193 articles were selected for full text evaluation. Further review excluded 174 articles because they were not relevant to the analysis: 89 were out of scope; 15 had a questionable study design; 39 were in review journals; 25 cited improper interventions; and 6 were excluded due to other causes. Finally, 19 articles were selected for the meta-analysis. Fig 1 shows the study flow chart.
Fig 1

Study flow chart.

Characteristics of included studies with quality assessment and publication bias

The characteristics and recurrence rates described in the 19 included studies are shown in Table 1 [13-31]. These eligible studies were published between 1987 and 2021. Nineteen studies with a total of 3,957 patients were included in the qualitative and quantitative analyses. There were just two published studies that included the M1 and M2 groups. Five studies included the M0 and M1 groups, and 12 studies included the M0 and M2 groups (Fig 2).
Table 1

Characteristics of included studies.

M0, induction BCG therapy only; M1, 1-year BCG maintenance therapy; M2, BCG maintenance therapy for more than 1 year.

CategoryStudyMethodsStudy designBCG strainNo. of PatientsMean/median follow-up periodRecurrenceQuality assessment (SIGN)
M0 vs. M1Mohamed et al. 2020 [13]M0ProspectivePasteur2740 months152+
M12635 months5
Yoo et al. 2012 [14]M0RetrospectiveOncoTICE3416.5 months16a1+
M19243 months21a
Okamura et al. 2011 [15]M0RetrospectiveTokyo2766 months13b1+
M148102 months8b
Koga et al. 2010 [16]M0Randomized controlledTokyo2728.7 months7a2+
M12426.5 months1a
Akaza et al. 1995 [17]M0Randomized controlledTokyo5542 months201+
M15248 months22
M0 vs. M2Miyake et al. 2021 [18]M0RetrospectiveTokyo or Connaught87448 months175a2+
M240541a
Koguchi et al. 2020 [19]M0RetrospectiveTokyo4036.2 months142+
M2385
Joshua et al. 2019 [20]M0RetrospectiveNot addressed40Not addressed8a1+
M2617a
Yuk et al. 2018 [21]M0RetrospectiveNot addressed2963 months142+
M2265
Nakai et al. 2016 [22]M0Randomized controlledConnaught4251 months9b2+
M2469b
Martínez-Piñeiro et al. 2015 [23]M0Randomized controlledConnaught195103 months80b2+
M2202102 months68b
Muto et al. 2013 [24]M0RetrospectiveConnaught6442.3±33.1 months23b1+
M24051.1±34.6 months6b
Hinotsu et al. 2011 [25]M0Randomized controlledConnaught42Not addressed14a1+
M2415a
Palou et al. 2001 [26]M0Randomized controlledConnaught6177.8 months162+
M26510
Lamm et al. 2000 [27]M0Randomized controlledConnaught192Not addressed113b2+
M219277b
Badalament et al. 1987 [28]M0Randomized controlledPasteur4622 months31+
M2476
Hudson et al. 1987 [29]M0Randomized controlledPasteur2117.2 months61+
M2215
M1 vs. M2Gupta et al. 2020 [30]M1Randomized controlledMoscow38Not addressed5b2+
M2406b
Oddens et al. 2013 [31]M1Randomized controlledOncoTICE3397.1 years1452+
M2338131

aDuring the 2-year follow-up;

bduring the 5-year follow-up.

The quality assessment was indicated by Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network (SIGN) checklist. 1+ means well-conducted RCT with a low risk of bias. 1- means RCT with a high risk of bias. 2+ means well-conducted cohort studies with a low risk of bias. 2- means cohort studies with a high risk of bias.

Fig 2

Network plots for included studies.

There were just two published studies that included the M1 and M2 groups. Five studies included the M0 and M1 groups, and 12 studies included the M0 and M2 groups. M0, induction BCG therapy only; M1, 1-year BCG maintenance therapy; M2, BCG maintenance therapy for more than 1 year.

Network plots for included studies.

There were just two published studies that included the M1 and M2 groups. Five studies included the M0 and M1 groups, and 12 studies included the M0 and M2 groups. M0, induction BCG therapy only; M1, 1-year BCG maintenance therapy; M2, BCG maintenance therapy for more than 1 year.

