| Literature DB >> 35989743 |
Mustafa Emin Serin1, Yunus Emre Ozluer2, Mehmet Kıy3, Mucahit Avcil2.
Abstract
Aim To determine whether left ventricular outflow tract peak velocity is useful for the prediction of mortality in the early phase of sepsis or septic shock. Materials and methods Patients who were hospitalized in the emergency intensive care unit (ED-ICU) with the diagnosis of sepsis or septic shock were consecutively enrolled into two groups (sepsis and septic shock groups) between January 2020 to February 2021. Patients who are pregnant and ≤18 years old were excluded. Demographics, vital parameters, the presence of mechanical ventilation, and vasopressor/inotropic support with the doses of the drugs used were recorded. Ultrasonographic measurements included bedside caval indexes and left ventricular outflow tract (LVOT) peak velocity measurements. The primary outcome was in-hospital and 28th-day mortality. Results A total of 116 patients with a median age of 72.5 (27 to 96) years were enrolled. Sixty-eight (58.6%) patients were male. According to a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, 75 cm/s was determined as a cut-off value to determine the efficacy of LVOT peak velocity measurement for discriminating septic shock from sepsis and predicting 28-day and in-hospital mortality. The patients were then regrouped as 54 (46.5%) patients in low and 62 (53.5%) patients in high-velocity groups according to the cut-off value. Both in-hospital and 28th-day mortality rates were significantly different between these groups (p<0.001). Conclusion Left ventricular outflow tract peak velocity measurement may be a useful adjunct for the prediction of mortality in septic patients. Vasopressors and volume status of the patient do not affect LVOT peak velocity measurements.Entities:
Keywords: critical care; left ventricular outflow tract; sepsis; septic shock; ultrasonography
Year: 2022 PMID: 35989743 PMCID: PMC9377864 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.26840
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cureus ISSN: 2168-8184
Demographic and clinical features of the patient groups
*According to the bedside measurements of inferior vena cava with ultrasound
BP: Blood pressure, MAP: Mean arterial pressure, SOFA: Sequential organ failure assessment, SAPS: Simplified acute physiology score, LVOT: Left ventricle outflow tract, MV: Mechanical ventilation, ICU: Intensive care unit, mRS: Modified Rankin scale
| Sepsis (n=58) | Septic Shock (n=58) | p-value | |
| Age (years), Median (min-max) | 72.5 (35-91) | 72 (27-96) | 0.691 |
| Male, n (%) | 33 (56.9) | 35 (60.3) | 0.376 |
| Presence of Comorbidities, n (%) | 45 (77.6) | 13 (22.4) | 0.546 |
| Heart Rate (bpm) ± SD | 103.7±20.6 | 111.8±20.6 | 0.036 |
| Systolic BP (mmHg) ± SD | 106.7 ± 20.9 | 88.9 ± 23 | <0.0001 |
| Diastolic BP (mmHg) ± SD | 63.6 ± 12.9 | 53.6 ± 12.6 | <0.0001 |
| MAP (mmHg) ± SD | 77.3 ± 14.2 | 65.0 ± 14.9 | <0.0001 |
| Lactate (mmol/L), median (min-max) | 2.8 (0.6-19) | 3.6 (0.5-26) | 0.028 |
| SOFA Score, median (min-max) | 5 (2-13) | 8 (4-14) | <0.001 |
| SAPS2 Score, median (min-max) | 38.5 (15-65) | 52 (13-76) | <0.001 |
| LVOT Peak Velocity (cm/sec) ± SD | 71.5 ± 16.4 | 87.3 ± 18.3 | <0.001 |
| Presence of hypovolemia*, n (%) | 32 (55.2) | 36 (62.1) | 0.451 |
| MV support, n (%) | 7 (12.1) | 23 (39.7) | 0.010 |
| ICU stay (days), median (min-max) | 7 (1-99) | 5.5 (1-63) | 0.879 |
| 28-day mortality, n (%) | 27 (46.6) | 38 (65.5) | 0.040 |
| Overall ICU mortality, n (%) | 31 (53.4) | 42 (72.4) | 0.034 |
| 28-day mRS, median (min-max) | 5 (1-6) | 6 (3-6) | 0.009 |
The diagnostic performance of LVOT peak velocity measurement (cut-off value is ≥75 cm/s)
+LR: Positive likelihood ratio, -LR: Negative likelihood ratio, PPV: Positive predictive value, NPV: Negative predictive value
| Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | + LR | -LR | PPV (%) | NPV (%) | Accuracy (%) | p-value | |
| Distinguishing sepsis from septic shock | 79.3 | 63.8 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 68.7 | 75.5 | 71.5 | <0.001 |
| 28-day mortality | 78.5 | 68.6 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 76.1 | 71.4 | 74.1 | <0.001 |
| In-hospital mortality | 71.2 | 65.1 | 2.04 | 0.4 | 77.6 | 57.1 | 68.9 | <0.001 |
Demographic and clinical features according to LVOT peak velocity measurement groups
*According to the bedside measurements of inferior vena cava with ultrasound
BP: Blood pressure, MAP: Mean arterial pressure, SOFA: Sequential organ failure assessment, SAPS: Simplified acute physiology score, MV: Mechanical ventilation, ICU: Intensive care unit, mRS: Modified Rankin scale
| Low Velocity (n=54) | High Velocity (n=62) | p-value | |
| Age (years), Median (min-max) | 74 (27-93) | 71.5 (40-96) | 0.857 |
| Male, n (%) | 34 (63) | 34 (54.8) | 0.376 |
| Presence of Comorbidities, n (%) | 42 (77.8) | 51 (82.3) | 0.546 |
| Heart rate, (bpm) ± SD | 105.4±21.5 | 104.6±20.3 | 0.262 |
| Systolic BP (mmHg) ± SD | 104.6±22.5 | 91.8±23.2 | 0.03 |
| Diastolic BP (mmHg) ± SD | 63.5±14.1 | 54.4±11.7 | <0.001 |
| MAP (mmHg) ± SD | 76.1±15.0 | 66.8±15.2 | 0.01 |
| Lactate (mmol/L), median (min-max) | 3.4 (0.6-26) | 3.1 (0.5-19) | 0.612 |
| SOFA, median (min-max) | 6 (2-14) | 8 (2-14) | 0.005 |
| SAPS 2, median (min-max) | 41.5 (15-69) | 49.5 (13-76) | 0.01 |
| Presence of hypovolemia*, n (%) | 29 (53.7) | 39 (62.9) | 0.316 |
| MV support, n (%) | 11 (20.4) | 19 (30.6) | 0.207 |
| ICU stay (days) median (min-max) | 9 (1-99) | 4 (1-63) | 0.033 |
| 28-day ICU mortality , n (%) | 18 (33.3) | 47 (75.8) | <0.0001 |
| In-hospital mortality, n (%) | 25 (46.3) | 48 (77.4) | <0.001 |
| 28-day mRS , median (min-max) | 4 (1-6) | 6 (3-6) | <0.001 |
Figure 1Kaplan-Meier analysis showing the 28-day mortality between high and low peak velocity groups
Figure 2Kaplan-Meier analysis showing the in-hospital mortality between high and low peak velocity groups