| Literature DB >> 35747835 |
Jung Kyong Shin1, Jung Wook Huh1, Woo Yong Lee1, Seong Hyeon Yun1, Hee Cheol Kim1, Yong Beom Cho1, Yoon Ah Park1.
Abstract
There are few studies on the prognostic impact of CEA level at the time of recurrence in recurrent colorectal cancer. The objective of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of serum CEA levels at the time of recurrence in patients with recurrent colorectal cancer. Between 2007 and 2014, 962 consecutive recurrent patients for colorectal cancer were analyzed. These patients were divided into two groups according to CEA level at the time of recurrence (r-CEA): high r-CEA (≥5 ng/ml) (n = 428) and normal r-CEA (<5 ng/ml) (n = 534). The prognostic effects of r-CEA were evaluated by one-to-one propensity score matching (PSM) to adjust factors between groups. After matching, a total of 778 patients, 389 per group, were analyzed. After matching, the 5-year disease-free survival rate for the high r-CEA group was significantly lower than that for the normal r-CEA group. The 5-year overall survival rate was 56.5% in the high r-CEA group and 66.0% in the normal r-CEA group (p = 0.008). The 5-year cancer-specific survival rate was 61.7% in the high group and 67.5% in the normal group (p = 0.035). In a multivariate analysis of prognostic factors, high preoperative CEA level at the time of recurrence, poor histologic grade, and lymphatic invasion were associated with poorer overall survival. The high r-CEA level group showed significantly poorer prognosis than the normal r-CEA group. Therefore, the r-CEA level can be used as a prognostic factor in recurrent colorectal cancer. Aggressive adjuvant treatment needs to be considered for patients with an initially high CEA level and lymph node positivity who are prone to recurrence.Entities:
Keywords: adjuvant treatment; carcinoembryonic antigen; colorectal cancer; prognostic factor; recurrence
Year: 2022 PMID: 35747835 PMCID: PMC9209715 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2022.821986
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 5.738
Figure 1Flowchart of this study.
Patient clinicopathologic characteristics before and after propensity score matching analysis.
| Before propensity score matching | After propensity score matching | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| r-CEA <5 (n = 534) | r-CEA ≥5 (n = 428) |
| r-CEA <5 (n = 389) | r-CEA ≥5 (n = 389) |
| |
| Age, years, median (SD) | 60 ± 13 | 61 ± 13 | 0.680 | 60 ± 13 | 61 ± 12 | 0.392 |
| Sex, n (%) | 0.514 | 0.770 | ||||
| Male | 323 (60.5) | 250 (58.4) | 233 (59.9) | 229 (58.9) | ||
| Initial CEA (ng/mL) | <0.001 | 0.203 | ||||
| Normal (<5) | 406 (76.0) | 279 (65.2) | 287 (73.8) | 270 (69.4) | ||
| Initial tumor location, n (%) | 0.105 | 0.498 | ||||
| Colon | 326 (61.0) | 283 (66.1) | 250 (64.3) | 259 (66.6) | ||
| Initial TNM stage, n (%) | <0.001 | 1.000 | ||||
| I | 68 (12.7) | 14 (3.3) | 14 (3.6) | 14 (3.6) | ||
| Initial pathologic T stage, n (%) | <0.001 | 0.610 | ||||
| T1 | 41 (7.7) | 12 (2.8) | 10 (2.6) | 10 (2.6) | ||
| Initial pathologic N stage, n (%) | <0.001 | 0.672 | ||||
| N0 | 212 (39.7) | 85 (19.9) | 84 (21.6) | 84 (21.6) | ||
