| Literature DB >> 35846039 |
Lale Kostakoglu1, Federico Dalmasso2, Paola Berchialla3, Larry A Pierce4, Umberto Vitolo5, Maurizio Martelli6, Laurie H Sehn7, Marek Trněný8, Tina G Nielsen9, Christopher R Bolen10, Deniz Sahin9, Calvin Lee10, Tarec Christoffer El-Galaly9,11, Federico Mattiello9, Paul E Kinahan4, Stephane Chauvie3.
Abstract
Image texture analysis (radiomics) uses radiographic images to quantify characteristics that may identify tumour heterogeneity and associated patient outcomes. Using fluoro-deoxy-glucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (FDG-PET/CT)-derived data, including quantitative metrics, image texture analysis and other clinical risk factors, we aimed to develop a prognostic model that predicts survival in patients with previously untreated diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) from GOYA (NCT01287741). Image texture features and clinical risk factors were combined into a random forest model and compared with the international prognostic index (IPI) for DLBCL based on progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) predictions. Baseline FDG-PET scans were available for 1263 patients, 832 patients of these were cell-of-origin (COO)-evaluable. Patients were stratified by IPI or radiomics features plus clinical risk factors into low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups. The random forest model with COO subgroups identified a clearer high-risk population (45% 2-year PFS [95% confidence interval (CI) 40%-52%]; 65% 2-year OS [95% CI 59%-71%]) than the IPI (58% 2-year PFS [95% CI 50%-67%]; 69% 2-year OS [95% CI 62%-77%]). This study confirms that standard clinical risk factors can be combined with PET-derived image texture features to provide an improved prognostic model predicting survival in untreated DLBCL.Entities:
Keywords: diffuse large B‐cell lymphoma; imaging; lymphoid malignancies; quantitative PET; radiomics
Year: 2022 PMID: 35846039 PMCID: PMC9175666 DOI: 10.1002/jha2.421
Source DB: PubMed Journal: EJHaem ISSN: 2688-6146
Demographics and baseline characteristics of all patients and the COO subgroup
| Characteristic n, (%) | All patients ( | COO subgroup ( |
|---|---|---|
| Mean age (SD), y | 59.4 (13.3) | 60.6 (13.1) |
| Male | 671 (53.1) | 439 (52.8) |
| ECOG PS (>2) | 161 (12.7) | 105 (12.6) |
| Ann Arbor stage III/IV | 1059 (83.8) | 624 (75.0) |
| IPI score | ||
|
| 701 (55.5) | 448 (53.8) |
|
| 367 (29.1) | 252 (30.3) |
|
| 195 (15.4) | 132 (15.9) |
| Elevated serum LDH | 728 (57.6) | 493 (59.2) |
| Extranodal involvement (>1 site) | 852 (67.4) | 569 (68.4) |
| Bulky disease (≥7.5 cm) | 462 (36.6) | 322 (38.7) |
| COO | ||
|
| – | 213 (25.6) |
|
| – | 481 (57.8) |
|
| – | 138 (16.6) |
Abbreviations: ABC, activated B‐cell like; COO, cell‐of‐origin; ECOG PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; GCB, germinal centre B‐cell like; IPI, International Prognostic Index; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; SD, standard deviation.
Survival probabilities at 2 years for IPI and random forest model. Stratification into risk groups was carried out separately for all patients and for the subgroup of patients with COO data
| IPI, % (95% CI) | Random forest, % (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|
|
| ||
| PFS | ||
|
| 79 (76–82) | 94 (91–96) |
|
| 70 (65–75) | 72 (67–76) |
|
| 59 (52–67) | 54 (50–60) |
| OS | ||
|
| 89 (86–91) | 100 (100–100) |
|
| 82 (78–86) | 100 (100–100) |
|
| 72 (65–78) | 51 (46–56) |
|
| ||
| PFS | ||
|
| 80 (77–84) | 88 (84–92) |
|
| 70 (64–76) | 86 (82–91) |
|
| 58 (50–67) | 45 (40–52) |
| OS | ||
|
| 88 (85–92) | 91 (88–95) |
|
| 81 (76–86) | 93 (90–96) |
|
| 69 (62–77) | 65 (59–71) |
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; COO, cell‐of‐origin; IPI, International Prognostic Index; OS, overall survival; PFS, progression‐free survival.
FIGURE 1Kaplan–Meier PFS curves for the three risk groups as defined by (A) IPI and (B) random forest prediction model in all patients. IPI, international prognostic index; PFS, progression‐free survival. Note: Dashed lines indicate the 95% confidence intervals
FIGURE 2Kaplan–Meier OS curves for the three risk groups as defined by (A) IPI and (B) random forest prediction model in all patients. IPI, international prognostic index; OS, overall survival. Note: Dashed lines indicate the 95% confidence intervals
FIGURE 3Kaplan–Meier PFS curves for the three risk groups as defined by (A) IPI and (B) random forest prediction model for the COO subgroup. COO, cell‐of‐origin; IPI, international prognostic index; PFS, progression‐free survival. Note: Dashed lines indicate the 95% confidence intervals
FIGURE 4Kaplan–Meier OS curves for the three risk groups as defined by (A) IPI and (B) random forest prediction model for the COO subgroup. COO, cell‐of‐origin; IPI, International Prognostic Index; OS, overall survival. Note: Dashed lines indicate the 95% confidence intervals
AUC from ROC analysis using IPI, Cox, and random forest for PFS and OS
| IPI, % (95% CI) | Cox, % (95% CI) | Random forest, % (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|
|
| |||
|
| 0.55 (0.53–0.58) | 0.63 (0.60–0.66) | 0.74 (0.76–0.99) |
|
| 0.57 (0.54–0.60) | 0.63 (0.59–0.66) | 0.92 (0.91–0.94) |
|
| |||
|
| 0.57 (0.55–0.60) | 0.66 (0.61–0.69) | 0.86 (0.83–0.88) |
|
| 0.58 (0.54–0.61) | 0.71 (0.67–0.75) | 0.89 (0.87–0.91) |
Abbreviations: AUC, area under the curve; CI, confidence interval; COO, cell of origin; IPI, international prognostic index; OS, overall survival; PFS, progression‐free survival; ROC, receiver operator characteristics.