| Literature DB >> 35789673 |
Yemiamerew Z Hussein1, Beneberu A Wondimagegnhu2, Girmachew S Misganaw2.
Abstract
The study was conducted to evaluate the effect of khat cultivation on rural households' income in the Bahir Dar Zuria district using cross-sectional data collected from 180 randomly selected respondents, and supported by focus group discussions in two districts of northwest Ethiopia. The data were analyzed by simple descriptive statistics and beta regression. Results from descriptive statistics show that khat contributes the largest (51%) of farmers' income, followed by crop sale (33%), sale of livestock and their products (9%), and off-farm and non-farm activities (7%), Empirical findings from the Beta regression model also show that farming experience, education status, the proportion of land allocated for khat cultivation, total working capital of the household, the density of khat trees planted per hectare, and participation in off-farm and non-farm activity have a significant and positive effect on the proportion of khat income of the households. On the contrary, livestock holding, total asset ownership, and access to mobile phones have a significant and negative influence on the proportion of annual khat income of the households. Hence, the cultivation of khat can have a significant effect on the improvement of rural households' income and standard of living in the districts. However, increased khat production have also serious implications on the market, water resources, and human health. Thus, policymakers need to come up together to understand and devise proper running mechanisms for these controversies of khat production in association with economic, social, and health implications.Entities:
Keywords: Bahir Dar Zuria; Beta regression; Ethiopia; Khat cultivation; Khat income
Year: 2022 PMID: 35789673 PMCID: PMC9243962 DOI: 10.1007/s10708-022-10697-2
Source DB: PubMed Journal: GeoJournal ISSN: 0343-2521
Fig. 2Map of Ethiopia, Amhara region, West Gojam zone, Bahir Dar zuria woreda, and Bahir Dar City Administration.
Source GIS Team of ANRS BoFED CSA map and used as a base map, 2017
Distribution of selected sample households for the study
| Selected | Total households of | Sampling frame | Number of sampled households | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Male | Female | Male | Female | Total | ||
| Sebatamit | 1234 | 1083 | 151 | 44 | 6 | 50 |
| Ten/lagun | 753 | 647 | 106 | 27 | 3 | 30 |
| Woramit | 1063 | 960 | 103 | 39 | 4 | 43 |
| Zenzelema | 1670 | 1431 | 239 | 49 | 8 | 57 |
| Total | 4720 | 4121 | 599 | 159 | 21 | 180 |
Source Study area WoA and KoA (2016)
Cultivated land size and khat farm size in hectare and its ratio in percent (N = 180)
| No | Kebele name | Cultivated land in ha | Khat farmland in ha | The ratio of khat farm/cultivated farm*100 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenzelema | 1860 | 522 | 28.06 |
| 2 | Woramit | 2900.75 | 846.15 | 9.17 |
| 3 | Tenta laguna | 1514 | 618.50 | 40.85 |
| 4 | Sebatamit | 1889 | 849 | 44.94 |
| Total | 8163.75 | 2255.5 | 27.63 |
Source Kebele and Woreda Agriculture office report (Basic data), 2017
Fig. 1Conceptual framework on effect of khat cultivation on rural household income in Bahir Dar zuria district, North West Ethiopia.
Source Researchers own, 2017
Description, units, and statistics for model variables (N = 180)
| Variables | Units of measurement | H0 sign | Mean | SD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEX | 1 = if male, 0 otherwise? | + | 0.88 | 0.32 |
| MRISTUTS | 1 = if married, 0 otherwise? | + | 2.18 | 0.52 |
| EDUSTUTS | 1 = if illiterate, 0 otherwise? | + | 1.42 | 0.50 |
| ACCMBL | 1 = if yes, 0 otherwise? | + | 1.28 | 0.90 |
| ACOFNOFM | 1 = if yes, 0 otherwise? | − | 1.68 | 0.47 |
| AGE | Years | − | 44.18 | 9.11 |
| FRMEXPOKH | Number | + | 11.13 | 5.62 |
| HHSZIMNEQT | Man equivalent | + | 3.21 | 1.27 |
| TOTLNDSZHH | Ha | + | 1.71 | 0.90 |
| PROLDALKH | Ratio | + | 0.219 | 1.55 |
| TOTWKGCPT | ETB | − | 35,411.56 | 17,556.3 |
