| Literature DB >> 36042631 |
Jing-Cheng Jheng1, Yen-Ting Tseng1, Te-Hao Wang1, Li-Fu Chen1,2, Jui-Yuan Chung3,4,5.
Abstract
The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is used to predict the prognosis of various diseases, such as coronavirus disease 2019, community-acquired pneumonia, bacteremia, and endocarditis. However, NLR has never been reported to predict patient discharge in geriatric patients with influenza infection. This retrospective case-control study enrolled geriatric patients (≥65 years) with influenza virus infection who visited the emergency department of a medical center between January 01, 2010 and December 31, 2015. Demographic data, vital signs, past histories, influenza subtypes, outcomes, and disposition were analyzed. The optimal NLR cut-off value to predict patient discharge was determined using the Youden index. We also evaluated the accuracy of NLR in predicting patient discharge using logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic analysis. The study included 409 geriatric patients in the emergency department with a mean age of 79.5 years and an approximately equal sex ratio. NLR was significantly lower in the discharged group than in the nondischarged group (5.8 ± 3.7 vs 9.7 ± 8.4). Logistic regression revealed that patients with NLR ≤ 6.5 predicted discharge with an odds ratio of 3.62. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test was calculated as 0.36, and the adjusted area under the receiver operating characteristic was 0.75. The negative predictive value of NLR ≤ 6.5, to predict patient discharge, was 91.8%. NLR ≤ 6.5 is a simple and easy-to-obtain laboratory tool to guide the physicians to discharge geriatric patients with influenza infection in the crowded emergency department.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 36042631 PMCID: PMC9410611 DOI: 10.1097/MD.0000000000030261
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Medicine (Baltimore) ISSN: 0025-7974 Impact factor: 1.817
Figure 1.Flowchart of this study.
Characteristics of discharged and nondischarged patients among geriatric patients with influenza infection in the emergency department.
| Characteristics | Total patients (n = 409) | Discharged (n = 66) | Non-discharged (n = 343) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age, yr | 79.5 ± 8.3 | 75.4 ± 7.2 | 80.4 ± 8.4 | <.01 |
| Age subgroup | ||||
| Young elderly (65–74 yr) | 30.6 | 47.0 | 27.4 | <.01 |
| Moderately elderly (75–84 yr) | 42.5 | 42.4 | 42.6 | .98 |
| Old elderly (≥85 yr) | 26.9 | 10.6 | 30.0 | <.01 |
| Male, sex | 50.1 | 45.5 | 51.0 | .41 |
| Vital signs | ||||
| GCS | 13.9 ± 2.32 | 14.8 ± 1.0 | 13.8 ± 2.5 | <.01 |
| SBP (mm Hg) | 146.1 ± 30.5 | 153.4 ± 26.1 | 144.7 ± 31.1 | .03 |
| DBP (mm Hg) | 74.2 ± 17.4 | 77.6 ± 13.9 | 73.6 ± 17.9 | .04 |
| Heart rate (/min) | 98.8 ± 20.5 | 96.5 ± 14.9 | 99.3 ± 21.5 | .33 |
| Respiratory rate (/min) | 21.2 ± 4.1 | 19.0 ± 1.8 | 21.7 ± 4.3 | <.01 |
| Tympanic temperature (°C) | 38.1 ± 0.9 | 38.3 ± 0.8 | 38.1 ± 0.9 | .81 |
| Past history | ||||
| Hypertension | 64.3 | 43.9 | 68.2 | <.01 |
| Diabetes | 39.8 | 30.3 | 41.1 | .22 |
| COPD | 27.1 | 4.5 | 19.8 | .01 |
| Coronary artery disease | 25.1 | 9.1 | 25.4 | .01 |
| Stroke | 15.8 | 10.6 | 16.9 | .20 |
| Cancer | 14.9 | 12.1 | 15.5 | .48 |
| Congestive heart failure | 9.0 | 10.5 | 1.5 | .02 |
| Dementia | 2.2 | 3.0 | 2.2 | .67 |
| Laboratory data | ||||
| WBC (cells/mm3) | 10,590.0 ± 5820.0 | 8009.5 ± 2687.0 | 11,068.9 ± 6050.2 | <.01 |
| Neutrophil | 8101.9 ± 4446.9 | 6006.6 ± 2560.1 | 8481.3 ± 4609.5 | <.01 |
| Lymphocyte | 1377.2 ± 1205.7 | 1187.2 ± 497.1 | 1411.5 ± 949.4 | .06 |
| NLR | 9.1 ± 7.2 | 5.8 ± 3.7 | 9.7 ± 8.4 | <.01 |
| Influenza subtypes | ||||
| Influenza A | 68.0 | 71.2 | 67.3 | .54 |
| Influenza B | 29.3 | 28,8 | 29.4 | .91 |
| Influenza A + B | 2.7 | 0.0 | 3.2 | .14 |
| Influenza vaccination | 23.2 | 68.2 | 14.6 | <.01 |
| Severity | ||||
| SIRS | 1.9 ± 1.1 | 1.4 ± 1.0 | 2.0 ± 1.1 | <.01 |
| 30-day mortality rate | 4.9 | 0.0 | 5.8 | .04 |
Data were presented as % or mean ± SD.