Characteristics of included studies.

M0, induction BCG therapy only; M1, 1-year BCG maintenance therapy; M2, BCG maintenance therapy for more than 1 year. aDuring the 2-year follow-up; bduring the 5-year follow-up. The quality assessment was indicated by Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network (SIGN) checklist. 1+ means well-conducted RCT with a low risk of bias. 1- means RCT with a high risk of bias. 2+ means well-conducted cohort studies with a low risk of bias. 2- means cohort studies with a high risk of bias. The quality assessment results using SIGN are provided in Table 1. Funnel plots of our study are shown in Fig 3. Most studies were located in the funnels. The risk of bias for eight RCTs is displayed in Figs 4 and 5. Adequate randomization methods and allocation concealment were described in only six and three studies, respectively. Blinding of outcome assessments was performed in five studies. The MINORS scores are shown in Table 2. All studies were considered appropriate.
Fig 3

Funnel plot.

(A) Recurrence rate in the M0 group, (B) recurrence rate in the M1 group, and (C) recurrence rate in the M2 group.

Fig 4

Risk of bias for eight RCTs.

The risk of bias for each item is presented as a percentage across all included studies.

Fig 5

Risk of bias for eight RCTs.

+, no bias;–, bias;?, bias unknown.

Table 2

MINORS score in nonrandomized studies included in the review.

A Clearly Stated AimInclusion of Consecutive SamplesProspective Collection of DataEndpoints Appropriate to the Aim of the StudyUnbiased Assessment of the Study EndpointFollow-up Period Appropriate to the Aim of the StudyLoss to Follow-Up Less than 5%Prospective Calculation of the Study SizeAn Adequate Control GroupContemporary GroupsBaseline Equivalence of GroupsAdequate Statistical AnalysesTotal
Miyake et al. 202122220220222220
Mohamed et al. 202022220220221219
Koguchi et al. 202022220220221219
Joshua et al. 201922220220221219
Yuk et al. 201822220220222220
Muto et al. 201322220220221219
Yoo et al. 201222220220222220
Okamura et al. 201122220220222220

MINORS, methodological index for nonrandomized studies. The items are scored 0 (not reported), 1 (reported but inadequate), or 2 (reported and adequate). The global ideal score is 16 for non-comparative studies and 24 for comparative studies.

Funnel plot.

(A) Recurrence rate in the M0 group, (B) recurrence rate in the M1 group, and (C) recurrence rate in the M2 group.

Risk of bias for eight RCTs.

The risk of bias for each item is presented as a percentage across all included studies. +, no bias;–, bias;?, bias unknown. MINORS, methodological index for nonrandomized studies. The items are scored 0 (not reported), 1 (reported but inadequate), or 2 (reported and adequate). The global ideal score is 16 for non-comparative studies and 24 for comparative studies.

Heterogeneity and inconsistency assessment

Forest plots of the pairwise meta-analysis results of the three groups are shown in Fig 6. There was no heterogeneity between groups M1 and M2 or between groups M0 and M2 in any study; however, there was little heterogeneity between groups M0 and M1. Therefore, a random-effects model was applied for a comparison of groups M0 and M1 (Fig 6B). After selection of the random-effects model, little heterogeneity was noted in L’Abbe plots (Fig 7) and radial plots (Fig 8). In the node-splitting analysis, no inconsistency was demonstrated in direct, indirect, or network comparisons (Fig 9).
Fig 6

Pairwise meta-analysis of (A) M1 and M2 groups, (B) M0 and M1 groups, and (C) M0 and M2 groups.

The recurrence rate in the M1 group was slightly higher than that in the M2 group (P = 0.328; OR 1.161, 95% CI 0.861–1.564). The recurrence rate in the M0 group was higher than that in the M1 (P = 0.013; OR 2.877, 95% CI 1.246–6.643) and M2 groups (P < 0.001; OR 1.958, 95% CI 1.618–2.369). M0, induction BCG therapy only; M1, 1-year BCG maintenance therapy; M2, BCG maintenance therapy for more than 1 year.

