Literature DB >> 36059577

Investigation of the pharmaceutical warehouse locations under COVID-19-A case study for Duzce, Turkey.

Melike Erdogan1, Ertugrul Ayyildiz2.   

Abstract

Pharmaceutical warehouses are among the centers that play a critical role in the delivery of medicines from the producers to the consumers. Especially with the new drugs and vaccines added during the pandemic period to the supply chain, the importance of the regions they are located in has increased critically. Since the selection of pharmaceutical warehouse location is a strategic decision, it should be handled in detail and a comprehensive analysis should be made for the location selection process. Considering all these, in this study, a real-case application by taking the problem of selecting the best location for a pharmaceutical warehouse is carried out for a city that can be seen as critical in drug distribution in Turkey. For this aim, two effective multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) methodologies, namely Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Evaluation based on Distance from Average Solution (EDAS), are integrated under spherical fuzzy environment to reflect fuzziness and indeterminacy better in the decision-making process and the pharmaceutical warehouse location selection problem is discussed by the proposed fuzzy integrated methodology for the first time. Finally, the best region is found for the pharmaceutical warehouse and the results are discussed under the determined criteria. A detailed robustness analysis is also conducted to measure the validity, sensibility and effectiveness of the proposed methodology. With this study, it can be claimed that literature has initiated to be revealed for the pharmaceutical warehouse location problem and a guide has been put forward for those who are willing to study this area.
© 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Entities:  

Keywords:  Analytic hierarchy process; Evaluation based on distance from average solution; Pandemics; Pharmaceutical warehouse location; Spherical fuzzy sets

Year:  2022        PMID: 36059577      PMCID: PMC9420725          DOI: 10.1016/j.engappai.2022.105389

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Eng Appl Artif Intell        ISSN: 0952-1976            Impact factor:   7.802


Introduction and related studies

The warehouse location selection problem emerges as an area that has gained more importance for the medical sector during the pandemic period. In the pharmaceutical industry, drugs are handled differently from other physical goods supply chains because of the details in their storage, transportation and regulation (Kumar et al., 2018). It is crucial for pharmaceutical companies to decide on the storage area in order to regulate the costs during the pandemic period and to ensure that drugs and vaccines reach the citizens as soon as possible (Yaman and Akkartal, 2020). While the pharmaceutical market is already being heavily run in many countries due to the unique nature of demand and supply, it has become even more complex with the added uncertainty of the pandemic (Ghatari et al., 2013). The facility location selection problem has a prevalent implementation in the healthcare industry, from hospitals to clinics, blood banks to pharmaceutical warehouses, and medical facilities. The first goal of the pharmaceutical industry is to make a profit, but the stakeholders of this industry must provide the necessary support for the health systems by providing the drugs at the right time and in the right place (Kumar et al., 2018). For this reason, it is critical that facilities in the pharmaceutical industry are located in the right place. Pharmaceutical warehouses in many countries such as Turkey are one of the health stakeholders that provide the purchase, sale and distribution of pharmaceutical products within the scope of current legal circumstances (Arslan, 2020, Tengilimoğlu et al., 0000). When the studies on pharmaceutical warehouses are examined in the literature, it has been observed that there are generally studies aimed at establishing an effective supply chain (Abideen and Mohamad, 2021, Abideen and Mohamad, 2020, Abideen and Binti Mohamad, 2019, Jiang et al., 2019, Özkan, 2017, Qashlim and Basri, 2019, Tat et al., 2020). However, the threat posed by the COVID-19 pandemic to the whole world has caused an emergency in the world (Barshooi and Amirkhani, 2022) and it has become necessary to put forward studies with a new perspective in order to ensure full and timely access to the drugs of those infected with the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) virus and to provide a full-time supply of drugs of COVID-19. The choice of warehouse location is a long-term decision and is influenced by many different criteria that can be measured both quantitatively and qualitatively (Demirel et al., 2010). Warehouse location selection requires simultaneous consideration of many different factors, such as investment cost, human resources, availability, traffic conditions, appropriate policy laws and regulations, zone functionality, effective accessibility, and lower rental costs (Li et al., 2020). In order to address this problem and find the most appropriate solutions, all these conflicting criteria must be evaluated simultaneously. One of the most effective approaches that can be applied to this problem is the MCDM methodology. Such real-life problems are often complex or inherently uncertain, resulting in the fact that the criterion weights and criterion scores of the alternatives are not determined exactly. In this case, criteria weights and criteria-alternative evaluations are determined using linguistic variables. At this point, the evaluations obtained should be converted to numerical values in order to use them in analytical methods. The fuzzy logic approach, which follows a similar path to human reasoning and imitates decision-making, can be used to obtain the numerical values of the evaluations in this step (Amirkhani et al., 2020b, Amirkhani and Barshooi, 2021, Shukla et al., 2017). Spherical fuzzy sets, proposed by Gündoğdu and Kahraman (Kutlu Gündoğdu and Kahraman, 2019a) as an extension of intuitionistic fuzzy sets, allow decision-makers to define a membership function on a spherical surface and can assign the parameters of this membership function to a wider area independently (Ayyildiz and Taskin Gumus, 2020, Erdoğan, 2022, Kutlu Gündoǧdu and Kahraman, 2019a). It is frequently used especially in decision-making problems which is analyzed using linguistic variables and where uncertainty exists (Ayyildiz and Taskin Gumus, 2020, Erdoğan, 2022, Erdoğan et al., 2021, Gul and Ak, 2021, Menekse and Camgoz-Akdag, 2022). Spherical fuzzy numbers satisfy the condition that the sum of the square of the degree of membership, degree of non-membership, and degree of hesitation is less than or equal to one (Erdoğan, 2022, Kutlu Gündoǧdu and Kahraman, 2019b). The AHP approach is an MCDM method that can be applied to rank more than one alternative, considering qualitative and quantitative criteria (Mathew et al., 2020, Saaty, 2008, Saaty, 1990). In this method, a hierarchical structure is created among the decision elements and rankings of the alternatives are obtained by using the evaluations of the decision-makers (Kutlu Gündoğdu and Kahraman, 2020). Fuzzy set theory is usually integrated to reflect the uncertainty and vagueness in the decision-making problems using MCDM methods (Amirkhani et al., 2020a). In special, extended approaches of the ordinary fuzzy sets are frequently applied to deal with the uncertainty better. An extended fuzzy approach is used to reflect the ambiguity in the most possible way and to digitize the linguistic variables in the best way. Although spherical fuzzy sets are relatively newly developed compared to other fuzzy set extensions, they are frequently used in MCDM problems lately (Buyuk and Temur, 2021, Erdoğan, 2022, Hamal and Senvar, 2021, Kahraman et al., 2021, Omerali and Kaya, 2022, Sarucan et al., 2021, Toker and Görener, 2022, Unal and Temur, 2022). In this study, spherical fuzzy AHP (SF-AHP) is used to determine criteria weight. EDAS, which is one of the widely used MCDM methods in recent years, is a method based on evaluating alternatives according to their mean solution distances (Ghorabaee et al., 2015). The evaluation of alternatives is carried out according to the higher values of the positive distance matrix from the mean and the lower values of the negative distance matrix from the mean (Stanujkic et al., 2017). Ghorabaee et al. firstly developed the fuzzy EDAS method for the supplier selection problem (Ghorabaee et al., 2016). In this study, the EDAS method has been expanded by using spherical fuzzy sets and the spherical fuzzy EDAS (SF-EDAS) method has been introduced to the literature as a group decision-making method based on uncertainty. In recent years, artificial intelligence methods have been widely used in scientific research and businesses to minimize errors based on the decision-making mechanism. But sometimes, due to the nature of information, there are uncertain, complex and hesitant situations. With artificial intelligence applications that provide access to real-time information, the decision-maker can make quick and intuitive decisions when it comes to uncertainty, which is characterized as a lack of information about all alternatives or results. In the near future, rapid and effective solutions to problems can be obtained by using artificial intelligence applications with the proposed methodology in this study and similar methods. The proposed integrated fuzzy-based methodology can be applied to numerous problems in artificial intelligence, expert systems and more in today and the near future. The problem of pharmaceutical warehouse location selection addressed in this paper is focused to ensure the most effective flow of the healthcare supply chain under the ongoing pandemic conditions. To cope with the increase in demand for drugs after the incremental coronavirus cases and to ensure that the vaccine supply chain operates systematically and effectively, the most suitable place for the pharmaceutical warehouse is determined among the alternative areas in a certain region determined for a city in the Black Sea Region of Turkey. Apart from the locations selection papers using MCDM approach, an analytical and systematic way has been needed to determine the studies in which we can emphasize the differences and which will form the basis of this study. For this purpose, the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) approach is used while researching the relevant literature. PRISMA approach is adopted as Systematic Literature Review Method (SLR) to minimize bias in the reviews and realize the reviews more systematic  (Satria et al., 2017). PRISMA is a systematic approach developed by David Moher to review the literature (Moher et al., 2009). The PRISMA approach has five steps in literature search: defining criteria, identifying sources, selecting literature, collecting data, and selecting data items (Santi and Putra, 2018). Studies using the decision-making approaches for the warehouse location selection of pharmacies are investigated via PRISMA. Besides, the use of fuzzy logic with the adopted approach in decision-making studies is analyzed and examined in detail. Through studies that adopt the addressed approach in determining the location selection of pharmaceutical warehouses, criteria that can be used as evaluation criteria within the scope of this study have been revealed under pandemic conditions. The literature search was performed from 16th November 2021 to 25th December 2021 with the keywords used presented in Table 1.
Table 1

