| Literature DB >> 35858855 |
Piotr Wilk1,2,3,4,5, Alana Maltby6, Tammy Lau6, Anna C Gunz7,8,9, Alvaro Osornio-Vargas10, Shelby S Yamamoto11, Shehzad Ali6, Éric Lavigne12,13.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Research on intra- and inter-regional variations in emergency department (ED) visits among children can provide a better understanding of the patterns of ED utilization and further insight into how contextual features of the urban environment may be associated with these health events. Our objectives were to assess intra-urban and inter-urban variation in paediatric emergency department (PED) visits in census metropolitan areas (CMAs) in Ontario and Alberta, Canada and explore if contextual factors related to material and social deprivation, proximity to healthcare facilities, and supply of family physicians explain this variation.Entities:
Keywords: Children; Emergency department; Geographic variation; Inequalities; Urban
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35858855 PMCID: PMC9297543 DOI: 10.1186/s12887-022-03485-x
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Pediatr ISSN: 1471-2431 Impact factor: 2.567
Descriptive statistics for paediatric emergency department visits
| Individual-Level Factors | Frequency (N) | Percent (%) |
|---|---|---|
| 2015/2016 | 1,280,180 | 50.5 |
| 2016/2017 | 1,257,262 | 49.5 |
| 0 | 274,946 | 10.8 |
| 1 | 275,140 | 10.8 |
| 2 | 201,261 | 7.9 |
| 3 | 163,412 | 6.4 |
| 4 | 159,416 | 6.3 |
| 5 | 136,102 | 5.4 |
| 6 | 114,953 | 4.5 |
| 7 | 103,761 | 4.1 |
| 8 | 98,409 | 3.9 |
| 9 | 96,324 | 3.8 |
| 10 | 96,360 | 3.8 |
| 11 | 96,786 | 3.8 |
| 12 | 99,625 | 3.9 |
| 13 | 104,973 | 4.1 |
| 14 | 111,910 | 4.4 |
| 15 | 122,286 | 4.8 |
| 16 | 133,411 | 5.3 |
| 17 | 148,367 | 5.8 |
| Female | 1,194,101 | 47.1 |
| Male | 1,343,199 | 52.9 |
| Other | 142 | 0.0 |
| Ontario | 1,837,555 | 72.4 |
| Alberta | 699,887 | 27.6 |
Descriptive statistics for rates of paediatric emergency department visits and contextual predictors
| PED visit rate—2015/2016 | 418.0 | 165.7 | 66.7 | 1,166.3 | 161.4 |
| PED visit rate—2016/2017 | 412.7 | 158.6 | 142.9 | 1,109.9 | 158.6 |
| PED visit rate—2015/2017 | 415.4 | 160.6 | 143.6 | 1,131.5 | 156.5 |
| Material deprivation index | -0.01 | 0.03 | -0.11 | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| Social deprivation index | 0.00 | 0.03 | -0.07 | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| Healthcare facility | 0.43 | 0.21 | 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.32 |
| Age 0–4 | 5.32 | 1.39 | 1.69 | 13.89 | 1.37 |
| Age 5–9 | 5.63 | 1.52 | 0.76 | 10.57 | 1.71 |
| Age 10–14 | 5.53 | 1.55 | 0.47 | 10.15 | 1.83 |
| Age 15–17 | 3.44 | 0.88 | 0.33 | 6.60 | 1.05 |
| Female | 19.09 | 4.58 | 3.41 | 34.72 | 5.61 |
| Male | 20.82 | 4.89 | 3.14 | 36.49 | 5.81 |
| Family physician | 1.15 | 0.26 | 0.69 | 2.06 | 0.35 |
Rate per 1,000 children population
CMA census metropolitan area; FSA forward sortation area, PED paediatric emergency department, IQR interquartile range, Std Dev standard deviation
Random effects and fit statistics