Fig 7

L’Abbe plots of recurrence rate.

(A) Between the M1 and M2 groups, (B) between the M0 and M1 groups, and (C) between the M0 and M2 groups. M0, induction BCG therapy only; M1, 1-year BCG maintenance therapy; M2, BCG maintenance therapy for more than 1 year.

Fig 8

Radial plots of recurrence rate.

(A) Between the M1 and M2 groups, (B) between the M0 and M1 groups, and (C) between the M0 and M2 groups. M0, induction BCG therapy only; M1, 1-year BCG maintenance therapy; M2, BCG maintenance therapy for more than 1 year.

Fig 9

Node-split forest plot using MCMC modeling.

M0, induction BCG therapy only; M1, 1-year BCG maintenance therapy; M2, BCG maintenance therapy for more than 1 year.

Pairwise meta-analysis of (A) M1 and M2 groups, (B) M0 and M1 groups, and (C) M0 and M2 groups.

The recurrence rate in the M1 group was slightly higher than that in the M2 group (P = 0.328; OR 1.161, 95% CI 0.861–1.564). The recurrence rate in the M0 group was higher than that in the M1 (P = 0.013; OR 2.877, 95% CI 1.246–6.643) and M2 groups (P < 0.001; OR 1.958, 95% CI 1.618–2.369). M0, induction BCG therapy only; M1, 1-year BCG maintenance therapy; M2, BCG maintenance therapy for more than 1 year.

L’Abbe plots of recurrence rate.

(A) Between the M1 and M2 groups, (B) between the M0 and M1 groups, and (C) between the M0 and M2 groups. M0, induction BCG therapy only; M1, 1-year BCG maintenance therapy; M2, BCG maintenance therapy for more than 1 year.

Radial plots of recurrence rate.

(A) Between the M1 and M2 groups, (B) between the M0 and M1 groups, and (C) between the M0 and M2 groups. M0, induction BCG therapy only; M1, 1-year BCG maintenance therapy; M2, BCG maintenance therapy for more than 1 year.

Node-split forest plot using MCMC modeling.

M0, induction BCG therapy only; M1, 1-year BCG maintenance therapy; M2, BCG maintenance therapy for more than 1 year.

Pairwise meta-analysis of groups M0, M1, and M2

The recurrence rate of the M1 group was slightly higher than that of the M2 group (P = 0.328; OR 1.161, 95% CI 0.861–1.564) (Fig 6A). The recurrence rate of the M0 group was higher than that of the M1 group (P = 0.013; OR 2.877, 95% CI 1.246–6.643) (Fig 6B). The recurrence rate of the M0 group was also higher than that of the M2 group (P < 0.001; OR 1.958, 95% CI 1.618–2.369) (Fig 6C).

Network meta-analysis of groups M0, M1, and M2 for recurrence rate

In the node-split forest plot using Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) modeling, there were no differences between the M1 and M2 groups in terms of recurrence rate [OR 0.95 (0.73–1.2)]. However, the recurrence rate in the M0 group was higher than those in the M1 [OR 1.9 (1.5–2.5)] and M2 [OR 2.0 (1.7–2.4)] groups (Fig 9). P-score tests using frequentist inference to rank treatments in the network demonstrated that the M2 group treatment (P-score 0.8701) was superior to the M1 (P-score 0.6299) and M0 groups (P-score 0). In the rank-probability test using MCMC modeling, the M2 group showed the highest rank, followed by the M1 and M0 groups (Fig 10).
Fig 10

The rank-probability test using MCMC modeling.

M0, induction BCG therapy only; M1, 1-year BCG maintenance therapy; M2, BCG maintenance therapy for more than 1 year.

The rank-probability test using MCMC modeling.

M0, induction BCG therapy only; M1, 1-year BCG maintenance therapy; M2, BCG maintenance therapy for more than 1 year.

