| Literature DB >> 36056722 |
Alf Inge Larsen1,2, Kjetil Halvorsen Løland3,4, Siren Hovland3, Øyvind Bleie4, Christian Eek5, Eigil Fossum6, Thor Trovik7, Vibeke Juliebø8, Knut Hegbom9, Rasmus Moer10, Tomas Larsen11, Michael Uchto12, Svein Rotevatn3.
Abstract
Background Using contemporary data from NORIC (Norwegian Registry of Invasive Cardiology) we investigated the predictive value of patient age and time from ECG diagnosis to sheath insertion (ECG-2-sheath) in primary percutaneous coronary intervention for ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Methods and Results Data from 11 226 patients collected from all centers offering 24/7/365 primary percutaneous coronary intervention service were explored. For patients aged <80 years the mortality rates were 5.6% and 7.6% at 30 days and 1 year, respectively. For octogenarians the corresponding rates were 15.0% and 24.2%. The Cox hazard ratio was 2.02 (1.93-2.11, P value <0.0001) per 10 years of patient age. Time from ECG-2-sheath was significantly associated with mortality with a 3.6% increase per 30 minutes of time. Using achievement of time goal <90 minutes in patients aged >80 years and mortality at 30 days, mortality was 10.5% and 17.7% for <90 or ≥90 minutes, respectively. The number needed to prevent 1 death was 39 in the whole population and 14 in the elderly. Restricted mean survival gains during median 938 days of follow-up in patients with ECG-2-sheath time <90 minutes were 24 and 76 days for patients aged <80 and ≥80 years, respectively. Conclusions Time from ECG-diagnosis to sheath insertion is strongly correlated with mortality. This applies especially to octogenarians who derive the most in terms of absolute mortality reduction. Registration URL: https://helsedata.no/en/forvaltere/norwegian-institute-of-public-health/norwegian-registry-of-invasive-cardiology/.Entities:
Keywords: STEMI; octogenarians; primary PCI; revascularization; timing
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 36056722 PMCID: PMC9496403 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.122.024849
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Am Heart Assoc ISSN: 2047-9980 Impact factor: 6.106
Baseline Characteristics
| Complete data (n) | Whole population (n=11 226) | Aged <80 y (n=9826) | Aged ≥80 y (n=1400) |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patient characteristics | |||||
| Age (y), median (IQR) | 11 226 | 64.00 (56.00, 73.00) | 62.00 (54.00, 70.00) | 84.00 (81.00, 87.00) | <0.0001 |
| Sex, male n (%) | 11 226 | 8536 (76.04%) | 7777 (79.15%) | 759 (54.21%) | <0.0001 |
| BMI (kg/m2), median (IQR) | 9224 | 26.56 (24.22, 29.39) | 26.87 (24.49, 29.70) | 24.57 (22.41, 26.88) | <0.0001 |
| SBT (mm Hg), median (IQR) | 5936 | 130.00 (110.00, 149.00) | 130.00 (110.00, 149.00) | 127.50 (110.00, 148.75) | 0.25 |
| DBT (mm Hg), median (IQR) | 5800 | 80.00 (69.00, 90.00) | 80.00 (70.00, 90.00) | 73.00 (60.00, 84.00) | <0.0001 |
| Risk factors | |||||
| Diabetes, n (%) | 10 720 | 1467 (13.68%) | 1276 (13.57%) | 191 (14.50%) | 0.37 |
| Hypertension, n (%) | 10 409 | 4075 (39.15%) | 3370 (36.85%) | 705 (55.82%) | <0.0001 |
| PAD, n (%) | 10 063 | 434 (4.31%) | 336 (3.78%) | 98 (8.30%) | <0.0001 |
| Current smoker, n (%) | 9201 | 3734 (40.58%) | 3575 (43.62%) | 159 (15.82%) | <0.0001 |
| Prior MI, n (%) | 10 600 | 1464 (13.81%) | 1200 (12.89%) | 264 (20.51%) | <0.0001 |
| Prior PCI, n (%) | 11 079 | 1497 (13.51%) | 1270 (13.08%) | 227 (16.59%) | 0.0005 |
| Prior CABG, n (%) | 11 161 | 329 (2.95%) | 250 (2.56%) | 79 (5.69%) | <0.0001 |
| Prior stroke, n (%) | 10 533 | 454 (4.31%) | 343 (3.70%) | 111 (8.79%) | <0.0001 |
| Known left ventricular dysfunction (LVEF <50%) | 9718 | 590 (6.01%) | 472 (5.49%) | 118 (10.57%) | <0.0001 |
| Prehospital care and logistics | |||||
| Cardiac arrest, n (%) | 11 226 | 1018 (9.07%) | 940 (9.57%) | 78 (5.57%) | <0.0001 |
| Admittance between 1600 and 0800, n (%) | 11 226 | 7143 (63.63%) | 6307 (64.19%) | 836 (59.71%) | 0.001 |
| Time from symptoms to ECG (min), median (IQR) | 7566 | 90.00 (163) | 90.00 (155) | 115 (159) | <0.0001 |
| ECG‐2‐sheath time (min), median (IQR) | 6832 | 75.00 (52.00, 105.00) | 75.00 (52.00, 104.00) | 81.00 (56.50, 110.00) | 0.0001 |
| Cardiogenic shock on arrival, n (%) | 11 226 | 576 (5.13%) | 490 (4.99%) | 86 (6.14%) | 0.07 |
| Medication at admittance | |||||
| ASA, n (%) | 5807 | 1411 (24.30%) | 1147 (22.71%) | 264 (34.92%) | <0.0001 |
| Statins, n (%) | 10 490 | 2234 (21.30%) | 1914 (20.87%) | 320 (24.22%) | <0.0001 |
| Angiographic data | |||||
| Extent of CAD | <0.0001 | ||||
| Single‐vessel CAD, n (%) | 11 217 | 6176 (55.06%) | 5571 (56.74%) | 605 (43.28%) | |
| Two‐vessel CAD, n (%) | 11 217 | 3049 (27.18%) | 2631 (26.79%) | 418 (29.90%) | |
| Three‐vessel CAD, n (%) | 11 217 | 1992 (17.76%) | 1617 (16.47%) | 375 (26.82%) | |
| Procedural data | |||||
| Radial access, n (%) | 11 226 | 9957 (88.70%) | 8795 (89.51%) | 1162 (83.00%) | <0.0001 |
| Fluoro time (min), median (IQR) | 11 150 | 9.43 (6.00, 15.11) | 9.30 (5.98, 14.80) | 10.72 (6.72, 17.31) | <0.0001 |
| Contrast volume (mL), median (IQR) | 11 220 | 130.00 (100.00, 180.00) | 132.00 (100.00, 180.00) | 130.00 (100.00, 180.00) | 0.02 |
| Complete revascularization, n (%) | 11 086 | 6785 (61.20%) | 6124 (63.06%) | 661 (48.07%) | <0.0001 |
| Culprit only, n (%) | 11 226 | 10 058 (89.60%) | 8823 (89.79%) | 1235 (88.21%) | 0.08 |
| No. of stents, mean (SD) | 11 197 | 1.65 (0.93) | 1.65 (0.93) | 1.70 (0.98) | 0.05 |
| MCS, n (%) | 11 226 | 291 (2.59%) | 263 (2.68%) | 18 (1.29%) | 0.001 |
N=11 226 patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention for ST‐segment–elevation myocardial infarction in Norway from 2013 to May 2020. Continuous variables are presented as median (interquartile range) with the exception of number of stents which is presented as mean (±SD). Categorical variables are presented as number (%) and number/total number in subgroups. P value is for Kruskal–Wallis test for continuous variables with the exception for t test for number of stents. P value for categorical variables is from Fisher exact test. A 2‐sided significance level 0.05 was selected. ASA indicates acetylsalicylic acid; BMI, body‐mass index; CABG, coronary artery bypass graft; CAD, coronary artery disease; DBT, diastolic blood pressure; ECG‐2‐sheath, ECG diagnosis to sheath insertion; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; MCS, mechanical circulatory support; MI, myocardial infarction; PAD, peripheral artery disease; PCI, percutaneous coronary intervention; and SBT, systolic blood pressure.
Figure 1Survival (y‐axis) in days (x‐axis) following primary percutaneous coronary intervention for STEMI according to different age groups.
Y‐axis truncated at 20%. STEMI indicates ST‐segment–elevation myocardial infarction.
Figure 2Survival (y‐axis) in days (x‐axis) following primary percutaneous coronary intervention for STEMI according to patients aged ≥80 or <80 years.
Y‐axis truncated at 20%. STEMI indicates ST‐segment–elevation myocardial infarction.
Figure 3Smoothed spline Cox proportional hazard model for patient age at admission (x‐axis) and log‐transformed hazard ratio for mortality (y‐axis).
Gray shaded area is the 95% CI and the blue shaded area over the x‐axis the population density according to age, white lines denote the following percentiles from left to right: 2.5, 25, 50, 75, and 95.
Cox Proportional Hazards Models
| Univariate | Hazard ratio (95% CI) |
|
|---|---|---|
| Age continuous (per 10 y) | 2.03 (1.94–2.12) | <0.0001 |
| Age categorical (≥80 y) | 4.53 (4.09–5.03) | <0.0001 |
Analyses using the Cox proportional hazards model estimating hazard ratio and associated 95% CI. CAD indicates coronary artery disease; and LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction.
Univariate model with age as explanatory variable.
Age as explanatory variable adjusted for patient sex.
Multivariate Cox proportional hazards model.
Time to Reperfusion
| Cox proportional hazard ratio | Whole population (n=6818) | Aged <80 y (n=5976) | Aged ≥80 y (n=842) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CI) |
| HR (95% CI) |
| HR (95% CI) |
| |
| HR per 10 min increase in ECG‐2‐sheath time (min) | 1.012 (1.008–1.016) | <0.0001 | 1.013 (1.008–1.017) | <0.0001 | 1.010 (1.003–1.017) | 0.004 |
| HR for ECG‐2‐sheath time≥90 min | 1.49 (1.28–1.72) | <0.0001 | 1.52 (1.26–1.83) | <0.0001 | 1.31 (1.04–1.66) | 0.02 |
| HR for ECG‐2‐sheath time≥120 min | 1.73 (1.47–2.04) | <0.0001 | 1.93 (1.5–2.37) | <0.0001 | 1.32 (1.01–1.74) | 0.04 |
ECG‐2‐sheath indicates ECG diagnosis to sheath insertion; and HR, hazard ratio.
Sex‐adjusted hazard ratio estimates.
Truncation time was set to median follow‐up (938 days) to ensure stability of Kaplan–Meier estimates.
Figure 4Smoothed spline Cox proportional hazard model of log‐transformed hazard ratio for mortality (y‐axis) according to time from ECG‐2‐sheath insertion (x‐axis).
Gray shaded area is the 95% CI and the blue shaded area over the x‐axis the population density according to age, white lines denote the following percentiles from left to right: 2.5, 25, 50, and 75 (95th percentile not visible). HR indicates hazard ratio.
Figure 5Restricted mean survival gain at the median follow‐up time of 938 days according to age and time from ECG to treatment in octogenarians compared with the younger population.
ECG‐2‐sheath indicates ECG diagnosis to sheath insertion; and RMST, restricted mean survival time.