Studies found in the literature review.

DatabaseDetails of the searchNumber of studies
SCOPUS(TITLE-ABS-KEY (Pharmacy) AND TITLE-ABS-KEY (“Location selection”))2
(TITLE-ABS-KEY (Pharmacy) AND TITLE-ABS-KEY (“Site selection”))18
(TITLE-ABS-KEY (“Pharmacy warehouse”))24
(TITLE-ABS-KEY (“Drug distribution”)  AND TITLE-ABS-KEY (“Location selection”))1
(TITLE-ABS-KEY (“Pharmaceutical warehouse”))39
(TITLE-ABS-KEY (“Medical warehouse”))12
A total of 96 papers are investigated as a result of the search in the Scopus database with the keywords shown in Table 1. By specifying both inclusion and exclusion criteria after the search, papers directly related to the study are presented. It is planned to reach similar studies that can form a background for the study and compare the inferences. Table 2 shows the inclusion and exclusion criteria for the papers encountered.
Table 2

Inclusion and exclusion criteria in the literature review.

Inclusion criteriaExclusion criteria
The studies include warehouse location selection implementation in MCDM analysisStudies whose full text could not be reached

The studies include warehouse location selection in considering health centersStudies that do not explicitly mention the method used and the results

The studies include warehouse site selection in MCDM analysisStudies that are written in languages other than English

The studies include medical warehouse site selection implementations for healthcare supply chain
Studies found in the literature review. When the studies found as a result of the literature search are filtered with the criteria in Table 2, it can be observed that 19 studies could form the basis of this paper. To present the differences between these studies with our paper and to emphasize their contribution to the literature, Table 3 has been presented.
Table 3

Literature results.

#AuthorsAimMethodPublished inYear
1Yaman and Akkartal (2020)Assessing the factors that influence the location of a warehouse for medical supplies and servicesPythagorean fuzzy set-based DEMATELFourth World Conference on Smart Trends in Systems, Security and Sustainability2020

2Zhang et al. (2019)Employing an optimization method to allocate a certain amount of antiviral drug to selected distribution pointsWillingness-to-travel modelJournal of Ambient Intelligence and Humanized Computing2019

3Arslan (2020)Choosing the most suitable warehouse location for a pharmaceutical warehouseAHPJ. Fac. Pharm. Ankara2020

4Ceselli et al. (2014)Presenting a model for the optimization of logistics operations in emergency health care systems.Dynamic programmingDiscrete Applied Mathematics2014

5Chen et al. (2019)Proposing a generalized multi-level optimization method for designing a common unit dose drug delivery networkParticle swarm optimizationHealth Care Management Science2019

6Rovers and Mages (2017)Establishing a model for a drug supply, storage and distribution system in a remote area of AustraliaEvent Structure AnalysisBMC Health Services Research2017

7Dodi et al. (2016)Investigating the characteristics of direct distribution points of drugs and determining potentially error-prone aspects of the delivery processOrganizational ethnography methodologyRecenti Prog Med2016

8Maheswari et al. (2021)Developing a user-friendly smart MeDrone capable of delivering medication to and from the patient(s) locationDesign studyJournal of Physics: Conference Series2021

9Risanger et al. (2021)To determine the geographic coverage that can be achieved through a pharmacy-based testing program in terms of the proportion of individuals willing to travel to the nearest pharmacy testing site to obtain a COVID-19 testFacility location optimization modelHealth Care Management Science2021

10Volmer et al. (2015)Assessing the current situation regarding medical technology in Estonian community pharmacies.Descriptive cross-sectional questionnaireExpert Review of Medical Devices2015

11Alshehri and Alshammari (2016)Determining the causes of drug supply shortage in KKESH pharmacy and seeking solutions to avoid this problem.Descriptive questionnaireInternational Business Management2016

12Nakiboglu and Gunes (2019)Identifying the distribution route from the main warehouse to the pharmacies with minimum cost by minimizing the total travel distance and the number of vehiclesGenetic Algorithms2018 International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Data Processing (IDAP)2018

13Özkan et al. (2017)Minimizing risk factors in a pharmaceutical supply chainFuzzy-based goal programmingJournal of Multiple-Valued Logic and Soft Computing2017

14Papageorgiou et al. (2001)Developing a mathematical model for pharmaceutical companies to develop their storage and distribution strategiesMixed-integer linear programmingIndustrial & Engineering Chemistry Research2001

15Yu et al. (2010)Examining the pharmaceutical products supply chain in China to identify its performance and weaknessesLiterature reviewHealth Policy2010

16Nematollahi et al. (2017)Presenting two-stage pharmaceutical product supply chains to maximize the occupancy rate in the supply chainMathematical modelingJournal of Cleaner Production2017

17Haial et al. (2020)Identifying the most appropriate network structure in the pharmaceutical products supply chainMulti-criteria decision-making methodsInternational Journal of Logistics Systems and Management2020

18Ji (2019)Modeling the problem of drug delivery from hospitals and pharmacies to patients as a vehicle routing problem with a time windowMixed-integer programmingACM International Conference Proceeding Series2019

19Abideen and Mohamad (2021)Improving the performance of the Malaysian pharmaceutical warehouse supply chainValue stream mappingJournal of Modelling in Management2021
Inclusion and exclusion criteria in the literature review. When the relevant literature is examined, the study of Arslan (Arslan, 2020) is found similar to this paper. In this study, a prioritization study is carried out for 3 different pharmaceutical warehouse locations in the Eastern and Southeastern Anatolia Region in Turkey. For this purpose, the AHP method, which is one of the most used MCDM approaches, is adopted. As the limitations of the study, it can be mentioned that implementation is conducted for a very large area, ignoring the uncertainties, using a relatively simple hierarchical structure, and presenting a superficial examination of the problem. In our study, the problem addressed is analyzed primarily by considering the pandemic conditions, a hierarchy of evaluation criteria is created for this special purpose, and a comparison of alternatives is carried out for a more specific area with handling the uncertainties. Literature results. The aforementioned literature review to solve different pharmaceutical warehouse location selection problems and its extensions reveal that only a few studies focus to solve the problem under uncertain and fuzzy environments. Neither of these studies presents comprehensive and detailed criteria hierarchy to model the problem in a more realistic way. Therefore, this study proposes to construct a two-level criteria hierarchy that consists of thirty-three sub-criteria. With this hierarchy, a pharmaceutical warehouse location is modeled and solved under a fuzzy environment. The proposed hybrid decision-making model is applied to a real-world problem in Duzce for the post-COVID-19 era. Robustness analysis that includes sensitivity analysis and comparative analyses are also presented to show the applicability and validity of the model. In addition to all these, it is aimed to contribute to the literature by applying the AHP-EDAS MCDM combination under the extension of spherical fuzzy sets newly presented hybrid approach to the literature. The contribution of this research is to propose a spherical fuzzy-based MCDM model for the most appropriate pharmacy warehouse location for the most effective distribution of drugs and vaccines during the pandemic period. The flowchart of the proposed methodology is presented in Fig. 1.
Fig. 1

Flowchart for the proposed method.