Discussion

BCG was first discovered by Albert Calmette and Camille Guerin as a tuberculosis vaccination in 1921 [32]. The first report of BCG as an immunotherapy for bladder cancer was published in 1959 [33]. In 1976, Morales et al. published a landmark paper about the beneficial effects of BCG immunotherapy on recurrent superficial bladder cancer [34]. In 1980, the first controlled trial showing similar results was published, and in 1990, BCG received Food and Drug Administration approval for the treatment of superficial bladder cancer [35]. Several studies have demonstrated that BCG maintenance treatments show clinical benefit in patients with high-risk NMIBC. Lamm et al. reported the effectiveness of BCG maintenance treatments in 384 patients with recurrent NMIBC [27]. Compared with standard induction BCG immunotherapy, BCG maintenance immunotherapy was favorable in patients with superficial bladder cancer. Compared to the induction therapy-only arm, patients in the 3-week maintenance arm showed twice as long median recurrence-free survival (RFS) and significantly longer progression-free survival. Mohamed et al. reported a prospective randomized study comparing 31 patients with NMIBC who underwent induction therapy only and 35 patients with NMIBC who underwent induction therapy plus a 1-year maintenance therapy [13]. Patients who received only induction therapy had significantly higher recurrence rates than those who received maintenance therapy. The 5-year RFS rate was 41% in the induction therapy group and 78% in the maintenance therapy group. To date, BCG maintenance treatments are considered to exert clinical benefits, especially in terms of preventing recurrence of NMIBC. Although the optimal duration of maintenance therapy for patients with high-risk NMIBC remains controversial, EAU’s guidelines recommend 3-week instillations at 3, 6, 12, 18, 24, 30, and 36 months. As the COVID-19 pandemic has had a serious impact on urological treatments [9], Lenfant et al. reported that intravesical BCG therapy could be discontinued safely for patients with high-risk NMIBC [8]. Furthermore, according to EAU’s NMIBC panel during the pandemic, a 1-year BCG maintenance immunotherapy in patients with high-risk NMIBC was recommended [10]. There have been several systematic reviews and meta-analyses on intravesical BCG treatment in patients with NMIBC. Chen et al. conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of 10 RCTs [36], showing that BCG maintenance therapy could decrease the risk of tumor recurrence by 21% and prolong RFS by 33% compared with nonmaintenance therapy. In addition, they showed that BCG maintenance therapy could decrease the risk of tumor progression. These results are the basis for the effectiveness of BCG maintenance treatment. Quan et al. conducted a study about dose, duration, and BCG strain for the treatment of patients with NMIBC [4]. Finally, 19 studies were selected for a meta-analysis. Low-dose BCG and induction therapy-only groups showed significantly higher risks of recurrence [risk ratio (RR) 1.17 and 1.33, respectively]. These results may serve as the basis for the better clinical outcomes of the 3-year maintenance therapy. Huang et al. conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of nine RCTs [37]. Similar to our study results, longer BCG maintenance therapy (such as 3 years) did not significantly reduce the risk of tumor recurrence or progression compared to shorter-term BCG maintenance therapy (such as 1 year). However, the limitation is that all of these studies were conducted prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. The characteristics of patients with NMIBC are generally a high median age of 70 years, many comorbidities, and a high smoking rate, which all increase the risk of COVID-19 severity [38]. Our study was conducted in consideration of these risks and EAU’s COVID-19 recommendations; in the short term, there was no significant difference between maintenance therapy groups. Gallegos et al. conducted a prospective study on a total of 175 patients with NMIBC who received BCG treatment at a Chilean hospital from 2019 to 2020 [39]. Throughout the study duration, 43 patients were diagnosed with COVID-19. In these patients, only one patient died from the disease (case fatality rate = 2.3%) during follow-up. They also compared patients with COVID-19 receiving BCG treatment with the overall population of the same age (70–79 years), according to the