| TOTPHYSCP | ETB | − | 6381.21 | 4053.80 |
| KHDSTYPRHA | Number | + | 19,669 | 6767.6 |
| LVSTCKHDG | TLU | − | 5.61 | 2.42 |
| TOTHHAST | 00,000ETB | + | 2.79 | 3.89 |
| DSRESIMKT | Minute | − | 40.97 | 23.48 |
| DSFRMMRD | Minute | − | 25.92 | 16.79 |
| AMTBRDMNY | ETB | + | 3.72 | 4.65 |
| NoVisiPrYr | Number | + | 6.58 | 4.75 |
Source Own survey result, 2017
ETB Ethiopian Birr, TLU total livestock unit
Conversion factors used to compute labor force in man equivalent
| No | Age group | Male | Female |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | < 10 years | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 10–13 years | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 14–16 years | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 17–50 years | 1 | 0.80 |
| > 50 years | 0.70 | 0.50 |
Source Storcket al. (1991) cited in Samuel Gebreselassie and Kay Sharp (2008) and in Mikinary (2008)
Conversion factors used to estimate size of livestock ownership in TLU
| No | Type of livestock | Conversion factors | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oxen | 1.00 | In TLU |
| 2 | Cows | 1.00 | In TLU |
| 3 | Heifer | 0.75 | In TLU |
| 4 | Young bull | 0.34 | In TLU |
| 5 | Calf | 0.25 | In TLU |
| 6 | Sheep | 0.13 | In TLU |
| 7 | Goat | 0.13 | In TLU |
| 8 | Donkey | 0.70 | In TLU |
| 9 | Mule | 1.10 | In TLU |
| 10 | Horse | 1.10 | In TLU |
| 11 | Camel | 1.25 | In TLU |
| 12 | Chicken | 0.013 | In TLU |
Source Ramakrishna and Demeke (2002), Storck et al. (1991) cited in Mikinary (2008)
Contribution and share of khat income to other sources of households’ income in the year 2016/17 in ETB (N = 180)
| No | Variables | Overall mean (ETB) | SD | The proportion of each to the total income (%) | The ratio of No. 1 with 2, 3, and 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Total income gained from khat sale in ETB | 56,112.8 | 28,836.5 | 50.87 | |
| 2 | Total income gained from agricultural crop in ETB | 36,758.24 | 27,081.2 | 33.11 | 7.59 |
| 3 | Income from livestock and their product sale in ETB | 10,278.6 | 12,003.1 | 9.32 | 5.46 |
| 4 | Total income gained from off-farm and non-farm in ETB | 7394.2 | 12,922.3 | 6.70 | 1.54 |
| 5 | Annual household income gained in ETB | 110,316.9 | 45,737.2 | 100 | 0.51 |
Source Own survey result, 2017
ETB Ethiopian Birr
Relative value of khat with regard to the area covered, production, and income of the sampled households across crops (N = 180)
| Measures | Share of khat to | Total | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cereal | Pulse | Fru and veg | Khat | Cereal | Pulse | Frui. and veget | |
| Area (ha) | 0.31 | 9.12 | 1.76 | 55.9 | 181.9 | 6.13 | 31.8 |
| Producer (farmers) | 1.03 | 8.2 | 2.6 | 180 | 175 | 22 | 70 |
| Production (Qt) | 0.49 | 22.2 | 1.23 | 3261.9 | 6672 | 147 | 2648 |
| Productivity (Qt/ha) | 1.59 | 2.44 | 0.7 | 58.4 | 37 | 24 | 83.3 |
| Gro.Inc (ETB/ha) | 14.82 | 6.05 | 5.24 | 180,944 | 12,210 | 29,902 | 34,538 |
| Anova: F (11,168) | 49.13*** | 37.41*** | 3.05** | ||||
| Sig | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.021 | ||||
| Cost (ETB/ha) | 3.11 | 6.05 | 5.24 | 24,296 | 7726 | 5907 | 10,902 |
| Net Inc (ETB/ha) | 8.33 | 6.52 | 6.63 | 156,648 | 21,374 | 23,995 | 23,636 |
Source Own survey result, 2017
ETB Ethiopian Birr
** and *** significant at 5% and 1% significant level
Multicollinearity checks of a continuous variable (estatvif)
| Variables | Using Spss-22 | Using Stata - 14 | Remark | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolerance | VIF | 1/VIF | ||
| AGE | .213 | 4.60 | 0.217379 | |
| HHSZIMEQT | .503 | 1.87 | 0.533954 | |
| FRMEXP | .204 | 4.83 | 0.207142 | |
| PROLNDALKH | .500 | 1.91 | 0.523955 | |
| TOTWKGCPTL | .428 | 2.01 | 0.496640 | |
| TOTPHYSCPTL | .512 | 1.92 | 0.520526 | |
| LVSCKHDG | .625 | 1.50 | 0.664550 | |
| TOTHHAST | .490 | 1.77 | 0.565405 | |
| DSRESIMKT | .613 | 1.47 | 0.681656 | |
| DSFRMMRD | .479 | 1.83 | 0.547120 | |
| AMTBRDMNY | .819 | 1.22 | 0.821967 | |
| NoVisiPrYr | .744 | 1.16 | 0.859175 | |
| Mean VIF | 2.17 | |||
Source Own survey results, 2017
Contingency coefficient for discrete variables (N = 180) Using Stata - 14
| Variables | SEXH | MRISTA | Educst | ACOFNO ~ | ACCMOB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEXHH | 1.00 | ||||
| MRISTATUS | 0.97 | 1.00 | |||
| Educstatus | 0.20 | 0.18 | 1.00 | ||
| ACOFNOFRMA~Y | 0.01 | − 0.01 | − 0.17 | 1.00 | |
| ACCMBL | − 0.25 | − 0.24 | − 0.14 | 0.09 | 1.00 |
Source Own survey result, 2017
Hetroskedasticity test (hottest)
| Breusch–Pagan/Cook–Weisberg test for heteroskedasticity |
|---|
| Ho: Constant variance |
| Variables: fitted values of PROKHINC |
| chi2 (1) = 0.78 |
| Prob > chi2 = 0.3760 |
Results of beta regression model on the effect of explanatory variables on the proportion of annual khat income of the farmer (N = 180)
| Beta regression | Number of obs = 180 |
|---|---|
| Wald chi2(15) = 2373.55 | margins, dy dx(*) |
| Average marginal effects | |
| Link function: g(u) = log(u/(1 − u)) [Logit] | Model VCE: Robust |
| Slink function: g(u) = log(u) [Log] | Expression: Conditional mean of PROKHINC, predict () |
| Log pseudo-likelihood = 163.91758 |
Source Own survey results, 2017
dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level
NS not significant
** and *** significant at 5% and 1% level of significance
Influence of khat cultivation on different farming activities using Kendall's tau_b correlation coefficient
| Description of variable Kendall's tau_b | Effect of khat cultivation on other farming | Effect of khat cultivation on crop farming | Effect on livestock and grazing land | Effects on private forest land | Effects on fruit and vegetable farming | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Effect of khat cultivation on other farming | Corr. coeff | 1.000 | − .991** | − .795** | − .952** | − .879** |
| Sig (2-tailed) | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | ||
| R2 (coff. detr) | 100% | 98.21% | 63.20% | 90.63% | 77.26% | |
| Effect of khat cultivation on crop farming | Corr. coeff | − .991** | 1.000 | .780** | .944** | .874** |
| Sig.(2-tailed) | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | ||
| R2 (coff.detr) | 98.21% | 100% | ||||
| Effect on Livestock and grazing land | Corr. coeff | − .795** | .780** | 1.000 | .803** | .823** |
| Sig. (2-tailed) | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | ||
| R2 (coff.detr) | 63.20% | 100% | ||||
| Effects on Private Forest land | Corr. coeff | − .952** | .944** | .803** | 1.000 | .884** |
| Sig. (2-tailed) | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | ||
| R2 (coff. detr) | 90.63% | 100% | ||||
| Effects on fruit and vegetable farming | Corr. coeff | − .879** | .874** | .823** | .884** | 1.000 |
| Sig. (2-tailed) | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | ||
| R2 (coff. detr) | 77.26% | 100% | ||||
Source Own survey results, 2017
**Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed)
Mean comparison on the effect of khat cultivation on livestock composition of the households (N = 180)
| Variables | Overall Mean | Overall SD | Paired | Mean | SD | t-test |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of livestock owned by the household before khat cultivation in TLU1 | 9.59 | 4.11 | TotLvstk Pair 1 | 3.98 | 2.93 | 18.22*** |
| Number of livestock owned by the household after khat cultivation in TLU2 | 5.61 | 2.42 | ||||
| Number of oxen owned by the household before khat cultivation in TLU1 | 3.24 | 1.12 | Oxen Pair 2 | 1.32 | 0.74 | 23.76*** |
| Number of oxen owned by the household after khat cultivation in TLU2 | 1.93 | 0.89 | ||||
| Number of cows owned by the household before khat cultivation in TLU1 | 3.53 | 2.03 | Cow Pair 3 | 1.58 | 1.62 | 13.07*** |
| Number of cows owned by the household after khat cultivation in TLU2 | 1.95 | 1.05 | ||||
| Households number of years of khat cultivation experience in year | 11.13 | 5.62 |
Source Own survey results, 2017
***Significant at 1% level of significance