| Literature DB >> 35904199 |
Kyu-Yong Ko1, Iksung Cho1, Subin Kim1, Yeonchan Seong1, Dae-Young Kim1, Ji Won Seo1, Seng Chan You2, Chi Young Shim1, Geu-Ru Hong1, Jong-Won Ha1.
Abstract
Background Rheumatic mitral stenosis is a significant cause of valvular heart disease. Pulmonary arterial systolic pressure (PASP) reflects the hemodynamic consequences of mitral stenosis and is used to determine treatment strategies. However, PASP progression and expected outcomes based on PASP changes in patients with moderately severe mitral stenosis remain unclear. Methods and Results A total of 436 patients with moderately severe rheumatic mitral stenosis (valve area 1.0-1.5 cm2) were enrolled. Composite outcomes included all-cause mortality and hospitalization for heart failure. Data-driven phenotyping identified 2 distinct trajectory groups based on PASP progression: rapid (8.7%) and slow (91.3%). Patients in the rapid progression group were older and had more diabetes and atrial fibrillation than those in the slow progression group (all P<0.05). The initial mean diastolic pressure gradient and PASP were higher in the rapid progression group than in the slow progression group (6.2±2.4 mm Hg versus 5.1±2.0 mm Hg [P=0.001] and 42.3±13.3 mm Hg versus 33.0±9.2 mm Hg [P<0.001], respectively). The rapid progression group had a poorer event-free survival rate than the slow progression group (log-rank P<0.001). Rapid PASP progression was a significant risk factor for composite outcomes even after adjusting for comorbidities (hazard ratio, 3.08 [95% CI, 1.68-5.64]; P<0.001). Multivariate regression analysis revealed that PASP >40 mm Hg was independently associated with allocation to the rapid progression group (odds ratio, 4.95 [95% CI, 2.08-11.99]; P<0.001). Conclusions Rapid PASP progression was associated with a higher risk of the composite outcomes. The main independent predictor for rapid progression group allocation was initial PASP >40 mm Hg.Entities:
Keywords: composite outcomes; data‐driven phenotyping; latent class trajectory modeling; pulmonary arterial systolic pressure; rheumatic mitral stenosis
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35904199 PMCID: PMC9375495 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.121.026375
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Am Heart Assoc ISSN: 2047-9980 Impact factor: 6.106
Figure 1Flowchart of patient selection for the final analysis.
MS indicates mitral stenosis; MVA, mitral valve area; and TTE, transthoracic echocardiography.
Baseline Characteristics of the Study Population (N=436)
| Clinical characteristics | |
| Age, y | 58.68±11.75 |
| Female sex | 340 (78.0) |
| BMI, kg/m2 | 23.04±2.85 |
| SBP, mm Hg | 118.8±16.11 |
| DBP, mm Hg | 74.33±12.15 |
| Comorbidities | |
| Hypertension | 111 (25.5) |
| Diabetes | 68 (15.6) |
| Chronic kidney disease | 14 (3.2) |
| Atrial fibrillation | 267 (61.2) |
| Echocardiographic data | |
| Initial MDPG, mm Hg | 5.24±2.03 |
| Initial MVA by planimetry, cm2 | 1.32±0.14 |
| LV end diastolic dimension, mm | 49.00±4.94 |
| LV end systolic dimension, mm | 33.21±5.18 |
| LV ejection fraction, % | 63.22±9.02 |
| LV mass index, g/m2 | 94.16±24.57 |
| LAVI, mL/m2 | 72.82±28.33 |
| Initial PASP, mm Hg | 33.84±9.94 |
| Severe AR | 11 (2.5) |
| Severe MR | 11 (2.5) |
| Severe TR | 27 (6.2) |
| MVR | 123 (28.2) |
| PBMC | 178 (40.8) |
Data are presented as number (percentage) for categorical variables and mean±SD for continuous variables. AR indicates aortic regurgitation; BMI, body mass index; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; LAVI, left atrial volume index; LV, left ventricular; MDPG, mean diastolic pressure gradient; MR, mitral regurgitation; MVA, mitral valve area; MVR, mitral valve replacement; PASP, pulmonary arterial systolic pressure; PBMC, percutaneous balloon mitral commissurotomy; SBP, systolic blood pressure; and TR, tricuspid regurgitation.
Figure 2Trajectory profiles of PASP progression.
Based on predefined criteria, we identified the following 2 distinct trajectory subgroups: slow progression and rapid progression. PASP indicates pulmonary arterial systolic pressure.