Chilean national register. During the same follow-up duration, 6.3% of the control group became infected with COVID-19, with a 14% case fatality rate. With regard to the study results, patients with NMIBC receiving the BCG immunotherapy showed a lower case fatality rate than the control group, but a higher rate of COVID-19 infection. The cause of the high rate of infection in the BCG treatment group is unclear. However, since social distancing must be maintained to prevent COVID-19 infection, reducing the duration of maintenance treatment according to EAU’s COVID-19 recommendations is a reasonable approach to take during the COVID-19 pandemic. During the COVID-19 pandemic, management also has been delayed for muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). According to EAU recommendations, Kang et al. conducted systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) compared with radical cystectomy (RC) alone in improving the overall survival (OS) of patients with T2-4aN0M0 MIBC [40]. The OS was significantly better in the NAC with RC group than in the RC alone group. However, in a subgroup analysis of patients with T2N0M0 MIBC, there was no difference in the OS between the NAC with RC group and the RC alone group. They concluded that, as recommended by the EAU Guidelines Office Rapid Reaction Group, patients with T2N0M0 MIBC should strongly consider omitting NAC until the end of the COVID-19 pandemic. BCG unresponsiveness is one of the important considerations in BCG therapy for patients with NMIBC. According to the EAU guidelines on NMIBC, BCG unresponsive tumors included all BCG refractory tumors (T1G3/high-grade (HG) tumor at 3 months; TaG3/HG tumor after 3 months and/or at 6 months, after either re-induction or first course of maintenance; carcinoma in situ (CIS), without concomitant papillary tumor, at 3 months and persisting at 6 months after either re-induction or first course of maintenance; HG tumor during BCG maintenance therapy) and those who develop T1Ta/HG recurrence within 6 months or CIS within 12 months from the completion of adequate BCG exposure [41]. In general, BCG-unresponsive patients have worse oncological outcomes, and therefore, studies related to factors that can predict BCG response are important in the treatment of NMIBC. Ferro et al. conducted a retrospective study to investigate the predictive factors in the response to BCG in patients with a T1G3/HG NMIBC diagnosis [42]. According to their study, multifocality, lymphovascular invasion, and HG on re-TURBT were independent predictors for response to BCG treatment. To reduce the risk of understaging and missing MIBC, re-TURBT should be performed, especially in HG NMIBC. According to another study, independent predictors to identify patients at risk of residual HG disease after a complete TURBT include the tumor size, presence of CIS, and body mass index (BMI)≥25 kg/m2 [43]. When deciding to perform re-TURBT, the presence of these factors would also be an important consideration. The main strength of our study is that it is the first to evaluate differences in clinical outcomes with regard to the period of intravesical BCG maintenance therapy for patients with NMIBC during the era of COVID-19. Considering the COVID-19 infection rate, the fatality rate in patients with NMIBC, and the increase in the number of COVID-19-related deaths, it is reasonable to follow EAU’s COVID-19 recommendations in the post-COVID-19 era. However, if COVID-19 becomes a controllable disease, a conventional BCG maintenance therapy can help decrease the recurrence rate of NMIBC. According to EAU’s COVID-19 recommendations, studies on patients receiving BCG maintenance therapy for 1 year should be conducted in the near future, and preparations for another pandemic should be made. The main limitation of our meta-analysis is its scant heterogeneity across the studies in terms of different treatment regimens and different strains of BCG used. Second, RCTs and non-RCT studies were mixed and analyzed in our network meta-analysis. Third, other clinical outcomes, such as progression rate and survival rate, were not analyzed. Further analysis of progression and survival rates is expected to increase the reliability of our results. Fourth, the side effects of intravesical BCG maintenance therapy and subsequent treatment tolerance were not analyzed. The severity of side effects is a significant factor in deciding on the duration of intravesical BCG therapy.

