| Literature DB >> 35784254 |
Evelyn Agba Tackie1, Hao Chen1, Isaac Ahakwa1, Samuel Atingabili1.
Abstract
This article explored the dynamic nexus among economic growth, industrialization, medical technology, and healthcare expenditure in West Africa while using urbanization and aged population as control variables. West African countries were sub-sectioned into low-income (LI) and lower-middle-income (LMI) countries. Panel data extracted from the World Development Indicators (WDI) from 2000 to 2019 were used for the study. More modern econometric techniques that are vigorous to cross-sectional dependence and slope heterogeneity were employed in the analytical process in order to provide accurate and trustworthy results. The homogeneity test and cross-sectional dependency test confirmed the studied panels to be heterogeneous and cross-sectionally dependent, respectively. Moreover, the CADF and CIPS unit root tests showed that the variables were not integrated in the same order. This, thus, leads to the employment of the PMG-ARDL estimation approach, which unveiled economic growth and urbanization as trivial determinants of healthcare expenditure in the LI and LMI panels. However, the results affirmed industrialization as a major determinant of healthcare expenditure in the LI and LMI panels. Additionally, medical technology was confirmed to decrease healthcare expenditure in the LMI panel, whereas in the LI panel, an insignificant impact was witnessed. Also, the aged population was found to intensify healthcare expenditure in both the LI and LMI panels. Lastly, on the causal connection between the series, the outcome revealed a mixture of causal paths among the variables in all the panels. Policy recommendations have therefore been proposed based on the study's findings.Entities:
Keywords: West Africa; economic growth; healthcare expenditure; industrialization; medical technology
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35784254 PMCID: PMC9249216 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.903399
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Public Health ISSN: 2296-2565
Classifications of countries in West Africa.
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| Low income | Burkina Faso, Gambia, Guinea Bissau, Liberia, Guinea, Sierra Leone, Niger, Mali, and Togo. |
| Lower-middle income | Ghana, Ivory Coast, Senegal, Mauritania, Cape Verde, Nigeria, and Benin, |
| Whole sample | Ghana, Ivory Coast, Senegal, Burkina Faso, Sierra Leone, Guinea, Gambia, Liberia, Mali, Mauritania, Guinea Bissau, Niger, Cape Verde, Nigeria, Benin, and Togo. |
Data source and variable definition.
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| Total healthcare expenditure | HCE | Current US $ | WDI | 2000–2019 |
| Economic growth | GDP | GDP per capita (constant 2010 US$) | WDI | 2000–2019 |
| Industrialization | IND | Industry (including construction), value added (constant 2010 US$) | WDI | 2000–2019 |
| Medical technology | MT | Life expectancy | WDI | 2000–2019 |
| Urbanization | URB | Percentage of total population | WDI | 2000–2019 |
| Aged population | AGP | Individuals above 65 years old | WDI | 2000–2019 |
Descriptive statistics and correlation analysis of the study variables.