In this study, a hybrid MCDM approach is used to evaluate all qualitative and quantitative criteria at the same time, and this hybrid approach is developed in a fuzzy framework in order to obtain the closest results to reality and best reflect the uncertainty. Eventually, a hybrid fuzzy decision-making methodology has been proposed for the evaluation of the alternative locations for a pharmaceutical warehouse under pandemic conditions. In light of this aim, the main contribution of this paper can be listed as follows: Flowchart for the proposed method. Considering the pandemic conditions, it will be the first study to determine the location of a pharmaceutical warehouse. The pharmaceutical warehouse location problem will be analyzed for the first time with a fuzzy hybrid MCDM approach. Methodologically, the AHP-EDAS hybrid approach has been adopted as a recent approach by extending with SF sets. The rest of the paper is organized as follows: Section 2 contains the adopted methodology along with the paper. Section 3 shows the real case analysis and Section 4 presents the robustness analysis. Finally, Section 5 gives the conclusion and future directions.

Spherical fuzzy based decision-making methodology

The proposed AHP integrated EDAS-based decision-making methodology under the spherical fuzzy environment includes two main stages. In the first stage, SF-AHP is used to determine the weight of each criterion in the hierarchical structure. Then, the proposed SF-EDAS methodology is employed to evaluate alternatives. The following sub-sections give information about the adopted methods in detail.

Preliminaries of spherical fuzzy sets

Kutlu Gundogdu and Kahraman introduced to the literature spherical fuzzy sets (Kutlu Gündoğdu and Kahraman, 2019b). Spherical fuzzy sets are developed on the basics pythagorean fuzzy (PF) sets and neutrosophic fuzzy sets (Dogan, 2021). Functions are identified on a spherical surface and parameters of the function are defined independently in a larger domain (Erdoğan et al., 2021). Three parameters are used to define spherical fuzzy numbers as the intuitionistic, pythagorean, and neutrosophic fuzzy sets (Ayyildiz and Taskin Gumus, 2020). The parameters are assigned on a spherical surface to generalize fuzzy sets. In this way, more freedom is provided to decision-makers to model ambiguity in information. The representation of the spherical and other extended fuzzy sets is shown in Fig. 1 (Kutlu Gündoğdu and Kahraman, 2020) The definitions of the spherical fuzzy sets are also explained in the following paragraphs. Geometric representations of the extended fuzzy sets (Kutlu Gündoğdu and Kahraman, 2020). Let X be a fixed set. A spherical fuzzy number can be presented: , and define the membership, non-membership, and hesitancy function of the element to . The main distinction between spherical fuzzy sets and other fuzzy sets is based on hesitancy. In spherical fuzzy sets, the hesitancy degree can be at most 1. Furthermore, the squared sum of three functions takes a value between 0 and 1, and all of the functions are defined independently in [0,1] as aforementioned. Spherical fuzzy sets are defined via three parameters (Kieu et al., 2021): and are two spherical numbers. Then the basic operations of them are given (Ali, 2021, Kutlu Gündoğdu and Kahraman, 2020): Spherical fuzzy number is multiplied by a positive scalar () (Ali, 2021): The positive power () of spherical fuzzy number is calculated: Score function of spherical fuzzy number is given. Spherical fuzzy number is defuzzified via Eq. (10). Euclidean distance between two spherical fuzzy numbers and is calculated: Spherical Weighted Arithmetic Mean (SWAM) operator is defined with respect to as below:

Spherical fuzzy AHP

AHP is used to determine the weight of importance of the criteria (Saaty, 2000). It enables complex decision-making problems to be solved in a simple hierarchical structure (Ayyildiz and Taskin Gumus, 2021). Both qualitative and quantitative criteria can be evaluated together in the AHP approach. The method allows the decision-maker to make a more consistent evaluation procedure. For these reasons, in this study, AHP is utilized to determine the weights of criteria under a spherical fuzzy environment. The steps of SF-AHP are given below (Ayyildiz and Taskin Gumus, 2020): Step 1. The pairwise comparison matrix is constructed via linguistic terms given in Table 4 (Kutlu Gündoğdu and Kahraman, 2019b).
Table 4

Linguistic terms and spherical fuzzy scales of linguistic terms for criteria evaluation.

Linguistic termsSpherical fuzzy numbers
Score Index (SI)
μvπ
Absolutely low important - ALI0.10.901/9
Very low important - VLI0.20.80.11/7
Low important - LI0.30.70.21/5
Slightly low important - SLI0.40.60.31/3
Equal important - EI0.50.50.41
Slightly high important - SHI0.60.40.33
High important - HI0.70.30.25
Very high important - VHI0.80.20.17
Absolutely more important - AMI0.90.109
Step 2. The spherical fuzzy pairwise comparison matrix is constructed by converting linguistic terms to spherical fuzzy numbers. Linguistic terms and spherical fuzzy scales of linguistic terms for criteria evaluation. Let be the pairwise comparison value between criterion i and criterion j. Step 3. The consistency of the matrix is analyzed. For this purpose, first, the consistency ratio (CR) proposed by Saaty (1977) is calculated using SI. Then, the consistency index (CI) of the matrix is calculated. is the largest eigenvalue of the pairwise comparison matrix. Random index (RI) depends on matrix order (n). RI is determined via the constant table suggested by (Saaty, 1977). The CR should be less than 0.1. Step 4. Spherical weighted arithmetical mean (WM) operator is utilized to calculate the fuzzy weights of criteria. Let n be the number of criteria. Step 5. Calculated weights of criteria in Step 4 are defuzzified via Eq. (10). Step 6. The weights of the criteria are normalized.

Spherical fuzzy EDAS

EDAS (Evaluation based on Distance from Average Solution) method, which was introduced to the literature by Ghorabaee et al. (2015) is a method that is evaluated by calculations according to the average solution distance in the process of determining the best among the decision alternatives. The underlying logic of the method is similar to the logic of the TOPSIS method. However, there is a fundamental difference, which distinguishes the EDAS method from the frequently used MCDM methods such as TOPSIS and VIKOR, which deal with the closeness of the optimal solution to the positive ideal and negative ideal solution. Accordingly, the evaluation process in the EDAS method is not done over the ideal solution set, but over the positive and negative distances to the mean solution. Therefore, it is rejected the idea of the distance from the ideal and negative ideal solution and considers the distance from the mean solution in the EDAS method. The desirability of alternatives depends on two different indicators and they guide the implementation in EDAS which are the positive distance to the mean solution and the negative distance to the mean solution. In the evaluation, it is required that the positive distance is the highest and the negative distance is the lowest for the optimal solution. After determining criteria weights, spherical fuzzy EDAS (SF-EDAS) is operated to evaluate alternative locations. The steps of SF-EDAS are given below: Step 1. The decision matrix is established to evaluate alternatives according to criteria using linguistic terms using Table 5 (Sharaf and Khalil, 2020). Then linguistic terms are converted to spherical fuzzy numbers.
Table 5

Linguistic terms and spherical fuzzy scales of linguistic terms for alternative evaluation.

