| Literature DB >> 35753763 |
Takeshi Yoshimoto1, Hiroshi Yamagami2, Nobuyuki Sakai3, Kazunori Toyoda4, Yoichiro Hashimoto5, Teruyuki Hirano6, Toru Iwama7, Rei Goto8, Kazumi Kimura9, Satoshi Kuroda10, Yuji Matsumaru11, Susumu Miyamoto12, Kuniaki Ogasawara13, Yasushi Okada14, Yoshiaki Shiokawa15, Yasushi Takagi16, Teiji Tominaga17, Masaaki Uno18, Shinichi Yoshimura19, Nobuyuki Ohara20, Hirotoshi Imamura3, Chiaki Sakai3.
Abstract
This study aimed to measure the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the volumes of annual stroke admissions compared with those before the pandemic in Japan. We conducted an observational, retrospective nationwide survey across 542 primary stroke centers in Japan. The annual admission volumes for acute stroke within 7 days from onset between 2019 as the pre-pandemic period and 2020 as the pandemic period were compared as a whole and separately by months during which the epidemic was serious and prefectures of high numbers of infected persons. The number of stroke patients declined from 182,660 in 2019 to 178,083 in 2020, with a reduction rate of 2.51% (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.58%-2.44%). The reduction rates were 1.92% (95% CI, 1.85%-2.00%; 127,979-125,522) for ischemic stroke, 3.88% (95% CI, 3.70%-4.07%, 41,906-40,278) for intracerebral hemorrhage, and 4.58% (95% CI, 4.23%-4.95%; 13,020-12,424) for subarachnoid hemorrhage. The admission volume declined by 5.60% (95% CI, 5.46%-5.74%) during the 7 months of 2020 when the epidemic was serious, whereas it increased in the remaining 5 months (2.01%; 95% CI, 1.91%-2.11%). The annual decline in the admission volume was predominant in the five prefectures with the largest numbers of infected people per million population (4.72%; 95% CI, 4.53%-4.92%). In conclusion, the acute stroke admission volume declined by 2.51% in 2020 relative to 2019 in Japan, especially during the months of high infection, and in highly infected prefectures. Overwhelmed healthcare systems and infection control practices may have been associated with the decline in the stroke admission volume during the COVID-19 pandemic.Entities:
Keywords: Japan; admission; coronavirus disease-2019; nationwide survey; stroke
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35753763 PMCID: PMC9464481 DOI: 10.2176/jns-nmc.2022-0099
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Neurol Med Chir (Tokyo) ISSN: 0470-8105 Impact factor: 2.036
Fig. 1Monthly volume of stroke admissions and cumulative number of COVID-19 patients in 542 Japanese PSCs during the study period.
(A) Monthly volume of stroke admissions and cumulative number of COVID-19 patients per month in Japan. (B) Difference in stroke admissions between 2019 and 2020.
A state of emergency was declared on April 7, 2020, and was lifted on May 25, 2020. Based on openly available data from the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Japan.
Annual and monthly volume of acute stroke during the pre-pandemic (2019) and pandemic (2020) periods
| Annual volume | Monthly volumes per stroke center | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | 2019 | 2020 | Percent change
| 2019,
| 2020,
|
| |
| All stroke | 542 | 182,660 | 178,083 | –2.51 (–2.58 to –2.44) | 28.08 ± 0.71 | 27.38 ± 0.69 | <0.0001 |
| Stroke type | |||||||
| Ischemic stroke | 542 | 127,979 | 125,522 | –1.92 (–2.00 to –1.85) | 19.68 ± 0.53 | 19.30 ± 0.53 | 0.0054 |
| Intracerebral hemorrhage | 542 | 41,906 | 40,278 | –3.88 (–4.07 to –3.70) | 6.44 ± 0.18 | 6.20 ± 0.17 | 0.0003 |
| Subarachnoid hemorrhage | 542 | 13,020 | 12,424 | –4.58 (–4.95 to –4.23) | 2.00 ± 0.07 | 1.91 ± 0.06 | 0.0086 |
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; N, number of hospitals; SE, standard error.
* P-value with reference to monthly volume per primary stroke center in 2019 using the Wilcoxon signed-rank test.