Conclusions

In our network meta-analysis, there was no difference between BCG maintenance therapy groups in terms of recurrence rate. In the rank test, BCG therapy lasting more than 1-year appears to be most effective in patients with NMIBC. Given the COVID-19 infection rate, fatality rate of NMIBC, and increase in the number of COVID-19 deaths, it is reasonable to follow the EAU COVID-19 recommendation for the post-COVID-19 era. However, if COVID-19 becomes a controllable disease, conventional BCG maintenance therapy might help decrease the recurrence rate of NMIBC. Studies of patients receiving 1-year maintenance therapy should be conducted in the near future, and preparations for another pandemic should be made.

PRISMA checklist.

(DOCX) Click here for additional data file. 8 Jul 2022
PONE-D-22-09016
Effects of intravesical BCG maintenance therapy duration on recurrence rate in high-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC): Systematic review and network meta-analysis according to EAU COVID-19 recommendations
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Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: No ********** 4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 5. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: Objectives: Authors purposes in this manuscript were to evaluate as a systematic and a network meta-analysis the recurrence rates after TURBT and BCG instillations (in patients with NMIBC receiving induction and maintenance therapy, under and over one year) available in the literature. The work has value in the context of identifying the best recommendation period of BCG instillation for NMIBC. There are few minor issues that can improve the manuscript. 1. At line 72-73 the purpose of the review is indicated to be the appropriate duration of BCG maintenance therapy both during and after control of the COVID-19 pandemic. It is somehow misleading, because the readers can expect to see a comparative analysis on the studies performed pre and after pandemic. “After control of the COVID-19 pandemic” is the term that has to be modified. The Covid-19 pandemic is not over yet. I would like to ask the authors to rephrase the paragraph. 2. In the Discussion section, from line 194 to 199, the information can be better inserted in the introduction section. Reviewer #2: I appreciate this meta-analysis and I only suggest minor revision as: Introduction: Add impact of reTurb on bcg response : see Urol Oncol. 2022 Jun 5:S1078-1439(22)00186-7. doi: 10.1016/j.urolonc.2022.05.016. Online ahead of print. ; J Cancer 2018 Oct 20;9(22):4250-4254. doi: 10.7150/jca.26129. eCollection 2018. Define concept of BCG unresposnsive , according new definition of FDA and add recent evidence of literature : Urol Oncol. 2022 Jun 5:S1078-1439(22)00186-7. doi: 10.1016/j.urolonc.2022.05.016. Online ahead of print. In discussion remark the concept of delayed treatment during pandemic era ********** 6. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: Yes: Tataru Octavian Sabin Reviewer #2: Yes: matteo Ferro ********** [NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.] While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. 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12 Aug 2022 ● Reviewer #1: Comment 1-1: At line 72-73 the purpose of the review is indicated to be the appropriate duration of BCG maintenance therapy both during and after control of the COVID-19 pandemic. It is somehow misleading, because the readers can expect to see a comparative analysis on the studies performed pre and after pandemic. “After control of the COVID-19 pandemic” is the term that has to be modified. The Covid-19 pandemic is not over yet. I would like to ask the authors to rephrase the paragraph. Answer 1-1: We revised the paragraph according to your comment. �  Therefore, the purpose of this study was to determine the appropriate duration of BCG maintenance therapy during the COVID-19 pandemic since 2020. Comment 1-2: In the Discussion section, from line 194 to 199, the information can be better inserted in the introduction section. Answer A-2: According to your comment, we inserted the paragraph in the introduction section. ● Reviewer 2: Comment 2-1: Add impact of reTurb on bcg response : see Urol Oncol. 2022 Jun 5:S1078-1439(22)00186-7. and J Cancer 2018 Oct 20;9(22):4250-4254. Answer 2-1: As you commented, we added the reference as follows. �  Ferro et al. conducted a retrospective study to investigate the predictive factors in the response to BCG in patients with a T1G3/HG NMIBC diagnosis [42]. According to their study, multifocality, lymphovascular invasion, and HG on re-TURBT were independent predictors for response to BCG treatment. To reduce the risk of understaging and missing MIBC, re-TURBT should be performed, especially in HG NMIBC. According to another study, independent predictors to identify patients at risk of residual HG disease after a complete TURBT include the tumor size, presence of CIS, and body mass index (BMI)�  25 kg/m2 [43]. When deciding to perform re-TURBT, the presence of these factors would also be an important consideration. Comment 2-2: Define concept of BCG unresposnsive , according new definition of FDA and add recent evidence of literature : Urol Oncol. 2022 Jun 5:S1078-1439(22)00186-7. doi: 10.1016/j.urolonc.2022.05.016. Online ahead of print.\\ Answer 2-2: According to your comment, we added the reference as follows. �  BCG unresponsiveness is one of the important considerations in BCG therapy for patients with NMIBC. According to the EAU guidelines on NMIBC, BCG unresponsive tumors included all BCG refractory tumors (T1G3/high-grade (HG) tumor at 3 months; TaG3/HG tumor after 3 months and/or at 6 months, after either re-induction or first course of maintenance; carcinoma in situ (CIS), without concomitant papillary tumor, at 3 months and persisting at 6 months after either re-induction or first course of maintenance; HG tumor during BCG maintenance therapy) and those who develop T1Ta/HG recurrence within 6 months or CIS within 12 months from the completion of adequate BCG exposure [41]. In general, BCG-unresponsive patients have worse oncological outcomes, and therefore, studies related to factors that can predict BCG response are important in the treatment of NMIBC. Comment 2-3: In discussion remark the concept of delayed treatment during pandemic era. Answer 2-3: We added the reference according to your comment. �  During the COVID-19 pandemic, management also has been delayed for muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). According to EAU recommendations, Kang et al. conducted systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) compared with radical cystectomy (RC) alone in improving the overall survival (OS) of patients with T2-4aN0M0 MIBC. The OS was significantly better in the NAC with RC group than in the RC alone group. However, in a subgroup analysis of patients with T2N0M0 MIBC, there was no difference in the OS between the NAC with RC group and the RC alone group. They concluded that, as recommended by the EAU Guidelines Office Rapid Reaction Group, patients with T2N0M0 MIBC should strongly consider omitting NAC until the end of the COVID-19 pandemic. Submitted filename: Response to reviewers.docx Click here for additional data file. 15 Aug 2022 Effects of intravesical BCG maintenance therapy duration on recurrence rate in high-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC): Systematic review and network meta-analysis according to EAU COVID-19 recommendations PONE-D-22-09016R1 Dear Dr. Lee, We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements. Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication. An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org. Kind regards, Giuseppe Lucarelli, M.D., Ph.D. Academic Editor PLOS ONE Additional Editor Comments (optional): Reviewers' comments: 30 Aug 2022 PONE-D-22-09016R1 Effects of intravesical BCG maintenance therapy duration on recurrence rate in high-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC): Systematic review and network meta-analysis according to EAU COVID-19 recommendations Dear Dr. Lee: I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org. If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org. Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access. Kind regards, PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff on behalf of Dr. Giuseppe Lucarelli Academic Editor PLOS ONE
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Review 1.  Maintenance versus non-maintenance intravesical Bacillus Calmette-Guerin instillation for non-muscle invasive bladder cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials.