Linguistic termsSpherical fuzzy numbers
μvπ
Extremely Low - EL0.30.70.3
Very Low – VL0.40.60.4
Low – L0.50.50.5
Fair – F0.60.40.4
High – H0.70.30.3
Very High – VH0.80.20.2
Extremely High – EH0.90.10.1
Where be the spherical fuzzy evaluation value of alternative i with respect to criterion j. Linguistic terms and spherical fuzzy scales of linguistic terms for alternative evaluation. Step 2. The average solution analogous to each criterion is created. Remember m is the number of alternatives. Step 3. To determine the positive distance ( ) and the negative distance ( ) matrices from the average solutions, the score value of each average solution is determined via Eq. (9). For each criterion, and matrices from the mean are determined. Each element of these matrices is calculated differently depending on the type of criterion. where and are the PDA and NDA of alternative . The comparison function is defined to compare the difference with 0 and determine the maximum value, as below: For benefit criteria: For cost criteria: Step 4. The weighted summation of PDA and NDA for alternatives is determined. Step 5. The normalized values of and are calculated. Step 6. The appraisal value of each alternative is computed. Step 7. Alternatives are ranked according to decreasing values of score values of appraisal scores and the alternative with the highest appraisal score is determined as the best choice among the alternatives.

Real case study

This section presents the real case analysis of the location selection problem for pharmaceutical warehouses. For this aim, data are collected for the city of Düzce, where there is a lack in the number of pharmaceutical warehouses during the pandemic period and case analysis is carried out for this pilot city before. Six different regions are identified as potential alternatives by searching for suitable places for the new pharmaceutical warehouse planned to be opened. After the determination of the alternatives, the criteria to be used in evaluating and ranking these alternatives are investigated. As a result of the detailed literature research, the following criteria are revealed as given in Table 6 by examining the warehouse location problems and the location selection studies for health centers.
Table 6

Evaluation criteria for pharmaceutical warehouses.

C1. Economic

C11. Investment costDemircan and Özcan, 2021, Ehsanifar et al., 2021, He et al., 2017
C12. Operating costDemirel et al., 2010, Kuo, 2011, Ulutaş et al., 2021
C13. Maintenance/ insurance costGarcía et al. (2014)
C14. Storage costDemircan and Özcan, 2021, Emeç and Akkaya, 2018
C15. Financial incentivesDemirel et al. (2010)
C16. Labor costDemircan and Özcan, 2021, Demirel et al., 2010, Ehsanifar et al., 2021, Emeç and Akkaya, 2018, García et al., 2014
C17. Transportation costDemircan and Özcan, 2021, Demirel et al., 2010, Ehsanifar et al., 2021, Emeç and Akkaya, 2018, García et al., 2014, Kuo, 2011, Ocampo et al., 2020, Ulutaş et al., 2021

C2. Social

C21. Available workforceDemircan and Özcan, 2021, Demirel et al., 2010, García et al., 2014
C22. Local government supportDemircan and Özcan, 2021, Demirel et al., 2010, García et al., 2014, He et al., 2017, Ocampo et al., 2020
C23. Environmental impactAgrebi and Abed, 2021, Awasthi et al., 2011, He et al., 2017, Ocampo et al., 2020
C24. Impact on traffic congestionHe et al. (2017)
C25. Conformance to freight regulationsAgrebi and Abed, 2021, Awasthi et al., 2011, Demirel et al., 2010
C26. SecurityAgrebi and Abed, 2021, Awasthi et al., 2011, García et al., 2014, Ocampo et al., 2020
C27. Community acceptanceGarcía et al., 2014, He et al., 2017

C3. Opportunities

C31. Development rateEmeç and Akkaya (2018)
C32. Number of competitors in radiusArslan, 2020, Kuo, 2011
C33. Parking areaDemircan and Özcan, 2021, Kuo, 2011
C34. Future expansionAgrebi and Abed, 2021, Awasthi et al., 2011, Ehsanifar et al., 2021, He et al., 2017

C4. Infrastructure

C41. Climate conditionsDemircan and Özcan, 2021, Emeç and Akkaya, 2018, Ulutaş et al., 2021
C42. EnergyGarcía et al. (2014)
C43. Telecommunication systemsDemirel et al., 2010, Emeç and Akkaya, 2018, Ocampo et al., 2020
C44. Topographical featuresMaharjan and Hanaoka (2017)

C5. Accessibility

C51. Proximity to main roadsArslan, 2020, García et al., 2014, Ocampo et al., 2020
C52. Proximity to producersDemircan and Özcan, 2021, Demirel et al., 2010, Ehsanifar et al., 2021, Emeç and Akkaya, 2018, Ulutaş et al., 2021
C53. Proximity to multimodal transportAgrebi and Abed, 2021, Awasthi et al., 2011, Demircan and Özcan, 2021, Demirel et al., 2010, García et al., 2014, Ocampo et al., 2020, Ulutaş et al., 2021
C54. Proximity to potential marketsAgrebi and Abed, 2021, Awasthi et al., 2011, Demircan and Özcan, 2021, Demirel et al., 2010, Dey et al., 2017, Emeç and Akkaya, 2018, García et al., 2014, Ocampo et al., 2020, Özcan et al., 2011, Ulutaş et al., 2021
C55. Proximity to suppliersAwasthi et al., 2011, Demirel et al., 2010, Emeç and Akkaya, 2018, Ocampo et al., 2020, Özcan et al., 2011, Ulutaş et al., 2021
C56. Proximity to opponentsEmeç and Akkaya, 2018, Ulutaş et al., 2021

C6. Resilience

C61. Location resistanceKuo (2011)
C62. Disaster free locationEmeç and Akkaya, 2018, Yılmaz and Kabak, 2020
C63. Stock holding capacityDemircan and Özcan, 2021, Dey et al., 2017, Emeç and Akkaya, 2018, Kuo, 2011, Ocampo et al., 2020, Özcan et al., 2011, Ulutaş et al., 2021
C64. Resource availabilityAgrebi and Abed, 2021, Awasthi et al., 2011, He et al., 2017
C65. Movement flexibilityÖzcan et al. (2011)
After the criteria hierarchy is clarified, the proposed fuzzy hybrid methodology is conducted to find the best location. Firstly, the criteria weights and criteria alternative scores are obtained. For this aim, three experts are consulted as decision-makers. The first expert is the pharmacist who is serving in the pilot region that we consider for 10 years. The second expert is the academician who is a researcher and studied location selection problems. The last expert is also the academician who is a researcher in the Faculty of Pharmaceutical Sciences. As a result of the surveys conducted by meeting with the experts, the weights of the criteria and the criteria-alternative scores are determined. Evaluation criteria for pharmaceutical warehouses. To calculate the weights, firstly, the evaluations of experts are taken to assess the main and sub-criteria. For this purpose, linguistic terms given in Table 4 are used to compare the determined criteria. Therefore, pairwise comparison matrices are structured for both main and sub-criteria by each expert. As an example, the pairwise comparison matrix for the main criteria by Expert-1 is presented in Table 7. The pairwise comparison matrix for the sub-criteria of C1. Economic main criterion is constructed according to the opinions from Expert-2 is presented in Table 8. In Table 9, the pairwise comparison matrix for the sub-criteria of the C6. Resilience main criterion for Expert-3 is presented.
Table 7

Pairwise comparison matrix for main criteria constructed by Expert-1.

Main criteriaC1C2C3C4C5C6
C1. EconomicEVHHSHESH
C2. SocialLESHVLLSL
C3. OpportunitiesLSLESLLE
C4. InfrastructureSLVHSHESLSH
C5. AccessibilityEHHSHESH
C6. ResilienceSLSHESLSLE
Table 8

Pairwise comparison matrix for sub-criteria of Economic constructed by Expert-2.

EconomicC11C12C13C14C15C16C17
C11. Investment costESLSHHHHH
C12. Operating costSHESHHHVHH
C13. Maintenance costSLSLESHSHSHSH
C14. Storage costLLSLESHESL
C15. Financial incentivesLLSLSLEESL
C16. Labor costLVLSLEEEE
C17. Transportation costLLSLSHSHEE
Table 9

Pairwise comparison matrix for sub-criteria of Resilience constructed by Expert-3.

ResilienceC61C62C63C64C65
C61. Location resistanceESLSHSLSH
C62. Disaster free locationSHEHEH
C63. Stock holding capacitySLLELE
C64. Resource availabilitySHEHEH
C65. Movement flexibilitySLLELE
Then, all matrices are investigated to whether they are consistent or not. For this purpose, CR is calculated for each matrix. Table 10 presents the ratios for the main criteria and sub-criteria pairwise comparison matrices, constructed based on opinions from each expert.
Table 10

Consistency ratios of pairwise comparison matrices.