Baseline Characteristics of the Trajectory Groups
| Trajectory 1 (slow progression; n=398) | Trajectory 2 (rapid progression; n=38) |
| |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clinical characteristics | |||
| Age, y | 58.10±11.72 | 64.79±10.35 | <0.001 |
| Female sex | 309 (77.6) | 31 (81.6) | 0.313 |
| BMI, kg/m2 | 22.95±2.79 | 23.94±3.29 | 0.042 |
| SBP, mm Hg | 118.31±16.17 | 124.13±14.75 | 0.033 |
| DBP, mm Hg | 74.48±12.20 | 72.66±11.59 | 0.376 |
| Comorbidities | |||
| Hypertension | 99 (24.9) | 12 (31.6) | 0.365 |
| Diabetes | 55 (13.8) | 13 (34.2) | 0.001 |
| Chronic kidney disease | 12 (3.0) | 2 (5.3) | 0.349 |
| Atrial fibrillation | 235 (59.0) | 32 (84.2) | 0.002 |
| Echocardiographic data | |||
| Initial MDPG, mm Hg | 5.14±1.97 | 6.23±2.35 | 0.001 |
| Initial MVA by planimetry, cm2 | 1.32±0.14 | 1.29±0.16 | 0.168 |
| LV end diastolic dimension, mm | 48.92±4.89 | 49.76±5.47 | 0.318 |
| LV end systolic dimension, mm | 33.15±5.07 | 33.82±6.21 | 0.448 |
| LV ejection fraction, % | 63.22±8.95 | 63.24±9.89 | 0.991 |
| LV mass index, g/m2 | 92.67±23.52 | 109.65±29.85 | <0.001 |
| LAVI, mL/m2 | 71.02±26.02 | 91.66±42.04 | <0.001 |
| Initial PASP, mm Hg | 33.03±9.18 | 42.26±13.33 | <0.001 |
| Severe AR | 11 (2.8) | 0 (0.0) | 0.610 |
| Severe MR | 9 (2.3) | 2 (5.3) | 0.260 |
| Severe TR | 23 (5.8) | 4 (10.5) | 0.246 |
| MVR | 103 (25.9) | 20 (52.6) | <0.001 |
| PBMC | 167 (42.0) | 11 (28.9) | 0.119 |
Data are presented as number (percentage) for categorical variables and mean±SD for continuous variables. AR indicates aortic regurgitation; BMI, body mass index; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; LAVI, left atrial volume index; LV, left ventricle; MDPG, mean diastolic pressure gradient; MR, mitral regurgitation; MVA, mitral valve area; MVR, mitral valve replacement; PASP, pulmonary arterial systolic pressure; PBMC, percutaneous balloon mitral commissurotomy; SBP, systolic blood pressure; and TR, tricuspid regurgitation.
Figure 3Kaplan–Meier analysis for composite outcomes.
The Kaplan–Meier graph shows event‐free survival rates for the composite outcomes (all‐cause mortality and heart failure hospitalization). Rapid pulmonary arterial systolic pressure progression was associated with higher adverse outcome rates, including all‐cause death and hospitalization attributed to heart failure (log‐rank P<0.001).
Predictors of Long‐Term Composite Outcomes
| Variables | Univariate analysis, HR (95% CI) |
| Multivariate analysis HR, (95% CI) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapid PASP progression | 4.95 (2.72–9.00) | <0.001 | 3.08 (1.68–5.64) | <0.001 |
| Age | 1.09 (1.06–1.11) | <0.001 | 1.07 (1.04–1.10) | <0.001 |
| Hypertension | 3.16 (1.62–6.14) | <0.001 | 1.80 (0.91–3.58) | 0.093 |
| Diabetes | 2.87 (1.67–4.93) | <0.001 | 1.78 (1.01–3.13) | 0.045 |
| Chronic kidney disease | 2.93 (1.63–5.26) | <0.001 | 1.34 (0.73–2.47) | 0.348 |
| Atrial fibrillation | 1.86 (0.88–3.91) | 0.102 | ||
| MDPG per 1 mm Hg increase | 0.98 (0.87–1.11) | 0.754 | ||
| MVA per 0.1 cm2 decrease | 1.00 (0.83–1.20) | 0.993 |
All variables were subjected to time‐dependent Cox regression analysis using percutaneous balloon mitral commissurotomy and mitral valve replacement as time‐dependent covariates. HR indicates hazard ratio; MDPG, mean diastolic pressure gradient; MVA, mitral valve area; and PASP, pulmonary arterial systolic pressure.
Figure 4Restricted cubic spline curve for the risk of rapid progression group allocation.
Based on the significant PASP value of 40 mm Hg in the receiver operating characteristic curve, the relationship between PASP progression and changes in PASP was calculated as a spline curve. PASP indicates pulmonary arterial systolic pressure.