| Literature DB >> 36010720 |
Kah Fai Liew1, Weng Siew Lam1, Weng Hoe Lam1.
Abstract
In this paper, we propose a multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) model by integrating the entropy-DEMATEL with TOPSIS model to analyze the causal relationship of financial ratios towards the financial performance of the companies. The proposed model is illustrated using the financial data of the companies of Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). The financial network analysis using entropy-DEMATEL shows that the financial ratios such as debt to equity ratio (DER) and return on equity (ROE) are classified into the cause criteria group, whereas current ratio (CR), earnings per share (EPS), return on asset (ROA) and debt to assets ratio (DAR) are categorized into the effect criteria group. The top three most influential financial ratios are ROE, CR and DER. The significance of this paper is to determine the causal relationship of financial network towards the financial performance of the companies with the proposed entropy-DEMATEL-TOPSIS model. The ranking identification of the companies in this study is beneficial to the investors to select the companies with good performance in portfolio investment. The proposed model has been applied and validated in the portfolio investment using a mean-variance model based on the selection of companies with good performance. The results show that the proposed model is able to generate higher mean return than the benchmark DJIA index at minimum risk. However, short sale is not allowed for the applicability of the proposed model in portfolio investment.Entities:
Keywords: DEMATEL; TOPSIS; causal relationship; entropy; financial ratio; multi-criteria decision making
Year: 2022 PMID: 36010720 PMCID: PMC9407221 DOI: 10.3390/e24081056
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Entropy (Basel) ISSN: 1099-4300 Impact factor: 2.738
Recent state of the art on the financial performance evaluation based on different methods.
| Description | Field of Study | Method |
|---|---|---|
| Evaluate the financial performance of Islamic banks [ | Bank | Least square method |
| Investigate the financial performance of the business organization [ | Business organization | Financial ratio analysis |
| Measure the financial performance of the listed companies [ | Listed companies in Indonesia Stock Exchange | Multiple regression analysis |
| Analyze the financial performance of agriculture and agro-allied firms [ | Agriculture and agro-allied firms | Multiple regression analysis |
| Examine the financial performance of | Agricultural cooperatives | Regression analysis |
| Assess the financial performance of the listed companies [ | Listed companies in the New York Stock Exchange | Financial ratios analysis and linguistic analysis |
| Measure the financial performance of oil and gas industry [ | Oil and gas industry | Financial ratio analysis |
| Analyze the financial performance of the automotive companies [ | Automotive | Multiple regression analysis |
| Assess the financial performance of banks [ | Bank | Panel data regression analysis |
| Evaluate the financial performance of manufacturing industries [ | Manufacturing industries | Fuzzy AHP–VIKOR, Fuzzy AHP–TOPSIS |
| Evaluate the financial performance of wealth management banks [ | Bank | AHP–VIKOR |
| Investigate the financial performance of tourism companies [ | Tourism companies | TOPSIS |
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Proposed research framework.
| Level | |
|---|---|
| Objective | Analysis on the Causal Relationship of Financial Ratios towards the Financial Performance of the Companies |
| Decision Criteria | Earnings per share (EPS) |
| (Financial Ratios) | Debt to assets ratio (DAR) |
| Return on equity (ROE) | |
| Current ratio (CR) | |
| Return on asset (ROA) | |
| Debt to equity ratio (DER) | |
| Decision Alternatives | 3M (MMM) |
| (Companies) | American Express (AXP) |
| Amgen (AMGN) | |
| Apple (AAPL) | |
| Boeing (BA) | |
| Caterpillar (CAT) | |
| Chevron (CVX) | |
| Cisco (CSCO) | |
| Coca-Cola (KO) | |
| Dow (DOW) | |
| Goldman Sachs (GS) | |
| Home Depot (HD) | |
| Honeywell (HON) | |
| IBM (IBM) | |
| Intel (INTC) | |
| Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) | |
| JPMorgan Chase (JPM) | |
| McDonald’s (MCD) | |
| Merck (MRK) | |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | |
| Nike (NKE) | |
| Procter & Gamble (PG) | |
| Salesforce (CRM) | |
| Travelers (TRV) | |
| UnitedHealth (UNH) | |
| Verizon (VZ) | |
| Visa (V) | |
| Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) | |
| Walmart (WMT) | |
| Disney (DIS) |
Figure 1Entropy–DEMATEL weights of financial ratios.