Expert-1Expert-2Expert-3
Main criteria0.0930.0610.071
Sub criteria of Economic0.0950.060.043
Sub criteria of Social0.0980.0820.06
Sub criteria of Opportunities0.0870.0970.075
Sub criteria of Infrastructure0.0750.0160.033
Sub criteria of Accessibility0.0950.0890.046
Sub criteria of Resilience0.0740.0490.012
Pairwise comparison matrix for main criteria constructed by Expert-1. Pairwise comparison matrix for sub-criteria of Economic constructed by Expert-2. Pairwise comparison matrix for sub-criteria of Resilience constructed by Expert-3. After all the matrices are determined as consistent, the weight calculation process is initiated. Primarily, the weights of the main criteria are calculated by applying steps of SF-AHP and given in Table 11 for each expert.
Table 11

Main criteria weights for each expert.

Main criteriaExpert-1Expert-2Expert-3
C1. Economic0.3010.3380.223
C2. Social0.0740.2580.032
C3. Opportunities0.0490.0590.071
C4. Infrastructure0.2370.1370.278
C5. Accessibility0.2520.0670.225
C6. Resilience0.0870.1410.171
Consistency ratios of pairwise comparison matrices. According to the main criteria weights given in Table 11, C1. Economic main criterion is the most important main criterion to select the best location for a pharmaceutical warehouse according to Expert-1 and Expert-2. Expert-3 thinks C4. Infrastructure is the most important main criterion. C3. Opportunities criterion is determined as one of the two least important criteria for all experts. Main criteria weights for each expert. After determining the main criteria weights, the same steps are repeated for sub-criteria and sub-criteria weights are determined for each expert as given in Table 12. The global weight of each sub-criterion is determined by multiplying the sub-criterion weight with the weight of the related main criterion for each expert. Then, the sub-criteria weights are aggregated considering the reputations (weights) of experts. During the interviews with the experts, their weights were determined by considering the years of work, experience, or level of expertise related to the subject. The weight of the first expert is determined as 0.45, the weight of the second expert is 0.20 and the weight of the third expert is 0.35. Table 12 also presents the final criteria weights.
Table 12

Weights of the sub-criteria.

Sub-criteriaSub-criteria weights for each expert
Final weights of criteria
Expert-1Expert-2Expert-3WeightRanking
C11. Investment cost0.2360.2780.3300.0772
C12. Operating cost0.1120.3360.0500.0427
C13. Maintenance/insurance cost0.0230.1410.0260.01526
C14. Storage cost0.1410.0670.0500.02813
C15. Financial incentives0.0430.0440.2130.02516
C16. Labor cost0.0870.0440.1170.02417
C17. Transportation cost0.3580.0910.2130.0714

C21. Available workforce0.0390.2200.3350.01624
C22. Local government support0.1540.2990.1910.02319
C23. Environmental impact0.1840.2470.0660.02020
C24. Impact on traffic congestion0.2420.0330.0180.01031
C25. Conformance to freight regulations0.1060.1200.0660.01030
C26. Security0.2070.0500.1910.01228
C27. Community acceptance0.0680.0300.1340.00532

C31. Development rate0.3510.5500.0530.01625
C32. Number of competitors in radius0.3910.2800.2740.01922
C33. Parking area0.0890.0460.1120.00533
C34. Future expansion0.1680.1240.5620.01921

C41. Climate conditions0.2010.2160.0330.03112
C42. Energy0.3910.4370.3680.0901
C43. Telecommunication systems0.3080.1300.3680.0723
C44. Topographical features0.1010.2160.2300.0399

C51. Proximity to main roads0.0300.0660.1590.01723
C52. Proximity to producers0.2540.0640.0550.03411
C53. Proximity to multimodal transport0.0970.1740.1590.02614
C54. Proximity to potential markets0.1870.3890.3750.0565
C55. Proximity to suppliers0.3040.2170.1260.0476
C56. Proximity to opponents0.1290.0910.1260.02615

C61. Location resistance0.0570.3920.1760.02418
C62. Disaster free location0.3260.2850.3420.0418
C63. Stock holding capacity0.1100.0700.0710.01029
C64. Resource availability0.3490.1720.3420.03910
C65. Movement flexibility0.1570.0810.0710.01327
When the results obtained for the criterion weights are examined, the most important criterion is determined as “energy” with an importance degree of 0.090. The following criterion is found as “investment cost” with an importance degree of 0.077. The cost of transportation appears as a criterion whose importance is calculated at higher ranks with an importance degree of 0.071. As can be seen, even during the pandemic period, cost-based criteria have emerged as more important factors in the selection of pharmaceutical warehouse best location with the total weight percent as %28,2. The criteria under the “Social” class are calculated as the group of criteria with the least importance with the total weight percent as % 9,6. At this point, it can be interpreted that critical effects will not be encountered in the decision process regarding finding employees for the pharmaceutical warehouse to be established, the acceptance of this facility by the society, its environmental effects and its effects on traffic, and that there will be no issue in this sense for the regions considered as alternatives. Besides, when the four most important criteria are compared with the other criteria, it is seen that they have total importance of 30%. At this point, it can be interpreted that 12% of the criteria are the factors that affect the results the most in this decision-making problem. Weights of the sub-criteria. After the importance of the criteria for the decision-making process is determined, the six different alternatives located in Duzce, Turkey are evaluated as candidate locations to place a pharmaceutical warehouse. Fig. 3 presents the alternative locations for the pharmaceutical warehouse location selection problem.
Fig. 3

Alternative locations for pharmaceutical warehouse.

Experts’ evaluations are taken to assess the alternative locations by linguistic terms given in Table 5 with respect to each sub-criterion. For the criteria-alternative evaluations, consensus from the experts is sought. After experts have agreed on the assessments, evaluations are revealed as seen in Table 13.
Table 13

Alternative evaluation matrix.

Sub-criteriaType of criteriaA-1A-2A-3A-4A-5A-6
C11. Investment costCostFFLVLVLEH
C12. Operating costCostHFELVLLEH
C13. Maintenance/insurance costCostLFVLFHVH
C14. Storage costCostHVHVHLHVL
C15. Financial incentivesBenefitHFFHFVH
C16. Labor costCostLLHLHVL
C17. Transportation costCostHVHVLVHVLH

C21. Available workforceBenefitLFVHFVHF
C22. Local government supportBenefitVHHFFFH
C23. Environmental impactCostLLFLFL
C24. Impact on traffic congestionCostVLVLHLHL
C25. Conformance to freight regulationsBenefitFFLFLF
C26. SecurityBenefitLFHHHH
C27. Community acceptanceBenefitVHVHFVHHVH

C31. Development rateBenefitLLHFHF
C32. Number of competitors in radiusCostVLELHELHEL
C33. Parking areaBenefitEHVHLEHVLEH
C34. Future expansionBenefitVHHLVHLVH

C41. Climate conditionsBenefitHFVHFVHF
C42. EnergyBenefitFFHHHVH
C43. Telecommunication systemsBenefitLLHFHF
C44. Topographical featuresBenefitFLHFHH

C51. Distance to main roadsCostLHVLVLVLH
C52. Distance to producersCostHVLHVLHF
C53. Distance to multimodal transportCostFFFFFF
C54. Distance to potential marketsCostFFLFLF
C55. Distance to suppliersCostFVLLVLFL
C56. Distance to opponentsBenefitVHEHELVHVLVL

C61. Location resistanceBenefitLHFHFF
C62. Disaster free locationBenefitLHFHFL
C63. Stock holding capacityBenefitFFELVLLEH
C64. Resource availabilityBenefitFLHFHF
C65. Movement flexibilityBenefitHLVLHVLH
Alternative locations for pharmaceutical warehouse. Thereafter, evaluations of experts are converted to spherical fuzzy numbers to utilize in the proposed fuzzy decision-making methodology. The average solution analogous to each criterion is calculated by Eq. (18) and given in Table 14. The scores of average solutions are also presented in Table 14.
Table 14

Average solutions.