Comparison of acute stroke admission volumes between the spreading and non-spreading months during the pre-pandemic (2019) and pandemic (2020) periods
| Annual volume* | Monthly volumes per stroke center* | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2020 | Change (95% CI), % | 2019,
| 2020,
| Change (95% CI), % | |
| All stroke | ||||||
| Spreading months | 108,409 | 102,339 | –5.60 (–5.74 to –5.46) | 16.67 ± 0.42 | 15.73 ± 0.40 | –4.27 (–6.00 to –2.54) |
| Non-spreading months | 74,251 | 75,744 | 2.01 (1.91 to 2.11) | 11.42 ± 0.49 | 11.65 ± 0.30 | 4.69 (2.43 to 6.95) |
| Ischemic stroke | ||||||
| Spreading months | 76,015 | 72,103 | –5.15 (–5.31 to –4.99) | 11.71 ± 0.32 | 11.15 ± 0.30 | –3.05 (–5.04 to –1.07) |
| Non-spreading months | 51,774 | 53,374 | 3.09 (2.94 to 3.24) | 7.98 ± 0.22 | 8.24 ± 0.23 | 6.69 (4.19 to 9.19) |
| Intracerebral hemorrhage | ||||||
| Spreading months | 24,580 | 23,226 | –5.51 (–5.80 to –5.23) | 3.79 ± 0.11 | 3.58 ± 0.10 | –0.82 (–3.78 to 2.13) |
| Non-spreading months | 17,235 | 17,118 | –0.68 (–0.57 to –0.81) | 2.65 ± 0.07 | 2.64 ± 0.07 | 9.24 (3.74 to 14.76) |
| Subarachnoid hemorrhage | ||||||
| Spreading months | 15,494 | 14,097 | –9.02 (–9.48 to –8.58) | 2.38 ± 1.19 | 2.18 ± 1.09 | 8.02 (0.54 to 15.49) |
| Non-spreading months | 10,546 | 10,732 | 1.76 (1.53 to 2.03) | 1.62 ± 0.81 | 1.65 ± 0.83 | 22.78 (14.80 to 30.76) |
The spreading months were Mar.–May, July.–Aug., Nov.–Dec. 2020, and the non-spreading months were Jan.–Feb., June, Sept.–Oct. 2020. Each month was compared with the same month of the previous year (2019).
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; SE, standard error.
* P < 0.0001 between the spreading and non-spreading months for any events using the z-test or Wilcoxon signed-rank test.
Comparison of stroke admission volumes between highly infected and other prefectures during the pre-pandemic (2019) and pandemic (2020) periods
| Annual volume * | Monthly volumes per stroke center ** | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2020 | Change (95% CI), % | 2019,
| 2020,
| Change (95% CI), % | |
| Stroke | ||||||
| Highly infected prefectures | 46,348 | 44,161 | –4.72 (–4.92 to –4.53) | 30.17 ± 1.52 | 28.75 ± 1.44 | –4.83 (–7.56 to –2.10) |
| Other prefectures | 136,312 | 133,922 | –1.75 (–1.82 to –1.68) | 27.44 ± 0.80 | 26.96 ± 0.79 | –0.09 (–2.00 to 1.83) |
| Ischemic stroke | ||||||
| Highly infected prefectures | 32,039 | 30,574 | –4.57 (–4.81 to –4.35) | 20.86 ± 1.14 | 19.90 ± 1.10 | –4.28 (–7.22 to –1.35) |
| Other prefectures | 95,940 | 94,948 | –1.03 (–1.10 to –0.97) | 19.31 ± 0.60 | 19.11 ± 0.60 | 1.03 (–1.18 to 3.23) |
| Intracerebral hemorrhage | ||||||
| Highly infected prefectures | 11,189 | 10,632 | –4.98 (–5.40 to –4.58) | 7.28 ± 0.38 | 6.92 ± 0.35 | 2.00 (–6.97 to 10.97) |
| Other prefectures | 30,717 | 29,646 | –3.49 (–3.70 to –3.29) | 6.18 ± 0.20 | 5.98 ± 0.19 | 3.01 (–6.97 to 10.97) |
| Subarachnoid hemorrhage | ||||||
| Highly infected prefectures | 3,274 | 3,096 | –5.44 (–6.27 to –4.71) | 2.13 ± 0.14 | 2.02 ± 0.13 | 0.41 (–7.66 to 8.58) |
| Other prefectures | 9,746 | 9,328 | –4.29 (–4.71 to –3.90) | 1.96 ± 0.08 | 1.88 ± 0.07 | 10.05 (1.83 to 18.28) |
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; SE, standard error.