, and the categorization for the financial ratios.
| Financial Ratios |
|
| |
|---|---|---|---|
| CR | 1.2382 | −1.0797 | Effect |
| DAR | 0.8813 | −0.5976 | Effect |
| DER | 0.9503 | 0.7026 | Cause |
| EPS | 0.6794 | −0.1120 | Effect |
| ROA | 0.6719 | −0.0355 | Effect |
| ROE | 1.2733 | 1.1221 | Cause |
Figure 2Cause and effect diagram based on entropy–DEMATEL.
Weighting normalization evaluation matrix of the companies by using the entropy–DEMATEL weights with respect to the financial ratios.
| Company | EPS | DAR | ROE | CR | ROA | DER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MMM | 0.0280 | 0.0313 | 0.0192 | 0.0438 | 0.0317 | 0.0130 |
| AXP | 0.0185 | 0.0249 | 0.0098 | 0.0285 | 0.0066 | 0.0245 |
| AMGN | 0.0334 | 0.0384 | 0.0176 | 0.0839 | 0.0228 | 0.0202 |
| AAPL | 0.0089 | 0.0241 | 0.0210 | 0.0325 | 0.0383 | 0.0096 |
| BA | 0.0141 | 0.0143 | 0.2044 | 0.0304 | 0.0076 | 0.1233 |
| CAT | 0.0178 | 0.0382 | 0.0090 | 0.0344 | 0.0091 | 0.0240 |
| CVX | 0.0075 | 0.0126 | 0.0012 | 0.0285 | 0.0038 | 0.0025 |
| CSCO | 0.0062 | 0.0183 | 0.0077 | 0.0625 | 0.0187 | 0.0048 |
| KO | 0.0049 | 0.0415 | 0.0131 | 0.0275 | 0.0170 | 0.0197 |
| DOW | 0.0054 | 0.0230 | 0.0007 | 0.0487 | 0.0001 | 0.0106 |
| GS | 0.0609 | 0.0383 | 0.0039 | 0.0277 | 0.0019 | 0.0476 |
| HD | 0.0244 | 0.0464 | 0.0627 | 0.0306 | 0.0466 | 0.0678 |
| HON | 0.0215 | 0.0235 | 0.0112 | 0.0334 | 0.0202 | 0.0087 |
| IBM | 0.0324 | 0.0280 | 0.0234 | 0.0296 | 0.0172 | 0.0234 |
| INTC | 0.0116 | 0.0177 | 0.0093 | 0.0462 | 0.0298 | 0.0036 |
| JNJ | 0.0161 | 0.0153 | 0.0086 | 0.0418 | 0.0206 | 0.0043 |
| JPM | 0.0262 | 0.0186 | 0.0049 | 0.0278 | 0.0026 | 0.0221 |
| MCD | 0.0214 | 0.0703 | 0.0191 | 0.0412 | 0.0328 | 0.0316 |
| MRK | 0.0071 | 0.0239 | 0.0078 | 0.0338 | 0.0148 | 0.0081 |
| MSFT | 0.0113 | 0.0237 | 0.0120 | 0.0670 | 0.0253 | 0.0075 |
| NKE | 0.0067 | 0.0140 | 0.0128 | 0.0639 | 0.0342 | 0.0046 |
| PG | 0.0124 | 0.0208 | 0.0077 | 0.0226 | 0.0188 | 0.0055 |
| CRM | 0.0012 | 0.0093 | 0.0007 | 0.0235 | 0.0021 | 0.0024 |
| TRV | 0.0325 | 0.0050 | 0.0047 | 0.0327 | 0.0061 | 0.0025 |
| UNH | 0.0375 | 0.0203 | 0.0095 | 0.0181 | 0.0175 | 0.0068 |
| VZ | 0.0153 | 0.0361 | 0.0265 | 0.0232 | 0.0170 | 0.0303 |
| V | 0.0141 | 0.0173 | 0.0128 | 0.0451 | 0.0326 | 0.0042 |
| WBA | 0.0120 | 0.0215 | 0.0057 | 0.0250 | 0.0131 | 0.0074 |
| WMT | 0.0138 | 0.0191 | 0.0069 | 0.0214 | 0.0143 | 0.0057 |
| DIS | 0.0166 | 0.0194 | 0.0072 | 0.0251 | 0.0190 | 0.0044 |
The PIS and NIS for each financial ratio using the entropy–DEMATEL weights.