Sub-criteriaμvπS(A~j)
C110.6420.5080.3560.838
C120.6530.5320.3290.913
C130.6310.5470.3650.772
C140.6880.3450.3141.129
C150.6790.4360.3321.042
C160.5730.4680.4190.525
C170.6810.3550.2931.139

C210.6760.4440.3471.003
C220.6790.3990.3321.048
C230.5370.4970.4670.368
C240.5610.5160.4030.505
C250.5700.4610.4340.499
C260.6600.4550.3500.928
C270.7620.3490.2481.615

C310.6120.4820.4000.672
C320.5100.5140.3230.448
C330.8120.2670.2171.977
C340.7160.3660.3141.247

C410.7010.4080.3141.175
C420.6930.4480.3151.131
C430.6120.4820.4000.672
C440.6430.4770.3670.833

C510.5500.4970.3840.498
C520.6120.4890.3480.747
C530.6000.4580.4000.637
C540.5700.4610.4340.499
C550.5110.5280.4390.333
C560.7060.2770.2521.346

C610.6250.4320.3830.749
C620.6120.4190.4000.678
C630.6360.5580.3460.812
C640.6250.4650.3830.745
C650.5980.4430.3670.682
Alternative evaluation matrix. The positive and negative distance matrices are constructed based on Eqs. (19), (20), (21), (22), (23), (24), (25) considering the type of each criterion which can be beneficial or cost-oriented. Table 15 shows the and matrices for each criterion.
Table 15

PDA and NDA matrices.

TypePDA
NDA
A1A2A3A4A5A6A1A2A3A4A5A6
C11Cost0.2370.2370.7020.8570.8570.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0002.447
C12Cost0.0000.2991.0000.8690.7260.0000.3250.0000.0000.0000.0002.164
C13Cost0.6760.1710.8450.1710.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.5671.539
C14Cost0.0000.0000.0000.7790.0000.8940.0720.7360.7360.0000.0720.000
C15Benefit0.1610.0000.0000.1610.0000.8810.0000.3860.3860.0000.3860.000
C16Cost0.5240.5240.0000.5240.0000.7710.0000.0001.3040.0001.3040.000
C17Cost0.0000.0000.8950.0000.8950.0000.0620.7210.0000.7210.0000.062

C21Benefit0.0000.0000.9550.0000.9550.0000.7510.3620.0000.3620.0000.362
C22Benefit0.8690.1540.0000.0000.0000.1540.0000.0000.3900.3900.3900.000
C23Cost0.3210.3210.0000.3210.0000.3210.0000.0000.7390.0000.7390.000
C24Cost0.7630.7630.0000.5050.0000.5050.0000.0001.3940.0001.3940.000
C25Benefit0.2830.2830.0000.2830.0000.2830.0000.0000.4990.0000.4990.000
C26Benefit0.0000.0000.3040.3040.3040.3040.7310.3100.0000.0000.0000.000
C27Benefit0.2130.2130.0000.2130.0000.2130.0000.0000.6040.0000.2510.000

C31Benefit0.0000.0000.8020.0000.8020.0000.6280.6280.0000.0470.0000.047
C32Cost0.7321.0000.0001.0000.0001.0000.0000.0001.7010.0001.7010.000
C33Benefit0.4620.0000.0000.4620.0000.4620.0000.0090.8740.0000.9390.000
C34Benefit0.5720.0000.0000.5720.0000.5720.0000.0300.8000.0000.8000.000

C41Benefit0.0300.0000.6690.0000.6690.0000.0000.4550.0000.4550.0000.455
C42Benefit0.0000.0000.0700.0700.0700.7330.4340.4340.0000.0000.0000.000
C43Benefit0.0000.0000.8020.0000.8020.0000.6280.6280.0000.0470.0000.047
C44Benefit0.0000.0000.4530.0000.4530.4530.2310.7000.0000.2310.0000.000

C51Cost0.4980.0000.7590.7590.7590.0000.0001.4290.0000.0000.0001.429
C52Cost0.0000.8390.0000.8390.0000.1430.6200.0000.6200.0000.6200.000
C53Cost0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0050.0050.0050.0050.0050.005
C54Cost0.0000.0000.4990.0000.4990.0000.2830.2830.0000.2830.0000.283
C55Cost0.0000.6390.2490.6390.0000.2490.9230.0000.0000.0000.9230.000
C56Benefit0.4561.1470.0000.4560.0000.0000.0000.0001.0000.0000.9110.911

C61Benefit0.0000.6150.0000.6150.0000.0000.6660.0000.1460.0000.1460.146
C62Benefit0.0000.7850.0000.7850.0000.0000.6310.0000.0560.0000.0560.631
C63Benefit0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0002.5600.2120.2121.0000.8520.6920.000
C64Benefit0.0000.0000.6250.0000.6250.0000.1410.6640.0000.1410.0000.141
C65Benefit0.7740.0000.0000.7740.0000.7740.0000.6330.8240.0000.8240.000
Average solutions. The weighted summation of PDA and NDA for alternatives is determined and normalized. By this way, the appraisal value of each alternative is calculated and given in Table 16.
Table 16

The results of SF-EDAS application.

A1A2A3A4A5A6
Pi+0.1400.2210.3820.3400.3590.257
Ni0.2740.3030.2330.1240.2590.427

nPi+0.3670.5781.0000.8890.9380.671
nNi0.3590.2910.4560.7110.3930.000

Score0.3630.4350.7280.8000.6660.336

Ranking542136
PDA and NDA matrices. After the application of the SF-EDAS approach, the rankings of the alternatives are obtained. The first-ranked alternative is the A-4 alternative with 0.800 appraisal score value. This alternative is followed by the alternatives of A-3 and A-5 with the appraisal score values of 0.728 and 0.666, respectively. The results of SF-EDAS application. The A-4 alternative, which is found in the first place, is the closest alternative to the sea route and is also located on the strategic road connecting the Black Sea region, which is the northern region of the country, and the Marmara region, which is the heart of the country. Especially since it is located at the connection point with other regions, that puts it at a critical point as a location and thus ensures lower transportation costs. It also appears as the farthest alternative location from the city center, which also provides comfort in terms of traffic complexity. This location, which is determined in the first place, is the alternative that can provide the lowest cost in terms of initial investment costs due to its distance from the city center. It is quite easy to reach the designated location, there is a two-way road and there is no traffic congestion as mentioned. This alternative is also located close to the villages and surrounding settlements, which has a positive effect in terms of finding workers and supporting employment. In terms of all the criteria considered in this paper, it seems quite reasonable to determine this location alternative in the first place.

Robustness analysis

In MCDM problems, various analyzes are often used to search for the robustness of the proposed methodology which are sensitivity analysis, validity analysis and comparative analysis (Alkan and Kahraman, 2022, Celik and Gul, 2021, Gul and Ak, 2021, Haktanır and Kahraman, 2022, İlbahar et al., 2022, Karasan et al., 2022, Karaşan et al., 2021). Through these analyses, the results are tried to be verified and the changes in the outputs can be observed. Based on these aims, it is revealed a comprehensive robustness analysis that includes sensitivity analysis and comparative analyses. First, a detailed sensitivity analysis is conducted to verify the stability of the proposed methodology. Secondly, a validation analysis is carried out using the PF environment with the same methods, namely AHP and EDAS. Finally, a comparative analysis is conducted with the same criteria weight set which is determined by SF-AHP but alternatives are evaluated with the SF-VIKOR methodology to compare the results of SF-EDAS. The following sub-sections present the three-phase robustness analysis.

Sensitivity analysis

A sensitivity analysis is performed to show and discuss the changes in the proposed novel integrated methodology results when some parameters are altered. For this purpose, the weights of experts are changed between two experts while the other ones remain the same. That is, the Expert-1 weight is replaced subsequently with the weights of Expert-2 and Expert-3, while the remaining one is constant. Then, the Expert-2 and Expert-3 weights are changed and go on. In the last scenario, all expert weights are assumed to be equal. Each scenario is detailed in Table 17.
Table 17

The scenarios for sensitivity analysis.