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| LI | Mean | 3.421 | 3.542 | 12.078 | 3.545 | 4.017 | 20.066 |
| Std. dev | 0.524 | 0.311 | 0.856 | 0.353 | 0.087 | 1.317 | |
| Variance | 0.275 | 0.097 | 0.733 | 0.124 | 0.008 | 1.735 | |
| Min | 2.042 | −0.157 | 10.428 | 2.784 | 3.675 | 17.219 | |
| Max | 4.949 | 4.050 | 13.314 | 4.126 | 4.161 | 22.132 | |
| Skewness | −0.107 | −9.755 | −0.635 | −0.891 | −1.188 | −0.112 | |
| Kurtosis | 3.600 | 114.078 | 2.086 | 3.119 | 5.135 | 1.769 | |
| Jarque-Bera | 3.505 | 0.00096 | 18.54 | 22.9 | 73.28 | 11.58 | |
| Probability | 0.1734 | 0.000a | 0.000a | 0.000a | 0.000a | 0.000a | |
| lnHCE | 1.000 | ||||||
| lnGDP | 0.167 | 1.000 | |||||
| (0.026)b | |||||||
| lnAGP | −0.107 | 0.109 | 1.000 | ||||
| (0.153) | (0.147) | ||||||
| lnURB | 0.397 | −0.102 | −0.648 | 1.000 | |||
| (0.000)a | (0.173) | (0.000)a | |||||
| lnMT | 0.322 | 0.021 | 0.012 | 0.165 | 1.000 | ||
| (0.000)a | (0.782) | (0.879) | (0.027) | ||||
| lnIND | 0.037 | 0.221 | 0.748 | −0.525 | 0.321 | 1.000 | |
| (0.619) | (0.003)a | (0.000)a | (0.000)a | (0.000)a | |||
| LMI | Mean | 3.997 | 3.570 | 12.746 | 3.855 | 4.088 | 19.246 |
| Std. dev | 0.608 | 0.099 | 1.499 | 0.141 | 0.115 | 6.526 | |
| Variance | 0.370 | 0.010 | 2.248 | 0.020 | 0.013 | 42.585 | |
| Min | 2.765 | 3.281 | 9.974 | 3.551 | 3.834 | 3.765 | |
| Max | 5.646 | 3.899 | 15.523 | 4.193 | 4.290 | 25.626 | |
| Skewness | 0.114 | 0.098 | −0.114 | 0.487 | −0.234 | −1.756 | |
| Kurtosis | 2.583 | 4.234 | 2.642 | 2.828 | 2.385 | 4.597 | |
| Jarque-Bera | 1.313 | 9.106 | 1.053 | 5.714 | 3.487 | 86.86 | |
| Probability | 0.5186 | 0.0105b | 0.5907 | 0.0574c | 0.1749 | 0.000a | |
| lnHCE | 1.000 | ||||||
| lnGDP | 0.070 | 1.000 | |||||
| (0.414) | |||||||
| lnAGP | −0.195 | 0.114 | 1.000 | ||||
| (0.021)b | (0.181) | ||||||
| lnURB | 0.734 | 0.015 | −0.509 | 1.000 | |||
| (0.000)a | (0.864) | (0.000)a | |||||
| lnMT | 0.424 | 0.036 | −0.789 | 0.686 | 1.000 | ||
| (0.000)a | (0.677) | (0.000)a | (0.000)a | ||||
| lnIND | −0.500 | 0.039 | 0.719 | −0.684 | −0.626 | 1.000 | |
| (0.000)a | (0.647) | (0.000)a | (0.000)a | (0.000)a | |||
| Whole sample | Mean | 3.669 | 3.554 | 12.372 | 3.679 | 4.047 | 19.708 |
| Std. dev | 0.636 | 0.242 | 1.224 | 0.322 | 0.106 | 4.437 | |
| Variance | 0.405 | 0.058 | 1.499 | 0.104 | 0.011 | 19.691 | |
| Min | 2.018 | −0.157 | 9.974 | 2.784 | 3.675 | 3.765 | |
| Max | 5.646 | 4.050 | 15.523 | 4.193 | 4.290 | 25.626 | |
| Skewness | 0.156 | −11.705 | 0.195 | −1.345 | −0.241 | −2.714 | |
| Kurtosis | 3.171 | 176.479 | 3.329 | 4.681 | 3.596 | 10.414 | |
| Jarque-Bera | 1.694 | 410,000 | 3.474 | 134.1 | 7.827 | 1126 | |
| Probability | 0.4287 | 0.000a | 0.176 | 0.000a | 0.020b | 0.000a | |
| lnHCE | 1.000 | ||||||
| lnGDP | 0.139 | 1.000 | |||||
| (0.013)b | |||||||
| lnAGP | −0.014 | 0.095 | 1.000 | ||||
| (0.796) | (0.090)c | ||||||
| lnURB | 0.587 | −0.049 | −0.269 | 1.000 | |||
| (0.000)a | (0.378) | (0.000)a | |||||
| lnMT | 0.471 | 0.039 | −0.362 | 0.392 | 1.000 | ||
| (0.000)a | (0.482) | (0.000)a | (0.000)a | ||||
| lnIND | −0.344 | 0.052 | 0.716 | −0.332 | −0.421 | 1.000 | |
| (0.000)a | (0.355) | (0.000)a | (0.000)a | (0.000)a |
a, b, and c denote significance at the 1, 5, and 10% levels, respectively; LI means low-income economies; LMI means lower-middle-income economies.
Multi-collinearity test results.
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| lnIND | 5.963 | 0.168 | 5.798 | 0.172 | 2.229 | 0.449 |
| lnAGP | 5.611 | 0.178 | 7.874 | 0.127 | 2.088 | 0.479 |
| lnMT | 1.834 | 0.545 | 5.212 | 0.192 | 1.351 | 0.740 |
| lnURB | 1.653 | 0.605 | 3.577 | 0.280 | 1.236 | 0.809 |
| lnGDP | 1.105 | 0.905 | 1.093 | 0.915 | 1.019 | 0.982 |
| Mean VIF | 3.233 | . | 4.711 | 1.585 | . | |
Residual cross-sectional dependence test.
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| Breusch-Pegan LM | 3.114 | 0.0000a | 109.74 | 0.0000a | 151.890 | 0.0000a |
| Pesaran ( | 4.396 | 0.0000a | 10.662 | 0.0000a | 29.931 | 0.0000a |
| Friedman | 38.797 | 0.0000a | 71.049 | 0.0000a | 170.907 | 0.0000a |
| Pesaran ( | 257.720 | 0.0000a | 10.623 | 0.0000a | 24.787 | 0.0000a |
*a denotes significance at the 1% level.
Pesaran-Yamagata homogeneity test results.
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| Delta tide | 6.345 | 0.000a | 5.798 | 0.000a | −2.878 | 0.004a |
| Adjusted Delta tide | 7.870 | 0.000a | 7.191 | 0.000a | −3.838 | 0.000a |
*a denotes significance at the 1% level.
CIPS and CADF unit test results.
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| LI | lnHCE | −1.788 | I(0) | −3.616 | I( | −1.823 | I(0) | −2.635 | I( |
| lnGDP | 0.098 | I(0) | −0.892 | I(0) | −2.239 | I( | −2.895 | I( | |
| lnIND | −1.590 | I(0) | −3.990 | I( | −1.663 | I(0) | −3.028 | I( | |
| lnMT | −1.230 | I(0) | −2.294 | I( | −5.973 | I( | −4.938 | I( | |
| lnURB | 0.009 | I(0) | −0.672 | I(0) | −1.001 | I(0) | −1.166 | I(0) | |
| lnAGP | −4.371 | I( | −5.780 | I( | −2.712 | I( | −2.112 | I(0) | |
| LMI | lnHCE | −2.185 | I(0) | −4.499 | I( | −1.877 | I(0) | −3.197 | I( |
| lnGDP | −2.919 | I( | −5.203 | I( | −1.682 | I(0) | -−2.430 | I( | |
| lnIND | −1.527 | I(0) | −3.349 | I( | −1.495 | I(0) | −2.466 | I( | |
| lnMT | −2.565 | I(0) | −1.306 | I(0) | −6.063 | I( | −5.151 | I( | |
| lnURB | −1.550 | I(0) | −2.818 | I( | −0.495 | I(0) | −2.797 | I( | |
| lnAGP | −1.199 | I(0) | −2.187 | I(0) | −3.177 | I( | −1.291 | I(0) | |
| Whole sample | lnHCE | −2.382 | I(0) | −4.189 | I( | −2.199 | I(0) | −2.757 | I( |
| lnGDP | −3.851 | I( | −5.273 | I( | −3.112 | I( | −3.798 | I( | |
| lnIND | −4.204 | I( | −5.862 | I( | −1.872 | I(0) | −3.008 | I( | |
| lnMT | −2.489 | I(0) | −2.920 | I( | −5.222 | I( | −4.341 | I( | |
| lnURB | −1.659 | I(0) | −2.267 | I(0) | −2.771 | I( | −2.640 | I( | |
| lnAGP | −1.718 | I(0) | −0.842 | I(0) | −2.833 | I( | −2.210 | I(0) | |
PMG-ARDL long-run estimation outcomes.
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| LI | lnGDP | −0.100 | 0.940 | 0.347 |
| lnIND | 0.348 | 6.320 | 0.000a | |
| lnMT | 2.365 | 1.540 | 0.125 | |
| lnURB | 0.919 | 1.360 | 0.175 | |
| lnAGP | 2.095 | 2.460 | 0.014b | |
| LMI | lnGDP | −0.225 | −1.170 | 0.241 |
| lnAGP | 5.028 | 3.470 | 0.001a | |
| lnURB | 1.582 | 0.930 | 0.355 | |
| lnMT | −14.124 | −4.260 | 0.000a | |
| lnIND | 0.729 | 9.800 | 0.000a | |
| Whole sample | lnGDP | −0.098 | −0.630 | 0.527 |
| lnIND | 0.634 | 12.060 | 0.000a | |
| lnMT | −8.797 | −4.870 | 0.000a | |
| lnURB | 2.614 | 4.450 | 0.000a | |
| lnAGP | 2.975 | 4.140 | 0.000a |
a and b denote significance at the 1 and 5% levels, respectively; LI means low-income economies; LMI means lower-middle-income economies.
Summary of PMG-ARDL estimation results.
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| lnGDP | - | × | - | × | - | × |
| lnIND | + | √ | + | √ | + | √ |
| lnMT | + | × | - | √ | - | √ |
| lnURB | + | × | + | × | + | √ |
| lnAGP | + | √ | + | √ | + | √ |
Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality test results.
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| lnGDP≪≫lnHCE | 3.2411 | 3.4835 | 0.0005a | 1.3466 | 0.2984 | 0.7654 | 2.4123 | 2.8100 | 0.0050a |
| lnHCE≪≫lnGDP | 3.7862 | 4.3885 | 0.0000a | 0.5841 | −0.8182 | 0.4133 | 2.3853 | 2.7502 | 0.0060a |
| lnIND≪≫lnHCE | 2.5946 | 2.4102 | 0.0159b | 3.9961 | 4.1775 | 0.0000a | 1.2100 | 0.0226 | 0.9820 |
| lnHCE≪≫lnIND | 3.3436 | 3.6537 | 0.0003a | 3.2728 | 3.1185 | 0.0018a | 0.6073 | −1.3320 | 0.1829 |
| lnMT≪≫lnHCE | 19.3272 | 30.1895 | 0.0000a | 29.0463 | 40.8550 | 0.0000a | 23.5798 | 49.6664 | 0.0000a |
| lnHCE≪≫lnMT | 2.6093 | 2.4346 | 0.0149b | 1.8587 | 1.0482 | 0.2946 | 2.2810 | 2.5193 | 0.0118b |
| lnURB≪≫lnHCE | 10.3516 | 15.2883 | 0.0000a | 23.9921 | 33.4548 | 0.0000a | 16.3094 | 33.5726 | 0.0000a |
| lnHCE≪≫lnURB | 4.8796 | 6.2038 | 0.0000a | 2.1108 | 1.4172 | 0.1564 | 3.6682 | 5.5900 | 0.0000a |
| lnAGP≪≫lnHCE | 3.8541 | 2.8844 | 0.0038a | 19.7717 | 27.2754 | 0.0000a | 10.8305 | 21.4446 | 0.0000a |
| lnHCE≪≫lnAGP | 3.8541 | 4.5012 | 0.0000a | 2.2254 | 1.5850 | 0.1130 | 2.5961 | 3.2168 | 0.0013a |
a and b denote significance at the 1 and 5% levels, respectively; LI means low-income economies; LMI means lower-middle-income economies; ≪≫ denotes the null hypothesis that one variable does not homogeneously cause another variable.
Summary of Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causalities.
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| lnGDP≪≫lnHCE | ↔ | ≠ | ↔ |
| lnIND≪≫lnHCE | ↔ | ↔ | ≠ |
| lnMT≪≫lnHCE | ↔ | → | ↔ |
| lnURB≪≫lnHCE | ↔ | → | ↔ |
| lnAGP≪≫lnHCE | ↔ | → | ↔ |
“ → ” Indicates unidirectional causality from one variable to another, “↔” signposts bidirectional causality between variables, and “≠” denotes no causality between variables.
Figure 1Low-income (LI) panel causality diagram.
Figure 3Whole sample causality diagram. “↔” represents feedback causality; “ → ” represents unidirectional causality, “…” represents no causality.