| Initial size of tumor (cm, SD) | 4.7 ± 3.0 | 5.1 ± 2.2 | 0.076 | 5.0 ± 3.1 | 5.1 ± 2.2 | 0.784 |
| Initial cell differentiation, n (%) | 0.293 | 0.922 | ||||
| WD+MD | 462 (86.5) | 360 (84.1) | 327 (84.1) | 328 (84.3) | ||
| Initial lymphatic invasion, n (%) | 0.004 | 0.565 | ||||
| (+) | 245 (45.9) | 236 (55.1) | 213 (54.8) | 205 (52.7) | ||
| Initial venous invasion, n (%) | 0.422 | 0.393 | ||||
| (+) | 152 (28.5) | 132 (30.8) | 125 (32.1) | 114 (29.3) | ||
| Initial perineural invasion, n (%) | 0.042 | 0.705 | ||||
| (+) | 158 (29.6) | 153 (35.7) | 135 (34.7) | 130 (33.4) | ||
| Initial tumor budding, n (%) | 0.048 | 0.828 | ||||
| (+) | 274 (51.3) | 247 (57.7) | 222 (57.1) | 219 (56.3) | ||
| MSI | 0.698 | 0.521 | ||||
| MSS | 505 (94.6) | 402 (93.9) | 372 (95.6) | 365 (93.8) | ||
| KRAS | 0.360 | 0.963 | ||||
| Wild type | 385 (72.1) | 311 (72.6) | 276 (71.0) | 279 (71.7) | ||
| Median disease-free interval, months | 19.8 ± 15.4 | 17.7 ± 14.4 | 0.027 | 18.7 ± 14.0 | 17.8 ± 14.9 | 0.374 |
| Treatment after recurrence, n (%) | 0.625 | 0.764 | ||||
| Salvage treatment | 439 (82.2) | 358 (83.7) | 329 (84.6) | 324 (83.3) | ||
CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; r-CEA, CEA level at the time of recurrence; WD, well-differentiated; MD, moderately differentiated; PD, poorly differentiated; MUC, mucinous adenocarcinoma; SRC, signet ring cell carcinoma; MSS, microsatellite stable; MSI-L, microsatellite instability low; MSI-H, microsatellite instability high; CTx, chemotherapy; RTx, radiotherapy.
Figure 2Survival according to CEA level at the time of recurrence before and after matching. (A) Before matching. (B) After matching.
Figure 3Five-year overall survival according to CEA level at the time of recurrence in matched patients.
Figure 4Five-year cancer specific survival according to CEA level at the time of recurrence in matched patients.
Figure 5Survival according to initial and CEA level at the time of recurrence before and after matching. (A) Before matching. (B) After matching.
Figure 6Survival according to CEA level at the time of recurrence and pathologic nodal status before and after matching. (A) Before matching. (B) After matching.
Prognostic factors of survival for matched patients.
| Factors | Overall survival | Cancer-specific survival | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Univariate | Multivariate | Univariate | Multivariate | |||
|
| HR (95% CI) |
|
| HR (95% CI) |
| |
| Initial CEA (ng/L) | ||||||
| ≥5 versus <5 | 0.016 | 1.574 (1.221–2.029) | <0.001 | 0.553 | ||
| CEA at recurrence (ng/L) | ||||||
| ≥5 versus <5 | 0.024 | 1.395 (1.088–1.788) | 0.009 | 0.019 | 1.322 (1.104–1.723) | 0.039 |
| Age (years) | ||||||
| ≥65 versus <65 | <0.001 | 2.055 (1.604–2.633) | <0.001 | 0.002 | 1.460 (1.114–1.913) | 0.006 |
| Gender | ||||||
| Female versus male | 0.787 | 0.497 | ||||
| Tumor location | ||||||
| Rectum versus colon | 0.772 | 0.378 | ||||
| Initial T stages | ||||||
| 2 versus 1 | 0.498 | 1.789 (1.038–3.083) | 0.036 | 0.076 | 0.992 (0.428–2.298) | 0.985 |
| 3 versus 1 | 0.029 | 1.593 (1.018–2.494) | 0.041 | 0.045 | 1.866 (0.987–3.530) | 0.055 |
| 4 versus 1 | 0.015 | 2.006 (1.269–3.171) | 0.003 | 0.007 | 2.526 (1.311–4.866) | 0.006 |