Authors:  Siteng Chen; Ning Zhang; Jialiang Shao; Xiang Wang
Journal:  Int J Surg       Date:  2018-02-28       Impact factor: 6.071

2.  Single course of intravesical Bacillus Calmette-Guerin versus single course with maintenance therapy in the management of nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer: A prospective randomized study.

Authors:  Mohamed Bakr Mohamed; Mohamed Hassan Ali; Mostafa A Shamaa; Sami M Shaaban
Journal:  Urol Ann       Date:  2020-10-15

3.  A prospective randomized trial of maintenance versus nonmaintenance intravesical bacillus Calmette-Guérin therapy of superficial bladder cancer.

Authors:  R A Badalament; H W Herr; G Y Wong; C Gnecco; C M Pinsky; W F Whitmore; W R Fair; H F Oettgen
Journal:  J Clin Oncol       Date:  1987-03       Impact factor: 44.544

Review 4.  European Association of Urology Guidelines on Non-muscle-invasive Bladder Cancer (TaT1 and Carcinoma In Situ) - 2019 Update.

Authors:  Marko Babjuk; Maximilian Burger; Eva M Compérat; Paolo Gontero; A Hugh Mostafid; Joan Palou; Bas W G van Rhijn; Morgan Rouprêt; Shahrokh F Shariat; Richard Sylvester; Richard Zigeuner; Otakar Capoun; Daniel Cohen; José Luis Dominguez Escrig; Virginia Hernández; Benoit Peyronnet; Thomas Seisen; Viktor Soukup
Journal:  Eur Urol       Date:  2019-08-20       Impact factor: 20.096

5.  Dose, duration and strain of bacillus Calmette-Guerin in the treatment of nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer: Meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials.