ScenarioWeights
E-1E-2E-3
Current0.450.20.35
S-10.20.450.35
S-20.350.20.45
S-30.450.350.2
S-40.350.450.2
S-50.20.350.4
S-60.330.330.33
The sub-criteria weights are aggregated and recalculated according to adjusted expert weights. Thus, the sensitivity of the proposed methodology against the changes in expert weights is analyzed. In this way, changes in the alternative rankings can be seen, and these results help decision-makers in determining priorities and alternative evaluations by making it easier to analyze the process. The results of sensitivity analysis can be seen in Fig. 4 with the final scores of each alternative.
Fig. 4

The results of sensitivity analysis.

The scenarios for sensitivity analysis. As can be seen in Fig. 3, the best alternative is the same for all scenarios. So it can be said that A-3 is the best alternative for the evaluated problem for different expert weights and the stability of the proposed methodology is revealed. The results of sensitivity analysis.

Validation analysis

A validation analysis is performed for the proposed integrated SF sets based MCDM methodology used in the pharmaceutical warehouse location selection problem to evaluate its reliability and validity. The effect of the change for SF sets on the results is investigated in this validation analysis. The results are compared, and the validation of the proposed methodology is discussed. For this purpose, the problem is solved under pythagorean fuzzy (PF) environment with the same methods, namely AHP and EDAS. Firstly, PF-AHP is utilized to determine criteria weights, then alternative locations are evaluated by PF-EDAS. The steps of PF-AHP (Ayyildiz et al., 2021) integrated PF-EDAS (Göçer, 2022) methodology are presented below: Step 1. The pairwise comparison matrix is constructed via linguistic terms (Ilbahar et al., 2018) given in Table 18.
Table 18

Scale for the PF-AHP evaluations.

Linguistic termsPythagorean fuzzy numbers
μLμUvLvu
Certainly Low Importance – CLI0.000.000.901.00
Very Low Importance – VLI0.100.20.80.9
Low Importance – LI0.200.350.650.8
Below Average Importance -BAI0.350.450.550.65
Equal Importance – EI0.450.550.450.55
Above Average Importance – AAI0.550.650.350.45
High Importance – HI0.650.800.200.35
Very High Importance – VHI0.800.900.100.20
Certainly High Importance – CHI0.901.000.000.00
Step 2. The differences matrix is constructed. Scale for the PF-AHP evaluations. Step 3. The interval multiplicative matrix is determined. Step 4. The indeterminacy value is calculated. Step 5. Unnormalized weights are computed. Step 6. The priority weights are determined. Step 7. The alternative evaluation matrix is established to evaluate alternatives according to criteria using linguistic terms using Table 19 (Göçer, 2022).
Table 19

Scale for the PF-EDAS evaluations.

Linguistic termsPythagorean fuzzy numbers
μv
Extremely Low – EL0.050.95
Very Low – VL0.150.85
Low – L0.250.75
Fair – F0.500.50
High – H0.750.25
Very High – VH0.850.15
Extremely High – EH0.950.05
Step 8. The average solution based on all criteria is calculated. Scale for the PF-EDAS evaluations. Step 9. and are determined. The score function of a PF number is defined (Zhang and Xu, 2014): The remaining steps are the same as SF-EDAS. To determine criteria weights, linguistic terms are converted to PF numbers via Table 18. The PF-AHP methodology is applied to consistent pairwise comparison matrices and by this way both main and sub-criteria weights are calculated. Table 20 presents the aggregated sub-criteria weights as the result of PF-AHP. In the aggregation process, the same expert weights are used. The criteria weights determined by SF-AHP are also presented in Table 20 to compare the existing results. In this table, W and R represent the final weight and final ranking, respectively.
Table 20

Sub-criteria weights comparison for PF-AHP and SF-AHP.

Sub-criteriaPF-AHP
SF-AHP
Sub-criteriaPF-AHP
SF-AHP
WRWRWRWR
C11. Investment cost0.07840.0772C41. Climate conditions0.030110.03112
C12. Operating cost0.04170.0427C42. Energy0.09810.0901
C13. Maintenance/insurance cost0.013260.01526C43. Telecommunication systems0.09520.0723
C14. Storage cost0.028120.02813C44. Topographical features0.03690.0399
C15. Financial incentives0.026130.02516C51. Prox. to main roads0.017210.01723
C16. Labor cost0.020190.02417C52. Prox. to producers0.023170.03411
C17. Transportation cost0.08730.0714C53. Prox. to multimodal transport0.024150.02614
C21. Available workforce0.015240.01624C54. Prox. to potential markets0.06250.0565
C22. Government support0.021180.02319C55. Proximity to suppliers0.05160.0476
C23. Environmental impact0.015250.02020C56. Proximity to opponents0.025140.02615
C24. Impact on traffic cong.0.009300.01031C61. Location resistance0.023160.02418
C25. Conformance to freight reg.0.008310.01030C62. Disaster free location0.03880.0418
C26. Security0.009290.01228C63. Stock holding capacity0.010280.01029
C27. Community acceptance0.004320.00532C64. Resource availability0.030100.03910
C31. Development rate0.016230.01625C65. Movement flexibility0.011270.01327
C32. Number of competitors0.018200.01922
C33. Parking area0.003330.00533
C34. Future expansion0.016220.01921
As can be seen in Table 20, the most important criterion is determined as “C42. Energy” by both two methods. And the ten most important criteria are determined as the same in two methods with different orders. So, it can be said that the SF-AHP methodology produces robust criteria weights to evaluate alternative pharmaceutical warehouse location. Sub-criteria weights comparison for PF-AHP and SF-AHP. In the second stage of the validation analysis, PF-EDAS is applied to Table 13 and the most suitable location is analyzed. By applying the aforementioned steps of PF-EDAS, the following results given in Table 21 are obtained.
Table 21

The results of PF-EDAS application.

A1A2A3A4A5A6
Pi+0.8630.9571.1191.1221.0680.919
Ni0.9680.9830.9100.8240.8940.925

nPi+0.7690.8520.9971.0000.9520.819
nNi0.0140.0000.0740.1620.0900.059

Score0.3920.4260.5350.5810.5210.439

Ranking652134
According to PF-EDAS results, the rankings of the candidate pharmaceutical warehouse locations with respect to the determined criteria are A-4 > A-3 > A-5> A-6 > A-2 > A-1 which agrees with the SF-EDAS for the first three ranks. The rankings of remaining alternatives have changed among themselves. The comparison of the alternative locations ranking according to the integrated AHP-EDAS methodology under PF and SF environments is presented in Fig. 5.
Fig. 5

Results of the validation analysis.

The results of PF-EDAS application. As can be seen in Fig. 5, the results of the integrated methodology for the different fuzzy environments are almost the same, and A-4 is the best candidate location to be a pharmaceutical warehouse with respect to six main and thirty-three sub-criteria. Therefore, the proposed AHP integrated EDAS methodology based on SF sets is determined as valid and effective to solve complex location selection or different MCDM problems. Results of the validation analysis.

Comparative analysis

A comparative analysis is performed to validate the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed hybrid methodology to determine the best location for a pharmaceutical warehouse. The same criteria weight set which is determined by SF-AHP is used and alternatives are evaluated with the SF-VIKOR methodology to compare the results of SF-EDAS. The steps of the SF-VIKOR methodology are explained below (Ayyildiz and Taskin, 2022) Step 1. The score value of each evaluation is calculated based on Definition 5. Step 2. The positive ideal solution is determined for each criterion. Step 3. The negative ideal solution is determined for each criterion. Let be the number of alternatives. Step 4. (the weighted total regret) and (the weighted maximum regret) values are calculated. Step 5. values are computed for alternatives: where and . represents the weight of strategy of maximum group utility and is generally determined as 0.5 (Kutlu Gündoǧdu and Kahraman, 2019a). Step 6. Alternatives are ranked by in ascending order. After constructing the evaluation matrix for alternatives with experts, the positive and negative solutions are determined as given in Table 22.
Table 22

The positive ideal and negative ideal solutions.