| Initial N stages | ||||||
| 1 versus 0 | 0.036 | 1.044 (0.863–1.264) | 0.657 | 0.040 | 1.080 (0.748–1.559) | 0.680 |
| 2 versus 0 | 0.028 | 1.290 (1.070–1.556) | 0.008 | 0.002 | 1.776 (1.266–2.493) | 0.001 |
| Initial cell type | ||||||
| PD/MUC/SRC versus | 0.002 | 2.293 (1.712–3.071) | <0.001 | 0.014 | 1.801 (1.286–2.522) | 0.001 |
| WD/MD | ||||||
| Initial lymphatic invasion | ||||||
| Yes versus no | 0.036 | 1.735 (1.346–2.237) | <0.001 | 0.092 | ||
| Initial venous invasion | ||||||
| Yes versus no | 0.529 | 0.756 | ||||
| Initial perineural invasion | ||||||
| Yes versus no | 0.761 | 0.033 | 1.820 (1.388–2.385) | <0.001 | ||
| Initial tumor budding | ||||||
| Yes versus no | 0.091 | 0.045 | 1.575 (1.199–2.069) | 0.001 | ||
| KRAS | ||||||
| Mutation versus wild | 0.161 | 0.577 | ||||
| Disease-free interval | ||||||
| ≥12 versus <12 months | <0.001 | 3.200 (2.494–4.106) | <0.001 | <0.001 | 2.242 (1.716–2.930) | <0.001 |
| Treatment after recurrence | ||||||
| Surgery versus conserve | <0.001 | 0.235 (0.167–0.331) | <0.001 | <0.001 | 0.251 (0.176–0.358) | <0.001 |
| CTx or RTx versus conservative | <0.001 | 0.220 (0.159–0.304) | <0.001 | <0.001 | 0.179 (0.125–0.255) | <0.001 |
CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; WD, well-differentiated; MD, moderately differentiated; PD, poorly differentiated; MUC, mucinous adenocarcinoma; SRC, signet ring cell carcinoma; CTx, chemotherapy; RTx, radiotherapy.
Prognostic factors of high CEA at the time of recurrence.
| Factors | CEA at recurrence ≥5 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Univariate | Multivariate | ||
|
| HR (95% CI) |
| |
| Initial CEA (ng/L) | |||
| ≥5 versus <5 | 0.007 | 1.694 (1.279–2.244) | <0.001 |
| Gender | |||
| Female versus male | 0.354 | ||
| Tumor location | |||
| Rectum versus colon | 0.266 | ||
| Initial T stages | |||
| 2 versus 1 | 0.261. | ||
| 3 versus 1 | 0.246 | ||
| 4 versus 1 | 0.087 | ||
| Initial N stages | |||
| 1 versus 0 | 0.416 | 2.783 (1.989–3.894) | <0.001 |
| 2 versus 0 | <0.001 | 2.551 (1.840–3.537) | <0.001 |
| Initial cell type | |||
| PD/MUC/SRC versus | 0.757 | ||
| WD/MD | |||
| Initial lymphatic invasion | |||
| Yes versus no | 0.745 | ||
| Initial venous invasion | |||
| Yes versus no | 0.132 | ||
| Initial perineural invasion | |||
| Yes versus no | 0.904 | ||
| Initial tumor budding | |||
| Yes versus no | 0.772 | ||
| Disease free interval | |||
| ≥12 versus <12 months | 0.059 | 0.773 (0.593–1.006) | 0.056 |
CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; WD, well-differentiated; MD, moderately differentiated; PD, poorly differentiated; MUC, mucinous adenocarcinoma; SRC, signet ring cell carcinoma.
Long-term oncologic outcomes of matched cohorts.
| r-CEA <5 (n = 389) | r-CEA ≥5 (n = 389) |
| |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recurrence site | 0.034 | ||
| Locoregional | 49 (12.6) | 45 (11.6) | 0.742 |
| Liver | 126 (32.4) | 121 (31.1) | 0.758 |
| Lung | 119 (30.6) | 119 (30.6) | 1.000 |
| Peritoneal seeding | 19 (4.9) | 34 (8.7) | 0.033 |
| Distant lymph node | 29 (7.5) | 54 (13.9) | 0.004 |
| Other (ovary, brain, bone) | 32 (8.2) | 31 (7.9) | 0.895 |
r-CEA, CEA level at the time of recurrence.