| Literature DB >> 35821781 |
Paola Laura Rolando1, Rocio Silvia Sandoval-Monzón2, Milena Paola Montenegro1, Luis Felipe Ruiz-García3.
Abstract
Background: Heat stress results in a mild reduction in milk production, while long-term heat stress exposure can severely affect the productive and reproductive performance in dairy cattle. Aim: To quantify the relationship between reproductive performance and temperature-humidity index in dairy cattle farms in Lima, Peru.Entities:
Keywords: Dairy cattle; Heat stress; Reproductive performance; Temperature–humidity index
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35821781 PMCID: PMC9270945 DOI: 10.5455/OVJ.2022.v12.i3.14
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Open Vet J ISSN: 2218-6050
Fig. 1.Relationship between monthly service rate (blue line), conception rate (yellow line), pregnancy rate (green line), and max THI (red line) in different months of the year.
Goodness of fit estimates for the regression model for service, conception, and pregnancy rate of dairy farms in Lima.
| Dependent variable | MSR | MSE |
| Adj | SEE | Durbin-Watson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Service rate | 372.67 | 74.98 | <0.001 | 55.93 | 31.29 | 24.99 | 8.66% | 2.15 |
| Conception rate | 744.61 | 133.31 | <0.001 | 58.18 | 33.85 | 27.79 | 11.55% | 1.84 |
| Pregnancy rate | 231.71 | 33.10 | <0.001 | 62.50 | 39.07 | 33.49 | 5.75% | 1.90 |
MSR, Mean square due to regression; MSE, Mean square error; p, p-value; R, Coefficient of correlation; R2, Coefficient of determination; Adjusted R2, Adjusted coefficient of determination; SEE, Standard error of estimate.
Regression model analysis results for service, conception, and pregnancy rate for the dairy farms in Lima.
| Service rate | Conception rate | Pregnancy rate | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent variable | β (95% CI) | St β |
| Sp | β (95% CI) | St β |
| Sp | β (95% CI) | St β |
| Sp |
| (Constant) | 62.91 (34.7–91.1) | <0.001 | 148.78 (111.2–186.4) | <0.001 | 69.76 (51.0–88.5) | <0.001 | ||||||
| Max THI | -0.31 (-0.7–0.1) | -0.137 | 0.130 | -0.110 | -1.74 (-2.3 to -1.2) | -0.566 | <0.001 | -0.457 | -0.84 (-1.1 to -0.6) | -0.523 | <0.001 | -0.422 |
| Farm1/Farm4 | 8.44 (1.4–15.5) | 0.367 | 0.019 | 0.172 | 5.22 (-4.2 to 14.6) | 0.167 | 0.273 | 0.078 | 4.89 (0.2–9.6) | 0.301 | 0.041 | 0.141 |
| Farm2/Farm4 | -7.37 (-14.9 to 0.2) | -0.320 | 0.055 | -0.140 | 19.91 (9.8–30.0) | 0.637 | <0.001 | 0.278 | 5.50 (0.5–10.5) | 0.339 | 0.032 | 0.148 |
| Farm3/Farm4 | 9.28 (2.0–16.5) | 0.403 | 0.013 | 0.183 | 14.05 (4.4–23.7) | 0.449 | 0.005 | 0.204 | 9.10 (4.3–13.9) | 0.561 | <0.001 | 0.255 |
| Year1/ Year3 | -6.03 (-13.0–1.0) | -0.285 | 0.091 | -0.123 | 2.08 (-7.3–11.4) | 0.072 | 0.660 | 0.031 | -1.06 (-5.7 to 3.6) | -0.071 | 0.654 | -0.031 |
| Year2/Year3 | -0.30 (-7.3 to 6.7) | -0.014 | 0.932 | -0.006 | -0.69 (-10.1 to 8.7) | -0.024 | 0.885 | -0.010 | -0.59 (-5.3 to 4.1) | -0.039 | 0.804 | -0.017 |
| Farm1/Farm4* Year1/ Year3 | 6.37 (-3.5 to 16.3) | 0.177 | 0.206 | 0.092 | 11.52 (-1.7 to 24.7) | 0.235 | 0.087 | 0.123 | 7.53 (1.0–14.1) | 0.296 | 0.025 | 0.154 |
| Farm2/Farm4* Year1/ Year3 | 17.42 (7.5–27.3) | 0.483 | 0.001 | 0.252 | -4.93 (-18.1 to 8.3) | -0.101 | 0.461 | -0.053 | 4.10 (-2.5 to 10.7) | 0.161 | 0.220 | 0.084 |
| Farm3/Farm4* Year1/ Year3 | -0.68 (-10.6 to 9.2) | -0.019 | 0.893 | -0.010 | -3.79 (-17.0 to 9.4) | -0.077 | 0.571 | -0.040 | -2.27 (-8.8 to 4.3) | -0.089 | 0.496 | -0.047 |
| Farm1/Farm4* Year2/Year3 | -1.19 (-11.1–8.7) | -0.033 | 0.812 | -0.017 | 4.04 (-9.2 to 17.2) | 0.082 | 0.546 | 0.043 | 1.05 (-5.5 to 7.6) | 0.041 | 0.753 | 0.022 |
| Farm2/Farm4* Year2/Year3 | 5.89 (-4.0 to 15.8) | 0.163 | 0.242 | 0.085 | -9.67 (-22.9 to 3.6) | -0.197 | 0.150 | -0.103 | -1.51 (-8.1 to 5.1) | -0.059 | 0.650 | -0.031 |
| Farm3/Farm4* Year2/Year3 | -7.91 (-17.8 to 2.0) | -0.219 | 0.117 | -0.114 | -2.76 (-16.0 to 10.5) | -0.056 | 0.680 | -0.029 | -3.72 (-10.3 to 2.9) | -0.146 | 0.267 | -0.076 |
β, Regression coefficients; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; St β, Standardized regression coefficients; p, p-value; Sp R, Semi-partial correlation coefficient.
Fig. 2.Scatter plots between service rate (blue color), conception rate (red color), pregnancy rate (green color), and the maximum temperature–humidity index. Lines represent the fitted estimated regression following the maximum temperature–humidity index (SR = 65.037 – 0.309 * max THI; CR = 158.576 – 1.740 * max THI; and PR = 74.519 – 0.835 * max THI). SR: service rate; CR: conception rate; and PR: pregnancy rate.