C11C12C13C14C15C16

X~0.40.60.40.30.70.30.40.60.40.40.60.40.80.20.20.40.60.4
X~0.90.10.10.90.10.10.80.20.20.80.20.20.60.40.40.70.30.3

C17C21C22C23C24C25

X~0.40.60.40.80.20.20.80.20.20.50.50.50.40.60.40.60.40.4
X~0.80.20.20.50.50.50.60.40.40.60.40.40.70.30.30.50.50.5

C27C27C31C32C33C34

X~0.70.30.30.80.20.20.70.30.30.30.70.30.90.10.10.80.20.2
X~0.50.50.50.60.40.40.50.50.50.70.30.30.40.60.40.50.50.5

C41C42C43C44C51C52

X~0.80.20.20.80.20.20.70.30.30.70.30.30.40.60.40.40.60.4
X~0.60.40.40.60.40.40.50.50.50.50.50.50.70.30.30.70.30.3

C53C54C55C56C61C62

X~0.60.40.40.50.50.50.40.60.40.90.10.10.70.30.30.70.30.3
X~0.60.40.40.60.40.40.60.40.40.30.70.30.50.50.50.50.50.5

C63C64C65

X~0.90.10.10.70.30.30.70.30.3
X~0.30.70.30.50.50.50.40.60.4
, and values are calculated with respect to criteria weights and the alternatives are ordered as given in Table 23.
Table 23

The values of , and rankings.

AlternativeSiRiQiRank
A10.6370.0911.0006
A20.6060.0910.9405
A30.3890.0450.0151
A40.3810.0650.2203
A50.4000.0450.0382
A60.5000.0770.5814
The positive ideal and negative ideal solutions. According to the obtained result by SF-VIKOR, A3 has the lowest score with 0.015 and determined as the best option. It is followed by A5 and A4 with scores of 0.038 and 0.220, respectively. These three alternatives are determined as the best three alternatives according to the result of SF-EDAS application in a different ranking. Fig. 6 compares the results of SF-EDAS and SF-VIKOR.
Fig. 6

The rankings of the alternatives for both SF-EDAS and SF-VIKOR.

The values of , and rankings. The ranking order of alternatives by SF-VIKOR is similar to the result of the SF-EDAS as can be seen in Fig. 4. The ranking of alternatives is not a considerable change, although the ranking methodology is altered. According to the comparative analysis, the result of the proposed hybrid methodology is consistent with SF-VIKOR which is also one of the most popular MCDM methodologies. The rankings of the alternatives for both SF-EDAS and SF-VIKOR.

Conclusion and future directions

The choice of pharmaceutical warehouse location stands out as one of the issues that should be addressed as a priority. However, in addressing this problem, pandemic conditions should be taken into account, along with the details of the storage, transportation and arrangement of drugs. Since the warehouse location problem is a long-term strategic decision, it is a decision-making process that requires careful analysis and incorporation of as many factors as possible into the decision process. At this point, along with the criteria whose numerical values can be obtained for the warehouse location selection problem, it is necessary to take into account the effect of linguistically expressive criteria on the decision process. In addition, the fact that some criteria may be in conflict with each other forces the problem to be analyzed in detail with all the criteria expressed linguistically and numerously. The presence of multiple and conflicting criteria in a decision analysis makes it appropriate to use MCDM methodologies. The complexity of warehouse location selection problems involving real-life analysis is an important factor that should be included in the decision-making process. Uncertainty in the decision process and hesitations in the evaluations cause difficulties in determining the weights of the evaluation criteria and criterion-alternative scores, and it necessitates the use of linguistic variables in the decision-making process. Fuzzy logic enables the linguistically evaluated criteria and alternatives to be converted into numerical values so that they can be used in analytical methods. Eventually, this study proposes a hybrid fuzzy decision-making methodology for the evaluation of alternative locations of pharmacy warehouses in order to ensure the most effective flow of the health supply chain in pandemic conditions. In this paper, the AHP method, which is one of the most frequently used approaches to determine criteria weights in MCDM problems, is applied under the SF environment to reflect the uncertainty in the best way for selection of appropriate pharmaceutical warehouse location. In order to rank the alternatives, EDAS, which is a method that has been used frequently in the MCDM literature has been applied in the SF framework. When the results obtained for the weights of criteria are examined, the most important criterion is determined as “energy” with an importance degree of 0.090. The following criterion is found as “investment cost” with an importance degree of 0.077. The cost of transportation appears as a criterion whose importance is calculated at higher ranks with an importance degree of 0.071. As can be seen, even during the pandemic period, cost-based criteria have emerged as more important factors in the selection of pharmaceutical warehouse best location with the total weight percent as %28,2. The criteria under the “Social” class are calculated as the group of criteria with the least importance. At this point, it can be interpreted that critical effects will not be encountered in the decision process regarding finding employees for the pharmaceutical warehouse to be established, the acceptance of this facility by the society, its environmental effects and its effects on traffic, and that there will be no issue in this sense for the regions considered as alternatives. Besides, when the four most important criteria are compared with the other criteria, it is seen that they have total importance of 30%. At this point, it can be interpreted that 12% of the criteria are the factors that affect the results the most in this decision-making problem. In the fuzzy multi-criteria analysis is carried out for the city of Düzce, which is located in the north of Turkey and is a bridge with other regions and the heart of the country, the Marmara Region, it is seen that the most suitable alternative is the region marked with A-4 on the map in Fig. 2 with 0.800 score value and this alternative is followed by the alternatives of A-3 and A-5 with the score values of 0.728 and 0.666, respectively. When a detailed examination is conducted in terms of the criteria considered and the results are discussed with the experts, it can be interpreted that the use of the first-ranked area as a pharmaceutical warehouse location is a reasonable result, due to its affordable cost, ease of transportation and supporting the region in terms of employment.
Fig. 2

Geometric representations of the extended fuzzy sets (Kutlu Gündoğdu and Kahraman, 2020).

Detailed robustness analysis is carried out to verify the stability and applicability of the proposed methodology. Firstly, a sensitivity analysis is also conducted in order to observe the effect of the parameters on the results in the proposed decision process. According to the sensitivity analysis results, it is determined that the best alternative remained the same for all scenarios for different weights of experts. Thus, it can be claimed that the proposed method is stable to changes in decision parameters. A validity analysis is also conducted to compare the results of the proposed methodology. Finally, a comparative analysis is carried out and it is revealed that there is no major change in the results, which indicates that the obtained ranking is consistent. This paper proposes AHP-EDAS hybrid methodology under SF environment which is proved to be successful in handling fuzziness and indeterminacy in complex decision-making problems. The main contributions of this study to the current literature and application area can be summarized as follows: (1) The key factors to evaluate candidate pharmaceutical warehouse locations for the post-COVID-19 era are determined and classified under main titles; (2) AHP is integrated to EDAS methodology under SF environment to make more detailed and comprehensive multi-criteria analysis considering the indeterminacy and fuzziness in information; (3) The most important criteria are determined with respect to expert opinions via SF-AHP; (4) A real-life case for Duzce, Turkey is performed and the applicability and reliability of the proposed integrated MCDM methodology is shown with three-phase robustness analysis; (5) Six alternatives are analyzed with respect to thirty-three criteria and the most appropriate one is specified via SF-EDAS; (6) The proposed integrated methodology can be used a helpful guide for healthcare organizations to develop and improve their strategies considering the pharmaceutical supply chain. As future suggestions, different MCDM approaches can be applied to compare the results, or proposed fuzzy-based decision-making methodology can be conducted for different and/or larger regions.

Funding

No funds, grants, or other support was received.

Ethical approval

Ethics committee approval is not required.

Code availability

Not applicable.

Consent to participate

Not applicable.

Consent to publish

The authors confirm that the final version of the manuscript has been reviewed, approved and consented for publication by all authors.

CRediT authorship contribution statement

Melike Erdogan: Methodology, Supervision, Validation, Writing – review & editing. Ertugrul Ayyildiz: Data correction, Writing – original draft, Methodology, Data collection, Application.

Declaration of Competing Interest

The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
  12 in total

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