| Literature DB >> 35769510 |
Nathan Hale1, Kathleen Tatro1, Sylvester Olubolu Orimaye1, Michael Smith1, Michael Meit1, Kate E Beatty1, Amal Khoury1.
Abstract
Background: Adolescent births are associated with numerous challenges. While adolescent birth rates have declined across the U.S., disparities persist, and little is known about the extent to which broader declines are seen within Appalachia. Purpose: The purpose of this study was to examine the extent to which adolescent birth rates have declined across the subregions of Appalachia relative to non-Appalachia.Entities:
Keywords: Appalachia; adolescent births; adolescent health; economic vulnerability
Year: 2022 PMID: 35769510 PMCID: PMC9200451 DOI: 10.13023/jah.0401.05
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Appalach Health ISSN: 2641-7804
Characteristics of U.S. counties by Appalachian subregion from 2012–2018, mean (95% CI)
| County Characteristics | Non-Appalachia (n= 2,723) | Southern Appalachia (n=104) | South Central Appalachia (n= 85) | Central Appalachia (n= 82) | North Central Appalachia (n= 63) | Northern Appalachia (n= 86) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| ||||||
| Attainment (%) | 11.44 (10.98, 11.89) | 1.93 (0.93, 2.93) | 1.17 (0.30, 2.04) | 0 (0, 0) | 0 (0, 0) | 0 (0, 0) |
| Competitive (%) | 16.97 (16.44, 17.51) | 0.96 (0.25, 1.67) | 2.34 (1.12, 3.56) | 0 (0, 0) | 3.18 (1.54, 4.83) | 5.81 (3.94, 7.69) |
| Transitional (%) | 49.74 (49.03, 50.46) | 54.80 (51.18, 58.42) | 65.89 (62.07, 69.71) | 7.33 (5.20, 9.47) | 38.07 (33.52, 42.62) | 86.06 (83.29, 88.84) |
| At Risk (%) | 13.26 (12.78, 13.74) | 35.56 (32.07, 39.04) | 25.90 (22.37, 29.43) | 26.81 (23.18, 30.45) | 36.49 (31.98, 41.00) | 6.98 (4.94, 9.02) |
| Distressed (%) | 8.58 (8.18, 9.98) | 6.75 (4.92, 8.58) | 4.69 (2.99, 6.40) | 65.85 (61.95, 69.74) | 22.25 (18.36, 26.15) | 1.14 (0.29, 2.00) |
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| ||||||
| None Designated (%) | 12.65 (12.18, 13.13) | 11.96 (9.60, 14.32) | 15.79 (12.86, 18.73) | 14.14 (11.28, 17.00) | 10.95 (8.03, 13.88) | 10.47 (8.02, 12.92) |
| Parts Designated (%) | 60.64 (59.94, 61.34) | 57.16 (53.56, 60.76) | 68.80 (65.07, 72.53) | 53.84 (49.75, 57.93) | 66.83 (62.42, 71.24) | 82.86 (79.85, 85.88) |
| Whole Designated (%) | 26.71 (26.08, 27.34) | 30.88 (27.51, 34.24) | 15.41 (12.50, 18.32) | 32.02 (28.20, 35.85) | 22.22 (18.33, 26.12) | 6.67 (4.67, 8.67) |
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| White (%) | 83.19 (82.95, 83.44) | 78.02 (76.79, 79.25) | 92.76 (92.27, 93.25) | 96.74 (96.57, 96.91) | 95.93 (95.62, 96.24) | 93.95 (93.51, 94.39) |
| Black (%) | 9.74 (9.53, 9.96) | 18.41 (17.15, 19.67) | 3.70 (3.36, 4.04) | 1.92 (1.77, 2.06) | 2.51 (2.28, 2.74) | 3.73 (3.38, 4.09) |
| Hispanic (%) | 9.99 (9.78, 10.19) | 5.21 (4.83, 5.60) | 3.94 (3.73, 4.15) | 1.35 (1.28, 1.43) | 1.21 (1.12, 1.29) | 2.48 (2.29, 2.66) |
| Other (%) | 4.39 (4.26, 4.53) | 1.72 (1.59, 1.85) | 2.12 (1.81, 2.44) | 0.79 (0.75, 0.84) | 1.13 (1.04, 1.21) | 1.52 (1.39, 1.64) |
| Non-English-Speaking Residents (%) | 3.70 (3.63, 3.78) | 2.52 (2.31, 2.72) | 1.76 (1.65, 1.86) | 0.63 (0.59, 0.68) | 0.65 (0.59, 0.72) | 1.73 (1.54, 1.91) |
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| Female < 18 years using Medicaid (%) | 39.96 (39.75, 40.16) | 47.31 (46.51, 48.11) | 45.26 (44.39, 46.13) | 56.91 (56.14, 57.68) | 48.54 (47.63, 49.44) | 37.93 (37.34, 38.51) |
| Residents under 65 without insurance (%) | 15.05 (14.95, 15.15) | 16.84 (16.52, 17.16) | 16.47 (16.09, 16.85) | 13.44 (13.18, 13.71) | 12.75 (12.45, 13.05) | 9.94 (9.65, 10.24) |
p<0.0001
Bivariate association between adolescent birth rate per 1,000 females aged 15–19 by region
| Region | 2012 | 2018 | Absolute Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Non-Appalachia | 36.19 | 23.64 | −12.55 |
| Southern Appalachia | 42.97 | 28.53 | −14.44 |
| South Central Appalachia | 39.62 | 26.26 | −13.36 |
| Central Appalachia | 55.31 | 36.78 | −18.53 |
| North Central Appalachia | 42.85 | 28.62 | −14.23 |
| Northern Appalachia | 27.38 | 17.57 | −9.81 |
p<0.0001
Adjusted geographic differences in adolescent birth rates by ARC economic classification and HPSA
| Variable | Coefficient (95% CI) |
|---|---|
|
| |
| Non-Appalachia | Ref |
| Southern Appalachia | 3.11 (0.44, 5.77) |
| South Central Appalachia | 1.97 (−0.69, 4.64) |
| Central Appalachia | 13.60 (9.56, 17.64) |
| North Central Appalachia | 5.41 (2.10, 8.71) |
| Northern Appalachia | −3.57 (−5.90, −1.23) |
|
| |
| 2012 | Ref |
| 2018 | −11.08 (−11.93, −10.24) |
|
| |
| Non-Appalachia x 2012 | Ref |
| Southern Appalachia x 2018 | −1.97 (−4.15, 0.20) |
| South Central Appalachia x 2018 | −0.84 (−3.17, 1.49) |
| Central Appalachia x 2018 | −5.78 (−9.58, −1.97) |
| North Central Appalachia x 2018 | −1.10 (−4.15, 1.95) |
| Northern Appalachia x 2018 | 2.80 (0.97, 4.62) |
|
| |
| Attainment | Ref |
| Competitive | 1.67 (−0.03, 3.37) |
| Transitional | 5.86 (4.08, 7.64) |
| At Risk | 8.62 (6.22, 11.03) |
| Distressed | 11.17 (8.23, 14.10) |
|
| |
| No shortage | Ref |
| Partial shortage | −0.71 (−1.76, 0.35) |
| Whole shortage | 0.65 (−0.73, 2.03) |
|
| |
| White (%) | 0.10 (−0.03, 0.23) |
| Black (%) | 0.18 (0.04, 0.32) |
| Hispanic (%) | 0.32 (0.23, 0.40) |
| Other (%) | 0.24 (0.09, 0.38) |
| Non-English speaking (%) | −0.55 (−0.76, −0.34) |
| Females <18 years using Medicaid (%) | 0.21 (0.15, 0.26) |
| Residents <65 without insurance (%) | 0.58 (0.48, 0.68) |
Predicted adolescent birth rate per 1,000 females aged 15–19 by region
| Region | 2012 | 2018 | Absolute Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Non-Appalachia | 35.73 | 24.64 | −11.09 |
| Southern Appalachia | 38.84 | 25.77 | −13.07 |
| South Central Appalachia | 37.70 | 25.78 | −11.92 |
| Central Appalachia | 49.33 | 32.46 | −16.87 |
| North Central Appalachia | 41.14 | 28.95 | −12.19 |
| Northern Appalachia | 32.16 | 23.87 | −8.29 |
p<0.0001
Significantly different change than non-Appalachia (p<0.05)