Background: The latest European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) II is a well-accepted risk evaluation system for mortality in cardiac surgery in Europe. Objectives: To determine the performance of this new model in Taiwanese patients. Methods: Between January 2012 and December 2014, 657 patients underwent cardiac surgery at our institution. The EuroSCORE II scores of all patients were determined preoperatively. The short-term surgical outcomes of 30-day and in-hospital mortality were evaluated to assess the performance of the EuroSCORE II. Results: Of the 657 patients [192 women (29.22%); age 63.5 ± 12.68 years], the 30-day mortality rate was 5.48%, and the in-hospital mortality rate was 9.28%. The discrimination power of this new model was good in all populations, regardless of 30-day mortality or in-hospital mortality. Good accuracy was also noted in different procedures related to coronary artery bypass grafting, and good calibration was noted for cardiac procedures (p value > 0.05). When predicting surgical death within 30 days, the EuroSCORE II overestimated the risk (observed to expected: 0.79), but in-hospital mortality was underestimated (observed to expected: 1.33). The predictive ability [area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve] and calibration of the EuroSCORE II for 30-day mortality (0.792) and in-hospital mortality (0.825) suggested that in-hospital mortality is a better endpoint for the EuroSCORE II. Conclusions: The new EuroSCORE II model performed well in predicting short-term outcomes among patients undergoing general cardiac surgeries. For short-term outcomes, in-hospital mortality was better than 30-day mortality as an indicator of surgical results, suggesting that it may be a better endpoint for the EuroSCORE II.
Background: The latest European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) II is a well-accepted risk evaluation system for mortality in cardiac surgery in Europe. Objectives: To determine the performance of this new model in Taiwanese patients. Methods: Between January 2012 and December 2014, 657 patients underwent cardiac surgery at our institution. The EuroSCORE II scores of all patients were determined preoperatively. The short-term surgical outcomes of 30-day and in-hospital mortality were evaluated to assess the performance of the EuroSCORE II. Results: Of the 657 patients [192 women (29.22%); age 63.5 ± 12.68 years], the 30-day mortality rate was 5.48%, and the in-hospital mortality rate was 9.28%. The discrimination power of this new model was good in all populations, regardless of 30-day mortality or in-hospital mortality. Good accuracy was also noted in different procedures related to coronary artery bypass grafting, and good calibration was noted for cardiac procedures (p value > 0.05). When predicting surgical death within 30 days, the EuroSCORE II overestimated the risk (observed to expected: 0.79), but in-hospital mortality was underestimated (observed to expected: 1.33). The predictive ability [area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve] and calibration of the EuroSCORE II for 30-day mortality (0.792) and in-hospital mortality (0.825) suggested that in-hospital mortality is a better endpoint for the EuroSCORE II. Conclusions: The new EuroSCORE II model performed well in predicting short-term outcomes among patients undergoing general cardiac surgeries. For short-term outcomes, in-hospital mortality was better than 30-day mortality as an indicator of surgical results, suggesting that it may be a better endpoint for the EuroSCORE II.
Authors: F Roques; S A Nashef; P Michel; E Gauducheau; C de Vincentiis; E Baudet; J Cortina; M David; A Faichney; F Gabrielle; E Gams; A Harjula; M T Jones; P P Pintor; R Salamon; L Thulin Journal: Eur J Cardiothorac Surg Date: 1999-06 Impact factor: 4.191
Authors: Samer A M Nashef; François Roques; Linda D Sharples; Johan Nilsson; Christopher Smith; Antony R Goldstone; Ulf Lockowandt Journal: Eur J Cardiothorac Surg Date: 2012-02-29 Impact factor: 4.191
Authors: Cheng-Hon Yap; Christopher Reid; Michael Yii; Michael A Rowland; Morteza Mohajeri; Peter D Skillington; Siven Seevanayagam; Julian A Smith Journal: Eur J Cardiothorac Surg Date: 2006-02-13 Impact factor: 4.191