Authors:  Yongjun Quan; Chang Wook Jeong; Cheol Kwak; Hyeon Hoe Kim; Hyung Suk Kim; Ja Hyeon Ku
Journal:  Medicine (Baltimore)       Date:  2017-10       Impact factor: 1.889

6.  Non-maintenance intravesical Bacillus Calmette-Guérin induction therapy with eight doses in patients with high- or highest-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer: a retrospective non-randomized comparative study.

Authors:  Makito Miyake; Kota Iida; Nobutaka Nishimura; Tatsuki Miyamoto; Kiyohide Fujimoto; Ryotaro Tomida; Kazumasa Matsumoto; Kazuyuki Numakura; Junichi Inokuchi; Shuichi Morizane; Takahiro Yoneyama; Yoshiaki Matsumura; Takashige Abe; Masaharu Inoue; Takeshi Yamada; Naoki Terada; Shuya Hirao; Motohide Uemura; Yuto Matsushita; Rikiya Taoka; Takashi Kobayashi; Takahiro Kojima; Yoshiyuki Matsui; Hiroshi Kitamura; Hiroyuki Nishiyama
Journal:  BMC Cancer       Date:  2021-03-11       Impact factor: 4.430

7.  Intravesical bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) in treating non-muscle invasive bladder cancer-analysis of adverse effects and effectiveness of two strains of BCG (Danish 1331 and Moscow-I).

Authors:  Yuvaraja B Thyavihally; Preetham Dev; Santosh Waigankar; Abhinav Pednekar; Nevitha Athikari; Abhijit Raut; Archan Khandekar; Naresh Badlani; Ashishkumar Asari
Journal:  Asian J Urol       Date:  2021-05-18

8.  Effect of neoadjuvant chemotherapy on overall survival of patients with T2-4aN0M0 bladder cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis according to EAU COVID-19 recommendation.

Authors:  Dong Hyuk Kang; Kang Su Cho; Young Joon Moon; Doo Yong Chung; Hae Do Jung; Joo Yong Lee
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2022-04-21       Impact factor: 3.240

Review 9.  Epidemiology of Bladder Cancer.

Authors:  Kalyan Saginala; Adam Barsouk; John Sukumar Aluru; Prashanth Rawla; Sandeep Anand Padala; Alexander Barsouk
Journal:  Med Sci (Basel)       Date:  2020-03-13

10.  European Association of Urology Guidelines Office Rapid Reaction Group: An Organisation-wide Collaborative Effort to Adapt the European Association of Urology Guidelines Recommendations to the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Era.

Authors:  Maria J Ribal; Philip Cornford; Alberto Briganti; Thomas Knoll; Stavros Gravas; Marek Babjuk; Christopher Harding; Alberto Breda; Axel Bex; Jens J Rassweiler; Ali S Gözen; Giovannalberto Pini; Evangelos Liatsikos; Gianluca Giannarini; Alex Mottrie; Ramnath Subramaniam; Nikolaos Sofikitis; Bernardo M C Rocco; Li-Ping Xie; J Alfred Witjes; Nicolas Mottet; Börje Ljungberg; Morgan Rouprêt; Maria P Laguna; Andrea Salonia; Gernot Bonkat; Bertil F M Blok; Christian Türk; Christian Radmayr; Noam D Kitrey; Daniel S Engeler; Nicolaas Lumen; Oliver W Hakenberg; Nick Watkin; Rizwan Hamid; Jonathon Olsburgh; Julie Darraugh; Robert Shepherd; Emma-Jane Smith; Christopher R Chapple; Arnulf Stenzl; Hendrik Van Poppel; Manfred Wirth; Jens Sønksen; James N'Dow
Journal:  Eur Urol       Date:  2020-04-27       Impact factor: 20.096

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