| Literature DB >> 36003904 |
Chengcan Lu1,2,3, Chunyan Liu1, Di Mei1, Mengjie Yu4, Jian Bai3, Xue Bao3, Min Wang2, Kejia Fu1, Xin Yi4, Weihong Ge2, Jizhong Shen2, Yuzhu Peng1,2,3, Wei Xu1.
Abstract
Background: Using human humoral metabolomic profiling, we can discover the diagnostic biomarkers and pathogenesis of disease. The specific characterization of atrial fibrillation (AF) subtypes with metabolomics may facilitate effective and targeted treatment, especially in early stages.Entities:
Keywords: atrial fibrillation; biomarker; diagnostic model; metabolomics; risk factors
Year: 2022 PMID: 36003904 PMCID: PMC9393302 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.911845
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Cardiovasc Med ISSN: 2297-055X
Specific parameters for metabolomic studies.
|
|
|
| |
|---|---|---|---|
| Instruments | Shimadzu GCMS-QP2010 (Ultra, Kyoto, Japan) | ACQUITY UPLC H-Class System, Xevo G2-XS-Quadrupole-Time of Flight system (Waters Corporation, USA) | Exion LC AD System, TripleTOF®5,600-Quadrupole/Time-of-Flight system (AB SCIEX LLC., Redwood City, CA, USA). |
| Columns | Rtx-5 MS capillary column (0.25 μm, 0.25 mm × 30 m; Restek, PA, USA) | Amide XBridge UPLC column (3.5 μm, 4.6 mm × 100 mm; Waters Corporation, USA) | Kinetex C18 column (2.6 μm, 100 mm × 2.1 mm; Phenomenex, Torrance, CA, USA) |
| Injection volume | 0.5 μl | 10 μl | 10 μl |
| Chromatographic conditions | Split mode (split ratio 8:1); injector temperature 250°C; septum purge flow rate 6 ml/min; carrier gas flow rate 1.5 ml/min. Column temperature gradient: 0–5 min, 80°C; 5–16 min, 80°C−300°C; 16–21 min, 300°C | Flow rate 0.4 ml/min; column temperature 40°C; autosampler temperature 4°C. Mobile phase: 0.1% formic acid (solvent A), acetonitrile (solvent B). Solvent gradient: 0–3 min, 85% B; 3–6 min, 85–30% B; 6–15 min, 30–2% B; 15–18 min, 2% B; 18–19 min, 2–85% B; and 19–26 min, 85% B | Flow rate 0.4 ml/min; column temperature 40°C; autosampler temperature 4°V. Mobile phase: 0.1% formic acid (solvent A), acetonitrile (solvent B). Solvent gradient: 0–1 min, 10–30% B; 1–19 min, 30–95% B; 19–20 min, 95% B |
| Mass spectrometry conditions | Electron impact (EI) ion source; ion source temperature 220°C; ionization electron beam 70 eV; full scan mode, m/z 50–700; run time 19 min, solvent cutting acquisition time 4.5 min | Electrospray ionization (ESI) ion source; positive ion mode, gas 1 pressure 50 psi, gas 2 pressure 30 psi, curtain gas 30 psi; ion spray voltage 4,500 V; turbo spray temperature 500°C; full scan m/z 50–1,000, product ions m/z 50–900; declustering potential (DP) 100 V, collision energy (CE) 35 eV | Electrospray ionization (ESI) ion source; positive and negative ion modes; information-dependent acquisition (IDA) criteria; ion spray voltage +5,500/−4,500 V; turbo spray temperature 550°C; nebulizer gas pressure 55 psi; heater gas pressure 55 psi; curtain gas pressure 35 psi; DP ±80 V; CE 35 eV; mass range m/z 60–1,000 |
| Data pre-processing software | Shimadzu GC Postrun Analysis | Progenesis QI (Waters Corporation, USA) | Analysis Base File Converter, MSDIAL ver.4.70 |
| Metabolite identification | National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) library 2.0 (2008); Wiley 9 (Wiley-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. S5 KGaA, Weinheim, Germany); Standard compound self-built library (CPU library, China Pharmaceutical University, China) | Human Metabolome Database (HMDB), METLIN, Chemspider, CPU library | MSMS-Public-Pos-VS15, MSMS-Public-Neg-VS15 (matching MSDIAL), CPU library |
| Normalization method | IS normalization | IS normalization | LOWESS regression |
Figure 1Study design.
Baseline characteristics of discovery phase participants.
|
|
| ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demographics | Male | 38 (43.7) | 14 (46.7) | 73 (64.6) | – |
| Age | 57.47 ± 6.58 | 54.83 ± 9.57 | 65.59 ± 11.66 |
| |
| Weight | 61.66 ± 8.62 | 65.68 ± 9.13 | 69.99 ± 11.91 |
| |
| Height | 1.65 ± 0.08 | 1.67 ± 0.08 | 1.68 ± 0.08 |
| |
| BMI | 22.62 ± 1.77 | 23.62 ± 2.36 | 24.70 ± 3.31 |
| |
| BSA | 1.76 ± 0.15 | 1.82 ± 0.15 | 1.88 ± 0.18 |
| |
| SBP | 121.01 ± 10.79 | 128.6 ± 16.36 | 136.91 ± 20.33 |
| |
| DBP | 74.15 ± 7.92 | 81.73 ± 11.74 | 82.59 ± 12.49 |
| |
| Crcl | 91.92 ± 15.33 | 106.74 ± 31.19 | 86.96 ± 36.92 |
| |
| HbAlc | 5.6 (5.3, 5.9) | 5.6 (5.4, 5.8) | 5.9 (5.5, 6.3) |
| |
| Liver function | ALT | 14.8 (11.5, 19.4) | 19.9 (14.0, 26.0) | 16 (13, 22.6) |
|
| AST | 17.8 (15.9, 20.7) | 21.35 (17.7, 23.3) | 19.1 (15.1, 22.3) |
| |
| ALP | 57.1 (48.2, 70.9) | 67.45 (56.3, 78.8) | 68.9 (58.0, 83.4) |
| |
| γ-GT | 18.0 (14.9, 25.8) | 25.5 (18.7, 55.3) | 25.0 (18.1, 46.8) |
| |
| LDH | 180 (162, 201) | 182 (155, 216) | 188 (166, 224) |
| |
| TBiL | 11.50 ± 4.73 | 11.93 ± 3.68 | 13.29 ± 6.91 |
| |
| TP | 70.42 ± 3.71 | 65.52 ± 4.78 | 65.33 ± 5.07 |
| |
| Alb | 43.74 ± 1.45 | 40.65 ± 2.10 | 39.84 ± 2.93 |
| |
| Glo | 26.68 ± 3.27 | 24.87 ± 3.89 | 25.49 ± 3.86 |
| |
| AG-ratio | 1.66 ± 0.21 | 1.67 ± 0.26 | 1.60 ± 0.25 |
| |
| Kidney function | GLU | 5.18 (4.81, 5.46) | 4.75 (4.51, 5.06) | 4.96 (4.56, 5.66) |
|
| BUN | 5.17 ± 1.05 | 4.97 ± 1.46 | 5.84 ± 1.75 |
| |
| CREA | 62.75 ± 11.08 | 61.70 ± 12.65 | 68.63 ± 18.67 |
| |
| URIC | 319.53 ± 59.61 | 344.10 ± 87.23 | 359.31 ± 101.75 |
| |
| T-CO2 | 25.60 ± 1.53 | 24.89 ± 1.25 | 25.26 ± 2.22 |
| |
| eGFR | 105.67 ± 16.55 | 111.97 ± 23.83 | 102.95 ± 24.17 |
| |
| Blood lipids | TG | 0.94 (0.74, 1.33) | 1.29 (1.05, 1.61) | 1.14 (0.87, 1.63) |
|
| CHOL | 4.89 ± 0.75 | 4.32 ± 0.91 | 4.31 ± 0.84 |
| |
| HDL | 1.57 ± 0.39 | 1.22 ± 0.44 | 1.21 ± 0.36 |
| |
| LDL | 2.76 ± 0.61 | 2.45 ± 0.71 | 2.47 ± 0.73 |
| |
| White blood | WBC | 5.59 ± 1.27 | 5.65 ± 1.66 | 6.60 ± 2.43 |
|
| cells items | NEUT% | 57.84 ± 8.10 | 60.24 ± 9.36 | 62.97 ± 12.40 |
|
| LYMPH% | 33.71 ± 7.41 | 30.76 ± 8.68 | 27.54 ± 10.78 |
| |
| MONO% | 5.71 ± 1.36 | 6.34 ± 1.48 | 6.90 ± 2.17 |
| |
| EOS% | 2.24 ± 1.36 | 2.24 ± 1.50 | 2.13 ± 2.00 |
| |
| BASO% | 0.50 ± 0.26 | 0.42 ± 0.19 | 0.45 ± 0.30 |
| |
| NEUT# | 3.26 ± 0.98 | 3.45 ± 1.30 | 4.36 ± 2.39 |
| |
| LYMPH# | 1.87 ± 0.52 | 1.67 ± 0.54 | 1.65 ± 0.66 |
| |
| MONO# | 0.32 ± 0.12 | 0.36 ± 0.15 | 0.45 ± 0.20 |
| |
| EOS# | 0.11 (0.06, 0.16) | 0.11 (0.05, 0.20) | 0.10 (0.05, 0.16) |
| |
| BASO# | 0.03 ± 0.01 | 0.02 ± 0.01 | 0.03 ± 0.02 |
| |
| Red blood | RBC | 4.62 ± 0.38 | 4.35 ± 0.40 | 4.49 ± 0.57 |
|
| cells items | HGB | 142.15 ± 11.94 | 134.43 ± 14.65 | 141.73 ± 17.25 |
|
| HCT | 42.54 ± 3.29 | 39.11 ± 3.48 | 41.34 ± 4.82 |
| |
| MCV | 92.26 ± 4.88 | 90.08 ± 4.31 | 92.24 ± 4.95 |
| |
| MCH | 30.83 ± 1.82 | 30.92 ± 1.94 | 31.63 ± 1.92 |
| |
| MCHC | 334.07 ± 6.35 | 343.23 ± 10.62 | 342.84 ± 10.96 |
| |
| RDW | 12.8 (12.5, 13.2) | 12.8 (12.3, 13.2) | 12.6 (12.2, 13.1) |
| |
| Platelets | PLT | 203.40 ± 46.01 | 208.47 ± 69.77 | 180.82 ± 59.02 |
|
| items | PCT | 0.21 ± 0.04 | 0.21 ± 0.06 | 0.20 ± 0.05 |
|
| PDW | 16.3 (16.0, 16.4) | 16.2 (15.7, 16.6) | 16.2 (16.0, 16.4) |
| |
| MPV | 10.20 ± 1.25 | 10.75 ± 1.83 | 10.96 ± 1.40 |
|
# and * indicate significant differences in groups Sus-AF and All-AFs plus Car-AF compared with the Control, respectively. BMI, body mass index; BSA, body surface area; SBP, systolic blood pressure; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; Crcl, creatinine clearance; HbAlc, glycated hemoglobin; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; ALP, alkaline phosphatase; γ-GT, γ-glutamyltransferase; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; TBiL, total bilirubin; TP, total protein; Alb, albumin; Glo, globulin; AG-ratio, the ratio of albumin to globulin; GLU, glucose; BUN, blood urea nitrogen; CREA, Creatinine; UA, uric acid; T-CO2, total carbon dioxide; eGFR, endogenous glomerular filtration rate; TG, triglyceride; CHOL, total cholesterol; HDL, high density lipoprotein; LDL, low density lipoprotein; WBC, number of white blood cells; NEUT%, percentage of neutrophils; LYMPH%, percentage of lymphocytes; MONO%, percentage of monocytes; EOS%, percentage of eosinophils; BASO%, percentage of basophils; NEUT#, number of neutrophils; LYMPH#, number of lymphocytes; MONO#, number of monocytes; EOS#, number of eosinophils; BASO#, number of basophils; RBC, number of red blood cells; HGB, hemoglobin content; HCT, hematocrit; MCV, mean red blood cell volume; MCH, mean red blood cell hemoglobin content; MCHC, mean red blood cell hemoglobin concentration; RDW, red blood cell distribution width; PLT, number of platelet; PCT, platelet hematocrit; PDW, platelet distribution width; MPV, mean platelet cell volume.
Risk factor analysis of AF and Control in the discovery and validation cohort.
|
|
|
|
| ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discovery cohort | SBP | 1.104 | 1.043 | 1.168 | 0.0006 |
| ALB | 0.187 | 0.094 | 0.370 | <0.0001 | |
| HDLC | 0.173 | 0.022 | 1.326 | 0.0913 | |
| LDLC | 3.890 | 1.076 | 14.07 | 0.0383 | |
| MCHC | 1.295 | 1.121 | 1.497 | 0.0004 | |
| MPV | 2.337 | 1.232 | 4.432 | 0.0093 | |
| GGT | 1.070 | 1.025 | 1.118 | 0.0020 | |
| Validation cohort | DBP | 1.205 | 1.084 | 1.339 | 0.0010 |
| ALB | 0.290 | 0.166 | 0.507 | <0.0001 | |
Figure 2Multivariate statistical analysis differentiates the groups of Control and Experimental groups based on clinical information (A) and metabolomic data (B), respectively. (1) PCA modeling displays the original similarity of the three groups. (2) PCA modeling displays the original similarity of the six groups. (A1,A2) R2X (cum) = 0.499, Q2 (cum) = 0.204; R2X (cum) = 0.499, Q2 (cum) = 0.204. (B1,B2) R2X (cum) = 0.504, Q2X (cum) = 0.324; R2X (cum) = 0.508, Q2X (cum) = 0.369. (3) PLS-DA modeling with the three groups. (A3) R2X (cum) = 0.364, R2Y (cum) = 0.463, Q2X (cum) = 0.288. Permutation tests with the intercepts of R2 < 0.125, Q2 < −0.338. (B3) R2X (cum) = 0.337, R2Y (cum) = 0.687, Q2X (cum) = 0.59. Permutation tests with the intercepts of R2 < 0.252, Q2 < −0.312. (4) PLS-DA modeling with the six groups. (A4) R2X (cum) = 0.326, R2Y (cum) = 0.342, Q2X (cum) = 0.26. Permutation tests with the intercepts of R2 < 0.079, Q2 < −0.134. (B4) R2X (cum) = 0.383, R2Y (cum) = 0.43, Q2X (cum) = 0.329. Permutation tests with the intercepts of R2 < 0.125, Q2 < −0.178.
Figure 3OPLS-DA modeling (A) and S-plots (B) delineate different metabolic phenotypes and potential markers of Control, Sus-AF, and All-AFs plus Car-AF cardiac cases. (A1) OPLS-DA model differentiating All-AFs plus Car-AF cases from the Sus-AF cases. R2X (cum) = 0.336, R2Y (cum) = 0.863, Q2X (cum) = 0.68. Permutation tests with the intercepts of R2 < 0.468, Q2 < −0.563. (B1) S-plot highlights the potential markers of the All-AFs plus Car-AF versus Sus-AF cases. (A2) OPLS-DA model differentiating All-AFs plus Car-AF cardiac cases from the Control. R2X (cum) = 0.339, R2Y (cum) = 0.848, Q2X (cum) = 0.736. Permutation tests with the intercepts of R2 < 0.368, Q2 < −0.454. (B2) S-plot highlights the potential markers of the All-AFs plus Car-AF versus Control cases. (A3) OPLS-DA model differentiating Sus-AF cases from Control. R2X (cum) = 0.301, R2Y (cum) = 0.842, Q2X (cum) = 0.704. Permutation tests with the intercepts of R2 < 0.452, Q2 < −0.475. (B3) S-plot highlights the potential markers of the Sus-AF versus Control cases.
Figure 4Differential metabolites and pathways involved in the experimental groups. (A) Venn diagram shows discriminant metabolites can be classified into regions a, b, c, d, e, f, and g. (B) Serum taurine, L-carnitine, betaine, and cystine levels change in the three comparisons. (C) Pathway analysis of differential metabolites in Venn a+d+e+g region. (D) Pathway analysis of differential metabolites in Venn b+d+f+g region. (E) Pathway analysis of differential metabolites in Venn c+e+f+g region. (F) Pathway analysis of differential metabolites in Venn b+g. ***p < 0.01.
Figure 5Differential metabolites and pathways involved in different groups. (A) OPLS-DA modeling delineates different metabolic phenotypes of Control and All-AFs cardiac cases. R2X(cum) = 0.343, R2Y(cum) = 0.861, Q2X(cum) = 0.712. Permutation tests with the intercepts of R2 <0.454, Q2 < −0.542. (B) OPLS-DA model differentiating Car-AF patients from the All-AFs cases. R2X(cum) = 0.302, R2Y(cum) = 0.851, Q2X(cum) = 0.74. Permutation tests with the intercepts of R2 <0.445, Q2 < −0.515. (C) Venn diagram shows discriminant metabolites can be classified into regions a, b, and c. (D–G) SUS-plots and violin diagram delineate potential markers of Control, Car-AF, and All-AFs cardiac cases. SUS-plot highlights the potential markers of the All-AFs, Car-AF, and Control cases. "* * *" means p?0.01. (H) Pathway analysis of differential metabolites in Venn a and b regions. (I) Pathway analysis of differential metabolites in Venn b and c. (J) Pathway analysis of differential metabolites in Venn c. ***p < 0.01.
Figure 6Differential metabolites and pathways involved in the AF groups. (A–C) OPLS-DA modeling delineates different metabolic phenotypes of Fir-AF, Par-AF, and Per-AF cardiac cases from Control. R2X (cum) = 0.272, R2Y (cum) = 0.679, Q2X (cum) = 0.536; Permutation tests with the intercepts of R2 < 0.325, Q2 < -0.34. R2X (cum) = 0.315, R2Y (cum) = 0.812, Q2X (cum) = 0.633; Permutation tests with the intercepts of R2 < 0.458, Q2 < -0.473. R2X (cum) = 0.351, R2Y (cum) = 0.893, Q2X (cum) = 0.706; Permutation tests with the intercepts of R2 < 0.323, Q2 < -0.312. (D) Heatmap of the 25 differential metabolites in Control and all kinds of AFs. The colors changing from blue to red indicate high metabolites. (E) Venn diagram shows discriminant metabolites can be classified into 7 regions. (F) Pathway analysis of differential metabolites in Venn a, d, e, and g regions. (G) Pathway analysis of differential metabolites in Venn b, d, f and g. (H) Pathway analysis of differential metabolites in Venn c, e, f, and g regions. (I) The correlation coefficients between 25 potential biomarker contents and clinical characteristics. Blue represents negative correlation, and red represents positive correlation. Circle size represents the r-value of the metabolites and clinical characteristics. The symbol from * to ** and *** indicate the P-values between metabolites and clinical characteristics. *p < 0.05, **p < 0.01, and ***p < 0.001.
Statistical analysis of diagnostic biomarkers: Discovery phase.
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| |||||
| Lactate | 0.8684 | 0.8176 | 0.9191 | 82.30% | 80.23% | 6.41 | 4.60 | 8.22 |
| D-glutamic acid | 0.8241 | 0.7660 | 0.8822 | 86.73% | 67.44% | 4.62 | 3.22 | 6.03 |
| Decanoylcarnitine | 0.8725 | 0.8207 | 0.9243 | 86.05% | 80.53% | 2.37 | 1.71 | 3.03 |
| SM (d18:1/14:0) | 0.7985 | 0.7346 | 0.8625 | 86.05% | 64.60% | −2.85 | −3.76 | −1.93 |
| LysoPC (P-18:0) | 0.7883 | 0.7236 | 0.8530 | 73.26% | 72.57% | −3.39 | −4.60 | −2.18 |
| 2-pyrrolidone | 0.8209 | 0.7596 | 0.8823 | 86.73% | 72.94% | 2.50 | 1.78 | 3.23 |
| Lactate, decanoylcarnitine, lysoPC(P-18:0), and 2-Pyrrolidone | 0.9426 | 0.9111 | 0.9741 | 94.69% | 80.00% | 2.64 | 2.03 | 3.26 |
| Adjust panel | 0.9535 | 0.9248 | 0.9822 | 86.67% | 91.76% | 2.72 | 2.09 | 3.36 |
| 3-hydroxybutyric acid | 0.8642 | 0.7918 | 0.9366 | 78.13% | 82.72% | −1.34 | −1.86 | −0.82 |
| Homocysteine | 0.8473 | 0.7551 | 0.9395 | 65.63% | 97.47% | −1.49 | −2.09 | −0.90 |
| Ribitol | 0.8777 | 0.8026 | 0.9528 | 87.50% | 82.72% | −3.53 | −4.96 | −2.10 |
| Methyl galactoside | 0.8106 | 0.7231 | 0.8980 | 71.88% | 81.48% | −2.99 | −4.45 | −1.54 |
| Citrate | 0.7986 | 0.7078 | 0.8894 | 75.00% | 76.54% | −3.23 | −4.73 | −1.74 |
| Citrate, ribitol, and homocysteine | 0.9351 | 0.8896 | 0.9807 | 97.47% | 71.88% | −2.70 | −3.66 | −1.74 |
| Adjust panel | 0.9739 | 0.9395 | 1.0000 | 97.47% | 87.50% | −3.61 | −5.30 | −1.91 |
| D-glutamic acid | 0.7572 | 0.6585 | 0.8559 | 81.82% | 67.44% | 3.35 | 1.66 | 5.05 |
| Lyxose | 0.8161 | 0.7396 | 0.8925 | 60.47% | 90.91% | −2.21 | −3.25 | −1.17 |
| Lactose | 0.7703 | 0.6778 | 0.8627 | 87.88% | 62.79% | 2.04 | 0.98 | 3.10 |
| CE [20:3(8Z,11Z,14Z)] | 0.8055 | 0.7157 | 0.8953 | 74.42% | 81.82% | −2.00 | −2.93 | −1.06 |
| Decanoylcarnitine | 0.9070 | 0.8493 | 0.9647 | 89.53% | 84.85% | 2.49 | 1.58 | 3.41 |
| SM (d18:1/14:0) | 0.7907 | 0.6970 | 0.8844 | 86.05% | 66.67% | −2.61 | −3.83 | −1.39 |
| 2-pyrrolidone | 0.8000 | 0.7162 | 0.8838 | 87.88% | 67.06% | 2.34 | 1.31 | 3.36 |
| Lyxose, lactose, and decanoylcarnitine | 0.9648 | 0.9342 | 0.9954 | 93.94% | 88.37% | 2.88 | 1.98 | 3.78 |
| Adjust panel | 0.9891 | 0.9765 | 1.0000 | 100.00% | 90.70% | 3.38 | 2.22 | 4.54 |
| Glycolic acid | 0.7541 | 0.6281 | 0.8801 | 88.46% | 60.61% | 3.67 | 1.28 | 6.05 |
| Alanine | 0.7832 | 0.6618 | 0.9046 | 76.92% | 78.79% | 3.42 | 1.13 | 5.71 |
| D-malic acid | 0.8275 | 0.7232 | 0.9318 | 92.31% | 66.67% | 4.24 | 2.00 | 6.47 |
| Citrate | 0.7634 | 0.6349 | 0.8919 | 76.92% | 69.70% | 3.39 | 1.28 | 5.51 |
| Tyrosine | 0.7914 | 0.6703 | 0.9124 | 76.92% | 78.79% | 5.30 | 1.99 | 8.62 |
| 2-hydroxy-3-methylbutyric acid | 0.7517 | 0.6262 | 0.8773 | 61.54% | 81.82% | 2.34 | 0.86 | 3.82 |
| D-malic acid, tyrosine, and 2-hydroxy-3-methylbutyric acid | 0.9114 | 0.8404 | 0.9824 | 80.77% | 90.91% | 2.47 | 1.36 | 3.58 |
| Adjust panel | 0.9347 | 0.8720 | 0.9975 | 88.46% | 87.88% | 2.50 | 1.45 | 3.55 |
Figure 7Diagnostic Outcomes and Prediction Accuracies. The diagnostic outcomes in the discovery phase are shown via the ROC curves for comparison between (A) All-AFs plus Car-AF versus Control, (B) All-AFs versus Car-AF, (C) Par-AF versus Control, and (D) Par-AF versus Per-AF. The prediction accuracies by the biomarkers in the validation set were compared between (E) All-AFs plus Car-AF versus Control, (F) All-AFs versus Car-AF, (G) Par-AF versus Control, and (H) Par-AF versus Per-AF. AUC, area under the curve; CI, confidence interval.