| Financial Ratios | PIS | NIS |
|---|---|---|
| CR | 0.0839 | 0.0181 |
| DAR | 0.0050 | 0.0703 |
| DER | 0.0024 | 0.1233 |
| EPS | 0.0609 | 0.0012 |
| ROA | 0.0466 | 0.0001 |
| ROE | 0.2044 | 0.0007 |
The distance from the NIS and the distance to the PIS for each company using the entropy–DEMATEL weights.
| Company | Distance from the NIS | Distance from the PIS |
|---|---|---|
| MMM | 0.1281 | 0.1950 |
| AXP | 0.1111 | 0.2127 |
| AMGN | 0.1335 | 0.1940 |
| AAPL | 0.1311 | 0.1987 |
| BA | 0.2122 | 0.1458 |
| CAT | 0.1076 | 0.2133 |
| CVX | 0.1345 | 0.2216 |
| CSCO | 0.1383 | 0.2076 |
| KO | 0.1100 | 0.2131 |
| DOW | 0.1261 | 0.2199 |
| GS | 0.1021 | 0.2202 |
| HD | 0.1017 | 0.1739 |
| HON | 0.1284 | 0.2062 |
| IBM | 0.1170 | 0.1958 |
| INTC | 0.1377 | 0.2058 |
| JNJ | 0.1358 | 0.2072 |
| JPM | 0.1168 | 0.2160 |
| MCD | 0.1038 | 0.2074 |
| MRK | 0.1264 | 0.2132 |
| MSFT | 0.1373 | 0.2015 |
| NKE | 0.1439 | 0.2007 |
| PG | 0.1299 | 0.2141 |
| CRM | 0.1355 | 0.2252 |
| TRV | 0.1418 | 0.2120 |
| UNH | 0.1333 | 0.2097 |
| VZ | 0.1048 | 0.2001 |
| V | 0.1382 | 0.2019 |
| WBA | 0.1272 | 0.2162 |
| WMT | 0.1298 | 0.2154 |
| DIS | 0.1320 | 0.2128 |
The entropy–DEMATEL–TOPSIS scores () and ranking of the companies.
| Company |
| Ranking |
|---|---|---|
| MMM | 0.3965 | 10 |
| AXP | 0.3432 | 26 |
| AMGN | 0.4075 | 3 |
| AAPL | 0.3975 | 9 |
| BA | 0.5926 | 1 |
| CAT | 0.3353 | 28 |
| CVX | 0.3776 | 15 |
| CSCO | 0.3998 | 8 |
| KO | 0.3406 | 27 |
| DOW | 0.3644 | 23 |
| GS | 0.3168 | 30 |
| HD | 0.3690 | 22 |
| HON | 0.3838 | 13 |
| IBM | 0.3739 | 19 |
| INTC | 0.4008 | 6 |
| JNJ | 0.3960 | 11 |
| JPM | 0.3510 | 24 |
| MCD | 0.3335 | 29 |
| MRK | 0.3721 | 20 |
| MSFT | 0.4052 | 5 |
| NKE | 0.4175 | 2 |
| PG | 0.3775 | 16 |
| CRM | 0.3756 | 18 |
| TRV | 0.4007 | 7 |
| UNH | 0.3887 | 12 |
| VZ | 0.3437 | 25 |
| V | 0.4064 | 4 |
| WBA | 0.3703 | 21 |
| WMT | 0.3760 | 17 |
| DIS | 0.3827 | 14 |
Summary statistics of the optimal MV portfolio for the period of 2015–2020.
| Optimal Portfolio | Value |
|---|---|
| Portfolio mean return | 0.0125 |
| Portfolio risk | 0.0375 |
| Portfolio performance ratio | 0.3347 |
| DJIA index return (Benchmark) | 0.0096 |