* P < 0.0001 between the highly infected and other prefectures for any events using the z-test.
** P < 0.0001 between the highly infected and other prefectures for any events using the Wilcoxon signed-rank test.
Annual and monthly volume of stroke admissions by different scales of primary stroke centers during the pre-pandemic (2019) and pandemic (2020) periods
| Annual admission volumes | Monthly volumes per center | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | 2019 | 2020 | Percent change (95% CI), % | 2019,
| 2020,
|
| |
| All stroke ** | |||||||
| Low-volume PSCs | 180 | 28,079 | 27,554 | –1.87 (–2.04 to –1.72) | 13.11 ± 0.34 | 12.85 ± 0.35 | 0.0771 |
| Intermediate-volume PSCs | 182 | 53,735 | 52,922 | –1.51 (–1.62 to –1.41) | 24.84 ± 0.27 | 24.44 ± 0.36 | 0.1360 |
| High-volume PSCs | 180 | 100,846 | 97,607 | –3.21 (–3.10 to –3.22) | 46.34 ± 1.10 | 44.89 ± 1.08 | 0.0001 |
| Stroke subtype | |||||||
| Ischemic stroke *** | |||||||
| Low-volume PSCs | 180 | 18,923 | 18,951 | 0.15 (0.10 to 0.21) | 8.76 ± 0.25 | 8.78 ± 0.27 | 0.9696 |
| Intermediate-volume PSCs | 182 | 37,188 | 36,442 | –2.01 (–2.15 to –1.88) | 17.03 ± 0.19 | 16.68 ± 0.29 | 0.1526 |
| High-volume PSCs | 180 | 71,868 | 70,129 | –2.42 (–2.53 to –2.31) | 33.27 ± 0.85 | 32.47 ± 0.85 | 0.0025 |
| Intracerebral hemorrhage**** | |||||||
| Low-volume PSCs | 180 | 5,410 | 5,565 | –2.87 (–3.35 to –2.45) | 2.50 ± 0.08 | 2.58 ± 0.09 | 0.2091 |
| Intermediate-volume PSCs | 182 | 12,579 | 12,192 | –3.08 (–3.39 to –2.79) | 5.76 ± 0.08 | 5.59 ± 0.12 | 0.1097 |
| High-volume PSCs | 180 | 23,917 | 22,521 | –5.84 (–6.14 to –5.55) | 11.07 ± 0.26 | 10.48 ± 0.25 | <0.0001 |
| Subarachnoid hemorrhage ***** | |||||||
| Low-volume PSCs | 180 | 1,340 | 1,636 | 22.09 (19.95 to 24.39) | 0.62 ± 0.02 | 0.76 ± 0.04 | 0.0002 |
| Intermediate-volume PSCs | 182 | 3,499 | 3,361 | –3.94 (–4.64 to –3.35) | 1.60 ± 0.02 | 1.54 ± 0.05 | 0.0580 |
| High-volume PSCs | 180 | 8,181 | 7,427 | –9.22 (–9.86 to –8.61) | 3.79 ± 0.11 | 3.44 ± 0.11 | <0.0001 |
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; N, number of hospitals; PSC, primary stroke center; SE, standard error.
High-, intermediate-, and low-volume PSCs were categorized according to the number of hospitalizations for each stroke center in 2019.
* P-value with reference to monthly volumes per PSC in 2019 using Wilcoxon’s signed-rank test.
** Low vs. intermediate, P = 0.7917; low vs. high, P = 0.2570; intermediate vs. high, P = 0.1456.
*** Low vs. intermediate, P = 0.1679; low vs. high, P = 0.0030; intermediate vs. high, P = 0.3799.
**** Low vs. intermediate, P = 0.0073; low vs. high, P < 0.0001; intermediate vs. high, P = 0.0954.
***** Low vs. intermediate, P < 0.0001; low vs. high, P < 0.0001; intermediate vs. high, P = 0.1473.