DBP = diastolic blood pressure, ED = Emergency Department, GCS = Glasgow coma scale, NLR = neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, SBP = systolic blood pressure, SD = standard deviation, SIRS = systemic inflammatory response syndrome, WBC = white blood cell count.
Comparison of neutrophil count, lymphocyte count, and NLR between mortality, hospital stay > 9 days and hospital stay < 9 days, ICU and non-ICU, SIRS ≥ 2 and SIRS < 2, evidence of pneumonia or urinary tract infection and no evidence of pneumonia or urinary tract infection.
| Mortality (n = 20) | Survivor (n = 389) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Neutrophil | 8018.7 ± 5782.6 | 5338.6 ± 3409.4 | .98 |
| Lymphocyte | 1988.9 ± 922.9 | 1110.2 ± 583.2 | .11 |
| NLR | 8.9 ± 6.6 | 5.2 ± 3.2 | .95 |
|
| |||
| Neutrophil | 8965.1 ± 4977.9 | 7323.7 ± 3751 | <.01 |
| Lymphocyte | 1473.4 ± 1211.6 | 1270.4 ± 1202.8 | .26 |
| NLR | 10.6 ± 8.9 | 7.7 ± 6.6 | <.01 |
|
| |||
| Neutrophil | 9763.8 ± 5578.9 | 7888 ± 4243.0 | .15 |
| Lymphocyte | 1637.6 ± 1711.3 | 1343.8 ± 1117.1 | .30 |
| NLR | 10.6 ± 8.8 | 8.9 ± 7.8 | .05 |
|
| |||
| Neutrophil | 9120.7 ± 4847.0 | 6086.2 ± 2938.3 | <.01 |
| Lymphocyte | 1453.6 ± 1179.2 | 1211.2 ± 814.2 | .19 |
| NLR | 10.5 ± 8.9 | 6.6 ± 4.8 | <.01 |
|
| |||
| Neutrophil | 9224.9 ± 4237.7 | 7803.6 ± 4459.8 | .01 |
| Lymphocyte | 1293.3 ± 1060.6 | 1399.5 ± 1057.3 | .63 |
| NLR | 10.0 ± 7.9 | 8.9 ± 7.9 | .22 |
ICU = intensive care unit, NLR = neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, SIRS = systemic inflammatory response syndrome.
Evidence of pneumonia is defined as new pulmonary infiltration visible on the chest image; evidence of urinary tract infection is defined as pyuria noted form the urine analysis.
Logistic regression analysis of NLR ≤ 6.5 to predict discharge in geriatric patients with influenza infection.
|
| Odds ratio | 95% CI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NLR ≤ 6.5 | 1.29 | 3.62 | 2.0–6.5 | <.01 |
CI = confidence interval, NLR = neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio.
Figure 2.Adjusted AUROC of NLR ≤ 6.5 to predict patient discharge among geriatric patients with influenza infection. AUROC = area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, NLR = neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, ROC = receiver operating characteristic.
Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of NLR ≤ 6.5 to predict discharge in geriatric patients with influenza infection.
| AUROC | 95% CI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| NLR ≤ 6.5 | 0.75 | 0.69–0.81 | <.01 |
AUROC = area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, CI = confidence interval, NLR = neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio.
Sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value, and positive predictive value of NLR ≤ 6.5 to predict discharge in geriatric patients with influenza infection.
| NLR ≤ 6.5 | |
|---|---|
| Sensitivity | 0.74 (0.62–0.84) |
| Specificity | 0.56 (0.50–0.61) |
| Negative predictive value | 0.92 (0.88–0.95) |
| Positive predictive value | 0.24 (0.22–0.28) |
NLR = neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio.