| Literature DB >> 35996422 |
C Cominato1, J Sborz1, A Kalbusch1, E Henning2.
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has changed the way resources are consumed around the world. The relationship between the pandemic and water consumption has important implications for the management of water use and must be evaluated in depth. The main goal of this research paper is to establish a comparison between pre-pandemic and pandemic water consumption profiles for 14 social-housing buildings located in Joinville, Southern Brazil. Telemetry data from each apartment were collected on an hourly basis before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. The analysis was based on descriptive statistics on the hourly and daily water consumption in addition to its profile plots. The best probability distribution fitting was also determined. To assess the differences in water consumption due to de pandemic, the Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney test was employed and a Generalized Linear Model with mixed effects was fitted to the data. The Lognormal distribution was shown to be the most appropriate to model the water consumption data. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the two daily peak consumption periods changed from 12 h to 15 h and from 19 h to 21 h. The COVID-19 pandemic also impacted daily water consumption, leading to a small, yet significant, increase in demand in the first quarter of the pandemic period.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; Environmental behavior; Modeling; Probability distribution fitting; Social housing; Water consumption
Year: 2022 PMID: 35996422 PMCID: PMC9387059 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e10307
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Heliyon ISSN: 2405-8440
Figure 1Bar chart of the number of occupants per apartment.
Monthly income per household.
| Number of minimum wages | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count of apartments | 24 | 34 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Level of education.
| Level of education/Status | Complete | Ongoing | Incomplete |
|---|---|---|---|
| Primary school | 8 (3.32%) | 6 (2.50%) | 5 (2.07%) |
| Middle school | 22 (9.13%) | 67 (27.80%) | 29 (12.03%) |
| High school | 52 (21.58%) | 13 (5.39%) | 20 (8.29%) |
| University/College | 10 (4.14%) | 2 (0.83%) | 7 (2.90%) |
Figure 2Histogram of average per capita water consumption per apartment.
Goodness-of-fit results for the probability distributions to the data.
| Distribution | Loglikelihood | AIC | BIC | KS D | AD D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Normal | -501.3455 | 1 006.69 | 1 011.69 | 0.071599 | 0.87775 |
| Weibull | -499.1462 | 1 002.29 | 1 007.29 | 0.062216 | 0.61466 |
| Lognormal | -495.8994 | 995.80 | 1 000.80 | 0.072372 | 0.36483 |
| Gamma | -495.9073 | 995.81 | 1 000.81 | 0.062339 | 0.28227 |
| Log-logistic | -498.1273 | 1 000.26 | 1 005.25 | 0.071507 | 0.48081 |
Figure 3Curves of the density function for each fitted probability distribution.
Figure 4QQ-plots for each fitted probability.
Figure 5Hourly water consumption profile for the pre-pandemic and pandemic periods.
Figure 6Water consumption profiles per year per month.
Average daily water consumption (L/person/day) and Wilcoxon test results.
| Quarter | Pre-pandemic | During pandemic | p-value | Sig. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month | Average water consumption | Month | Average water consumption | |||
| 1 | Mar/19 | 147.95 | Mar/20 | 154.3 | 0.0135 | ∗ |
| Apr/19 | Apr/20 | |||||
| May/19 | May/20 | |||||
| 2 | Jun/19 | 142.65 | Jun/20 | 146.22 | 0.7107 | |
| Jul/19 | Jul/20 | |||||
| Aug/19 | Aug/20 | |||||
| 3 | Sep/19 | 144.38 | Sep/20 | 153.10 | 0.5008 | |
| Oct/19 | Oct/20 | |||||
| Nov/19 | Nov/20 | |||||
| 4 | Dec/19 | 158.59 | Dec/20 | 156.62 | 0.09379 | ° |
| Jan/20 | Jan/21 | |||||
| Feb/20 | Feb/21 | |||||
| 5 | Mar/19 | 147.95 | Mar/21 | 143.91 | ≤0.001 | ∗∗∗ |
| Apr/19 | Apr/21 | |||||
| May/19 | May/21 | |||||
Significance °p ≤ 0.10, ∗p ≤ 0.05, ∗∗p ≤ 0.01, ∗∗∗p ≤ 0.001.
Descriptive statistics of water consumption (L/person/day) for the pre-pandemic and pandemic periods.
| Period | Min. | 1st Qu. | Median | Mean | 3rd Qu. | Max. | sd |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-pandemic | 14.43 | 88.00 | 134.00 | 148.06 | 195.00 | 380.00 | 77.58 |
| During pandemic | 12.62 | 81.33 | 131.33 | 150.70 | 204.17 | 415.25 | 87.32 |
Regression model statistics.
| Coefficient | Estimate | Standard error | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | 5.2934 | 0.0784 | <0.001 ∗∗∗ |
| Period (pre-pandemic = 0; pandemic = 1) | 0.0401 | 0.0062 | <0.001 ∗∗∗ |
| Number of residents | -0.1060 | 0.0208 | <0.001 ∗∗∗ |
Significance °p ≤ 0.10, ∗p ≤ 0.05, ∗∗p ≤ 0.01, ∗∗∗p ≤ 0.001.