| Model | Estimate | Variance | SE | t-value | p-value | ICC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1 | CMA-level | 16,266 | 5,931.11 | 2.74 | 0.003 | 49.68 |
| FSA-level | 16,476 | 1,041.07 | 15.83 | < .0001 | ||
| Model 2 | CMA-level | 15,506 | 5,648.62 | 2.75 | 0.003 | 50.26 |
| FSA-level | 15,344 | 973.48 | 15.76 | < .0001 | ||
| Model 3 | CMA-level | 10,635 | 4,053.18 | 2.62 | 0.0043 | 45.99 |
| FSA-level | 12,488 | 794.71 | 15.71 | < .0001 |
CMA census metropolitan area, DF degrees of freedom, FSA forward sortation area, ICC intraclass correlation coefficient, SE standard error
Fixed effects
| Model | Effect | Estimate | SE | t-value | p-value | Lower | Upper |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1 | Intercept | 467.17 | 30.57 | 15.28 | < .0001 | 402.88 | 531.46 |
| Model 2 | Intercept | 468.87 | 29.82 | 15.72 | < .0001 | 406.15 | 531.6 |
| Age 0—4 (REF) | |||||||
| Age 5—9 | -28.80 | 17.26 | -1.67 | 0.0959 | -62.71 | 5.12 | |
| Age 10—14 | -53.87 | 15.83 | -3.40 | 0.0007 | -84.97 | -22.77 | |
| Age 15—17 | -1.78 | 17.22 | -0.10 | 0.9175 | -35.62 | 32.05 | |
| Male (REF) | |||||||
| Female | 22.40 | 6.95 | 3.22 | 0.0014 | 8.74 | 36.06 | |
| Model 3 | Intercept | 445.74 | 25.00 | 17.83 | < .0001 | 392.96 | 498.51 |
| Age 0—4 (REF) | |||||||
| Age 5—9 | -1.88 | 16.11 | -0.12 | 0.9074 | -33.53 | 29.78 | |
| Age 10—14 | -18.45 | 15.93 | -1.16 | 0.2471 | -49.74 | 12.84 | |
| Age 15—17 | -12.40 | 16.71 | -0.74 | 0.4584 | -45.24 | 20.44 | |
| Male (REF) | |||||||
| Female | 4.54 | 6.62 | 0.69 | 0.4935 | -8.47 | 17.54 | |
| Material deprivation index | -308.56 | 227.08 | -1.36 | 0.1748 | -754.70 | 137.57 | |
| Social deprivation index | 562.82 | 271.97 | 2.07 | 0.0390 | 28.47 | 1097.17 | |
| Healthcare facility | -324.41 | 32.95 | -9.85 | < .0001 | -389.14 | -259.68 | |
| Family physician | 171.76 | 75.28 | 2.28 | 0.0354 | 13.13 | 330.39 |
CI confidence interval, REF reference category, SE standard error
Census metropolitan area-level rates of paediatric emergency department visits
| CMA | Crude Rate | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Windsor* | 237.2 | 248.3 | 267.2 | 259.1 |
| Ottawa* | 389.2 | 390.8 | 395.4 | 341.6 |
| Kitchener – Cambridge – Waterloo* | 303.7 | 310.3 | 315.4 | 358.7 |
| Greater Sudbury | 395.2 | 401.2 | 399.9 | 369.5 |
| Lethbridge | 450.7 | 453.4 | 443.4 | 374.4 |
| Edmonton | 469.7 | 469.6 | 446.3 | 395.7 |
| Calgary | 457.4 | 457.6 | 434.7 | 405.9 |
| Toronto | 348.9 | 349.6 | 355.0 | 406.4 |
| Barrie | 381.7 | 398.9 | 410.6 | 415.9 |
| Guelph | 376.7 | 389.8 | 403.2 | 416.6 |
| Oshawa | 369.6 | 375.8 | 389.5 | 438.9 |
| Average | 469.4 | 467.2 | 468.9 | 445.7 |
| London | 524.1 | 521.8 | 520.3 | 472.8 |
| Hamilton | 474.6 | 474.3 | 479.5 | 476.3 |
| Peterborough | 546.0 | 534.6 | 532.0 | 489.8 |
| Kingston | 701.5 | 675.2 | 680.7 | 502.5 |
| Brantford* | 560.5 | 550.1 | 561.1 | 553.7 |
| Belleville* | 590.4 | 569.7 | 565.4 | 563.9 |
| St. Catharines –Niagara* | 569.6 | 564.4 | 570.8 | 575.6 |
| Thunder Bay* | 771.6 | 740.9 | 738.4 | 651.9 |
*p < 0.05