| Literature DB >> 35784412 |
Zedeng Yang1, Dan Wen1, Jiao Xiao1, Qianying Liu1, Shule Sun1, Aliye Kureshi2, Yunfeng Chang1, Lagabaiyila Zha1,2.
Abstract
The aim of this study was to evaluate the applicability of Cameriere's European formula for age estimation in children in South China and to adapt the formula to establish a more suitable formula for these children. Moreover, the performance of dental age estimation based on Cameriere's method combining the developmental information of permanent teeth (PT) and third molar (TM) was also analysed. Orthopantomographs of 720 healthy children in Group A, and orthopantomographs of 320 children and 280 subadults in Group B were assessed. The samples of Group A were divided into training dataset 1 and test dataset 1, and the samples of Group B were also divided into training dataset 2 and test dataset 2. A South China-specific formula was established based on the training dataset 1, and the comparison of accuracy between the Cameriere's European formula and the South China-specific formula was conducted with the test dataset 1. Additionally, a PT regression model, a TM regression model, and a combined regression model (PT + TM) were established based on the training dataset 2, and the performance of these three models were validated on the test dataset 2. The Cameriere's European formula underestimated chronological age with a mean difference (ME) of -0.47 ± 1.11 years in males and -0.69 ± 1.19 years in females. However, the South China-specific formula underestimated chronological age, with a mean difference (ME) of -0.02 ± 0.71 years in males and -0.14 ± 0.73 years in females. Compared with PT model and TM model, the PT and TM combined model obtained the smallest root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.29 years in males and 0.93 years in females. In conclusion, the South China-specific formula was more suitable for assessing the dental age of children in South China, and the PT and TM combined model can improve the accuracy of dental age estimation in children.Key pointsOrthopantomographs of 720 healthy children in Group A, and orthopantomographs of 320 children and 280 subadults in Group B were assessed.A South China-specific formula was established based on the training dataset 1, and the comparison of accuracy between the Cameriere's European formula and the South China-specific formula was conducted with the test dataset 1.A PT regression model, a TM regression model, and a combined regression model (PT + TM) were established based on the training dataset 2, and the performance of these three models were validated on the test dataset 2.The South China-specific formula was more suitable for assessing the dental age of children in South China, and the PT and TM combined model can improve the accuracy of dental age estimation in children.Entities:
Keywords: Cameriere’s method; Forensic sciences; South China; dental age estimation; linear regression
Year: 2021 PMID: 35784412 PMCID: PMC9246020 DOI: 10.1080/20961790.2020.1830515
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Forensic Sci Res ISSN: 2471-1411
Age and sex distribution of the whole studied population.
| Groups (years) | Males | Females | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00–4.99 | 30 | 30 | 60 |
| 5.00–5.99 | 30 | 30 | 60 |
| 6.00–6.99 | 30 | 30 | 60 |
| 7.00–7.99 | 30 | 30 | 60 |
| 8.00–8.99 | 44 | 44 | 88 |
| 9.00–9.99 | 39 | 41 | 80 |
| 10.00–10.99 | 36 | 36 | 72 |
| 11.00–11.99 | 34 | 31 | 65 |
| 12.00–12.99 | 31 | 36 | 67 |
| 13.00–13.99 | 32 | 31 | 63 |
| 14.00–14.99 | 32 | 33 | 65 |
| 15.00–15.99 | 32 | 31 | 63 |
| 16.00–16.99 | 20 | 20 | 40 |
| 17.00–17.99 | 20 | 20 | 40 |
| 18.00–18.99 | 20 | 20 | 40 |
| 19.00–19.99 | 20 | 20 | 40 |
| 20.00–20.99 | 20 | 20 | 40 |
| 21.00–21.99 | 20 | 20 | 40 |
| 22.00–22.99 | 20 | 20 | 40 |
| Total | 540 | 543 | 1 083 |
Age and sex detailed distribution (n) of the training set and test set.
| Groups (years) | Training set 1 | Test set 1 | Training set 2 | Test set 2 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Males | Females | Males | Females | Males | Females | Males | Females | |
| 4.00–4.99 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5.00–5.99 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6.00–6.99 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7.00–7.99 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8.00–8.99 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 |
| 9.00–9.99 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 |
| 10.00–10.99 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 |
| 11.00–11.99 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 |
| 12.00–12.99 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 |
| 13.00–13.99 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 |
| 14.00–14.99 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 |
| 15.00–15.99 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 |
| 16.00–16.99 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 | ||||
| 17.00–17.99 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 | ||||
| 18.00–18.99 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 | ||||
| 19.00–19.99 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 | ||||
| 20.00–20.99 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 | ||||
| 21.00–21.99 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 | ||||
| 22.00–22.99 | | | | | 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 |
| Total | 288 | 288 | 72 | 72 | 240 | 240 | 60 | 60 |
Summary of mean differences between dental age (DA) and chronological age (CA) from Cameriere's European formula and the South Chinese formula based on ridge regression for males and females in the test dataset 1 (144 OPGs).
| Gender | Number | CA (±SD) | DA (±SD) | ME (±SD) | 95%CI | MAE (±SD) | RMSE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Males | 72 | 9.97 (±3.40) | 9.50 (±2.89) | −0.47 (±1.11) | −0.73 to −0.21 | 1.00 (±0.65) | 1.17 | 0.00* |
| 9.95 (±3.48) | −0.02 (±0.71) | −0.19 to 0.15 | 0.52 (±0.48) | 0.69 | 0.82 | |||
| Females | 72 | 10.00 (±3.40) | 9.32 (±2.65) | −0.69 (±1.19) | −0.97 to −0.41 | 1.19 (±0.67) | 1.37 | 0.00* |
| 9.87 (±3.17) | −0.14 (±0.73) | −0.31 to 0.04 | 0.58 (±0.45) | 0.74 | 0.12 | |||
| Total | 144 | 9.99 (±3.39) | 9.41 (±2.76) | −0.58 (±1.15) | −0.77 to −0.39 | 1.10 (±0.66) | 1.28 | 0.00* |
| 9.91 (±3.31) | −0.08 (±0.72) | −0.20 to 0.04 | 0.55 (±0.47) | 0.72 | 0.20 |
ME: mean error; SD: standard deviation; CI: confidence interval; MAE: mean absolute error; RMSE: root mean square error.
P-value: obtained using paired samples t test or Wilcoxon's signed rank test.
Values that showed significant difference.
Comparison of the accuracy of age estimation between the South Chinese formula based on ridge regression and Cameriere's European formula for males and females in the test dataset 1 (144 OPGs).
| Gender | Number | Difference in ME (SD) | Difference in MAE (SD) | Difference in RMSE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Males | 72 | 0.45 (0.96) | 0.00* | −0.49 (0.64) | 0.00* | −0.48 |
| Females | 72 | 0.55 (0.85) | 0.00* | −0.61 (0.62) | 0.00* | −0.63 |
| Total | 144 | 0.50 (0.90) | 0.00* | −0.55 (0.63) | 0.00* | −0.56 |
ME: mean error; MAE: mean absolute error; SD: standard deviation; RMSE: root mean square error.
P-value: obtained using paired samples t test or Wilcoxon's signed rank test.
Values that showed significant difference.
Dental age estimation performances of regression models using the permanent teeth (PT), the third molars (TM) and the PT and TM combined for males and females in the test dataset 2 (120 OPGs).
| PT | TM | PT + TM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Males | |||
| ME | −0.08 | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| MAE | 1.60 | 0.87 | 0.80 |
| RMSE | 2.04 | 1.31 | 1.29 |
| Females | |||
| ME | 0.02 | 0.37 | 0.18 |
| MAE | 1.56 | 0.92 | 0.69 |
| RMSE | 1.98 | 1.17 | 0.93 |
ME: mean error; MAE: mean absolute error; RMSE: root mean square error.
Comparison of the accuracy of age estimation between different regression models for males and females in the test dataset 2 (120 OPGs).
| Gender | Number | Formula | Difference in ME (SD) | Difference in MAE (SD) | Difference in RMSE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Males | 60 | PT + TM | 0.50 (1.49) | 0.01* | −0.80 (1.20) | 0.00* | −0.75 |
| PT + TM | 0.03 (0.59) | 0.71 | −0.07 (0.44) | 0.22 | −0.02 | ||
| PT | −0.47 (1.64) | 0.03* | 0.73 (1.25) | 0.00* | 0.73 | ||
| Females | 60 | PT + TM | 0.15 (1.69) | 0.48 | −0.87 (1.30) | 0.00* | −1.05 |
| PT + TM | −0.19 (0.69) | 0.03* | −0.23 (0.63) | 0.01* | −0.24 | ||
| PT | −0.35 (2.00) | 0.18 | 0.65 (1.54) | 0.00* | 0.81 | ||
| Total | 120 | PT + TM | 0.32 (1.59) | 0.03* | −0.84 (1.25) | 0.00* | −0.89 |
| PT + TM | −0.08 (0.65) | 0.17 | −0.15 (0.54) | 0.00* | −0.12 | ||
| PT | −0.41 (1.82) | 0.02* | 0.69 (1.40) | 0.00* | 0.77 |
PT: permanent teeth 31–37; TM: third molars; ME: mean error; MAE: mean absolute error; SD: standard deviation; RMSE: root mean square error.
P-value: obtained using paired samples t test or Wilcoxon's signed rank test.
Values that showed significant difference.
Figure 1.The root mean square error (RMSE) of permanent teeth (PT) model, third molars (TM) model and PT + TM model of males (A) and females (B) for all age groups in the test dataset 2 (120 OPGs).